公司报告 | 半年报点评 大元泵业（603757） 证券研究报告 家用板块修复，液冷泵放量在即 事件： 2025 年 8 月 25 日，大元泵业发布半年报。2025H1 公司实现营业收入 9.6 亿元，同比+14.6%，归母净利润 1.0 亿元，同比-28.0%，扣非归母净利润 0.9 亿元，同比-10.7%。2025Q2 公司实现营业收入 5.8 亿元，同比+3.5%， 归母净利润 0.6 亿元，同比-37.9%，扣非归母净利润 0.6 亿元，同比-12.3%。 2025 年半年度拟每 10 股派发现金红利 5 元（含税），分红比例 81.7%。 点评： 各板块发展向好，新业务开始起量。1）上半年农泵主要产品实现收入约 3.4 亿元，同比增长约 17.6%；2）家用屏蔽泵实现收入约 3.6 亿元，同比增 长约 5.8%，以外销为主的节能泵产品实现销售收入接近 1.5 亿元，同比增 长超过 20%；热泵相关产品实现销售收入约 0.43 亿元，同比增长约 55%， 欧洲热泵市场经过 2024 年的深度调整后需求开始出现复苏迹象；3）工业 泵实现收入共计约 1.8 亿元，同比增长超过 20%；4）商泵同比增长超过 ...

星标 ★ IPO日报 精彩文章第一时间推送 8月24日晚间，开普云信息科技股份有限公司（688228.SH，下称"开普云"）披露发行股份购买资产并募集配套资金暨关联交易预案。 根据公告，开普云拟通过发行A股股份的方式向深圳金泰克半导体有限公司（下称"深圳金泰克"）购买其持有的南宁泰克半导体有限公司（下 称"南宁泰克"）30.00%股权，并募集配套资金。 同时，根据《股权收购框架协议》约定，公司拟现金收购南宁泰克的70%股权，交易对方深圳金泰克将其存储产品业务的经营性资产转移至南宁 泰克，该现金交易为本发行股份购买资产的前提。 8月25日，公司股票开盘便收获"20cm"涨停，最终收于78.96元/股。 制图：佘诗婕 毛利率连续十年下滑 开普云成立于2000年，定位为"数字内容管理和大数据服务提供商"，核心业务覆盖政府、企业及媒体客户的数字化转型需求。 2020年至2023年，公司营业收入快速增长，由3.01亿元一路涨至6.94亿元。不过同期，归母净利润存在较大波动，2020年至2023年分别为0.69亿 元、0.61亿元、0.98亿元及0.41亿元。 制图：李昕 2024年，公司营收、净利出现同步下滑。其中，营 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report by Liu Muye from Zhonghang Securities highlights the rapid growth of Guangku Technology and its promising lithium niobate business, initiating coverage with a "buy" rating [1]. Company Overview - Guangku Technology is a national high-tech enterprise specializing in fiber optic devices and chip integration, covering the entire chain from basic components to high-end chips [2]. - The company's products are widely used in key areas of the fiber laser, fiber communication, and data center industries, successfully penetrating global markets and exporting to over 40 countries [2]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 597 million yuan, a year-on-year growth of 41.58%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 52 million yuan, up 70.96% year-on-year [3]. - For Q2 2025, the company reported revenue of 331 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 26.89% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 24.96%, with a net profit of 41 million yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 72.04% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 278.29% [3]. Growth Drivers - The company's optical communication segment is a key growth driver, with revenue from optical communication devices reaching 280 million yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 73.89% [4]. - The lithium niobate technology is positioned as a critical material for breaking through optical communication speed bottlenecks, with various high-speed modulators and chips being developed for applications in advanced communication networks [5]. Market Position and Strategy - Guangku Technology holds a leading position in the optical communication device sector, leveraging its technology in polarization-maintaining fiber devices and high-reliability components [4]. - The company is expected to benefit from the AI computing infrastructure and upgrades in optical modules, with projections for revenue growth to 1.432 billion yuan, 1.864 billion yuan, and 2.319 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027 [7]. Investment Outlook - The company is anticipated to gain from the commercialization of 1.6T optical modules and potential synergies from industry chain acquisitions [7].

Market Overview - A-shares and Hong Kong stocks exhibited a volatile consolidation pattern on August 1, with major indices showing slight declines and notable sector rotation [1][2] - The A-share market saw the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.19% to 3566.55 points, while the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext Index fell 0.15% and 0.16% respectively, with the STAR 50 Index declining 0.84% due to sector differentiation [2] - The Hong Kong market mirrored this trend, with the Hang Seng Index down 0.18% to 24727.78 points, and the Hang Seng Tech Index falling 0.12% [2] Sector Performance - A-share market hotspots are rapidly rotating, with leading sectors concentrated in policy support and improved earnings expectations, including innovative pharmaceuticals, the photovoltaic industry chain, and smart logistics [3] - The innovative pharmaceutical sector saw nearly 10 stocks hit the daily limit, driven by FDA acceptance of new drugs and accelerated domestic approvals [3] - The photovoltaic industry benefited from a 42.9% year-on-year increase in power generation in the first half of the year and supportive policies, leading to strong performance from leading equipment stocks [3] - Smart logistics gained from regulatory measures against low-price competition and standardized rural express delivery fees [3] - Conversely, sectors such as stablecoin concepts, rare earth permanent magnets, media, and telecommunications faced declines due to profit-taking and external trade policy uncertainties [3] Hong Kong Market Dynamics - The Hong Kong market showed some correlation with A-shares while also displaying independent characteristics, with logistics and photovoltaic stocks leading gains [4] - ZTO Express surged 8.62% due to accelerated major project construction policies from the Ministry of Transport [4] - The photovoltaic industry chain benefited from global energy transition trends, with stocks like Xinyi Solar performing well [4] - The energy and information technology sectors faced declines, with the oil and petrochemical index dropping 2.14% and China Petroleum's net profit forecast down nearly 40% leading to a 4.78% drop [4] Investment Strategy - The current market is characterized by "policy-driven + structural opportunities," with short-term funds rapidly switching around mid-term performance and policy hotspots [5] - As the market enters a period of concentrated mid-term report disclosures, performance uncertainty may suppress the momentum-driven market, shifting focus from "incremental funds" to "performance verification" [5] - Key sectors to watch include technology manufacturing (optical modules, servers, storage chips), cyclical resources (non-ferrous metals, chemicals), consumer pharmaceuticals (innovative drugs, consumer electronics), and finance (non-bank, insurance) [5] - Short-term strategies should focus on mid-term performance and fund movements, emphasizing AI infrastructure, commercialization of innovative drugs, and non-ferrous metals, while defensive strategies should consider stable cash flow sectors like power and high-dividend utilities [5] - Mid-term recommendations include focusing on AI computing power, military industry, innovative pharmaceuticals, and new consumption trends in smart home and health upgrades [5][6]

Market Overview - The A-share market is experiencing a divergence around the 3600-point level, with a significant trading volume exceeding 1.8 trillion yuan, indicating a potential for short-term volatility due to profit-taking and historical resistance levels [1][10][12] - The market is characterized by a "slow bull" trend in the medium term, driven by favorable tariff negotiations, continuous policy support, and an overall improvement in liquidity conditions [1][10][12] Sector Analysis - Traditional sectors are recovering due to low valuations and supportive policies, with a focus on segments benefiting from large-scale infrastructure projects [4][10] - The Yarlung Tsangpo River hydropower project, with a total investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan, is a key driver for the hydropower sector, suggesting potential for further gains despite recent price increases [6] - The medical services sector is gaining traction, particularly in innovative pharmaceuticals, which are expected to see improved fundamentals in the latter half of 2025 due to a favorable commercialization environment and demographic trends [7] - The securities sector shows potential for recovery, with expected increases in trading volume and supportive monetary policies, making it a focus for medium-term investments [8][9] Investment Strategy - Short-term strategies should avoid chasing high-flying stocks and consider profit-taking on sectors that have seen significant gains, such as hydropower [2][11] - Medium-term investments should target growth sectors with strong policy and technological drivers, including AI infrastructure, innovative pharmaceuticals, and humanoid robotics [2][11]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current bullish sentiment in the A-share market, highlighting the rise of the Shanghai Composite Index and the factors driving this trend, while also noting the underlying risks and market differentiation [1][2]. Group 1: Market Drivers - Continuous policy benefits are being released, including deepening capital market reforms and subsidies for equipment upgrades, which are expected to stabilize low-valued sectors like finance and real estate [3]. - Economic data has exceeded expectations, with Q2 GDP growth at 5.2%, industrial output increasing by 6.8% in June, and new social financing reaching 4.2 trillion yuan, indicating a recovery in corporate profits [4]. - Breakthroughs in the technology sector are prompting asset revaluation, with companies like Nvidia and AMD resuming chip supplies to China, leading to growth in hardware sectors [5]. Group 2: Market Differentiation and Risks - Despite the overall bullish trend, there is significant market differentiation, with sectors like water conservancy and rare earths seeing gains over 20%, while banks and semiconductor stocks lag behind [7]. - Concerns about incremental capital are emerging, as northbound capital saw a net outflow of 28.7 billion yuan in July, with significant sell-offs in growth sectors like electronics and computing [7]. - External risks are also present, with potential tariff increases from the U.S. and EU, which could impact foreign trade [8]. - The domestic real estate market remains weak, with June residential sales down 12.6% year-on-year, which may continue to suppress consumer recovery [9]. - Historical data shows that previous breaches of the 3600-point mark in the Shanghai index were accompanied by valuation bubbles and volume exhaustion, raising concerns about current valuations in some tech sectors [10]. Group 3: Investment Strategies - Investors are advised to balance their portfolios to mitigate risks while seizing opportunities, considering both defensive and growth-oriented strategies [12]. - Defensive strategies include recommending low-volatility dividend funds, such as high-dividend banks and coal and power sectors, to hedge against market fluctuations [13]. - Growth strategies should focus on sectors benefiting from dual policy engines, such as AI infrastructure and high-end manufacturing [14]. - The 3600-point level is viewed as a point for asset rebalancing rather than a terminal point for investment, emphasizing the importance of professional asset management during volatile periods [15].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced a significant rally on July 22, 2025, with all three major indices reaching new highs for the year, driven by the launch of the Yarlung Tsangpo River hydropower project and supportive macroeconomic policies [2][4][5]. Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.62% to close at 3581.86 points, with an intraday high of 3584.72 points [2]. - The total trading volume across the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing markets reached 1.9286 trillion yuan, an increase of 201.5 billion yuan from the previous day [2]. - Over 2500 stocks in the market saw gains, with more than 100 stocks hitting the daily limit for the second consecutive day [2]. Sector Performance - The Yarlung hydropower concept sector led the gains with an increase of 11.77%, followed by the civil explosives sector at 6.04% and the cement sector at 4.58% [2]. - Despite the strong performance, the Yarlung hydropower sector experienced a net outflow of 557 million yuan in main funds [3]. - The coal mining and processing sector saw a net inflow of 2.571 billion yuan, while the liquor sector attracted 1.829 billion yuan [2]. Project Significance - The Yarlung Tsangpo River hydropower project, with a total investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan, is expected to significantly boost infrastructure development and clean energy initiatives in the western region of China [4]. - The project is projected to account for 88.7% of China's total water conservancy investment in 2024, benefiting various sectors including water conservancy, tunneling, civil explosives, and construction materials [4]. Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that while the Yarlung hydropower project serves as a catalyst for market sentiment, the actual impact on corporate earnings may be limited in the short term due to the project's long construction cycle [4][5]. - The market is expected to experience structural pressures, particularly from the banking sector, which may limit upward movement in indices [9]. - Future investment opportunities may arise in sectors related to high-voltage power transmission and infrastructure in Tibet, as well as in high-growth industries such as AI and semiconductors [6][10].

Core Viewpoint - The PCB (Printed Circuit Board) industry is experiencing significant growth, driven by increased demand from major tech companies for high-end PCBs to support AI chip development and the recovery of automotive and consumer electronics sectors [1][3][9]. Group 1: Industry Performance - PCB stocks have surged, with notable gains: Shenghong Technology up over 145%, Dongshan Precision up over 88%, and Shengyi Technology up over 51% since April 8 [2][3]. - The electronic ETF (515260) has seen a strong performance, with a 1.2% increase in early trading, reflecting the robust demand in the PCB sector [1]. Group 2: Demand Drivers - Major tech companies like Meta, Google, and Amazon are investing in self-developed AI chips, leading to a surge in demand for high-end PCBs, with the number of layers in AI server PCBs increasing from 20 to over 40, raising their value by 3-5 times [3][4]. - The automotive sector is witnessing a shift towards smart vehicles, with the value of PCBs per electric vehicle rising from 500 yuan to 8000 yuan, driven by advancements in intelligent driving technologies [5]. - The consumer electronics sector is also evolving, with the demand for flexible PCBs and substrate-like PCBs increasing due to the rise of foldable and AI-enabled smartphones [6]. Group 3: Financial Trends - Over 13 billion yuan of net inflow into the electronic sector has been recorded, indicating strong investor interest and confidence in the PCB industry [7]. - The PCB industry's growth is supported by breakthroughs in high-frequency materials and processes, with domestic companies like Shengyi Technology challenging the dominance of Japanese firms [8]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The PCB industry's current growth is attributed to a combination of AI infrastructure development, technological upgrades, and domestic substitution, with expectations for continued high performance in AI servers and automotive electronics [9]. - Analysts predict a favorable outlook for the electronic sector, driven by macroeconomic policies, inventory cycles, and AI innovation, suggesting a potential for valuation expansion in 2025 [9].

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [3]. Core Views - The company is positioned as a leader in the HVDC (High Voltage Direct Current) supply technology, with an overall efficiency exceeding 97.5%. It has a complete supply chain system and the capability for large-scale production and delivery [3][62]. - The company has established a strong foothold in the data center power supply sector, widely used across various industries including internet, finance, and telecommunications. Its international market presence is expanding, with operations in regions such as Africa, West Asia, and Southeast Asia [3][62]. - The report anticipates explosive growth in AI computing demand, which will accelerate the iteration of intelligent computing infrastructure. The company is expected to benefit significantly from this trend, especially as it strengthens ties with major internet giants and national computing hubs [3][62]. Summary by Sections Financial Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve total revenue of 19.62 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 26.13%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 1.10 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 178.52% [3][25]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 0.19 yuan in 2024, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 82.56 based on the latest diluted EPS [3][25]. Competitive Advantages - The company has a strong competitive edge due to its early entry into the HVDC market and its ability to meet the growing demand for efficient power solutions in data centers. Its products are already integral to the operations of major clients like Alibaba and Tencent [3][62]. - The company is actively pursuing international expansion, with plans to leverage its Singapore subsidiary to enhance its global footprint in technology and product offerings [3][62]. Market Outlook - The global HVDC market is expected to reach 17.7 billion dollars by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 121% from 2024 to 2027. The report highlights that the domestic market is currently concentrated, with the company holding a significant market share [3][56]. - The report emphasizes the increasing adoption of HVDC technology as a replacement for traditional UPS systems in AI data centers, driven by the rising power density of AI servers [3][56].

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for Zhongheng Electric [1][3]. Core Views - Zhongheng Electric is positioned as a leader in the HVDC (High Voltage Direct Current) supply technology in China, with an overall efficiency exceeding 97.5%. The company has a robust supply chain and scalable production capabilities, which are expected to drive performance beyond expectations as market penetration increases [3][62]. - The demand for AI computing power is expected to surge, accelerating the iteration of intelligent computing infrastructure. Zhongheng Electric is well-positioned to benefit from this trend due to its technological barriers in the HVDC field and comprehensive energy solutions [3][62]. - The company has established deep strategic partnerships with major internet giants and is expanding its international presence, particularly in regions such as Africa, West Asia, and Southeast Asia [3][62]. Summary by Sections Financial Forecast and Valuation - The projected total revenue for Zhongheng Electric is expected to grow from 1,555 million yuan in 2023 to 4,581 million yuan by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 26.25% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to increase significantly from 39.36 million yuan in 2023 to 306.05 million yuan in 2027, with a notable growth rate of 170.51% in 2024 [1]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is anticipated to rise from 0.07 yuan in 2023 to 0.54 yuan in 2027, indicating a strong upward trend in profitability [1]. Competitive Advantages - Zhongheng Electric has a solid foothold in the data center power supply sector, with a revenue increase of 111.05% in its data center power business in 2024, contributing to 34% of total revenue [3][25]. - The company has a high market share in the HVDC sector, with its products widely used across various applications, including internet data centers, third-party colocation, and supercomputing centers [3][65]. - The company is actively pursuing international expansion, with plans to establish a wholly-owned subsidiary in Singapore to enhance its global operations [3][68]. Market Outlook - The global market for HVDC is projected to reach 17.7 billion USD by 2027, with a CAGR of 121% from 2024 to 2027, driven by increasing demand for efficient power supply solutions in AI data centers [3][56]. - The report highlights that the domestic HVDC market is currently concentrated, with Zhongheng Electric holding a significant share alongside a few other key players [3][54]. - The transition from traditional UPS systems to HVDC solutions is expected to accelerate, particularly as AI computing power demands increase, positioning Zhongheng Electric favorably in the evolving market landscape [3][42].