Quantitative Models and Construction Methods 1. Model Name: Large Order Transaction Amount Ratio - **Model Construction Idea**: This model tracks the buying behavior of large funds by calculating the proportion of large order transaction amounts to the total daily transaction amount[7] - **Model Construction Process**: 1. Use tick-by-tick transaction data to identify buy and sell orders based on bid and ask sequence numbers 2. Filter transactions by order size to identify large orders 3. Calculate the ratio of large buy order transaction amounts to the total daily transaction amount - Formula: $ \text{Large Order Transaction Amount Ratio} = \frac{\text{Large Buy Order Transaction Amount}}{\text{Total Daily Transaction Amount}} $ - **Model Evaluation**: This indicator effectively captures the buying behavior of large funds[7] 2. Model Name: Net Active Buy Amount Ratio - **Model Construction Idea**: This model measures the active buying behavior of investors by calculating the net active buy amount as a proportion of the total daily transaction amount[7] - **Model Construction Process**: 1. Use tick-by-tick transaction data to classify each transaction as either active buy or active sell based on the buy/sell flag 2. Calculate the net active buy amount by subtracting the active sell amount from the active buy amount 3. Compute the ratio of the net active buy amount to the total daily transaction amount - Formula: $ \text{Net Active Buy Amount Ratio} = \frac{\text{Active Buy Amount} - \text{Active Sell Amount}}{\text{Total Daily Transaction Amount}} $ - **Model Evaluation**: This indicator effectively captures the active buying behavior of investors[7] --- Model Backtesting Results 1. Large Order Transaction Amount Ratio - **Top 10 Stocks by 5-Day Average**: - **East Securities (601198.SH)**: 88.1%, 99.6% time-series percentile[9] - **Shanghai Kaibao (300039.SZ)**: 86.3%, 100.0% time-series percentile[9] - **Sanxiang Impression (000863.SZ)**: 86.0%, 99.6% time-series percentile[9] - **Chongqing Steel (601005.SH)**: 86.0%, 78.7% time-series percentile[9] - **Jinzhengda (002470.SZ)**: 85.7%, 89.8% time-series percentile[9] - **Wanlong Optoelectronics (300710.SZ)**: 85.6%, 99.6% time-series percentile[9] - **Yasheng Group (600108.SH)**: 85.5%, 84.4% time-series percentile[9] - **Sinochem International (600500.SH)**: 85.5%, 90.4% time-series percentile[9] - **Chongqing Water (601158.SH)**: 85.2%, 96.7% time-series percentile[9] 2. Net Active Buy Amount Ratio - **Top 10 Stocks by 5-Day Average**: - **Jiuhua Tourism (603199.SH)**: 26.2%, 100.0% time-series percentile[10] - **Bailong Oriental (601339.SH)**: 22.9%, 100.0% time-series percentile[10] - **Zijin Bank (601860.SH)**: 20.2%, 100.0% time-series percentile[10] - **Bailong Chuangyuan (605016.SH)**: 19.5%, 100.0% time-series percentile[10] - **Hengshun Vinegar (600305.SH)**: 17.8%, 100.0% time-series percentile[10] - **Qingfangcheng (600790.SH)**: 17.7%, 99.6% time-series percentile[10] - **Shandong Steel (600022.SH)**: 17.7%, 99.6% time-series percentile[10] - **Shengda Forestry (002259.SZ)**: 17.5%, 100.0% time-series percentile[10] - **Taoli Bread (603866.SH)**: 17.2%, 100.0% time-series percentile[10] - **Jiangsu Sopo (600746.SH)**: 16.8%, 100.0% time-series percentile[10] 3. Broad-Based Indices - **5-Day Average Results**: - **Shanghai Composite Index**: Large Order Ratio 73.7% (82.0% percentile), Net Active Buy Ratio 2.2% (3.7% percentile)[12] - **SSE 50**: Large Order Ratio 71.7% (58.2% percentile), Net Active Buy Ratio 5.8% (92.6% percentile)[12] - **CSI 300**: Large Order Ratio 73.0% (41.0% percentile), Net Active Buy Ratio 2.9% (20.9% percentile)[12] - **CSI 500**: Large Order Ratio 73.8% (86.9% percentile), Net Active Buy Ratio 1.5% (3.3% percentile)[12] - **ChiNext Index**: Large Order Ratio 70.5% (6.1% percentile), Net Active Buy Ratio 0.1% (14.8% percentile)[12] 4. Industry-Level Analysis - **Top Industries by 5-Day Average**: - **Steel**: Large Order Ratio 79.0% (79.1% percentile), Net Active Buy Ratio 12.7% (0.8% percentile)[13] - **Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery**: Large Order Ratio 77.1% (87.7% percentile), Net Active Buy Ratio 10.8% (3.3% percentile)[13] - **Food and Beverage**: Large Order Ratio 71.5% (95.5% percentile), Net Active Buy Ratio 10.1% (32.8% percentile)[13] - **Real Estate**: Large Order Ratio 78.7% (70.9% percentile), Net Active Buy Ratio 8.8% (9.8% percentile)[13] - **Consumer Services**: Large Order Ratio 75.8% (32.4% percentile), Net Active Buy Ratio 8.9% (13.9% percentile)[13] 5. ETF Analysis - **Top 10 ETFs by Large Order Ratio**: - **Haifutong Shanghai Urban Investment Bond ETF (511220.SH)**: 93.4%, 63.5% percentile[15] - **Fortune Military Industry ETF (512710.SH)**: 92.1%, 100.0% percentile[15] - **Guotai CSI A500 ETF (159338.SZ)**: 91.5%, 19.7% percentile[15] - **Guotai 10-Year Treasury ETF (511260.SH)**: 91.5%, 91.8% percentile[15] - **Penghua National Defense ETF (512670.SH)**: 90.7%, 99.6% percentile[15] - **Top 10 ETFs by Net Active Buy Ratio**: - **Huaxia Food and Beverage ETF (515170.SH)**: 18.2%, 99.6% percentile[16] - **Yinhua 5G Communication ETF (159994.SZ)**: 16.7%, 100.0% percentile[16] - **E Fund CSI 300 Non-Bank ETF (512070.SH)**: 16.0%, 95.9% percentile[16] - **Huatai-PineBridge Dividend Low Volatility ETF (512890.SH)**: 15.7%, 94.3% percentile[16] - **Fortune Agriculture ETF (159825.SZ)**: 15.2%, 96.7% percentile[16]

证券代码：603199 股票简称：九华旅游 公告编号：临2025-049 安徽九华山旅游发展股份有限公司 关于增加2025年度日常关联交易预计额度的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性依法承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 是否需要提交股东会审议：否 日常关联交易对上市公司的影响：公司主要业务不因此类交易而对关联 方形成依赖，也不会影响公司的独立性。 2025 年 12 月 21 日，公司召开第九届董事会独立董事专门会议第三次会议， 审议通过了《关于增加 2025 年度日常关联交易预计额度的议案》，并形成了以下 意见：本事项系公司正常经营业务范围所必需，与关联人之间的交易遵循公平、 自愿、互惠互利原则，交易价格公允，不会对公司未来财务状况、经营成果产生 不利影响，不存在损害公司及全体股东特别是中小股东利益的情形，不影响公司 独立性。 2.董事会表决情况 2025 年 12 月 22 日，公司召开第九届董事会第九次会议审议通过了《关于 增加 2025 年度日常关联交易预计额度的议案》，关联董事高政权、徐震已回避表 决。 （二）公司 ...

证券代码：603199 股票简称：九华旅游 公告编号：临2025-048 安徽九华山旅游发展股份有限公司 第九届董事会第九次会议决议公告 【详细内容见上海证券交易所网站（http://www.sse.com.cn/）及《上海证 券报》于 2025 年 12 月 23 日刊登的《安徽九华山旅游发展股份有限公司关于增 加 2025 年度日常关联交易预计额度的公告》（公告编号：临 2025-049）】 特此公告。 安徽九华山旅游发展股份有限公司董事会 2025年12月23日 本议案已经公司董事会审计委员会、独立董事专门会议审议通过，同意提交 公司董事会审议。 关联董事高政权、徐震回避表决。 表决结果：4 票同意，0 票反对，0 票弃权。 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 安徽九华山旅游发展股份有限公司(以下简称"公司")第九届董事会第九次 会议通知于 2025 年 12 月 17 日以专人派送或电子邮件的方式发出。会议于 2025 年 12 月 22 日以通讯表决方式召开，本次会议应出席董事 6 人，实际出席董事 6 ...

每经AI快讯，九华旅游（SH 603199，收盘价：37.24元）12月22日晚间发布公告称，公司第九届第九次 董事会会议于2025年12月22日以通讯表决方式召开。会议审议了《关于增加2025年度日常关联交易预计 额度的议案》等文件。 2024年1至12月份，九华旅游的营业收入构成为：旅游服务业占比98.25%，其他业务占比1.75%。 截至发稿，九华旅游市值为41亿元。 （记者 曾健辉） 每经头条（nbdtoutiao）——新能源重卡爆单了，11月销量同比增长178%！两班倒都供不应求，客户直 接进厂催单，这情景十年难遇 ...

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a collective decline on December 16, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling to 3820.85 points, down 1.22%, the Shenzhen Component Index down 1.88%, and the ChiNext Index down 2.35% [2][3] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 1.12 trillion yuan, a decrease of 606 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [4] Sector Performance - The smart driving sector saw significant gains, with multiple stocks in the automotive sector rising sharply. Notable stocks included Wanji Technology, which recorded a 20% increase, and several others achieving the daily limit of 10% [15][16] - Consumer sectors, including restaurant tourism and commercial retail, continued to rise, with several stocks hitting the daily limit. For instance, Yonghui Supermarket and Baida Group both recorded a 10% increase [9][10] - Conversely, the large technology sector experienced a downturn, while precious metals, communication equipment, and chemical sectors led the declines [4][5] Notable Stocks - In the smart driving sector, several companies such as North Car Blue Valley and Changan Automobile saw increases of over 5% [18][19] - The hospitality sector also showed strength, with Junting Hotel rising nearly 7% and other hotel stocks following suit [11][12] Regulatory News - On December 15, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology announced the approval of the first batch of L3-level autonomous driving vehicles for trial operations in designated areas of Beijing and Chongqing [20]

Investment Rating - The report rates the industry as "Overweight," indicating a positive outlook for the sector compared to the overall market performance [2]. Core Insights - The report highlights a moderate recovery in consumer spending, with tourism-related prices showing strong performance. The national CPI increased by 0.7% year-on-year in November 2025, reflecting a continued recovery in consumer spending [2][7]. - Hotel prices have shown resilience despite seasonal demand fluctuations, with the average hotel room price maintaining positive growth year-on-year. The RevPAR (Revenue Per Available Room) has only slightly declined, indicating a shift from a volume-driven recovery to a price-stabilized and optimized operational approach [2][8]. - The introduction of REITs (Real Estate Investment Trusts) in the service industry is expected to clarify the asset securitization path for various service sectors, including tourism and hospitality. This initiative aims to revitalize existing assets and improve financial structures [2][22][23]. Summary by Sections 1. Hotel Structure Differentiation and Price Resilience - The hotel industry is experiencing a seasonal decline in occupancy rates, but average room prices remain stable, with an ADR (Average Daily Rate) of 388.8 CNY per night in early December, up 4.3% year-on-year [8][10]. - The RevPAR for the week ending December 6, 2025, was 233 CNY per night, showing only a 0.4% decline year-on-year, indicating a recovery phase focused on price stability and operational efficiency [8][10]. 2. REITs Supporting Asset Securitization in the Service Industry - The newly released REITs project industry scope includes cultural tourism infrastructure and commercial facilities, allowing for a clearer path to asset securitization for hotels and tourist attractions [22][23]. - The report emphasizes that the inclusion of high-quality service industry assets in the REITs framework will enhance cash flow stability and operational efficiency, ultimately benefiting the valuation and investment landscape of the sector [22][24]. 3. Valuation of Key Industry Companies - The report provides a detailed valuation of key companies in the tourism and hospitality sectors, including metrics such as market capitalization and PE ratios, indicating a diverse range of investment opportunities [26]. - Notable companies highlighted for investment consideration include tourism sites like Sanxia Tourism and hotels like Shoulu Hotel and Huazhu [26].

Group 1 - The implementation of the spring and autumn holiday policy in 2025 is expected to significantly boost off-peak travel demand, with staggered travel becoming the norm, benefiting scenic spots and tourism companies [1][2] - The average price of round-trip tickets from domestic locations such as Sichuan, Zhejiang, Guangdong, and Hubei is approximately 700 yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of about 7%, with a notable rise in flight and hotel bookings for popular destinations like Sanya and Xishuangbanna [1][2] - The combination of government subsidies, financial support, and merchant discounts effectively stimulates consumer spending, highlighting investment opportunities in the cultural tourism and ice and snow industries [1][2] Group 2 - The spring and autumn holiday policy has led to a resurgence in the cultural tourism market, with family travel demand surging, as over 53% of trips during the autumn holiday were made by families, and participation in educational tourism activities increased by over 50% year-on-year [2] - Ticket bookings for scenic spots in Sichuan have increased by 3.4 times year-on-year, with tourism consumption rising by 25%, indicating a strong recovery in the tourism sector [2] - The winter "snow holiday" policy is driving rapid development in the ice and snow tourism sector, with regions like Urumqi and Altay offering free skiing experiences and discounts on accommodation and transportation [3] Group 3 - The Ministry of Commerce and nine other departments have issued policies to boost service consumption, with 19 tasks aimed at optimizing supply, stimulating demand, and providing financial support [4] - During the 2025 National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival, over 29,000 cultural tourism activities were held nationwide, with consumption subsidies exceeding 480 million yuan [4] - The economic impact of ticket sales can lead to a comprehensive consumption ratio of 1:30 across various sectors, including performances, scenic spots, dining, accommodation, and transportation [4] Group 4 - Recommended companies to watch include Sanxia Tourism (002627.SZ), Huazhu (01179), Atour (ATAT.US), Jiuhua Tourism (603199.SH), and ShouLai Hotel (600258.SH) [5]

Investment Rating - The report rates the industry as "Positive" [3] Core Insights - The implementation of the Spring and Autumn holiday policy has significantly boosted tourism demand, leading to a remarkable increase in market activity [5][22] - The "Snow Holiday" policy has stimulated rapid growth in the winter tourism sector, particularly in ice and snow activities [25][26] - Government subsidies and financial support are effectively driving service consumption across multiple sectors, including tourism, sports, and education [32][33] Summary by Sections 1. Spring and Autumn Holidays Drive Tourism Demand Recovery - The Spring and Autumn holiday policy was introduced to encourage local education departments to implement school holidays, leading to increased travel during off-peak seasons [10][13] - Family travel demand surged, with over 53% of trips during the Autumn holiday being family-oriented, particularly in educational tourism activities [17][21] - Popular tourist destinations experienced a significant increase in ticket bookings, with some locations reporting a 3.4 times year-on-year increase in ticket reservations [21][22] 2. Consumer Subsidies Promote Steady Recovery in Service Consumption - Recent policies from multiple government departments aim to enhance service consumption quality and convenience, focusing on cultural, tourism, sports, and education sectors [32][33] - During the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival, over 29,000 cultural and tourism events were held, with consumption subsidies exceeding 480 million yuan [33] - The introduction of "ticket root economy" has linked various sectors, significantly boosting overall city consumption [33] 3. Valuation of Key Industry Companies - The report provides a detailed valuation of key companies in the tourism and hospitality sectors, highlighting their market capitalization and earnings per share projections [37][40] - Notable companies include Sanchuan Tourism, Huazhu, Atour, and Jiuhua Tourism, which are recommended for investment consideration due to their growth potential in the current market environment [40][41]

Group 1 - The potential for national income doubling is expected to open a "golden decade" for new consumption development, with a theoretical target of nearly doubling per capita GDP by 2035, from $13,300 in 2024 to approximately $20,000 [16][17][33] - The growth of the middle-income group is crucial for driving consumption, with a target of over 800 million middle-income individuals in the next 15 years, which will significantly influence the scale and quality of domestic consumption [42][49] - The report emphasizes the importance of promoting common prosperity to activate domestic consumption potential, highlighting that increasing the income of low-income groups can effectively convert new income into consumption [20][23][49] Group 2 - The beauty and personal care sector is expected to see growth driven by new materials in the medical beauty segment, with companies like Lepu Medical focusing on innovative materials that fill market gaps [4][5][15] - The beauty industry is entering a low-growth phase, where brand group operations and market share enhancement will be critical for sustainable growth, with companies like Mao Ge Ping and Shangmei Holdings being highlighted for their potential [4][5][15] - The pet care market is experiencing both consumption upgrades and intensified competition, with a focus on high-end, health-oriented products [4][5][15] Group 3 - The service consumption sector, particularly tourism and sports, is expected to benefit from policy encouragement, with companies like Sanxia Tourism and Lansi Co. being recommended for investment [4][5][15] - The report notes that the tourism sector is poised for growth due to increased interest in flexible vacations and the aging population, which is expected to drive demand for river cruises [4][5][15] - The sports service sector is highlighted as a core growth area, with event-driven economic activities expected to boost related industries [4][5][15] Group 4 - The IP and trendy toy market is entering a new phase with a surge in supply, and companies like Pop Mart are expected to maintain their leading positions through effective IP management [4][5][15] - The report indicates that the emergence of new designers and retail platforms is likely to sustain high demand for IP products, with a focus on companies that can effectively monetize potential IP [4][5][15] Group 5 - The gold and jewelry sector is facing short-term demand pressure due to tax reforms and seasonal fluctuations, with a focus on brands that can maintain pricing power amid these changes [5][15]

Group 1 - The core point of the news is the update on the construction progress of the Lion Peak Scenic Area cable car project by Jiuhua Tourism (603199.SH) [2][4] - The project has completed the main construction of the Heihu Song Bridge, which is part of the auxiliary road and bridge engineering [2][4] - The import equipment for the cable car has been received and accepted, and the civil engineering work for the cable car is progressing in an orderly manner [2][4]