合[Ta盛ble硅_Sto业ckN（am6eR0p3tT2yp6e0] ） 公司研究/公司点评 硅产业景气弱业绩仍有韧性，产业链一体化有序推进 [T投 a资 ble评 _R级 an： k]买 入（维持） 主要观点： 报告日期： 2024-05-08 ⚫[ T事ab件le描_S述u mmary] 2024 年 4 月29 日晚，合盛硅业发布2023 年以及 2024 年一季报， [收Ta盘bl价e_（Ba元se）D ata] 52.14 2023 年公司实现营收 265.84 亿元，同比增长 12.37%；归母净利润 近12个月最高/最低（元） 76.40/41.60 26.23亿元，同比减少49.05%。公司2024Q1实现营业收入54.16亿 总股本（百万股） 1,182 流通股本（百万股） 1,074 元，同比减少5.46%；实现归母净利润5.28亿，同比下降47.36%， 流通股比例（%） 90.86 2024Q1毛利率22.91%，环比变化+7.80pct。 ⚫ 2023产品量增价减业绩短期承压，2024Q1产品毛利率逐步修复 总市值（亿元） 616 2023 年以来，工业硅下游行业需求偏弱，有机硅、 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company experienced a decline in profit in 2023 but showed signs of recovery in Q1 2024, with expectations for industry improvement [1][4] - The company is expanding its production capacity and diversifying its product offerings, which is expected to drive future growth [8][43] Financial Performance Summary - In 2023, the company achieved revenue of 26.584 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.37%, but the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 49.05% to 2.623 billion yuan [4][9] - The gross profit margin for 2023 was 20.15%, down 14.24 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 9.72%, down 12.02 percentage points [4][14] - For Q4 2023, the company reported revenue of 6.697 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24.45%, but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 15.74% [4][9] - In Q1 2024, the company generated revenue of 5.416 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.46% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 19.14% [4][30] Production and Sales Data - In 2023, the company produced 1.355 million tons of industrial silicon, a year-on-year increase of 41.07%, with sales volume reaching 1.017 million tons, up 74.22% [5][10] - The production of 110 rubber was 396,100 tons, with sales of 341,500 tons, reflecting increases of 51.53% and 69.65% year-on-year, respectively [5][10] - The company also reported production and sales increases in other product categories, including 107 rubber and mixed rubber [10] Future Outlook - The company forecasts revenues of 35.007 billion yuan, 39.587 billion yuan, and 47.087 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 3.344 billion yuan, 4.344 billion yuan, and 5.103 billion yuan [9][43] - The projected price-to-earnings ratios for the next three years are 17, 13, and 11 times, indicating a favorable growth outlook [43]

证券代码：603260 证券简称：合盛硅业 公告编号：2024-044 合盛硅业股份有限公司 关于以集中竞价交易方式回购股份的进展公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 根据议案内容，公司拟以自有资金通过集中竞价交易方式回购公司股份，回 购资金总额为不低于人民币 5 亿元（含），不超过人民币 10 亿元（含）；公司本次 回购股份的价格不超过 80.40 元/股（含）；回购期限自公司股东大会审议通过回购 方案之日起不超过 12 个月。 二、 回购股份的进展情况 根据《上海证券交易所上市公司自律监管指引第 7 号—回购股份》等相关法 律法规的要求，公司在回购股份期间，应当在每个月的前 3 个交易日内公告截至 上月末的回购进展情况。现将公司回购股份进展的具体情况公告如下： 2024 年 4 月，公司未回购股份。 截至 2024 年 4 月 30 日，公司已累计回购股份 7,848,018 股，占公司总股本的 比例为 0.66%，购买的最高价为 52.12 元/股、最低价为 42.51 元/股，已支付的总 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has shown a quarter-on-quarter net profit growth of 20.45% in Q1 2024, indicating potential in extending its industrial chain [4][5] - The company is recognized as a leader in industrial silicon and organic silicon in China, with promising prospects for extending into downstream industries such as photovoltaics [4][5] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company is expected to achieve a revenue of 26.584 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.37%, with a net profit of 2.623 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 49.05% [4][6] - For Q1 2024, the company reported a revenue of 5.416 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.46% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 19.14%, with a net profit of 528 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 47.36% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 20.45% [4][6] - The company’s sales volume for industrial silicon and organic silicon in 2023 was approximately 1.02 million tons and 860,000 tons, respectively, with year-on-year increases of 74% and 46% [4][5] Price and Profitability Metrics - The average selling price for industrial silicon and organic silicon in 2024 is projected to be 13,385 yuan/ton and 14,434 yuan/ton, respectively, with year-on-year decreases of 24% and 35% [4][5] - The gross profit per ton for industrial silicon and organic silicon is expected to be 3,946 yuan/ton and 1,353 yuan/ton, reflecting year-on-year decreases of 38% and 81% [4][5] Future Outlook - The company is actively extending its industrial chain, with projects such as the photovoltaic integrated industrial park in Xinjiang and the "Green-Electric-Silicon" circular economy production base in Yunnan progressing steadily [5] - The company anticipates a recovery in profitability for industrial silicon and organic silicon products as the national economy further recovers [5]

是二三年度报告及二四年度一季度的一些情况那么二三年工业规行业整体表现为供需双增出口小幅缩减价格区间震荡这三个方面那么在光伏行业新建产能投产的带动下国内工业规积极企业积极生产全年的产量达到370万吨同比增长13.8%有机规行业整体是沉压运行 产量仍然保持稳定的增长,据行业数据呢,我国全年的这个有机硅产量达到这个180万吨DMC,2024年随着新增产能的投放呢,有机硅产量预计还有小幅增长空间,那光伏行业在23年, 整个国内的装机量是达到了216.88GW同比增速达到148%受益于光伏行业的迅猛发展多晶硅新建产能释放未来工业规的消费需求仍然会带来强劲的动力那么二四年一季度在工业规供给维持较高水平的情况下社会库存有所上行下游的多晶硅产量 也是同比处于高位,规片价格持续走弱,使得多金规需求增加,也没有提振到国业规价格。有机规单体在一季度因为单体涨减修等, 包括海外需求回暖等因素迎来了一波涨幅但是在3月末这个价格又开始小幅的往下回调那么整个多金龟的行业价格也是从1月份到现在是不断的在一个下行的一个区间当中这个也是在从批行 整体还是算是维持一个平稳运行的状态那么公司在2023年呢整体的这个工业规产能呢是达到了这个122万吨 ...

股 票 研 究 [Table_industryInfo] 基础化工/原材料 [ Table_Main[合ITnaf 盛bol]e 硅_Ti业tle]( 603260) [评Tab级le_：Inv est] 增持 上次评级： 增持 业绩符合预期，龙头光伏产业链完善 目标价格： 68.25 上次预测： 68.25 公 ——合盛硅业23年&24Q1业绩点评 当前价格： 48.35 司 钟浩(分析师) 陈传双(研究助理) 2024.05.01 更 021-38038445 021-38676675 [交Ta易bl数e_M据a rket] 新 zhonghao027638@gtjas.com chenchuanshuang027603@gtjas.com 证书编号 S0880522120008 S0880123060038 52周内股价区间（元） 43.67-73.40 报 总市值（百万元） 57,160 告 本报告导读： 总股本/流通A股（百万股） 1,182/1,074 流通 B股/H股（百万股） 0/0 公司产业链全面布局，延伸多晶硅、光伏玻璃、电池片、组件等光伏产业链产品，24 流通股比例 91% 年多晶硅放量 ...

[Table_Header] 公司点评●化工行业 2024年 4月 30日 [Table_Title] [Table_StockCode] “双硅”价差回落拖累业绩，静待行业 合盛硅业（603260.SH） [Table_InvestRank] 景气修复 推荐 （维持评级） 核心观点： 分析师 [⚫T able事_S件um 公ma司ry发] 布 2023 年度报告和 2024 年一季报，2023 年公司实现营业收入 [任Ta文b坡le_ Authors] 265.84 亿元，同比增长 12.37%；归母净利润 26.23 亿元，同比下降 49.05%。 2024年一季度实现营业收入 54.16亿元，同比下降 5.46%；归母净利润 5.28亿 ：010-80927675 元，同比下降 47.36%。 ：renwenpo_yj@chinastock.com.cn ⚫ 工业硅、有机硅价差同比回落拖累 2023 年及 24Q1 业绩 2023 年随着公司工 分析师登记编号：S0130520080001 业硅、有机硅新增产能达产，公司工业硅、有机硅销量保持良好增长。2023年 公司实现工业硅销量 101.71 万 ...

注2：自用量分别为工业硅12.90万吨、110生胶1.75万吨、107胶0.81万吨、环体硅 氧烷12.82万吨、气相法白炭黑0.29万吨。 证券代码：603260 证券简称：合盛硅业 公告编号：2024-043 合盛硅业股份有限公司 2024年第一季度主要经营数据公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或 者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 根据上海证券交易所《上海证券交易所上市公司自律监管指引第3号行业信息披 露：第十三号——化工》及相关要求，合盛硅业股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"） 现将2024年第一季度主要经营数据披露如下： 注1：上述销售量为全部对外销售数量，未包含公司自用量。 主要产品 2024年一季度 2024年一季度 2024年一季度 生产量（吨） 销售量（吨） 销售金额（万元） 工业硅 436,796.19 169,562.99 225,640.98 110生胶 121,335.67 98,033.55 129,975.67 107胶 79,732.44 65,354.76 86,525.41 混炼胶 22,157.57 20,230 ...

证券代码： 603260 证券简称：合盛硅业 公告编号：2024-042 合盛硅业股份有限公司 2023年度主要经营数据公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 根据上海证券交易所《上海证券交易所上市公司自律监管指引第3号行业信 息披露：第十三号——化工》及相关要求，合盛硅业股份有限公司（以下简称 "公司"）现将2023年度主要经营数据披露如下： | 主要产品 | 2023年 1-12 月 | 2023年1-12月 | 2023年 1-12 月 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 生产量（吨） | 销售量（吨） | 销售金额（万元） | | 工业硅 | 1,355,004.64 | 1,017,084.64 | 1,358,822.99 | | 110生胶 | 396,081.73 | 341,479.71 | 439,032.47 | | 107胶 | 329,831.32 | 305,789.63 | 403,712.96 | | 混炼胶 | 82,916.01 | 93,012.2 ...

Financial Performance - Revenue for the first quarter of 2024 was RMB 5,415,872,264.25, a decrease of 5.46% year-over-year[4] - Net profit attributable to shareholders of the listed company was RMB 527,835,068.25, a decrease of 47.36% year-over-year[4] - Basic earnings per share (EPS) were RMB 0.45, a decrease of 48.28% year-over-year[4] - The decrease in net profit was primarily due to a decline in product sales prices[8] - Total revenue for Q1 2024 was 5,415,872,264.25 RMB, a decrease from 5,728,645,197.37 RMB in Q1 2023[18] - Net profit for Q1 2024 was 520,083,676.42 RMB, down from 995,991,605.91 RMB in Q1 2023[19] - Operating profit for Q1 2024 was 739,059,556.79 RMB, compared to 1,307,240,764.53 RMB in Q1 2023[19] - Basic earnings per share (EPS) for Q1 2024 was 0.45 RMB, down from 0.87 RMB in Q1 2023[20] - Total comprehensive income for Q1 2024 was 525,732,978.28 RMB, compared to 991,514,297.10 RMB in Q1 2023[20] - Sales revenue from goods and services in Q1 2024 was 2,571,478,113.14, a decrease from 3,291,442,046.39 in Q1 2023[21] Assets and Liabilities - Total assets increased by 7.76% to RMB 89,809,503,039.45 compared to the end of the previous year[5] - Total assets increased to RMB 89.809 billion as of March 31, 2024, up from RMB 83.344 billion at the end of 2023[15][16] - Inventory rose to RMB 9.386 billion, a significant increase from RMB 7.148 billion at the end of 2023[15] - Short-term borrowings decreased to RMB 6.704 billion from RMB 7.118 billion at the end of 2023[16] - Accounts payable increased to RMB 15.715 billion, up from RMB 13.722 billion at the end of 2023[16] - Long-term borrowings slightly decreased to RMB 23.380 billion from RMB 23.510 billion at the end of 2023[16] - Total liabilities as of Q1 2024 were 57,275,756,143.84 RMB, up from 50,921,033,016.62 RMB in the previous year[17] - Total equity as of Q1 2024 was 32,533,746,895.61 RMB, slightly higher than 32,423,013,917.33 RMB in the previous year[17] - The company's total current assets increased to RMB 16.952 billion from RMB 14.125 billion at the end of 2023[15] Cash Flow - The company's cash flow from operating activities was negative at RMB -2,594,198,652.50[4] - Net cash flow from operating activities in Q1 2024 was -2,594,198,652.50, compared to -1,265,258,172.42 in Q1 2023[21] - Cash received from investment activities in Q1 2024 was 644,149,713.91, down from 747,410,469.75 in Q1 2023[21] - Cash outflow for investment activities in Q1 2024 was 1,240,368,691.44, significantly lower than 6,463,546,133.84 in Q1 2023[22] - Net cash flow from financing activities in Q1 2024 was 3,236,084,731.37, compared to 11,708,370,783.45 in Q1 2023[22] - Cash and cash equivalents at the end of Q1 2024 were 1,080,401,631.36, down from 6,546,573,608.77 in Q1 2023[22] - Cash paid for the purchase of fixed assets, intangible assets, and other long-term assets in Q1 2024 was 1,057,818,182.80, a decrease from 3,776,662,132.35 in Q1 2023[22] - Cash received from borrowing in Q1 2024 was 2,210,500,000.00, compared to 8,424,000,000.00 in Q1 2023[22] - Cash paid for debt repayment in Q1 2024 was 1,452,689,189.81, down from 3,691,180,000.00 in Q1 2023[22] - Net increase in cash and cash equivalents in Q1 2024 was 46,111,318.98, compared to 4,724,191,215.86 in Q1 2023[22] Shareholder Information - The company's largest shareholder, Ningbo Hesheng Group Co., Ltd., holds 46.24% of the shares, with 255,346,100 shares pledged[10] - The top 10 shareholders collectively hold a significant portion of the company's shares, with the top three holding 46.24%, 16.28%, and 15.18% respectively[10] - The company's repurchase account held 7,848,018 shares, representing 0.66% of the total shares[12] - China Industrial and Commercial Bank Co., Ltd. - Huatai-PineBridge CSI 300 ETF's initial stock lending balance was 349,300 shares, with a final balance of 36,500 shares[13] - Zefeng Ruixi Private Securities Fund Management (Guangdong) Co., Ltd. - Zefeng Ruiqiyunmen No. 11 Private Securities Investment Fund held 3,080,000 shares through a margin account[12] - Zhuhai Abama Asset Management Co., Ltd. - Abama Wanxiang Fanghua No. 1 Private Securities Investment Fund held 3,212,168 shares through a margin account[12] Expenses and Returns - The weighted average return on equity (ROE) decreased by 1.83 percentage points to 1.63%[5] - Non-recurring gains and losses included government subsidies of RMB 11,332,495.25 and losses from disposal of non-current assets of RMB -8,073,014.59[6] - R&D expenses for Q1 2024 were 137,649,040.06 RMB, a decrease from 171,888,485.17 RMB in Q1 2023[19] - Financial expenses for Q1 2024 were 171,078,467.33 RMB, up from 111,226,501.49 RMB in Q1 2023[19]