证券研究报告 合盛硅业 (603260 CH) Q2 盈利承压下行，工业硅景气待复苏 2025 年 8 月 28 日│中国内地 化学原料 合盛硅业于 8 月 27 日发布 25H1 半年度报告：上半年实现营收 97.8 亿元， 同比-26%，归母净利润-4.0 亿元，同比-141%，扣非净利润-5.3 亿元，同 比-159%；其中 Q2 实现归母净利润-6.7 亿元，同比-246%/环比-353%，扣 Q2 工业硅量价承压较大，硅橡胶销量环比减少 工业硅方面，受下游需求端的多晶硅/有机硅开工下降以及行业高库存影响， Q2 销量同比-47%/环比-17%至 21.5 万吨，营收同比-66%/环比-35%至 15.7 亿元，H1 工业硅毛利率同比-15pct 至 14.6%。有机硅方面，二季度行业整 体实施减产稳价，Q2 硅橡胶销量同比-15%/环比-6%至 16.3 万吨，硅橡胶 营收同比-23%/环比-11%至 18.3 亿元，原料工业硅、氯甲烷价格下跌支撑 毛利率维稳，H1 有机硅毛利率同比+1pct 至 17.4%。公司 25H1 计提存货 减值损失 1.68 亿元。子公司西部合盛/中部合盛/东部合盛/新 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company faced operational pressure in the first half of 2025 due to challenges in the industrial silicon, organic silicon, and photovoltaic industries, resulting in a decline in performance despite a significant increase in cash flow from operating activities [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 9.775 billion yuan, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of -397 million yuan, indicating a decline influenced by economic fluctuations and product price drops [1] - The net cash flow from operating activities reached 3.524 billion yuan, a substantial year-on-year increase of 1987.93% [1][8] Group 2: Organic Silicon Business - Despite rapid price declines in organic silicon reaching historical lows, the industry’s overall gross profit margin remained stable due to synchronized declines in raw material costs and product prices [2] - The company is expected to benefit from a recovery in organic silicon prices, with the domestic DMC industry operating rate projected to rise from 67% in 2024 to 76% in 2025 and 83% in 2026 [2] Group 3: Industrial Silicon Business - The company, as the largest producer of industrial silicon in China, is enhancing product quality and reducing production costs through optimized resource allocation and increased self-sufficiency [4] - The industrial silicon market is anticipated to recover as high-energy capacity exits the market, with prices expected to stabilize within a reasonable range [4] Group 4: Silicon Carbide Business - The company is extending its silicon-based new materials industry chain, focusing on silicon carbide as a new growth point, with significant advancements in production processes and product quality [5][6] - The company has achieved a crystal yield of over 95% for 6-inch silicon carbide substrates and is progressing well with 8-inch and 12-inch substrates [5] Group 5: Future Outlook - The company is optimistic about the second half of 2025, with stable organic silicon market capacity and strong demand in emerging sectors such as new energy vehicles and 5G technology [7] - The company is well-positioned to navigate industry challenges due to its comprehensive business chain and significant cash flow, which is expected to support operations during market downturns [8]

Core Viewpoint - Despite facing operational pressure in the industrial silicon, organic silicon, and photovoltaic sectors, the company achieved a revenue of 9.775 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, although it reported a net profit of -397 million yuan due to price declines influenced by economic fluctuations and supply-demand mismatches [1] Group 1: Organic Silicon Business - The organic silicon prices have rapidly declined to historical lows, but the simultaneous decrease in raw material costs and product prices has prevented a significant drop in the industry's overall gross profit margin [2] - As a leading player in the organic silicon sector, the company is expected to accelerate its profit rebound due to anticipated price recovery and improved supply-demand dynamics [2] - The company's organic silicon business generated a revenue of 4.662 billion yuan in the first half of the year, with a gross margin of 17.36%, an increase of 1 percentage point year-on-year [2] Group 2: Industrial Silicon Business - The company is positioned to benefit from industry consolidation and efficiency improvements as high-energy-consuming capacities are phased out [4] - The company has optimized its resource allocation and increased its self-supply ratio, enhancing product quality and reducing production costs [4] - Industrial silicon prices have begun to rebound after hitting a low in early June, with expectations for a gradual recovery in the second half of the year as supply-demand conditions improve [4] Group 3: Silicon Carbide Business - The company is extending its silicon-based new materials industry chain, positioning silicon carbide products as a new growth point [5] - The company has mastered the core technologies across the entire silicon carbide production chain, achieving leading domestic product yields and competitive technical indicators [6] - The company has successfully developed ultra-pure silicon carbide ceramic powders and high-purity semi-insulating silicon carbide powders, catering to various high-purity and customized powder demands [6] Group 4: Future Outlook - The company anticipates a gradual release of demand in the second half of 2025, driven by stable organic silicon market capacity and ongoing demand from emerging sectors [7] - The photovoltaic industry is undergoing significant adjustments, with government interventions expected to help restore healthy development, positively impacting the upstream industrial silicon market [7] - The company has a robust cash flow position, significantly outperforming comparable companies, which is crucial for navigating the industry's downturn [8]

Core Viewpoint - The company's performance in the first half of 2025 was below market expectations, primarily due to declining prices and low operating rates in its main products [1] Group 1: Company Performance - In 1H25, the company achieved revenue of 9.776 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 26.34% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was -397 million yuan, a year-on-year decline of 140.60%, resulting in an earnings per share of -0.34 yuan [1] - In Q2 2025, the company reported revenue of 4.548 billion yuan and a net profit of -657 million yuan [1] Group 2: Production and Pricing Trends - In Q2 2025, the production of industrial silicon was 303,000 tons, down 39% year-on-year, while the production of cyclic siloxane was 95,000 tons, down 34% year-on-year [1] - The average prices for industrial silicon and cyclic siloxane fell by 36.2% and 5.2% year-on-year, respectively [1] Group 3: Industry Outlook - The organic silicon price has been fluctuating, with expectations for supply-demand balance to gradually improve in 2025-26 [2] - The organic silicon industry capacity is projected to reach 6.89 million tons by the end of 2024, with 1.2 million tons of new capacity added in 2024 [2] - Due to deteriorating profitability, new capacity additions in 2025 are expected to slow significantly, with minimal new capacity anticipated [2] - Despite pressure on real estate demand, the demand for organic silicon in lithium battery and photovoltaic applications has seen a compound annual growth rate of 14% over the past five years, with a projected growth rate of 5-10% for 2025 [2] Group 4: Price and Demand Dynamics - The industrial silicon average price has declined by 23% to 10,055 yuan per ton in 2025, following a 15% drop in 2024 [3] - Industrial silicon production capacity increased by 3.7% year-on-year to 7.55 million tons, while production fell by 17.6% to 2.18 million tons, indicating a significant drop in industry operating rates [3] - The demand for polysilicon, a major downstream product, has been under pressure, with production from January to July 2025 down 42.5% year-on-year [3] Group 5: Profit Forecast and Valuation - The industry outlook remains bleak, leading to a downward revision of profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 by 45% and 27%, respectively, to 1.07 billion and 2.56 billion yuan [4] - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings ratio of 58 and 25 times for 2025 and 2026, respectively [4] - The target price has been reduced by 8% to 60 yuan, with an expected upside of 13% from the current stock price based on a 28 times price-to-earnings ratio for 2026 [4]

证券代码：603260 证券简称：合盛硅业 公告编号：2025-054 合盛硅业股份有限公司 第四届董事会第八次会议决议公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 本议案已经董事会审计委员会审议通过，同意提交董事会审议。 具 体 内 容 详 见 公 司 于 2025 年 8 月 28 日 披 露 于 上 海 证 券 交 易 所 网 站 （http://www.sse.com.cn/）及指定信息披露媒体的《合盛硅业关于 2025 年半年度 计提资产减值准备的公告》。 表决结果：9 票赞成、0 票反对、0 票弃权、0 票回避。 根据《公司法》及中国证监会发布的《关于新 <公司法> 配套制度规则实施 相关过渡期安排》《上市公司章程指引（2025 年修订）》等法律、法规和规范 性文件要求，并结合公司的实际情况，公司决定不再设置监事会，监事会的职权 由董事会审计委员会行使，公司《监事会议事规则》等监事会相关制度相应废止。 公司同步修订《公司章程》，并授权公司管理层具体办理章程修改、工商变更登 记备案等相关手续。 一、董事会会议 ...

证券代码：603260 证券简称：合盛硅业 公告编号：2025-057 二、股份过户情况 公司近日收到合盛集团提供的由中国证券登记结算有限责任公司上海分公 司出具的《证券过户登记确认书》，获悉上述协议转让股份已办理完成过户登记 手续。 本次过户前后，双方持股变动情况如下： 合盛硅业股份有限公司 关于控股股东协议转让公司部分股份过户完成的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 合盛硅业股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"或 "合盛硅业"）近日收到控股 股东宁波合盛集团有限公司（以下简称"合盛集团"）提供的由中国证券登记结 算有限责任公司上海分公司出具的《证券过户登记确认书》，获悉合盛集团通 过协议转让方式将持有的 60,000,000 股无限售流通股转让给肖秀艮的事宜已 办理完成过户登记手续，现将具体情况公告如下： 一、协议转让前期基本情况 合盛集团于 2025 年 7 月 16 日与肖秀艮签署了《合盛硅业股份有限公司之股 份转让协议》，拟将持有的 60,000,000 股无限售流通股（占公司总股本的 5.08%） 以协 ...

证券代码：603260 证券简称：合盛硅业 公告编号：2025-055 合盛硅业股份有限公司 第四届监事会第七次会议决议公告 本公司监事会及全体监事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 一、监事会会议召开情况 具 体 内 容 详 见 公 司 于 2025 年 8 月 28 日 披 露 于 上 海 证 券 交 易 所 网 站 （http://www.sse.com.cn/）及指定信息披露媒体的《合盛硅业2025年半年度报告》 及摘要。 表决结果：3票赞成、0票反对、0票弃权、0票回避。 具 体 内 容 详 见 公 司 于 2025 年 8 月 28 日 披 露 于 上 海 证 券 交 易 所 网 站 （http://www.sse.com.cn/）及指定信息披露媒体的《合盛硅业关于2025年半年度 计提资产减值准备的公告》。 表决结果：3票赞成、0票反对、0票弃权、0票回避。 根据《公司法》及中国证监会发布的《关于新 <公司法> 配套制度规则实施 相关过渡期安排》《上市公司章程指引（2025 年修订）》等法律、法规和规范 性文件要求，并结合 ...

格隆汇8月27日丨合盛硅业(603260.SH)披露半年报，2025年上半年，公司实现营业收入为97.75亿元，同 比下降26.34%；归母净利润-3.97亿元，去年同期净利润9.78亿元，同比由盈转亏；基本每股收益-0.34 元。报告期内，公司主要产品工业硅销售价格下降，光伏板块停工损失和计提存货跌价准备等综合影 响。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company faced operational pressure in the first half of 2025 due to challenges in the industrial silicon, organic silicon, and photovoltaic sectors, resulting in a decline in performance despite a significant increase in cash flow from operating activities [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 9.775 billion yuan, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of -397 million yuan, indicating a decline in performance due to economic fluctuations and supply-demand mismatches [1] - The net cash flow from operating activities reached 3.524 billion yuan, representing a substantial year-on-year increase of 1987.93% [1][8] Group 2: Organic Silicon Business - Despite rapid price declines in organic silicon, the industry’s overall gross profit margin remained stable due to synchronized declines in raw material costs and product prices, suggesting a potential price recovery [2] - The company is expected to benefit from a rebound in profitability as the organic silicon industry is projected to improve, with operating rates increasing from 67% in 2024 to 76% in 2025 and 83% in 2026 [2] Group 3: Industrial Silicon Business - The company, as the largest producer of industrial silicon in China, is enhancing product quality and reducing production costs through optimized resource allocation and increased self-sufficiency [4] - The industrial silicon market is anticipated to recover as high-energy capacity exit policies are expected to drive industry consolidation, with prices showing signs of recovery after hitting a low in June [4] Group 4: Silicon Carbide Business - The company is extending its silicon-based materials industry chain, focusing on silicon carbide as a new growth point, with significant advancements in production capabilities and product quality [5] - The company has achieved a crystal yield of over 95% for 6-inch silicon carbide substrates and is progressing well with 8-inch and 12-inch substrates [5][6] Group 5: Future Outlook - The company is optimistic about the second half of 2025, with stable organic silicon market capacity and strong demand in emerging sectors such as new energy vehicles and 5G technology [7] - The company’s comprehensive cash flow management and ability to issue bonds for long-term funding are expected to strengthen its position during industry downturns [8]

Group 1: Company Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 9.775 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 26.34% due to losses in the photovoltaic sector and inventory write-downs [1] - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders was -397 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 140.60%, marking a shift from profit to loss compared to the same period last year [1] - Despite the losses, the company's operating cash flow net amount reached 3.524 billion yuan, a significant year-on-year increase of 1,987.93% [1] Group 2: Industry Trends and Challenges - The overall demand for industrial silicon is weak, leading to low operating rates for polysilicon and a downward trend in prices, creating a negative feedback loop of "high inventory - low prices - weak demand" across the industry [2] - In the first half of 2025, domestic industrial silicon capacity was approximately 1.85 million tons, with new capacity in the northwest filling the gap during the southwest's dry season, but high inventory levels continued to push prices down [2] - The polysilicon production volume decreased by 44% year-on-year due to inventory accumulation and self-discipline in production limits within the photovoltaic industry [2] Group 3: Policy and Strategic Responses - A recent meeting by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology aimed to regulate competition in the photovoltaic industry, with agreements among several silicon material companies on production cuts and sales volume control [3] - The company plans to focus on the progress of the photovoltaic industry's "anti-involution" measures and changes in polysilicon operating rates, as well as the demand from emerging industries for organic silicon [3] - The company has implemented several "anti-involution" strategies, including optimizing production processes and enhancing digital transformation to improve efficiency and reduce energy consumption [4] Group 4: Research and Development Initiatives - The company has made significant advancements in new downstream products, including amino silicone oil and silicone emulsions, which meet international standards and cater to the textile and cosmetics industries [5] - The company is actively developing new products in the organic silicon sector, with a focus on applications in electric vehicle battery sealing, 5G base station cooling, and medical-grade silicone [5] - The company has achieved a leading position in the domestic carbon silicon industry, with a 95% yield for 6-inch carbon silicon substrates and ongoing development of 8-inch and 12-inch substrates [6]