Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting the stock price to outperform the industry index by more than 15% in the next six months [5]. Core Views - The company's profitability is under pressure, primarily due to declining product prices and a challenging market environment. However, there is anticipation for a cyclical recovery in the industry and expansion of the company's new production capacity [9][11]. - The company reported a slight increase in revenue for 2024, reaching 26,692 million yuan, a year-on-year growth of 0.41%. However, the net profit attributable to the parent company fell by 33.64% to 1,740 million yuan [1][2]. - The company is actively adjusting its production capacity structure and has made progress in key investment projects, which is expected to enhance operational efficiency and reduce costs [10][11]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue and Profitability**: - 2024 revenue is projected at 26,692 million yuan, with a growth rate of 0.4%. The net profit is expected to decline to 1,740 million yuan, a decrease of 33.6% [1]. - The net profit margin for 2024 is 6.38%, down 3.34 percentage points from the previous year [2]. - **Cash Flow**: - The net cash flow from operating activities for 2024 is reported at 4,517 million yuan, a significant increase of 671.63% year-on-year [3]. - **Cost Structure**: - Financial expenses increased by 57.12% year-on-year, primarily due to higher borrowing costs. Selling expenses rose by 34.05%, and management expenses increased by 10.10% [2]. Market and Product Insights - The average prices for the company's main products, including industrial silicon and silicone rubber, have shown a downward trend, with industrial silicon prices decreasing by 16.36% year-on-year [4]. - The company is expected to benefit from a slight recovery in industrial silicon export prices in 2025 due to easing U.S. tariffs, although overall pricing pressure is anticipated to remain [4][9]. Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 27,888 million yuan, 31,217 million yuan, and 33,447 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 1,785 million yuan, 2,741 million yuan, and 3,371 million yuan [11]. - The report highlights the company's ongoing efforts to extend its downstream industrial chain and improve production efficiency, which are expected to enhance its financial performance in the future [11].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 62 CNY per share [2][8]. Core Views - The company is expected to recover as the industry is at the bottom of the cycle, with organic silicon likely to recover first [2][8]. - The company achieved a revenue of 26.692 billion CNY in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 0.41%, but the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 33.64% to 1.740 billion CNY [2][8]. - The first quarter of 2025 showed a revenue of 5.228 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 3.47%, with a net profit of 260 million CNY, down 50.81% year-on-year [2][8]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the total revenue is projected at 26.692 billion CNY, with a year-on-year growth rate of 0.4% [4]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 1.740 billion CNY, reflecting a significant decline of 33.6% [4]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is estimated at 1.47 CNY, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 35 [4]. - The company’s gross margin is projected to be 20.5% in 2024, with a net margin of 6.4% [4]. Industry Outlook - The industrial silicon sector is expected to see a recovery, with the company maintaining a cost advantage due to its self-sufficient power generation [8]. - The company is expanding its production capacity, including projects in Xinjiang and Yunnan, which are expected to enhance growth potential once the industry rebounds [8]. - The report anticipates that the organic silicon market will see price increases due to supply-demand optimization, with limited new capacity expected in the coming years [8].

证券代码：603260 证券简称：合盛硅业 公告编号：2025-035 合盛硅业股份有限公司 关于控股股东部分股份质押的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 截至本公告日，合盛硅业股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）控股股东宁波 合盛集团有限公司（以下简称"合盛集团"）直接持有公司546,647,073股股份， 占公司总股本的46.24%。本次质押后，合盛集团累计质押股份为270,190,100股， 占其所持股份比例的49.43%，占公司总股本比例的22.85%。 三、 其他情况说明 截至本公告日，合盛集团及其一致行动人罗立国、罗燚、罗烨栋合计直接持 有公司股份929,105,229股，占公司总股本的78.59%。本次质押后，合盛集团及其 一致行动人罗立国、罗燚、罗烨栋直接持有的公司股份中处于质押状态的股份累 计数为461,918,200股，占其合计所持公司股份总数的49.72%，占公司总股本的 39.07%。 公司于近日接到控股股东合盛集团关于其所持部分公司股份办理质押业务 的通知，具体事项如下： ...

2025.05. 13 "目前头部硅料企业已基本达成共识。"第一财经记者今日另从某头部硅料厂获悉，共识的第一步是减 产，最头部的企业要大幅减产以实现硅料库存的去化。第二步是产能的去化，目前的基本思路是以收 买的方式实现尾部产能的去化。"资金方面，前期需要金融企业来提供很大一部分的资金支持，通过 未来的利润来实现金融企业的退出。" 微信编辑 | 小羊 本文字数：674，阅读时长大约2分钟 推荐阅读 作者 | 第一财经 陆如意 "降低30%至80%"，特朗普突然宣布降价！ 据光伏产业内人士分析，当前的多晶硅（硅料）环节处在"6+N"的产业格局中。6是六家头部公司， 分别为通威股份产能82万吨、协鑫科技48万吨、新特能源30万吨、大全能源30万吨、东方希望25.5 万吨、亚洲硅业22万吨，合计236万吨的硅料产能；N则代表硅料产业环节剩余所有公司，数量众多 但占据总和市场份额较小，有一定代表性的为青海利豪、合盛硅业、新疆晶诺、新疆其亚、宝丰能 源、宁夏润阳、固阳东方日升、固阳弘元绿能、天弘瑞科、青海南玻等。 上述光伏产业内分析人士认为，硅料环节6家头部公司的产品有效交付量至少占据行业需求75%以 上，硅料产业环节剩 ...

插播： 英诺赛科、能华半导体、致能半导体、京东 方 华 灿 光 电 、 镓 奥 科 技 、 鸿 成 半 导 体 、 中 科 无 线 半 导 体 等 已 确 认 参 编 《 2024-2025 氮 化 镓 （GaN）产业调研白皮书》，参编咨询请联系许若冰（hangjiashuo999）。 近期，国内有3家碳化硅企业透露了8英寸进展，量产化进程明显加快： 重投天科： 6&8吋产品已推向市场 目前，合盛硅业 已完整掌握了碳化硅材料的原料合成、晶体生长、衬底加工以及晶片外延等全产 业链核心工艺技术，突破了关键材料（多孔石墨、涂层材料）和装备的技术壁垒，碳化硅产品良率处于国 内企业领先水平，在关键技术指标方面已追赶上国际龙头企业水平。 值得关注的是，今年3月，重投天科与 深重投集团旗下 深圳市鹏进高科技有限公司等公司开 展合作，将携手攻关基于8英寸 外延片 的功率器件工艺开发，外延片缺陷控制、厚度均匀性优 化以及器件在新能源、电动汽车等领域的应用验证。 资料显示，重投天科 聚焦于碳化硅衬底和外延的研发、生产和销售，是北京天科合达半导体股份 有限公司 和市属国企 深重投集团 两家企业为主要股东合资成立的半导体企业，技术来 ...

2024年，合盛硅业实现营业收入266.92亿元，同比增长0.41%；实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润17.40 亿元，同比下降33.64%。 罗立国认为，2025年有机硅行业展现出广阔发展前景，新兴领域或成为核心增长驱动力，增长动能来自 逐步取代传统石油基材料及新兴应用场景拓展。具体来看，室温胶和高温胶受新能源市场需求驱动；液 体胶和硅树脂虽下游分散，但因新应用场景拓展而需求增长迅速。 在回答投资者有关工业硅2025年一季度期末库存和停产计划相关问题时，公司董事兼财务总监张雅聪表 示，公司工业硅2025年度一季度期末维持在一个月左右的库存水平。"公司始终灵活应对市场的各种变 动，紧密关注下游客户需求以及行业变化情况，结合公司经营计划，科学合理组织生产经营工作。" "2025年，晶硅光伏产业链启动行业自律措施，主动调整产能，铝合金和有机硅领域需求持续增长，预 计工业硅需求端增速将有所放缓。另外，根据行业周期规律，本轮有机硅行业扩产周期已近尾声，市场 已逐步消化新增产能，行业阶段性供需错配正趋向平衡，且受益于新能源、5G、特高压等新兴产业高 速发展，预计2025年有机硅行业需求有望保持较高增速。" 谈及公司202 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Views - The silicon industry chain is experiencing a downturn, with the company’s performance under pressure, awaiting recovery [5][8]. - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 26.69 billion yuan, a year-on-year change of +0.4%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.74 billion yuan, a year-on-year change of -33.6% [5][8]. - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 5.23 billion yuan, a year-on-year change of -3.5% and a quarter-on-quarter change of -17.3% [5][8]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 4.5 yuan for every 10 yuan to all shareholders, totaling 530 million yuan [5][8]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company’s revenue was 26.69 billion yuan, with a net profit of 1.74 billion yuan, reflecting a significant decline in profitability [5][8]. - Q1 2025 results showed a revenue of 5.23 billion yuan and a net profit of 260 million yuan, indicating a continued decline in earnings [5][8]. - The average prices for key products in 2024 were 11,175 yuan for industrial silicon, 12,405 yuan for silicone oil, 10,013 yuan for silicone rubber, and 13,000 yuan for cyclic siloxane, with overall price declines observed [8]. Industry Outlook - The silicon industry is expected to stabilize and recover in 2025, driven by demand growth in the photovoltaic sector and ongoing adjustments in supply and demand dynamics [8]. - The company is positioned as a leading player in the silicon-based new materials industry, with significant production capacity and a focus on cost advantages [8]. - The company is actively optimizing its operations and enhancing efficiency through technological innovations, which is expected to support its competitive position in the market [8]. Future Projections - The company’s net profit is projected to reach 1.79 billion yuan in 2025, 2.36 billion yuan in 2026, and 2.91 billion yuan in 2027 [8].

以下文章来源于证券之星 ，作者陆雯燕 证券之星 . 证券之星始创于1996年，是国内领先的金融信息及综合服务平台。关注证券之星，即时获取有价值的财经资讯。 来源|证券之星 作者|陆雯燕 连续两年增收不增利后，合盛硅业(603260.SH)仍未摆脱业绩颓势。2024年年报显示，合盛硅业继续深陷增收降利窘境。今年一季度，公司更是出 现营收、利润双降局面，其归母净利润同比"腰斩"。产品跌价是业绩持续滑坡的主要因素之一。 证券之星注意到，合盛硅业行业下行期的激进扩张正遭到反噬，存货高企引发的巨额减值侵蚀了利润空间。截至今年一季度末，合盛硅业在建工程占 总资产的近四成，长短期债务合计近298亿元，短债压力尤为突出，资金缺口已超百亿。实控人家族多次"输血"难解资金困扰，反而导致近半持股数 被质押。在公司资金链紧绷时，合盛硅业2024年仍派发现金红利5.28亿元，其中有近八成流入实控人家族口袋。 01 业绩下滑阴霾不散 资料显示，合盛硅业的主要产品包括工业硅、有机硅和多晶硅产品三大类，是我国硅基新材料行业中业务链最完整、生产规模最大的企业之一。截至 2024年末，公司工业硅产能122万吨/年，有机硅单体产能173万吨/年。 ...

截至4月29日收盘，有机硅概念上涨2.09%，位居概念板块涨幅第10，板块内，33股上涨，中旗新材、 三孚股份等涨停，华密新材、祥源新材、硅宝科技等涨幅居前，分别上涨7.92%、6.97%、6.92%。跌幅 居前的有ST宏达、合盛硅业、富祥药业等，分别下跌5.13%、2.62%、2.09%。 今日涨跌幅居前的概念板块 资金面上看，今日有机硅概念板块获主力资金净流入1.42亿元，其中，14股获主力资金净流入，5股主 力资金净流入超千万元，净流入资金居首的是三孚股份，今日主力资金净流入5601.19万元，净流入资 金居前的还有宜安科技、硅宝科技、中旗新材等，主力资金分别净流入5580.10万元、5187.51万元、 2790.55万元。 资金流入比率方面，三孚股份、恒星科技、宜安科技等流入比率居前，主力资金净流入率分别为 27.30%、13.89%、12.13%。（数据宝） 有机硅概念资金流入榜 | 代码 | 简称 | 今日涨跌幅 | 今日换手率 | 主力资金流量（万 | 主力资金净流入比率 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | （%） | （%） | 元） ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for the stock price over the next six months [6]. Core Views - The company is experiencing pressure on profitability due to low prices in the industrial silicon and organic silicon markets, with a projected revenue of 26.692 billion yuan in 2024, a slight increase of 0.41% year-on-year, but a significant decline in net profit by 33.64% to 1.740 billion yuan [1][3]. - The industrial silicon sector shows strong production and sales performance, with a production increase of over 25% to 4.71 million tons in 2024, despite low pricing, which has decreased by 16.36% year-on-year to an average selling price of 11,174 yuan per ton [2]. - The organic silicon market is stabilizing, with demand supported by sectors like new energy and home appliances, while the supply side is expected to improve as new capacity releases slow down [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 26.692 billion yuan, with a net profit of 1.740 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 33.64% [1]. - The first quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 5.228 billion yuan, down 3.47% year-on-year, and a net profit of 260 million yuan, a decrease of 50.81% year-on-year [1]. Industrial Silicon - The industrial silicon market is characterized by increased production and sales, with a total output of 471,000 tons in 2024, a year-on-year increase of over 25% [2]. - Exports of industrial silicon rose by 27% to 720,000 tons, driven by recovering overseas demand [2]. - The average selling price for industrial silicon has decreased significantly, impacting overall profitability [2]. Organic Silicon - The organic silicon sector is expected to see improved supply-demand dynamics as new capacity additions slow down, despite current pricing pressures leading to losses in the industry [3]. - Demand remains stable, particularly in the new energy and home appliance sectors, although the real estate sector shows weakness [3]. Profit Forecast - The profit forecast has been adjusted, with expected net profits for 2025-2027 projected at 1.744 billion, 2.394 billion, and 3.284 billion yuan respectively, reflecting a recovery trend [3].