Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [8] Core Views - The company reported a Q1 revenue of 2.638 billion RMB, representing a year-on-year increase of 41.83% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 21.45%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 270 million RMB, up 28.79% year-on-year but down 37.25% quarter-on-quarter, with the decline attributed to annual price negotiations [1][2] - The company is expected to see continued growth in its WCBS products, with new intelligent chassis products like EMB and steer-by-wire anticipated to benefit from the rollout of advanced driver assistance systems [1][2] - The gross margin in Q1 was under pressure, decreasing by 2.3 percentage points to 18.0%, influenced by price negotiations and product mix changes. However, the introduction of higher value-added products is expected to optimize the profit structure [3] - The company has been expanding its global footprint, with new production capacities in Mexico and Morocco, which are expected to support major automotive clients and enhance profitability through scale effects [4] Financial Projections and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 1.51 billion RMB, 1.93 billion RMB, and 2.42 billion RMB for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively. The target price for 2025 is set at 68.97 RMB, based on a PE ratio of 27.7 times [5][9] - Revenue forecasts for the company are 12.74 billion RMB in 2025, 16.29 billion RMB in 2026, and 20.57 billion RMB in 2027, with growth rates of 28.22%, 27.86%, and 26.24% respectively [7][18]

证券研究报告 | 公司动态点评 2025 年 05 月 08 日 伯特利（603596.SH） 1Q25 营收维持高增长，盈利能力短期承压 | 财务指标 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入（百万元） | 7,474 | 9,937 | 12,989 | 16,527 | 21,085 | | 增长率 yoy（%） | 34.9 | 33.0 | 30.7 | 27.2 | 27.6 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 891 | 1,209 | 1,523 | 1,925 | 2,520 | | 增长率 yoy（%） | 27.6 | 35.6 | 26.0 | 26.4 | 30.9 | | ROE（%） | 15.0 | 17.6 | 18.8 | 19.4 | 20.6 | | EPS 最新摊薄（元） | 1.47 | 1.99 | 2.51 | 3.17 | 4.16 | | P/E（倍） | 39.7 | 29.3 | 23.2 | 18.4 | 14.0 | | ...

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial performance in Q1 2025, with significant year-on-year growth in revenue and net profit, driven by multiple product lines and a robust pipeline of new energy projects [1][2]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 2.638 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 41.83% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 270 million yuan, up 28.79% year-on-year [1] - The net profit after deducting non-recurring items was 266 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 38.61% [1] - Main business revenue reached 2.595 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 42.78% [1] Product Line Growth - The company's smart electric control products saw a sales increase of 58.43% year-on-year, becoming the main driver of overall growth [1] - Disc brakes and lightweight braking components experienced year-on-year growth of 36.14% and 23.45%, respectively [1] - The synergy among multiple product lines supported the rapid increase in overall revenue [1] New Energy Project Pipeline - As of Q1 2025, the company had a total of 498 projects under research, new production, and new designated projects, marking a year-on-year increase of 6.41%, 11.76%, and 13.21% respectively [1] - Among these, 393 projects are related to new energy vehicles, aligning with trends in electrification and intelligence, providing ample reserves for future project releases [1] Customer Structure and Market Expansion - The company has served a total of 50 automotive manufacturer clients and is actively optimizing its customer structure [2] - New clients added in 2024 include Ford North America and GAC Toyota [2] - The company’s overseas business is progressing steadily, with exports to the U.S. reaching 339 million yuan, primarily through bases in China and Mexico [2] - The establishment of a stable supply capability from the Mexico factory marks a significant step in the company's international strategy [2] Profit Forecast - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 12.7 billion yuan, 16.1 billion yuan, and 20.1 billion yuan in 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [2] - The projected net profits attributable to shareholders for the same years are 1.56 billion yuan, 2.01 billion yuan, and 2.44 billion yuan [2] - The company is anticipated to experience rapid growth in revenue and net profit, particularly in the fields of online control chassis and robotics [2]

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·汽车零部件 伯特利（603596） 2025 年一季报点评：毛利率或为阶段低点， 看好智能底盘+全球化长期趋势 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 7,474 | 9,937 | 12,918 | 15,500 | 18,376 | | 同比（%） | 34.93 | 32.95 | 30.01 | 19.99 | 18.55 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 891.50 | 1,208.85 | 1,547.19 | 1,881.89 | 2,285.19 | | 同比（%） | 27.57 | 35.60 | 27.99 | 21.63 | 21.43 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 1.47 | 1.99 | 2.55 | 3.10 | 3.77 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 39.20 | 28.91 | 22.59 | 18.57 | 15.29 ...

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·汽车零部件 伯特利（603596） 2025 年一季报点评：毛利率或为阶段低点， 看好智能底盘+全球化长期趋势 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 7,474 | 9,937 | 12,918 | 15,500 | 18,376 | | 同比（%） | 34.93 | 32.95 | 30.01 | 19.99 | 18.55 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 891.50 | 1,208.85 | 1,547.19 | 1,881.89 | 2,285.19 | | 同比（%） | 27.57 | 35.60 | 27.99 | 21.63 | 21.43 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 1.47 | 1.99 | 2.55 | 3.10 | 3.77 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 39.20 | 28.91 | 22.59 | 18.57 | 15.29 ...

线控底盘布局加速，新领域增长潜力大：（1）24 年公司机械转向产品销量288.65万套，同比+23.8%， 万达净利率6.7%，同比+2.3pp，整合成效显著；DP-EPS、R-EPS 转向系统、线控转向系统的研发工作 顺利推进中。（2）在汽车线控底盘的方向上，结合客户项目的具体需求，分步开展线控制动、线控转 向、主动悬架等集成控制的开发工作，已完成空气悬架完成B 样开发验证，底盘系统布局加速。（3） 智能驾驶领域，公司积极推广已有的L2 及L2+级别ADAS 产品的商业化，并在行泊一体化域控制器、 高精地图、智能算法等方面展开研发。 盈利预测与投资建议。预计公司2025-2027 年EPS 分别为2.49/3.27/4.18 元，对应PE 为24/18/14 倍，归母 净利润CAGR 为28%，维持"买入"评级。 风险提示：竞争加剧的风险；新产品推广不及预期的风险；海外市场风险等。 事件：公司发布2025年一季报，25Q1实现营收26.38亿元，同比+41.8%，环比-21.5%；归母净利润2.7亿 元，同比+28.8%，环比-37.3%。 Q1营收增长亮眼，盈利能力有所承压：25Q1 公司主要客户销量实现 ...

2025 年 04 月 30 日 公司点评 买入/维持 伯特利(603596) 目标价: 昨收盘:59.40 智驾平权时代：做强 X 向，做大 Y+Z 向 ◼ 走势比较 (30%) (10%) 10% 30% 50% 70% 24/4/30 24/7/11 24/9/21 24/12/2 25/2/12 25/4/25 ◼ 股票数据 | 总股本/流通(亿股) | 6.07/6.06 | | --- | --- | | 总市值/流通(亿元) | 360.27/360.14 | | 12 个月内最高/最低价 | 67.4/31.75 | | (元) | | 相关研究报告 <<打造一体式底盘域控系统：做强 X 向，做大 Y+Z 向>>--2024-09-03 <<伯特利 2023 年报点评：智能电控 龙头，产能扩张驱动高速成长>>-- 2024-03-31 证券分析师：刘虹辰 电话：010-88321818 E-MAIL：liuhc@tpyzq.com 分析师登记编号：S1190524010002 事件：公司发布 2024 年报&2025 年一季报，2024 年营业收入 99.37 亿元， 同比+32.95%；归母 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" investment rating for the company [5][8]. Core Views - The company reported strong revenue growth in Q1 2025, with revenue reaching 2.638 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 41.83%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 270 million yuan, up 28.79% year-on-year [1][2]. - The sales volume of the intelligent electronic control segment increased significantly, with 1.46 million units sold in Q1 2025, representing a 58% year-on-year growth. The disc brake sales reached 930,000 units, up 36% year-on-year, while lightweight brake components sold 3.44 million units, a 23% increase year-on-year [2]. - The company is positioned as a core player in the next-generation braking technology, with significant progress in EMB regulations and successful development of initial functional samples [3]. - The company is expanding its global customer base and increasing production capacity at its Mexican facility [4]. Financial Summary - The projected net profits for the company from 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 1.5 billion, 2 billion, and 2.7 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 23.5, 17.7, and 13.2 times [5][14]. - The company’s gross margin for Q1 2025 was reported at 17.97%, with a year-on-year decrease of 2.09 percentage points and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 4.24 percentage points [2]. - The company’s total market capitalization is approximately 36.03 billion yuan, with a current share price of 59.40 yuan and a target price of 75.3 yuan for the next six months [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company is progressing smoothly in new business initiatives, aiming to become a supplier of intelligent chassis systems [1] - In 2024, the company expects revenue of 9.937 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 33%, and a net profit of 1.209 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 36% [3] - For Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 2.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 42%, and a net profit of 270 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 29% [1] Financial Performance - The company's revenue for 2024 is projected at 12.619 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 28%, and a net profit of 1.556 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 28.7% [4] - The gross profit margin for Q1 2025 is reported at 18.0%, down 2.8 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The company has a strong order backlog and is expanding its product lines, including electric control steering systems and air suspension systems [3] Market Demand and Expansion - The domestic demand for new energy vehicles in Q1 2025 reached 3.075 million units, a year-on-year increase of 47% [1] - The company is expanding its overseas presence with R&D and production bases in the US and Mexico, which is expected to support future growth [1][2] - The company has successfully developed and validated several new products, including the WCBS 2.0B platform and electric control steering products [3] Profitability Forecast - The company forecasts net profits of 1.556 billion yuan in 2025, 2.0 billion yuan in 2026, and 2.58 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding P/E ratios of 23, 18, and 14 times [3][4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [2][8]. Core Insights - The company has achieved significant growth in its intelligent electronic control business, with a notable increase in revenue and net profit for 2024, driven by core customers' production increases [5][6]. - The integration of chassis systems has shown remarkable progress, with new products and production capacity expected to contribute to a second growth curve for the company [2][5]. - The company has successfully expanded its customer base, adding eight new clients in 2024, which strengthens its growth potential [5][6]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported total revenue of 9.937 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 32.95%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.209 billion yuan, up 35.60% [5][7]. - The revenue breakdown for 2024 shows mechanical braking, intelligent electronic control, and mechanical steering products generating revenues of 4.449 billion yuan, 4.530 billion yuan, and 0.559 billion yuan, respectively [5]. - The company’s gross margin for 2024 was 21.14%, with a slight decrease attributed to the ramp-up of lightweight product capacity [5][10]. Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 13.072 billion yuan, 16.581 billion yuan, and 20.350 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [7][8]. - The expected net profit for the same years is 1.540 billion yuan, 1.957 billion yuan, and 2.451 billion yuan, with corresponding EPS of 2.54 yuan, 3.23 yuan, and 4.04 yuan [8][10]. - The report anticipates a gradual decline in revenue growth rates, projecting 31.56% for 2025, 26.84% for 2026, and 22.73% for 2027 [7][10].