Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the paper and light industry [6] Core Viewpoints - The light manufacturing industry index increased by 3.02%, outperforming the market by 1.02 percentage points, with the paper sub-sector rising by 2.17%, also surpassing the market by 0.16 percentage points [2][13] - The report highlights that the cultural paper sector is entering an off-peak season, leading to a decline in pulp and paper prices [4] - The report recommends leading companies in the integrated forest-pulp-paper industry, such as Sun Paper (002078, Buy), and suggests focusing on leading special paper companies like Xianhe Co. (603733, Buy) and Huawang Technology (605377, Buy) [4] Summary by Sections Market Review - The light manufacturing industry index rose by 3.02%, while the paper sub-sector increased by 2.17%, ranking 9th among 28 first-level industries [2][13][20] Industry Chain Data Tracking - The report notes a decline in wood pulp product prices, with domestic waste prices slightly increasing by 1.5 CNY/ton, while foreign waste prices decreased by 5-10 USD/ton [9][24] - The average market price for finished paper products saw declines: double glue paper down by 38 CNY/ton, copper plate paper down by 45 CNY/ton, and white card paper down by 48 CNY/ton [39][40][42] Profitability Levels - Profitability in cultural paper is diverging, with small paper companies seeing an increase of 25 CNY/ton in double glue paper, while large companies experienced a decrease of 43 CNY/ton [48][49] - The profitability of packaging paper is declining, with white card paper profitability down by 20-48 CNY/ton [48][51] Production Data - The cumulative production of mechanical paper and paperboard in the first quarter of 2025 reached 38.19 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 3.8% [57] - The report indicates that the import volume of paper and paperboard decreased by 8.2% year-on-year, while the export volume increased by 10.7% [57]

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 10.27 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 20.1%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1 billion yuan, up 51.2% year-on-year [1] - The company experienced a decline in net profit in Q4 2024 and Q1 2025, attributed to price decreases and impairment impacts, although there was a marginal improvement in profitability in Q1 2025 [1] - The company’s gross profit margin for 2024 was 15.5%, an increase of 3.8 percentage points, while the net profit margin was 9.8%, up 2 percentage points [1] Revenue and Profit Analysis - In Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 3.01 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 28.6%, but the net profit attributable to shareholders fell to 190 million yuan, down 33.7% [1] - For Q1 2025, revenue was 2.99 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 35.4%, with a net profit of 240 million yuan, down 12.1% [1] - The gross profit margin in Q4 2024 decreased to 12.8%, down 5.2 percentage points, while the net profit margin was 6.2%, down 5.8 percentage points [1] Volume and Price Dynamics - The company achieved a sales volume of 1.223 million tons in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 25.9%, benefiting from capacity release in Hubei and Guangxi projects [2] - The average selling price per ton in 2024 was approximately 8,400 yuan, a decrease of 400 yuan, while the net profit per ton (including investment income) was about 820 yuan, an increase of 140 yuan [2] - It is estimated that the selling price per ton in Q1 2025 will decline compared to 2024 due to market competition [2] Project Developments - The Hubei and Guangxi projects began operations in 2024, with significant production outputs contributing to the company's growth [3] - The Guangxi base produced 100,000 tons of wood pulp and 28,700 tons of specialty paper, while the Hubei base produced 59,800 tons of wood pulp and 93,400 tons of specialty paper [3] - The company plans to expand the Guangxi project in 2025, adding 600,000 tons of pulp and 700,000 tons of specialty paper capacity, enhancing its production capabilities [3] Investment Outlook - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 13.2 billion yuan, 15.4 billion yuan, and 18 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 29%, 16%, and 17% respectively [4] - Projected net profits for the same period are 1.19 billion yuan, 1.38 billion yuan, and 1.59 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year increases of 19%, 16%, and 16% [4] - The company maintains a "buy" rating based on its management and manufacturing advantages, as well as a comprehensive product matrix [4]

Core Viewpoint - The company is set to hold its annual shareholder meeting on May 20, 2025, to discuss various proposals including the confirmation of director and supervisor remuneration for 2024, and to review the annual reports and financial statements for 2024 [3][4][5]. Group 1: Meeting Details - The meeting will take place both in-person and online, with specific voting times outlined for shareholders [3][4]. - The chairman of the board, Wang Minliang, will preside over the meeting, and the company secretary will be responsible for the meeting records [3][4]. Group 2: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 1,027,357.74 million RMB, a 20.11% increase from 2023 [8][26]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 101,303.89 million RMB, reflecting a 51.82% growth compared to the previous year [15][26]. - Total assets increased by 23.60% to 2,332,190.80 million RMB, while total liabilities rose by 31.95% to 1,518,406.87 million RMB [8][27]. Group 3: Operational Highlights - The company successfully launched two major projects in Guangxi and Hubei, each with an investment exceeding 10 billion RMB, enhancing its production capacity [24][25]. - Sales volume for 2024 reached 122.29 million tons, marking a 28.29% year-on-year increase [25][26]. - The company has optimized its product structure, particularly in high-end food packaging materials, which contributed to the revenue growth [27][28]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The company plans to continue expanding its market share and production capacity, particularly in the high-performance paper-based materials sector [24][29]. - The introduction of new product lines, including biodegradable food packaging materials, is expected to drive future growth [29].

仙鹤股份有限公司 2024 年年度股东大会 会议资料 股票代码：603733 中国·衢州 二〇二五年五月 2024 年年度股东大会会议资料 | | | | 会议议程 3 | | --- | | 会议须知 5 | | 议案一：关于2024年度董事会工作报告的议案 6 | | 议案二：关于2024年度监事会工作报告的议案 7 | | 议案三：关于 2024 年年度报告及其摘要的议案 8 | | 议案四：关于 2024 年度财务决算报告的议案 9 | | 议案五：关于 2024 年度利润分配预案的议案 15 | | 议案六：关于续聘 2025 年度审计机构的议案 16 | | 议案七：关于提请股东大会授权董事会确认公司董事、监事 2024 年度薪酬及 | | 2025 年度薪酬额度的议案 19 | | 议案八：关于 2024 年度内部控制评价报告的议案 20 | | 附件一：2024 年度董事会工作报告 21 | | 附件二：2024 年度监事会工作报告 33 | | 报告事项： 2024 年度独立董事述职报告（非表决事项） 37 | 2 / 54 2024 年年度股东大会会议资料 仙鹤股份有限公司 2024 年年 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the paper industry is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The paper industry is experiencing a bottoming cycle with insufficient upward momentum, leading industry leaders to focus on extending their supply chains and enhancing differentiated competitive advantages [12] - The industry is expected to continue facing supply-demand pressures in 2025, with a sustained bottoming of profit cycles as leading companies innovate and expand their scale and differentiation advantages [12] - Major companies are actively expanding their overseas market presence to absorb production capacity [12] Summary by Sections Pulp and Paper Sector - Cost improvements and a slight recovery in paper prices are leading to profit recovery, with Q4 2024 pulp prices hitting a bottom and costs stabilizing [3] - In Q1 2025, low-cost pulp gradually entered inventory, and paper prices saw a slight increase, with companies expected to maintain low costs and moderate profit improvements [3][18] - The domestic pulp market is experiencing price fluctuations, with expectations of continued low-level oscillations in Q2 2025 [19] Cultural Paper - Profitability is gradually recovering, with leading companies performing well despite market challenges [4] - Average prices for double glue paper and copper plate paper in Q4 2024 and Q1 2025 were 5228 and 5435 CNY/ton respectively, showing year-on-year declines but some recovery in Q1 2025 [22] - Companies like Sun Paper are leveraging raw material strategies and cost control to improve profits [22] White Card Paper - Prices are stabilizing at the bottom, with a slight improvement in profitability [23] - The average price for white card paper increased from 4195 CNY/ton in Q4 2024 to 4307 CNY/ton in Q1 2025, benefiting from supply disruptions [23] - Companies are expected to face increased supply pressures in 2025 due to new capacities coming online [23] Specialty Paper - Leading companies are expanding their advantages and market shares [24] - Prices for specialty paper categories are expected to decline due to short-term supply-demand pressures, but some categories are showing signs of recovery [24] - Companies like Xianhe and Wuzhou are expected to benefit from increased production capacity [24] Waste Paper Sector - Prices are fluctuating, with a recovery in profitability observed [26] - The average price for waste paper in Q4 2024 was 1530 CNY/ton, showing a year-on-year increase, while boxboard and corrugated paper prices also saw slight improvements [26] - The overall profitability of waste paper companies is expected to remain under pressure in Q2 2025 despite cost optimizations [26] Investment Recommendations - Focus on companies with integrated pulp and paper operations and improving profitability, such as Sun Paper and Xianhe, as well as those recovering profitability like Huawang Technology and Wuzhou Specialty Paper [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price yet to be specified [5]. Core Views - The company has shown significant revenue growth, with a 35.4% year-on-year increase in Q1 2025, reaching 2.99 billion yuan, although net profit decreased by 12.1% to 236 million yuan [1]. - For the year 2024, the company is projected to achieve a revenue of 10.27 billion yuan, a 20.1% increase, and a net profit of 1.00 billion yuan, reflecting a 51.2% growth [1]. - The company is expanding its production capacity with new projects in Guangxi and Hubei, which are expected to enhance its market share and profitability [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 2.99 billion yuan, up 35.4% year-on-year, while net profit was 236 million yuan, down 12.1% [1]. - For 2024, the company expects a revenue of 10.27 billion yuan, a 20.1% increase, and a net profit of 1.00 billion yuan, a 51.2% increase [1]. - The gross margin for 2024 is projected at 15.46%, an increase of 3.8 percentage points, with a net profit margin of 9.77%, up 2.0 percentage points [1]. Product Diversification - Daily consumer products generated a revenue of 4.83 billion yuan in 2024, a 17.68% increase, with a gross margin of 16.50% [2]. - The food and medical packaging materials segment achieved a revenue of 1.86 billion yuan, a 7.32% increase, with a gross margin of 10.28% [2]. - The tobacco industry support segment reported a revenue of 907 million yuan, an 11.63% increase, with a gross margin of 22.81% [3]. Capacity Expansion - The company has initiated two major projects in Guangxi and Hubei, each with an annual production capacity of 2.5 million tons, which are expected to significantly boost production and market share [4]. - The Guangxi project has already produced 100,000 tons of wood pulp and 29,000 tons of specialty paper in 2024 [4]. - The Hubei project commenced operations in January 2024, with three paper production lines and four pulp production lines currently running [4]. Profitability Forecast - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts, expecting net profits of 1.16 billion yuan in 2025, 1.38 billion yuan in 2026, and 1.58 billion yuan in 2027 [9]. - The projected P/E ratios for the next three years are 13X for 2025, 11X for 2026, and 9X for 2027 [9].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price not specified [5] Core Views - The company has shown significant revenue growth, with a 35.4% year-on-year increase in Q1 2025, reaching 2.99 billion yuan, although net profit decreased by 12.1% to 236 million yuan [1] - For the year 2024, the company reported a revenue of 10.27 billion yuan, up 20.1% year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.00 billion yuan, which is a 51.2% increase [1] - The company is expanding its production capacity with new projects in Guangxi and Hubei, which are expected to significantly enhance its market share and profitability [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.99 billion yuan, a 35.4% increase year-on-year, while the net profit was 236 million yuan, down 12.1% [1] - For 2024, the company reported a total revenue of 10.27 billion yuan, a 20.1% increase, and a net profit of 1.00 billion yuan, reflecting a 51.2% growth [1] - The gross margin for 2024 was 15.46%, an increase of 3.8 percentage points, and the net profit margin was 9.77%, up 2.0 percentage points [1] Product Diversification - The daily consumer products segment generated 4.83 billion yuan in revenue, a 17.68% increase, with a gross margin of 16.50%, up 5.52 percentage points [2] - The food and medical packaging materials segment achieved 1.86 billion yuan in revenue, a 7.32% increase, with a gross margin of 10.28%, up 3.37 percentage points [2] - The tobacco industry support segment reported 907 million yuan in revenue, an 11.63% increase, with a gross margin of 22.81%, up 6.33 percentage points [3] Capacity Expansion - The company has initiated two major projects in Guangxi and Hubei, each with an annual production capacity of 2.5 million tons, which are expected to significantly boost production and market presence [4] - The Guangxi project has already produced 100,000 tons of wood pulp and 29,000 tons of specialty paper in 2024, while the Hubei project has produced 93,400 tons of specialty paper and 59,800 tons of self-produced pulp [4] Profit Forecast Adjustments - The profit forecasts have been adjusted, with expected net profits of 1.16 billion yuan for 2025, 1.38 billion yuan for 2026, and 1.58 billion yuan for 2027, reflecting a decrease from previous estimates [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for leading companies in the integrated pulp and paper industry, specifically recommending Sun Paper (002078) and others [4]. Core Viewpoints - The light industry manufacturing index increased by 0.17%, outperforming the market by 0.61 percentage points, while the paper sub-sector declined by 1.34%, underperforming the market by 0.91 percentage points [2][12]. - The report highlights a seasonal downturn in cultural paper, with falling pulp prices, and anticipates a gradual improvement in overall supply and demand in the industry by 2025 [4]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The light industry manufacturing index ranked 9th among 28 first-level industries, with the paper sub-sector showing a decline [12][18]. - The four major sub-sectors of light industry, ranked by growth, are packaging printing, cultural products, furniture, and paper, with respective increases of 1.07%, 1.03%, 0.07%, and a decrease of 1.34% in the paper sector [12][16]. Industry Chain Data Tracking - Pulp prices have decreased, with domestic waste paper prices down by 7 CNY/ton, and various paper products also seeing price reductions [9][22]. - The report notes that the cumulative production of mechanical paper and paperboard in the first quarter of 2025 increased by 3.8% year-on-year, totaling 38.19 million tons [53][55]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading companies in the integrated pulp and paper sector, such as Sun Paper (002078), Xianhe Shares (603733), Huawang Technology (605377), and Wuzhou Special Paper (605007) [4]. - For waste paper products, it suggests investing in Jiu Long Paper (02689) and Shanying International (600567) due to expected improvements in supply and demand dynamics [4].

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the home furnishing sector, driven by domestic consumption stimulus and the gradual recovery of retail channels [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the domestic consumption stimulus is beginning to show effects, with a notable recovery in retail channels, while export conditions are experiencing marginal declines [1][3]. - The performance of leading companies in the home furnishing sector is improving, particularly in the context of national subsidies and strategic adjustments [1][3]. Summary by Sections 1. Home Furnishing - Domestic sales show signs of recovery with a year-on-year revenue change of -12.44% in Q4 2024 and +1.75% in Q1 2025, while net profit for the same periods changed from -54.11% to +7.07% [13]. - Export performance for the furniture sector saw a cumulative year-on-year increase of +5.8% for 2024 but a decline of -8.0% in Q1 2025, indicating a downward trend in export conditions [13]. - The report anticipates that the domestic market will continue to recover in the short term due to national subsidy policies, while the export market may face ongoing pressures [13]. 1.1 Domestic - Custom Home Furnishing - Retail channels are showing marginal improvements, while bulk channels remain under pressure, with leading companies like Oppein and Sophia experiencing reduced revenue declines in Q1 2025 compared to previous quarters [20]. - The profitability of leading companies is improving, with a focus on cost control and product development, while second and third-tier brands may struggle to maintain performance [26]. - Prepayment and cash flow indicators show improvements for some leading companies, suggesting a gradual recovery in demand [38]. 1.2 Domestic - Soft Home Furnishing - The soft home furnishing sector is under pressure due to real estate downturns and changing consumer spending patterns, but companies like Kuka and Mengbaihe are showing signs of recovery [39]. - Profit margins are improving in Q1 2025 compared to 2024, with notable changes in gross and net profit margins across leading companies [44]. - Prepayment figures for soft home furnishing companies are showing positive growth, indicating a recovery in domestic demand [46]. 1.3 Export Home Furnishing - The overall export climate is declining, with a significant drop in cumulative export value in Q1 2025, reflecting challenges in the international market [51][53]. - Despite the overall decline, leading companies are still managing to perform well, showcasing resilience and strategic advantages [51].

证券研究报告 公司研究 [Table_ReportType] 公司点评报告 [Table_StockAndRank] 仙鹤股份(603733) | 投资评级 | 买入 | | --- | --- | | 上次评级 | 买入 | 姜文镪 新消费行业首席分析师 执业编号：S1500524120004 邮箱：jiangwenqiang@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅大厦B 座 邮编：100031 [Table_Title] 仙鹤股份：盈利环比改善，产能稳步扩张，林 浆纸布局持续完善 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 05 月 04 日 盈利预测&投资评级：我们预计 2025-2027 年公司归母净利润分别为 13.5、 17.2、20.1 亿元，对应 PE 估值分别为 11.0X、8.7X、7.4X，维持"买入"评级。 风险提示：终端需求不及预期，产能投放不及预期，竞争加剧。 请阅读最后一页免责声明及信息披露 http://www.cindasc.com 1 报告内容摘要: [Table_S 事 ...