东方证券股份有限公司关于仙鹤股份有限公司 经上海证券交易所自律监管决定书[2021]461 号文同意，公司本次发行的 20.50 亿元可转换公司债券于 2021 年 12 月 9 日起在上海证券交易所挂牌交易， 债券简称"鹤 21 转债"， 债券代码"113632"。 （三）可转债转股价格调整情况 根据有关规定和《仙鹤股份有限公司公开发行可转换公司债券募集说明书》 （以下简称"《募集说明书》"）的约定，公司本次发行的"鹤 21 转债"自发行 结束之日（2021 年 11 月 23 日）起满 6 个月后的第一个交易日起可转换为公司 股份，转股期限为 2022 年 5 月 23 日至 2027 年 11 月 16 日。"鹤 21 转债"的初 始转股价格为 39.09 元/股，目前转股价格为 18.99 元/股。历次转股价格调整情 1 不提前赎回"鹤 21 转债"的核查意见 东方证券股份有限公司（以下简称"保荐机构"） 作为仙鹤股份有限公司 （以下简称"仙鹤股份"或"公司"） 2021 年公开发行可转换公司债券的保荐 机构，根据《证券发行上市保荐业务管理办法》《上海证券交易所股票上市规则》 《可转换公司债券管理办法 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Xianhe Co., Ltd. (603733) [1] Core Views - The integrated layout of wood pulp and paper is improving, providing strong medium to long-term growth momentum for the company [1] - The company is a leader in the specialty paper industry with a diversified product system and a long-term strategy for integrated wood pulp and paper [6] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for 2024A is projected at 10,274 million, with a year-on-year growth rate of 20.1%. For 2025E, revenue is expected to reach 12,844 million, reflecting a growth rate of 25.0% [2][7] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2024A is estimated at 1,004 million, with a significant year-on-year growth of 51.2%. The forecast for 2025E is 1,130 million, with a growth rate of 12.6% [2][7] - Earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 1.42 yuan for 2024A, increasing to 1.60 yuan for 2025E [2][7] Revenue Breakdown - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 59.91 billion, a year-on-year increase of 30.14%. The net profit was 4.74 billion, down 13.80% year-on-year [6] - Revenue from various product segments includes: daily consumer products (25.56 billion), food and medical packaging materials (10.34 billion), and other categories showing significant growth [6] Capacity Expansion and Profitability - The company is steadily advancing its capacity expansion, with the Guangxi and Hubei production bases contributing significantly to revenue. The Guangxi base generated 10.38 billion in revenue, while the Hubei base reported 7.83 billion but incurred a loss of 0.74 billion [6] - The gross profit margin for the first half of 2025 was 13.71%, a decrease of 4.0 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to the ramp-up phase of production capacity [6] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that as the company continues to release capacity, it may further enhance its performance. The target price is set at 31.3 yuan per share, with a corresponding price-to-earnings ratio (PE) of 15 for 2025 [2][6]

Core Insights - The appreciation of the Renminbi has positively impacted certain sectors, with the Renminbi appreciation beneficiary sector rising by 0.25% compared to the previous trading day [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3857.93, up 0.37%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12696.15, up 0.99% [1] Sector Performance - Leading the Renminbi appreciation beneficiary sector was Caesar Travel, which saw a closing price of 5.92, an increase of 10.04% with a trading volume of 1.73 million shares and a transaction value of 99.56 million [1] - Other notable performers included Tongling Nonferrous Metals with a closing price of 4.51, up 3.44%, and Sun Paper with a closing price of 15.36, up 3.09% [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The Renminbi appreciation beneficiary sector experienced a net outflow of 620 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 308 million yuan [2] - The capital flow data indicates that while institutional investors withdrew funds, retail investors were more active in purchasing shares within this sector [2][3] Individual Stock Insights - Caesar Travel had a net inflow of 247 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 99.66 million yuan from speculative funds [3] - In contrast, Tongling Nonferrous Metals experienced a net outflow of 10.02% from speculative funds, indicating a lack of interest from this investor group [3]

Market Overview - The paper sector increased by 0.71% on August 29, with Minshida leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3857.93, up 0.37%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12696.15, up 0.99% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Minshida (833394) closed at 46.41, up 3.83% with a trading volume of 31,400 shares and a turnover of 146 million yuan [1] - Sun Paper (002078) closed at 15.36, up 3.09% with a trading volume of 380,400 shares and a turnover of 581 million yuan [1] - Xianhe Co. (603733) closed at 25.04, up 1.83% with a trading volume of 64,300 shares and a turnover of 162 million yuan [1] - Yibin Paper (600793) closed at 25.01, up 1.42% with a trading volume of 157,500 shares and a turnover of 143 million yuan [1] - Minfeng Special Paper (600235) closed at 6.53, up 1.24% with a trading volume of 93,500 shares and a turnover of 60.53 million yuan [1] Declining Stocks - Hengfeng Paper (600356) closed at 9.62, down 4.75% with a trading volume of 174,900 shares and a turnover of 171 million yuan [2] - Songyang Resources (603863) closed at 17.98, down 4.36% with a trading volume of 92,900 shares and a turnover of 169 million yuan [2] - Kain Co. (002012) closed at 5.80, down 3.81% with a trading volume of 157,800 shares and a turnover of 92.57 million yuan [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The paper sector experienced a net outflow of 77.47 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net outflow of 4.38 million yuan [2] - Speculative funds had a net inflow of 81.84 million yuan [2] Key Capital Movements - Huawang Technology (605377) had a net inflow of 53.51 million yuan from institutional investors, accounting for 33.21% of its total [3] - Xianhe Co. (603733) saw a net inflow of 17.02 million yuan from institutional investors, representing 10.51% [3] - Yibin Paper (600793) had a net inflow of 11.28 million yuan from institutional investors, making up 7.88% [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy-A" with a target price of 29.81 CNY, while the current stock price is 24.68 CNY [6]. Core Views - The company reported a steady revenue growth in H1 2025, achieving 5.991 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 30.14%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 13.80% to 474 million CNY [2][12]. - The company's diverse product offerings, including food and medical packaging materials, daily consumer products, and electrical and industrial paper products, have driven revenue growth. The domestic and international markets both showed positive growth [3][12]. - The company is actively expanding its production capacity with new projects, including a significant investment of 11 billion CNY in a bamboo pulp and paper integration project in Sichuan [4][12]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 5.991 billion CNY, with a 30.14% year-on-year growth. The net profit was 474 million CNY, down 13.80% year-on-year [2][12]. - The gross margin for H1 2025 was 13.71%, a decrease of 3.98 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 7.97%, down 4.07 percentage points year-on-year [11][12]. Product and Market Analysis - The food and medical packaging materials segment saw a production volume of 169,900 tons in H1 2025, with sales volume reaching 147,300 tons, a year-on-year increase of 35.72% [3]. - The electrical and industrial paper products segment reported a sales volume of 3,600 tons, with a revenue growth of 14.63% [3]. - Domestic sales reached 5.315 billion CNY, growing by 31.59%, while international sales were 423 million CNY, up 15.40% [3]. Capacity Expansion and Future Outlook - The company has successfully launched its self-produced pulp projects in Guangxi and Hubei, with a total output of 103,000 tons of self-produced pulp and 72,800 tons of specialty paper by H1 2025 [4]. - The company plans to invest 11 billion CNY in a new bamboo pulp and paper integration project in Sichuan, aiming for an annual production capacity of 800,000 tons of bamboo pulp and 1.2 million tons of new paper materials [4][12]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 12.752 billion CNY, 15.446 billion CNY, and 18.167 billion CNY, with corresponding net profits of 1.096 billion CNY, 1.413 billion CNY, and 1.692 billion CNY [12][13].

Group 1: AI Industry Insights - The report highlights the release of the "Artificial Intelligence+" action plan by the State Council, which aims to strengthen foundational support capabilities in AI, including innovation in AI chips and software ecosystem development [3] - The action plan is expected to provide long-term institutional guarantees for the development of the AI industry, addressing current bottlenecks such as insufficient computing power and low-quality data supply [3] - Companies to watch include those involved in AI technology and applications, such as Kingdee International, Meituan, and various players in AI education and healthcare [3] Group 2: Economic and Market Outlook - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes the need for a unified market to break local protectionism and promote efficient resource allocation [4] - The plan also aims to support consumer spending and upgrade consumption structures, indicating a shift in fiscal spending towards improving livelihoods [4] - The capital market reform during this period is expected to transition from policy-driven to institution-driven, promoting high-quality development of the capital market [4] Group 3: Aerospace Industry Developments - China's commercial aircraft market share exceeds 20%, with the C919 aircraft production capacity expanding, potentially breaking the Airbus and Boeing duopoly [4] - The demand for commercial engines in China is projected to exceed $600 billion over the next 20 years, with an average annual demand of over 200 billion RMB [4] - The report indicates that the domestic aerospace industry is likely to experience significant growth due to the focus on local market development and self-sufficiency [4] Group 4: Semiconductor Sector Performance - Changdian Technology reported a revenue of 18.605 billion RMB for the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 20.14%, driven by increased domestic orders and market demand recovery [8][34] - The company's net profit decreased by 23.98% due to ongoing construction of new factories and rising financial costs, but gross margin improved from 12.6% to 14.3% [34][38] - The semiconductor industry is experiencing a recovery, with global sales expected to continue growing, providing opportunities for companies in this sector [36] Group 5: Consumer Electronics and Home Appliances - Wanhe Electric reported a revenue of 4.08 billion RMB in the first half of 2025, with overseas revenue growing by 26.5% while domestic revenue declined by 4.4% [16] - The company is focusing on digital transformation and cost optimization to enhance its competitiveness in both domestic and international markets [16] - The report anticipates steady growth in the home appliance sector, driven by innovations and expansion into overseas markets [16] Group 6: Automotive and New Energy Sectors - Tuhu-W reported a revenue of 7.877 billion RMB in the first half of 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 10.54%, driven by expansion into lower-tier cities [17] - The company is enhancing its supply chain and logistics efficiency, which has positively impacted its operational performance [17] - The new energy vehicle segment is emerging as a significant growth driver, with a notable increase in transaction users on the platform [17]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported mixed financial results for the first half of 2025, with revenue growth but declining net profit, while also highlighting significant production increases in specialized paper products and ongoing large-scale projects that enhance its production capacity and supply chain integration [1][2][3][4]. Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company achieved revenue of 3 billion, a 25% year-on-year increase, but the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 15% to 240 million, with a non-recurring net profit of 220 million, down 16% [1]. - For the first half of 2025, the company reported revenue of 6 billion, a 30% increase year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 470 million, down 14%, and the non-recurring net profit was 440 million, down 11% [1]. Production and Sales Growth - The company produced 1.1079 million tons of specialized pulp paper in the first half of 2025, representing a 98.55% increase, with sales volume reaching 833,400 tons, up 62.25% [1]. - The production of food and medical consumer products reached 170,000 tons, with sales of 147,000 tons, marking a 35.7% increase [2]. - Sales of electrolytic capacitor paper base materials increased by 14.6%, while daily consumer series paper base materials sales rose by 24.94% [2]. Project Developments - The company is progressing with two major projects in Guangxi and Hubei, each with an annual production capacity of 2.5 million tons of high-performance paper base new materials, which are expected to significantly enhance the company's supply chain and production capacity [2][3]. - As of the first half of 2025, the Guangxi and Hubei production bases have seven pulp production lines and eight specialized paper production lines operational, addressing supply chain weaknesses and creating new profit growth points [3]. Profit Forecast Adjustments - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts based on the first half of 2025 performance, projecting revenues of 12.5 billion, 14.6 billion, and 16.5 billion for 2025-2027, with net profits of 970 million, 1.22 billion, and 1.45 billion respectively [4]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are projected to be 1.4, 1.7, and 2.1, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 19, 15, and 12 times [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with an expected relative return of over 20% within the next six months [5][15]. Core Views - The company's integrated "wood-pulp-paper" business model is showing significant results, with major projects in Guangxi and Hubei gradually coming into production, contributing to the overall development of the company's supply chain [2][3]. - The company reported a revenue of 3 billion yuan in Q2 2025, a 25% year-on-year increase, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 240 million yuan, a 15% decrease [1]. - For the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 6 billion yuan, a 30% year-on-year increase, with a net profit of 470 million yuan, down 14% [1]. Financial Performance Summary - In H1 2025, the company produced 1.1079 million tons of specialty pulp and paper, a 98.55% increase year-on-year, with sales volume reaching 833,400 tons, up 62.25% [1]. - The production of food and medical consumer products reached 170,000 tons, with sales of 147,000 tons, reflecting a growth of 35.7% [1]. - The sales of electrolytic capacitor paper base materials increased by 14.6%, while daily consumer series paper base materials sales rose by 24.94% [1]. - The company has adjusted its revenue forecasts for 2025-2027, expecting revenues of 12.5 billion, 14.6 billion, and 16.5 billion yuan respectively, with net profits of 970 million, 1.22 billion, and 1.45 billion yuan [3][4]. Production Capacity and Projects - The Guangxi and Hubei projects are expected to significantly enhance the company's production capacity, with a total of 7 pulp production lines and 8 specialty paper production lines now operational [2]. - The self-produced pulp from these projects has reached a level that can replace imported wood pulp, addressing a long-standing industry dependency on imports [2]. Valuation Metrics - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 1.4, 1.7, and 2.1 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 19, 15, and 12 [3][4]. - The company’s total assets are expected to grow from 18.87 billion yuan in 2023 to 33.22 billion yuan by 2027 [10]. Market Position - The company operates in the light industry manufacturing and paper-making sector, with a current market capitalization of approximately 17.94 billion yuan [6]. - The stock price is currently at 25.41 yuan, with a target price yet to be specified [5].

Market Performance - Global markets continued to rise last week, with MSCI Global up by 1.5%, MSCI Developed up by 1.5%, and MSCI Emerging up by 1.3%[3] - The US stock market's earnings expectations for 2025 were revised upward, with the S&P 500 EPS forecast increased from 268 to 269[4] Economic Expectations - Global economic expectations were adjusted upward, with the Citigroup Economic Surprise Index for the US rising due to dovish signals from the Fed[4] - The issuance of new special bonds by local governments reached 2392.7 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 76.7%[19] Industry Insights - In the home appliance sector, TCL Electronics reported a total revenue of 54.777 billion HKD for H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 20.4%[15] - The gaming industry saw a record high of 166 domestic game approvals in August, with a total of 1050 approvals in the first eight months of 2025, significantly higher than the previous year's 850[31] Investment Recommendations - In the home appliance sector, recommended stocks include Stone Technology and Ecovacs for their strong performance and growth potential[14] - For the construction industry, low valuation high-dividend companies such as China State Construction and China Railway Construction are recommended due to their expected benefits from PPP policy catalysts[39]

Group 1 - The paper sector experienced a rise of 0.94% on August 25, with Songyang Resources leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3883.56, up 1.51%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12441.07, up 2.26% [1] - Notable stock performances included Songyang Resources with a closing price of 19.69, up 6.89%, and Hengfeng Paper with a closing price of 9.79, up 5.50% [1] Group 2 - The paper sector saw a net outflow of 60.37 million yuan from institutional funds and 34.82 million yuan from speculative funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 95.19 million yuan [3]