中信期货认为，中短期来看，供应扰动问题持续发酵和股期联动炒作引发部分品种脉冲上涨，铜价领涨 基本金属，但若无进一步的宏观利多，基本金属快速冲高后仍需谨防回落风险，长期来看，国内潜在增 量刺激政策预期仍在，并且铜铝锡供应扰动问题仍在，供需仍有趋紧预期，这将进一步推高基本金属价 格。 有色股持续走低，截至发稿，赣锋锂业（002460）(01772)跌10.44%，报45.72港元；中国有色矿业 (01258)跌9.72%，报14.77港元；山东黄金（600547）(01787)跌7.18%，报39.04港元；洛阳钼业 （603993）(03993)跌6.66%，报16.4港元；江西铜业（600362）股份(00358)跌4.36%，报36.42港元。 消息面上，美元指数连日来持续反弹，并突破99大关。浙商证券（601878）指出，国庆节期间美元指数 反弹的逻辑类似黄金，主要源于美国政府关门带来的阶段性避险偏好。展望未来，美元指数反弹的逻辑 仍然源于当前市场对于美国的衰退预期可能被纠偏。此外，由于中东地缘冲突缓和叠加美元指数周四显 著上涨，国际金价高位跳水，截至发稿，现货黄金失守3960美元/盎司。 ...

（文章来源：证券时报网） 数据宝统计，截至14:01，赣锋锂业成交额84.68亿元，创2022年7月7日以来新高。最新股价下跌 3.37%，换手率10.60%。上一交易日该股全天成交额为84.66亿元。（数据宝） ...

消息面上，近期锂业供需两端博弈激烈。兴业期货表示，对碳酸锂而言，需要注意的是，需求的好转也 伴随着供应的持续释放，庞大的锂盐冶炼产能增强了碳酸锂的供给弹性。现阶段碳酸锂周度产量已突破 2万吨，单周产出位于历史高位；其中，辉石料碳酸锂产量接近1.3万吨，辉石提锂产线的增产弥补了前 期因青海盐湖及枧下窝矿停产造成的盐湖料及云母料的产出减量。与2024年相比，当前周产相较于去年 均值提升7796吨，增幅达61.29%。 该行指出，自8月中下旬以来，上游去库、下游主动补库的库存结构性变化已反映出实际需求的增长较 为积极，且宜春矿企储量核实报告递交审核一事仍将扰动10月中上旬市场对资源端的预期，事件落地前 锂价走势存在支撑；针对四季度，枧下窝矿即将复产，供应增长压力再度增高，供给增速预计高于需求 增长，碳酸锂价格走势仍将承压，价格波动中枢7-7.5万元/吨。 锂业股集体走低，截至发稿，赣锋锂业（002460）(01772)跌7.7%，报47.12港元；天齐锂业（002466） (09696)跌6.83%，报45.28港元；宁德时代（300750）(03750)跌6.24%，报548.5港元。 ...

来源：市场资讯 （来源：有色龙头159876） 10月10日，截至11时06分，有色龙头ETF盘中表现疲软，场内价格现跌3.1%，成交额为1.21亿元，基金 最新规模为4.83亿元。 西部证券指出，稀土出口管制政策持续强化，新增对二次资源回收利用的管控，预计2025年二次回收供 给占比将达27%，供给端已完全管控，难以出现突发增量；技术出口限制切断海外企业通过中国技术人 员扩产的可能。政策全面管控下，稀土供给端扰动频发，金属板块有望实现多重共振。 申万宏源证券指出，有色金属行业景气度维持高位，工业金属方面，9月世界铜矿巨头因印尼矿山安全 事件部分停产，供给约束预期叠加弱美元环境，铜铝等工业金属价格延续上行。稀土方面，商务部对稀 土相关技术实施出口管制，供给政策继续收紧，价格延续强势。 有色龙头ETF（$华宝中证有色金属ETF$）被动跟踪中证有色指数，该指数前十大权重股分别为紫金矿 业、北方稀土、洛阳钼业、华友钴业、山东黄金、赣锋锂业、中国铝业、中金黄金、赤峰黄金、天齐锂 业。 数据来源于沪深交易所、公开资料等。 风险提示：以上产品由基金管理人发行与管理，代销机构不承担产品的投资、兑付和风险管理责任。投 资人应 ...

市场规模最大的机器人主题ETF：机器人ETF(562500)，持续五日受资金青睐，净流入额高达17.57亿 元，权重股包含汇川技术（工业机器人龙头）、绿的谐波（全球谐波减速器龙头）和石头科技（服务机 器人龙头）等。 均衡配置主流金属：有色金属ETF基金(516650)，连续五日吸金，净流入额高达3亿元，权重股包括紫金 矿业（铜、黄金）、洛阳钼业（铜、钼、钴）、北方稀土（稀土）、华友钴业（钴、铜）和中国铝业 （铝）等。 格隆汇10月10日｜今日贵金属、半导体、新能源电池板块领跌，亿纬锂能（维权）跌近9%，宁德时代 跌超6%，新能源车ETF跌5.23%，昨日暴涨8%的有色金属ETF小幅回调2%。 近期市场表现出较强的结构性特征，本周波动开始加大，考虑到本月即将审议"十五五"规划建议，或给 市场带来新增量产业催化。机构10月策略关注重点依然是科技、反内卷、促内需三大方向，提及受益于 盈利预期改善的板块如创新药、新能源，以及政策催化相关的机器人等板块，作为上游的有色金属板 块，在降息周期+供应收紧的催化下，同样获资金青睐。 近期备受资金青睐的的产品： 规模最大+新能源车全产业链覆盖：新能源车ETF（515030），连 ...

1、稀土方面，10月9日商务部发布新规，分别公布对境外相关稀土物项、稀土相关技术实施出口管制的决定。国金证券认为，涨价、供改兑现、供应扰动叠加板块战略属性提升，稀土板块将继 2、铜方面，长假期间大宗商品价格持续上涨。LME铜价强势上涨，于10月3日突破10500美元/吨重要压力位，并于10月6日创出近一年高点。南华期货指出，节前全球第二大铜矿（印度尼西亚 3、黄金方面，中信证券指出，黄金站上4000美元整数关口，展望仍然乐观。8月底以来黄金价格迅速上涨，除了此前关注的长期因素，近期美联储持续降息预期不断升温、美国政府关门催化避 中信建投建议关注有色板块投资机遇。该机构认为，黄金等贵金属在长假期间迎来大涨。国际金价大涨的背后，主要是由美国政府停摆引发的短期波动、日本政治更迭带来的短期不确定性、美联 展望后市，中信建投表示，除却美联储处于降息通道带来的货币宽松外，国内正在推行的"反内卷"优化生产要素，提升各环节盈利能力和改善市场预期，有利于金属价格上涨向下游的传导。 【未来产业"金属心脏"，现代工业"黄金血液"】 昨日（10月9日）有色金属板块领涨市场，北方稀土、紫金矿业、赣锋锂业等16只成份股涨停，揽尽有色金属 ...

Market Overview - US stock indices closed lower on Thursday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average recording its largest single-day drop in a month, down 243.36 points to 46358.42, a decline of 0.52% [1] - The S&P 500 index fell 18.61 points to 6735.11, down 0.28%, while the Nasdaq Composite dropped 18.75 points to 23024.63, a decrease of 0.08% [1] - Among the 11 sectors of the S&P 500, the materials sector saw the largest decline, while the consumer staples sector was the only one to rise [1] Earnings Season Insights - The upcoming earnings season is anticipated to show whether corporate profits can continue the stable growth seen in the past two quarters, with analysts expecting an 8.8% year-over-year increase in S&P 500 earnings for Q3, down from 13.8% in the previous quarter [2] - Major banks including JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, and Wells Fargo are set to report their earnings next week [2] Economic Indicators - The yield on the US 10-year Treasury rose by 1.7 basis points to 4.15%, while the 2-year Treasury yield increased by 1.3 basis points to 3.60% [3] - The futures market indicates a 94.6% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in October, as the job market may weaken further [2] Commodity Prices - International oil prices fell, with WTI crude oil futures down 1.66% to $61.51 per barrel, and Brent crude down 1.55% to $65.22 per barrel [3] - Gold prices also retreated, with spot gold down 1.62% to $3976.76 per ounce, and COMEX gold futures down 1.96% to $3990.9 per ounce [3] Corporate Developments - Delta Air Lines reported stronger-than-expected Q3 earnings and raised its guidance for the current quarter, resulting in a 4.3% increase in its stock price [2] - The Keator Group's partner noted that the market is adjusting due to a lack of new economic data and clear policy signals, which is a natural occurrence [2]

Group 1 - The Ministry of Finance announced the issuance of 1.3 trillion yuan of ultra-long-term special government bonds, with the issuance scheduled to conclude on October 14 [2] - The issuance includes 50-year and 20-year bonds, reflecting a proactive fiscal policy to stabilize the economy [2] Group 2 - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology announced adjustments to the technical requirements for tax exemptions on new energy vehicles, effective from January 1, 2026 [3] - The new requirements will apply to pure electric passenger cars and plug-in hybrid vehicles, impacting the eligibility for tax exemptions [3] Group 3 - Local governments issued approximately 8.54 trillion yuan in bonds in the first three quarters of the year, a year-on-year increase of about 27% [9] - The accelerated bond issuance is part of a broader effort to implement a more active fiscal policy to support economic stability [9] Group 4 - The Nanjing Housing Provident Fund Management Center announced an increase in the maximum loan amount for individual contributors from 500,000 yuan to 800,000 yuan, effective from October 9, 2025 [11] - The maximum loan amount for families remains at 1 million yuan, aimed at promoting a stable and healthy real estate market [11] Group 5 - The transportation department reported a record high of 24.32 billion person-times of cross-regional travel during the recent holiday period, with an average of 3.04 billion person-times per day, a 6.2% increase year-on-year [10] - This surge in travel reflects strong consumer sentiment and the effectiveness of consumption promotion measures implemented by the government [10] Group 6 - The ASEAN+3 macroeconomic research office upgraded its economic growth forecast for the region to 4.1% for 2025, driven by strong export growth and economic performance in the first half of the year [18] - The positive outlook is attributed to easing market pressures following the U.S. government's tariff measures announced earlier this year [18] Group 7 - The stock market saw a collective decline in major indices, with the Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index dropping by 2.01% [22] - Gold prices also fell below the 4,000 USD per ounce mark, indicating market volatility and investor sentiment shifts [22]

近期，我国储能行业迎来技术突破与市场需求爆发的双重利好。在技术方面，据中国科学院10月9日官 网消息，中国科学院物理研究所/北京凝聚态物理国家研究中心研究团队等在全固态金属锂电池固-固界 面接触研究上获得新进展；在市场方面，储能电芯的需求猛增，企业订单排至明年，项目中标规模也同 比大幅增加。 "储能电芯'一芯难求'，缘于全球需求爆发、供给端响应相对滞后等因素。"全联并购公会信用管理委员 会专家安光勇在接受《证券日报》记者采访时表示，今年以来国内储能需求超预期，新能源全面入市拉 大峰谷电价差，储能项目商业价值凸显。 储能需求爆发式增长 今年以来，储能需求爆发式增长。东吴证券研报显示，2025年前8个月，国内新型储能装机规模达 75.9GWh，同比增长42%；同期储能EPC招标规模达116GWh，同比增长约40%。 "结构性短缺进一步加剧了储能电芯的供需矛盾。"中国电子商务专家服务中心副主任郭涛在接受《证券 日报》记者采访时表示，"314Ah大容量电芯作为2025年新招标项目及海外供应的主力军，成为市场主 流，但由于客户提前锁定产能，部分企业无法再新增订单，这一现象直接推动储能电芯报价提升，市场 对电芯厂商的关注 ...

Core Viewpoint - Ganfeng Lithium has experienced significant stock price fluctuations, with a recent increase from 36 CNY to nearly 67 CNY per share, indicating strong market interest and potential growth in the solid-state battery sector [1]. Company Overview - Ganfeng Lithium announced that its A-share stock price has deviated by over 20% in the last three trading days, indicating abnormal trading activity [1]. - The company has a comprehensive solid-state battery supply chain and commercial capabilities, with R&D and production capabilities in key areas such as sulfide electrolytes, oxide electrolytes, lithium metal anodes, battery cells, and battery systems [1]. - Ganfeng Lithium has launched a flight series power supply suitable for low-altitude economies, with high energy density batteries ranging from 320 Wh/kg to 550 Wh/kg and a maximum cycle life of 1000 cycles [1]. - The company has passed the automotive standard GB38031-2020 and has established partnerships with well-known drone and eVTOL companies [1]. Strategic Developments - Ganfeng Lithium is actively promoting the introduction of strategic investors in its energy storage segment, although no substantial agreements have been formed yet [1]. - The company's current operational status is normal, and there are no undisclosed significant matters concerning the controlling shareholder and actual controller [1]. Market Performance - As of October 9, Ganfeng Lithium's stock closed at 66.97 CNY per share, with a total market capitalization of 137.8 billion CNY [1].