能源金属板块走高， 华友钴业涨超5%，远航精密、 寒锐钴业、 腾远钴业、 赣锋锂业跟涨。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the strategic shift of Chinese energy storage companies towards listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX), highlighting the necessity for stable and international capital supply amidst a slowing IPO environment in A-shares. This migration is seen as a critical move for global competitiveness and technological leadership in the energy storage sector [3][6]. Group 1: Market Trends - The overall IPO pace in A-shares has slowed down in the second half of 2023, marking a significant turning point for Chinese energy storage companies that require consistent capital supply for expansion and technological advancement [3]. - UBS predicts that over 30 A-share companies will list in Hong Kong by 2025, particularly in the energy storage sector, indicating a concentrated trend towards international capital markets [3]. Group 2: Key Companies and Listings - CATL (宁德时代) plans to list on the HKEX in May 2025, aiming to raise over 50 billion HKD (approximately 6.4 billion USD) for overseas projects, including a battery factory in Hungary [4]. - Other companies such as Sungrow Power Supply (阳光电源) and EVE Energy (亿纬锂能) are also preparing for HKEX listings, with significant fundraising goals to support their international expansion and technological development [12][4]. Group 3: Strategic Advantages of HKEX - The HKEX offers clearer and more flexible listing standards compared to A-shares, which is crucial for energy storage companies that require rapid access to capital [16]. - Hong Kong serves as a "safe harbor" for companies looking to avoid regulatory risks associated with U.S. listings, while also providing access to global capital [17]. Group 4: Industry Growth and Future Outlook - The energy storage sector in China is projected to see a significant increase in installed capacity, with a forecast of 56.41 GW/175.89 GWh added in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 32.85% in power and 60.51% in capacity [18]. - The article emphasizes that the capital raised through HKEX listings will be directed towards international projects, particularly in Europe and Southeast Asia, to meet growing energy demands [19][21]. Group 5: Technological Innovation and Competition - Companies are increasingly focusing on technological innovation and operational efficiency to navigate the current market adjustments, moving away from price competition [19]. - The integration of AI and next-generation technologies, such as solid-state batteries, is becoming a key factor in attracting international capital and enhancing competitive positioning [21].

证券之星消息，1月14日能源金属板块较上一交易日下跌1.84%，盛新锂能领跌。当日上证指数报收于 4126.09，下跌0.31%。深证成指报收于14248.6，上涨0.56%。能源金属板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 301219 | 腾远钻业 | 72.30 | 2.10% | 16.23万 | | 11.93亿 | | 600711 | 暨中矿业 | 17.15 | 1.60% | 180.21万 | | 30.56亿 | | 000408 | 藏格矿业 | 89.73 | -0.19% | 17.04万 | | 15.28 乙 | | 300618 | 塞锐铝业 | 48.00 | -1.03% | 21.01万 | | 10.22亿 | | 603799 | 华友钻业 | 73.98 | -1.54% | 65.59万 | | 49.08亿 | | 603399 | 永杉锂业 | 11.25 | -2.00% | 28.51万 | | ...

Core Viewpoint - 2026 is identified as the "Year of the Red Horse," which is favorable for the Chinese base metals market due to factors such as a weak dollar, a U.S. interest rate cut cycle, and ongoing supply tightness in copper and aluminum [1] Group 1: Market Drivers - Demand drivers for this year include a 10% year-on-year increase in grid investment, a 27% growth in electric vehicle battery production, a 41% increase in energy storage systems, and rising AI power demand [1] - The real estate and consumer sectors are experiencing weakness, while the implementation of anti-involution policies is becoming more balanced but currently lacks strong enforcement [1] Group 2: Investment Recommendations - The company favors aluminum stocks as alternative investments for AI power supply, maintaining a "buy" outlook on gold, copper, lithium (including battery materials), and cobalt stocks [1] - The company holds a neutral view on coal and is bearish on solar energy and construction materials (such as steel) due to weak demand, short-term weak enforcement of anti-involution policies, and declining steel profit margins [1] Group 3: Preferred Stocks - Preferred stocks include China Aluminum, Zijin Mining, China Hongqiao, Shandong Gold, and Ganfeng Lithium [1]

美银证券发表研报指，2026年是"赤马年"，对中国基本金属市场而言，有利于电气化及AI电力基础设 施，主要因以下关键因素：美元疲弱及美国降息周期利好金属；铜和铝供应持续紧张；今年需求驱动因 素包括电网投资(同比增长10%)、电气化(电动车电池增长27%)、储能系统(增长41%)及AI电力需求；房 地产及消费疲弱；反内卷政策更趋平衡，但近期执行力偏弱。该行首选铝业股(作为投资AI供电的替代 标的)，并对黄金、铜、锂(包括电池材料)及钴业股持"买入"看法；中性看待煤炭；对太阳能及建筑材料 (如钢铁)则看淡，主要因为需求疲软，反内卷政策短期执行力弱及钢铁利润率下降。该行首选个股有中 国铝业、紫金矿业、中国宏桥、山东黄金及赣锋锂业。 ...

MACD金叉信号形成，这些股涨势不错！ | 代码 | 名称 | | 涨幅% ↑ | 总市值 | 年初至今涨幅%。 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 000688 | 国城矿业 | - | -8.98 | 306亿 | -7.01 | | 002738 | 中矿资源 | t | -7.24 | 598 Z | 5.49 | | 002240 | 盤新锂能 | 1 | -6.05 | 323 Z | 2.35 | | 002756 | 永兴材料 | 1 | -5.31 | 287亿 | -1.71 | | 001203 | 大中矿业 | | -4.95 | 444亿 | -5.42 | | 002192 | 融捷股份 | | -4.76 | 145亿 | 7.85 | | 002466 | 天齐锂业 | I | -4.39 | 978亿 | 7.66 | | 000762 | 西藏矿业 | 1 | -3.85 | 146亿 | 6.55 | | 300267 | 尔康制药 | ﮨﮯ | -3.82 | 88.28亿 | 25.51 | | 002176 | 江特电 ...

Group 1 - Lithium stocks have risen again, with Tianqi Lithium (002466) up 3.81% to HKD 57.15 and Ganfeng Lithium (002460) up 3.72% to HKD 61.35 [2] - On January 13, the main contract for lithium carbonate futures on the Shanghai Futures Exchange broke through RMB 170,000 per ton, reaching a new high since October 2023 [2] - The latest price for battery-grade lithium carbonate (99.5% domestic) rose by RMB 12,080 to RMB 152,100 per ton on January 12, marking a new high in over two years and increasing for seven consecutive days [2] Group 2 - The Ministry of Finance and the State Taxation Administration announced a reduction in the export tax rebate rate for battery products from 9% to 6% starting April 1, 2026, and the cancellation of the rebate from January 1, 2027 [2] - According to Guosen Securities, there may be a short-term surge in export demand from overseas clients due to a policy buffer period, leading to a significant off-peak season in the industry chain [2]

矿业价值链包括勘探、采选、冶炼加工、精加工、运输与分销、回收与终端处置等环节，链条深长、工 艺复杂，任何节点的干扰都可能波及上下游，形成供应链风险。特别是，与能源转型相关的锂、镍、钴 等金属矿呈现种类多、品位低、资源分布分散等特征，造成其供应在资源禀赋和技术能力等方面更受限 制，安全保障难度显着提高。在多重不确定性叠加下，能源转型金属矿的产业链比较脆弱，投资风险偏 高。 我国虽在能源转型金属矿的加工精炼环节具有优势，但矿种来源主要依赖进口。以锂、钴为例，我国 2022年消费量在全球占比分别为65.9%和42.8%，但国内矿山产量在全球占比仅约为14%和1%，绝大部 分由外部供应。为强化供应链韧性，近年国内矿产公司积极涉足能源转型金属矿的海外投资，紫金矿 业、赣锋锂业、洛阳钼业、华友钴业等都在此列。 值得注意的是，随着全球矿产投资的增加，各方对矿产资源的争夺更为加剧，资源国地区的地缘政治冲 突与资源民族主义也同步兴起。尤其，全球矿产资源禀赋分布不均，矿业投资多发生于资源国，而资本 约束与终端消费主要来自国际市场与下游工业国，故单一国家的法律对跨国矿业投资的约束存在天然边 界。在资源国监管能力不足与跨境执法不易的 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing a strong upward trend, particularly in the non-ferrous metals sector, with significant price increases in various metals and ETFs [1][3]. Non-Ferrous Metals Sector Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector is benefiting from multiple catalysts, including macroeconomic disturbances, rigid supply, and new demand dynamics [3]. - The non-ferrous 50 ETF (159652) has seen a price increase of over 2%, reaching new highs [1][5]. - Key stocks in the sector include Zijin Mining, which rose by 2.69%, and Yunnan Tin, which surged by 6.29% [2][5]. Precious Metals Insights - Gold prices are supported by geopolitical tensions and weak employment data, with forecasts suggesting potential for gold to exceed $4,500 per ounce [3]. - The World Gold Council reported a net purchase of 45 tons of gold by central banks in November, indicating strong demand [3]. Industrial Metals Dynamics - Copper prices are expected to continue rising due to supply constraints and regional mismatches, with a projected total market shortfall of over 100,000 tons by 2026 [6]. - The ongoing geopolitical risks and supply security concerns are driving copper prices to new historical highs [6]. Lithium Market Outlook - Policy changes are anticipated to lead to a short-term surge in lithium exports, positively impacting lithium carbonate prices [4][6]. - The demand for lithium remains robust, with expectations of continued strong performance in the battery sector [4]. Investment Strategy - The non-ferrous 50 ETF (159652) is highlighted as a comprehensive investment vehicle covering various metal sectors, with a high concentration of strategic assets [7][9]. - The ETF's copper content is 34%, and gold content is 12%, making it a leading option in its category [9]. Performance Metrics - The non-ferrous 50 ETF has shown a cumulative return of 99.61% since 2022, driven by earnings rather than valuation increases, with a current PE ratio of 26.27, down 52% from five years ago [11].

Market Overview - On January 13, major indices in China experienced collective adjustments, with the Shenzhen Component Index falling over 1% and the ChiNext Index dropping nearly 2%. The Shanghai Composite Index closed down 0.64%, the Shenzhen Component Index down 1.37%, and the ChiNext Index down 1.96%. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 3.65 trillion yuan, an increase of 49.6 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] - In the U.S. stock market, the three major indices also declined on January 13. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 398.21 points to close at 49,191.99, a decrease of 0.80%. The S&P 500 Index dropped by 13.53 points to 6,963.74, down 0.19%, while the Nasdaq Composite Index decreased by 24.03 points to 23,709.87, a decline of 0.10% [1] Sector Performance - In the Chinese market, over 3,700 stocks declined, with the AI application concept sector rising against the trend, seeing over ten constituent stocks hitting the daily limit up. The AI medical concept remained active, while the power grid equipment sector strengthened in the afternoon. The retail sector also showed active performance. Conversely, the commercial aerospace and controllable nuclear fusion sectors experienced significant declines [1] - In the U.S., the performance of major indices reflected a general downward trend, indicating a cautious market sentiment [1] Commodity Prices - International oil prices rose on January 13. The price of light crude oil futures for February delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange increased by $1.65 to $61.15 per barrel, a rise of 2.77%. The March delivery Brent crude oil futures price rose by $1.60 to $65.47 per barrel, an increase of 2.51% [2] Policy and Regulatory Updates - The Ministry of Commerce of China announced the continuation of anti-dumping duties on imported solar-grade polysilicon from the U.S. and South Korea, effective from January 14, 2026, for a period of five years [2] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology issued an action plan for the high-quality development of industrial internet platforms from 2026 to 2028, aiming for significant progress in platform development and resource connectivity by 2028 [3][4] Company-Specific Developments - The approval of NVIDIA to export its H200 AI chips to China is expected to restart shipments to Chinese customers. This decision will be overseen by the U.S. Department of Commerce, which will also impose a fee of approximately 25% on the related transactions [7]