来源：新浪基金∞工作室 有色ETF鹏华（159880）业绩比较基准为国证有色金属行业指数收益率，管理人为鹏华基金管理有限公 司，基金经理为闫冬，成立（2021-03-08）以来回报为123.33%，近一个月回报为2.73%。 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文基于第三方数据库自动发布，不代表新浪财经观点，任何在本文 出现的信息均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建议。如有出入请以实际公告为准。如有疑问，请联系 biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 2月24日，有色ETF鹏华（159880）开盘涨3.44%，报2.314元。有色ETF鹏华（159880）重仓股方面，紫 金矿业开盘涨4.53%，洛阳钼业涨4.41%，北方稀土涨2.30%，华友钴业涨1.79%，中国铝业涨2.52%，赣 锋锂业涨4.36%，云铝股份涨1.92%，山东黄金涨4.07%，中金黄金涨4.98%，天齐锂业涨2.65%。 ...

消息面上，瑞银最新研究报告指出，该行旗帜鲜明看好"中国锂"，大幅上调锂辉石、碳酸锂价格预测， 并明确市场已进入第三次锂价超级周期。瑞银认为，电动汽车"三重平衡"逐步落地、储能需求全球爆发 将推动锂需求持续增长，同时重点提及天齐锂业、赣锋锂业、中国盐湖三家中国锂企并上调相关企业预 期。 锂业股盘中走强，截至发稿，赣锋锂业（002460）(01772)涨8.56%，报66.5港元；天齐锂业（002466） (09696)涨3.17%，报45.5港元。 值得一提的是，从多家锂电上市公司披露的2025年业绩预告或业绩快报来看，锂电产业链的全线回暖正 迎来业绩兑现。星展表示，赣锋锂业预计2025年度净利润将达11亿至16.5亿元之间。该行预期，在江西 锂矿获得采矿许可前，锂价仍将维持高位，相信锂行业的盈利能力将于2026年触底反弹。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook for the lithium industry [5] Core Viewpoints - The lithium industry is expected to transition from a state of "realistic oversupply" to "future tightness," marking 2026 as a pivotal year for price recovery [19] - The financial attributes of lithium have strengthened, with market expectations likely to lead pricing ahead of fundamental improvements [20] - The absolute price heights may be difficult to replicate, but a gradual increase in the price floor is more certain [21] Summary by Sections 1. Overall Viewpoint Discussion - 2026 is anticipated to be a turning point for lithium prices, moving from a low base to a higher equilibrium due to limited supply elasticity and sustained demand growth [19] - The demand for lithium is projected to maintain a compound growth rate of over 20%, driven by the expansion of renewable energy installations and AI-related infrastructure [19] 2. 2025 Lithium Price Review - In Q1 2025, lithium prices experienced fluctuations due to supply constraints and strong demand expectations, with prices peaking at approximately 78,500 CNY/ton [22] - Q2 2025 saw a decline in prices due to a supply-demand imbalance, with prices dropping to around 60,400 CNY/ton by the end of June [29] - Q3 2025 marked a recovery in prices, driven by supply-side disruptions and seasonal demand increases, with prices reaching approximately 72,700 CNY/ton by September [36] 3. Demand Analysis - The demand for lithium batteries is expected to grow significantly, with energy storage becoming a core growth driver, potentially surpassing 30% of total lithium demand by 2026 [8] - The global electric vehicle market is projected to continue its growth trajectory, although at a slightly reduced pace [19] 4. Supply Analysis - Capital expenditures in the lithium sector have decreased significantly, leading to a structural delay in new project approvals and expansions [10] - The report anticipates limited new supply additions in the coming years, with a projected net increase of 448,000 tons of lithium carbonate equivalent (LCE) in 2026 [18] 5. Supply-Demand Balance Analysis - The report suggests that the lithium market may not require a complete supply clearing to reverse the current trends, as both supply and demand are expected to increase [38] - Inventory levels are seen as a lagging indicator rather than a decisive factor in price movements [39] 6. Investment Recommendations - Companies with expansion projects in the next three years are highlighted as potential investment opportunities, including Dazhong Mining, Guocheng Mining, and Shengxin Lithium Energy [12] - Companies with diversified business models that can stabilize profits amid lithium price fluctuations are also recommended, such as Zhongmin Resources and Yahua Group [12]

锂业股早盘走强，截至发稿，赣锋锂业（01772）上涨7.75%，报66.05港元；天齐锂业（09696）上涨 2.77%，报45.32港元。 责任编辑：卢昱君 责任编辑：卢昱君 热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 锂业股早盘走强，截至发稿，赣锋锂业（01772）上涨7.75%，报66.05港元；天齐锂业（09696）上涨 2.77%，报45.32港元。 ...

每经AI快讯，港股锂业股盘中走强，截至发稿，赣锋锂业(01772.HK)涨8.56%，报66.5港元；天齐锂业 (09696.HK)涨3.17%，报45.5港元。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The lithium sector is experiencing a significant rally, driven by optimistic forecasts from UBS regarding lithium prices and demand, indicating the market has entered a third super cycle for lithium prices [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Lithium stocks have shown strong performance, with Ganfeng Lithium (01772) rising by 8.56% to HKD 66.5 and Tianqi Lithium (09696) increasing by 3.17% to HKD 45.5 [1] Group 2: Price Predictions - UBS has notably raised its price forecasts for lithium spodumene and lithium carbonate, emphasizing a sustained increase in lithium demand due to the "triple balance" in electric vehicles and a global surge in energy storage needs [1] Group 3: Company Outlook - UBS highlighted three Chinese lithium companies: Tianqi Lithium, Ganfeng Lithium, and China Salt Lake, and has upgraded their performance expectations [1] - According to DBS, Ganfeng Lithium is projected to achieve a net profit between CNY 1.1 billion and CNY 1.65 billion for the fiscal year 2025 [1] Group 4: Industry Trends - The lithium battery supply chain is showing signs of recovery, with multiple lithium companies reporting positive earnings forecasts for 2025 [1] - It is anticipated that lithium prices will remain high until mining permits are obtained for the Jiangxi lithium mine, with industry profitability expected to rebound by 2026 [1]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that the recent US Supreme Court ruling on the $175 billion tariff refund has significant implications for both China and the A-share market, despite the refund being an internal US matter [2][6][28] - The $175 billion in tariffs was primarily collected from imports, including a 10% tariff on Chinese goods, and is now being refunded to US importers [8][10] - The refund will indirectly benefit Chinese companies as US importers, who have been financially strained by tariffs, will use the refunded money to pay off debts to Chinese suppliers and resume orders [12][14][28] Group 2 - The immediate impact on the A-share market is expected to be positive, with a potential "opening red" for A-shares as market sentiment improves following the ruling [40][46] - The ruling is seen as a signal that the previous high tariffs on Chinese goods may not be a permanent state, which could lead to a more favorable environment for Chinese exports [20][48] - Structural opportunities in the A-share market are identified, focusing on five main lines: export-oriented sectors, domestic substitution, strategic resources, domestic consumption, and new energy [51][62][88] Group 3 - Export-oriented sectors, particularly those with high exposure to the US market, are expected to benefit directly from the tariff refunds, with companies like Midea Group and Haier expected to see improved performance [52][72][73] - Domestic substitution and self-sufficiency in sectors like semiconductors and military equipment are highlighted as long-term strategic focuses, with companies like SMIC and AVIC Shenyang Aircraft being key players [53][78][86] - Strategic resources such as rare earths and gold are also expected to see price support due to ongoing global supply chain disruptions, benefiting companies like Northern Rare Earth and Shandong Gold [56][87]

【DT新材料】 获悉，2月10日， 赣锋锂业 宣布， 旗下浙江锋锂研发的320Wh/kg高比能高功率eVTOL电池，已正式搭载于沃飞长空AE200-100机 型，并于2025年12月顺利完成第一阶段的载人试飞任务。 技术进展方面， 赣锋锂业称，公司同步推进 硅基与锂金属负极双路线 突破产业化门槛，以金属锂负极技术为核心，推动高比能电池量产进程： 400Wh/kg电池循环寿命已突破800次并完成工程验证，具备规模化应用潜力； 全球首款 500Wh/kg级10Ah产品实现小批量量产 ，树立锂金属电池 产业化标杆。 图片来源：赣锋锂业 同时，硅基负极同步推进，硅基体系 实现320-450Wh/kg产品梯度布局 ， 其中320Wh/kg电芯循环寿命突破1000次，450Wh/kg技术储备达行业 顶尖水平，满足不同场景对能量密度与循环性能的差异化需求。 由此可见，在固态电池领域，赣锋锂业已处于全球领先地位。 /扫码加入行业交流群/ 固态电池、钠电池、硅碳负极、人形机器人、储能、超级电容器等产业同行❤️↓ 添加微信，请备注： 姓名-单位职位 赣锋锂业表示，该公司与沃飞长空后续将围绕低空飞行动力电池领域展开合作，共建可持续 ...

经济观察网 根据2026年2月19日的市场信息，赣锋锂业（002460.SZ）近期股价波动主要受以下因素影 响： 行业板块情况 2月13日锂电池概念板块下跌0.70%，能源金属板块下跌2.16%，但碳酸锂价格企稳及储能需求增长预期 对板块形成长期支撑。同期公司港股（01772.HK）表现较强，2月16日上涨4.63%至63.30港元，AH股溢 价率为-15.70%，跨市场情绪差异可能对A股形成间接影响。 公司基本面 2025年底公司因内幕交易案导致市值短期蒸发超30亿元，叠加资产负债率57.59%、库存商品规模42.69 亿元等基本面压力，部分投资者对治理风险及行业结构性过剩保持谨慎。 888、666、188……专属炒股靓号来了！新年定制福利，开启马年投资好运>> 业绩经营情况 公司于2026年1月27日发布2025年业绩预告，预计归母净利润为11亿至16.5亿元，同比扭亏为盈，但扣 非净利润仍亏损3亿至6亿元，主业盈利承压。东吴证券研报指出，2025年第四季度碳酸锂均价环比上涨 19%至8.7万元/吨，带动单季度扣非净利润中值达4.9亿元，市场对锂价回暖及公司盈利改善的预期成为 短期情绪支撑。 资金面与技术 ...

增持后，JPMorgan Chase & Co.最新持好仓数目为2832.804万股，持好仓比例由6.99%上升至7.01%。 格隆汇7月21日丨根据联交所最新权益披露资料显示，2025年7月16日，赣锋锂业(01772.HK)获JPMorgan Chase & Co.以每股均价24.1323港元增持好仓11.39万股，涉资约2774.85万港元。 ...