据港交所文件，11月19日，摩根大通对赣锋锂业H股的空头持仓已从的4.45%下降至3.86%。 ...

Market Overview - The expectation for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in December has significantly increased, leading to a rise in Hong Kong stocks, with the Hang Seng Index briefly surpassing 26,000 points. The index closed up 0.69% at 25,894.55 points, with a total turnover of HKD 231.49 billion [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index rose by 1.2%, indicating a positive sentiment in the technology sector [1] Blue Chip Performance - Xiaomi Group-W (01810) saw a notable increase of 4.35%, closing at HKD 40.34, contributing 47.94 points to the Hang Seng Index. Founder Lei Jun invested over HKD 100 million to purchase 2.6 million shares, raising his stake to 23.26% [2] - Other blue-chip stocks like Baidu Group-SW (09888) and Alibaba Health (00241) also performed well, with increases of 4.56% and 4.36% respectively [2] Sector Highlights - Major technology stocks experienced gains, with Baidu and Xiaomi both rising over 4%. AI applications and computing power sectors were particularly active, with Bilibili rising over 5% [3] - Lithium stocks saw a surge, with Tianqi Lithium (002466) increasing by 4.81% and Ganfeng Lithium (01772) rising by 3.46%. The chairman of Tianqi Lithium indicated that global lithium demand is expected to reach 2 million tons by 2026, achieving a balance between supply and demand [4] - Gold stocks generally rose, with Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (06693) up 4.86% and Zijin Mining (02899) up 1.78%. The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December is currently at 81% [5] Flight Cancellations Impact - There has been a significant increase in flight cancellations from China to Japan, with a 56% rise compared to the previous month. This has led to a decrease in ticket bookings by approximately 29% [6] Notable Stock Movements - Longpan Technology (02465) surged by 22.89% after announcing a sales agreement worth over HKD 45 billion for lithium iron phosphate materials [7] - Hesai Technology (02525) rose by 13.43% following the launch of a new high-performance smart control chip [7] - Changfei Optical Fiber (06869) increased by 12.74%, driven by advancements in AI computing power [9] - Shandong Xinhua Pharmaceutical (00719) saw a rise of 7.24% due to increased demand for flu medications during the flu season [10]

Core Viewpoint - Lithium stocks experienced a surge in the afternoon, with Tianqi Lithium Industries rising by 4.11% and Ganfeng Lithium increasing by 3.21, driven by strong demand in renewable energy and electric vehicles [1] Industry Summary - The chairman of Tianqi Lithium, Jiang Anqi, stated that the demand for lithium materials is continuously increasing due to the rapid growth of electric commercial vehicles and energy storage applications. By 2026, global lithium demand is expected to reach 2 million tons of lithium carbonate equivalent, achieving a near balance between supply and demand [1] - Ganfeng Lithium's chairman, Li Liangbin, predicted a 30% increase in lithium carbonate demand by 2026, reaching 1.9 million tons, with supply capacity expected to grow by approximately 250,000 tons. This indicates a balanced supply-demand scenario, with potential upward pressure on lithium carbonate prices [1] - If demand growth exceeds 30% next year, potentially reaching 40%, short-term supply may not be able to keep pace, leading to prices possibly exceeding 150,000 yuan/ton or even 200,000 yuan/ton [1]

智通财经APP获悉，锂矿股午后拉升，截至发稿，天齐锂业(09696)涨4.11%，报47.64港元；赣锋锂业 (01772)涨3.21%，报49.56港元。 消息面上，天齐锂业董事长蒋安琪今日在2025年第二届中国国际锂业大会上表示，受益于可再生能源并 网需求、商用重卡等电动化设备增速迅猛，储能领域和动力电池对基础锂材料的需求持续上涨，2026年 全球锂需求量预计将达到200万吨碳酸锂当量，基本达到供需平衡。随着锂行业供需格局的改善，产业 链将破除同质化竞争，企业将迎来更大的发展空间。 值得一提的是，此前赣锋锂业董事长李良彬预测，2026年碳酸锂需求会增长30%，需求达到190万吨， 同时供应能力经过评估后会增长25万吨左右，供需基本平衡，碳酸锂价格有探涨空间。如果明年需求增 速超过30%，甚至达到40%，短期内供应无法平衡，价格可能会突破15万元/吨甚至20万元/吨。 ...

（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 每经AI快讯，11月25日，锂板块探底回升，西藏矿业涨超4%，天齐锂业、永杉锂业、赣锋锂业、永兴 材料跟涨。 ...

锂板块探底回升，西藏矿业涨超4%，天齐锂业、永杉锂业、赣锋锂业、永兴材料跟涨。 ...

Core Insights - The main focus of the article is on the significant outflow of capital from various stocks as of November 25, with specific amounts listed for the top 20 stocks experiencing the largest withdrawals [1] Group 1: Major Stocks with Capital Outflow - BlueFocus Communication Group saw a capital outflow of 668 million yuan [1] - Provincial Advertising Group experienced a withdrawal of 491 million yuan [1] - Industrial Fulian had a capital outflow of 467 million yuan [1] - 360 Security Technology faced a withdrawal of 325 million yuan [1] - Aerospace Development saw an outflow of 320 million yuan [1] Group 2: Additional Stocks with Notable Withdrawals - Guofeng New Materials had a capital outflow of 309 million yuan [1] - Zhongke Shuguang experienced a withdrawal of 305 million yuan [1] - Ganfeng Lithium saw an outflow of 292 million yuan [1] - Great Wall Military Industry faced a capital withdrawal of 210 million yuan [1] - Shida Group had an outflow of 208 million yuan [1] Group 3: Other Stocks in the Top 20 - GAC Group experienced a capital outflow of 201 million yuan [1] - Pingtan Development saw a withdrawal of 196 million yuan [1] - Data Port had an outflow of 193 million yuan [1] - China Shipbuilding Defense experienced a capital withdrawal of 182 million yuan [1] - Gree Electric Appliances saw an outflow of 180 million yuan [1] - Shiji Information faced a capital withdrawal of 168 million yuan [1] - Rongjie Co. experienced an outflow of 159 million yuan [1] - Tianqi Lithium saw a withdrawal of 153 million yuan [1] - Tianci Materials had a capital outflow of 152 million yuan [1] - Guomai Technology experienced a withdrawal of 148 million yuan [1]

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal industry index has shown strong performance, with significant increases in key stocks, driven by rising precious metal prices and positive demand forecasts for lithium and other materials [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of November 25, 2025, the non-ferrous metal industry index (399395) rose by 2.81%, with notable stock increases including Placo New Materials (300811) up 11.34%, Dongyang Sunshine (600673) up 6.14%, and Zhongjin Gold (600489) up 5.52% [1]. - The non-ferrous ETF fund (159880) increased by 2.28%, with the latest price at 1.71 yuan [1]. Group 2: Economic Indicators - Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller reiterated support for a potential interest rate cut in December, indicating that inflation is not a major concern at this time [1]. - The chairman of Tianqi Lithium, Jiang Anqi, projected that global lithium demand will reach 2 million tons of lithium carbonate equivalent by 2026, suggesting a balance between supply and demand [1]. Group 3: Industry Insights - Dongguan Securities highlighted that the supply side of industrial metals may remain constrained, emphasizing the growth in demand from the new energy sector [1]. - The supply of minor metals and new materials is under rigid constraints, while emerging demand is expected to surge [1]. - The supply side of energy metals is gradually optimizing, with ongoing attention to the recovery of downstream demand [1].

Group 1 - Ganfeng Lithium's stock price increased by 2.01% to 59.83 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 2.645 billion CNY and a market capitalization of 123.245 billion CNY as of November 25 [1] - The company has seen a year-to-date stock price increase of 71.63%, but a decline of 14.43% in the last five trading days and 7.50% in the last 20 days [1] - Ganfeng Lithium's main business revenue composition includes lithium series products (56.78%), lithium battery series products (35.52%), and others (7.70%) [1] Group 2 - As of September 30, Ganfeng Lithium reported a revenue of 14.625 billion CNY for the first nine months of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 5.02%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 25.52 million CNY, up 103.99% year-on-year [2] - The company has distributed a total of 6.162 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 3.933 billion CNY distributed in the last three years [3] - The number of shareholders increased to 372,500, with an average of 3,243 circulating shares per person, a decrease of 23.77% from the previous period [2]

上周五市场大跌的主要原因是什么？未来市场走势如何？ 上周五市场大跌的主要原因之一是美联储降息预期的摇摆，这引发了全球资产 的波动。包括周四晚上的美股和周五的 A 股都受此影响。如果未来市场相信降 息预期升温，那么全球资产抛售将逐渐结束，进入震荡阶段；反之，市场可能 进一步下跌，直到达到关键支撑位或推动美国经济下行，美联储开始降息。 锂年度反转，矢志不渝！20251124 摘要 有色金属板块回调被视为买入机会，碳酸锂和能源金属年度层级仍看多， 铝、锂、钴等重点标的值得布局，铜和黄金也进入布局期，整体板块仍 有较大投资空间。 碳酸锂价格受需求端二次增长动力驱动，价格反转不受供给影响，长期 坚定看好年度反转，短期价格冲破 10 万以上乏力，明年一季度回调至 8 万左右是捡钱机会，2026 年反转，2027 年紧缺，价格将突破 10 万并 达到 15 万上下。 交易所限仓 500 手导致碳酸锂市场下跌，可能与企业套保有关，宁德复 产也是催化因素，单周 2000 吨产量与当前库存去化打平，库存整体可 能维持相对平稳状态。 大中矿业通过副产品及大矿投产后的边际效应，将成本压低至四五万元， 具有竞争力，2026、2027 ...