证券研究报告·公司深度研究·风电设备 大金重工（002487） 管桩出海厚积薄发，未来成长性确定 2025 年 04 月 20 日 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 4325 | 3780 | 5727 | 7522 | 8933 | | 同比（%） | (15.30) | (12.61) | 51.52 | 31.34 | 18.76 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 425.16 | 473.88 | 852.62 | 1,211.19 | 1,542.78 | | 同比（%） | (5.58) | 11.46 | 79.92 | 42.06 | 27.38 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.67 | 0.74 | 1.34 | 1.90 | 2.42 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 40.49 | 36.32 | 20.19 | 14.21 | 11.16 | [Table_T ...

证券研究报告·公司深度研究·风电设备 大金重工（002487） 管桩出海厚积薄发，未来成长性确定 2025 年 04 月 20 日 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 4325 | 3780 | 5727 | 7522 | 8933 | | 同比（%） | (15.30) | (12.61) | 51.52 | 31.34 | 18.76 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 425.16 | 473.88 | 852.62 | 1,211.19 | 1,542.78 | | 同比（%） | (5.58) | 11.46 | 79.92 | 42.06 | 27.38 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.67 | 0.74 | 1.34 | 1.90 | 2.42 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 40.49 | 36.32 | 20.19 | 14.21 | 11.16 | [Table_T ...

[Table_Title] 海外单桩竞争优势突出，向全球一流海工企业坚定迈进 [Table_Title2] 大金重工(002487) [Table_Summary] ► 24 年盈利能力强劲，销售毛利率创近年新高 2024 年公司实现营业收入 37.80 亿元，同比-12.61%，其中海外 收入 17.33 亿元，占风电装备板块收入比重近 50%；受益于出口 海工产品高附加值带来的高盈利，2024 年实现归母净利润 4.74 亿元，同比+11.46%。24Q4，公司实现归母净利润 1.92 亿元，同 比+1018%。24 年及单四季度业绩表现亮眼。 毛利率、净利率连续三年持续提升，24 年实现毛利率 29.83%， 同比+6.59pct，为近 10 年来最高水平；实现净利率 12.54%，同 比+2.71pct。 ► 欧洲可拍卖海风容量创近年新高，后续有望持续获取 海外海风订单 证券研究报告|公司点评报告 [Table_Date] 2025 年 04 月 16 日 根据公司年报，2024 年，欧洲海上风电项目拍卖总量 36.8GW， 创下年度核准量历史新高；其中海风占比超过半数，达到近 20GW，较 2023 ...

24年盈利能力强劲，销售毛利率创近年新高2024 年公司实现营业收入37.80 亿元，同比-12.61%，其中 海外收入17.33 亿元，占风电装备板块收入比重近50%；受益于出口海工产品高附加值带来的高盈利， 2024 年实现归母净利润4.74亿元，同比+11.46%。24Q4，公司实现归母净利润1.92 亿元，同比 +1018%。24 年及单四季度业绩表现亮眼。 2019 年进入欧洲海风市场，客户覆盖头部主流，历史交付成绩优秀。根据年报，公司 2024 年出口欧洲 的海外海上项目发运量和交货范围明显增加，实现向英国、法国、丹麦、德国等地的多个海上风电场项 目交付括单桩、海塔、过渡段等多类型海工产品，累计出口发运量近 11 万吨，实现同比提升，涵盖项 目包括英国Moray West 海塔、法国NOY 单桩、丹麦Thor 单桩、英国Sofia海塔、英国DBB 海塔等， 业 主包括欧洲头部的RWE、OceanWinds、GE 等。 以欧洲历史业绩为依托，公司积极开拓除欧洲外的日韩、东南亚、澳洲等全球份额。根据年报，2024 年蓬莱基地接待众多海外客户调研、审核，目前，公司成功通过绝大多数欧洲头部业主的合格供应商 ...

Summary of Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call primarily discusses the offshore wind power (海丰) industry in Europe, focusing on project developments, auction capacities, and financial indicators related to the sector [1][2][3]. Key Points and Arguments 1. **Auction Capacity and FID Trends**: - In 2022, European countries like Germany, the UK, and the Netherlands contributed nearly 20 GW of new auction capacity, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 47% despite some auction failures [1]. - The overall financing activities for offshore wind projects in Europe were relatively low, with less than 3 GW of FIDs completed, a decline of approximately 70% year-on-year [2]. 2. **Future Project Expectations**: - There is a strong expectation for more projects to complete FID based on the 40 GW of projects already auctioned, indicating a high likelihood of subsequent project initiation [3]. - The offshore wind capacity in Europe is projected to continue growing, albeit at a slower pace than initially anticipated [5]. 3. **Project Procurement Timeline**: - The procurement cycle for offshore wind projects in Europe typically spans three to four years before project grid connection, which is longer than domestic timelines [6]. - Orders currently in hand for wind turbine foundation companies are primarily from projects scheduled for grid connection in 2027 and beyond [7]. 4. **Order Backlog and Performance**: - There is a notable disparity in order backlogs between different companies, with some experiencing significant growth while others have not yet seen similar increases [8]. - The profitability of offshore wind technology companies in Europe is generally modest, with leading firms achieving economic margins of only 1-2% [10]. 5. **Manufacturing Capacity and Demand**: - By the end of 2023, European wind turbine technology companies had invested approximately 1 million tons in manufacturing capacity, which aligns with about 5 GW of new installation demand [11]. - Current manufacturing capacity is insufficient to meet the anticipated demand for offshore wind projects in the coming years [12]. 6. **Market Dynamics and Competitive Landscape**: - The competitive landscape includes significant players like SAFE, which holds a leading position in the Netherlands, and other companies like 大金, which have substantial market shares in the UK and other regions [14][15]. - The expectation for new orders in 2024 is strong, with the current year being viewed as a pivotal year for order placements in the offshore wind sector [16]. 7. **Company Performance Outlook**: - The company anticipates a strong performance in Q1 and Q2 of the current year, with expectations for significant growth in overseas shipments and overall orders [17][18]. - The offshore wind segment is expected to remain a robust growth driver for the company, alongside contributions from other business areas [18]. Additional Important Insights - The call highlighted the importance of understanding the micro-level project dynamics in the offshore wind sector, which can provide insights into broader market trends [4]. - The discussion also emphasized the need for companies to adapt to the longer procurement cycles and the implications for future project timelines and financial planning [6][7].

Summary of Conference Call Company and Industry Overview - The conference call primarily discusses the performance and strategic direction of a company involved in the offshore wind energy sector, specifically focusing on its operations in Europe and its recent projects and financial results [1][2][3]. Key Points and Arguments Financial Performance - The company reported a total shipment volume of approximately 390,000 tons last year, with a revenue decline attributed to a reduction in domestic business, which aligns with the strategic decision made at the beginning of the year to lower profitability in riskier domestic markets [1]. - Profit for the year reached 474 million, with a year-on-year increase of 11.46%, driven by high profitability from exported offshore products [1]. - The gross margin and net margin have been continuously improving for three consecutive years, with the gross margin nearing 30% in the 2024 annual report [1]. Project Updates - In Q4, the company successfully delivered two vessels for the DAP project in Denmark, marking the best quarterly performance in terms of revenue and net profit [2]. - The company has established solid partnerships with top five clients in Europe and is actively pursuing further offshore projects [2]. - The company has completed significant projects in Europe, including the NOY project in France and the Thor project in Denmark, with all scheduled deliveries meeting quality standards [3]. Market Trends and Growth Projections - The European offshore wind market is projected to grow significantly, with cumulative installed capacity expected to reach 285 GW by the end of 2024, including 37 GW from offshore wind [4][5]. - The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for offshore wind installations in Europe is forecasted at 22% from 2023 to 2028 and 23% from 2028 to 2033 [5]. - The company is actively participating in the Japanese and Korean markets, with established relationships with developers and ongoing projects [7][8]. Strategic Initiatives - The company has established a global floating foundation center in Spain to address the growing demand for floating wind projects [13][14]. - A new shipping division has been created to enhance logistics capabilities, allowing for more efficient project delivery [16]. - The company is focusing on localizing production and has made significant investments in its facilities to meet the increasing demand for offshore wind components [23][24]. Risks and Challenges - The company acknowledges potential risks in the European market, including the impact of geopolitical tensions and supply chain challenges due to sanctions affecting material availability [39][40]. - There are concerns about the ability to meet the growing demand for offshore wind projects, particularly in light of the increasing complexity and scale of projects [38]. Future Outlook - The company is optimistic about maintaining its gross margin levels and expects to see continued growth in offshore wind project orders, particularly in Europe [28][30]. - The management anticipates that the offshore wind market will continue to expand, driven by government incentives and a shift towards renewable energy sources [23][46]. Additional Important Content - The company is actively exploring acquisition opportunities and partnerships to enhance its market position and operational capabilities [19][21]. - There is a strong emphasis on quality and timely delivery, which has contributed to positive feedback from clients and a solid reputation in the market [18][22]. - The management team is confident in achieving significant market share growth in the coming years, with a focus on both domestic and international markets [44][46].

Investment Rating - The report upgrades the investment rating of the company to "Buy" from "Hold" [1][5][7] Core Views - The company has shown initial success in its "New Two Seas" strategy, with significant improvements in operational quality. In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 3.78 billion RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 12.61%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 11.46% to 474 million RMB [5][10] - The company is positioned to benefit from the growing demand for wind power installations both domestically and internationally, particularly in the offshore wind sector in Europe, which is expected to see rapid growth starting in 2025 [10][11] - The company has a strong order backlog and is actively expanding its production capacity, aiming for a global capacity of over 3 million tons, with a focus on establishing a marketing network in Europe and Southeast Asia [10][11] Financial Summary - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 3,780 million RMB, with a gross margin of 29.83%, an increase of 6.39 percentage points year-on-year. The net profit margin improved to 12.54%, up by 2.71 percentage points [11][12] - The company forecasts revenues of 5.23 billion RMB, 7.59 billion RMB, and 8.80 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 711 million RMB, 1.02 billion RMB, and 1.31 billion RMB [7][9] - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 1.12 RMB, 1.59 RMB, and 2.05 RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with a current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 20.4, 14.3, and 11.1 for the same years [7][9]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Strong Buy" rating for the company [2]. Core Insights - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the acceleration of offshore wind development in Europe, with its domestic business expected to exceed expectations [1]. - The company has a clear development strategy, having established a presence in domestic onshore and offshore wind markets, as well as the European offshore wind market [1][6]. - The company has successfully entered the high-barrier, high-value European offshore wind market, with significant order volumes and a strong customer base [6][30]. Company Overview - Founded in 2000, the company transitioned from traditional energy equipment manufacturing to clean energy manufacturing in 2006 and was listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange in 2010 [12]. - The company primarily produces wind turbine towers and related structures, with a focus on offshore wind projects [12][17]. - As of 2024, the company reported a revenue decline of 12.6% year-on-year to 3.78 billion yuan, primarily due to a strategic reduction in domestic business with lower profitability and higher payment risks [6][21]. European Offshore Wind Market - The company has made significant strides in the European offshore wind market, having signed its first order in 2022 and accumulating a substantial order book since then [6][30]. - The total value of undisclosed European offshore wind orders is approximately 7.2 billion yuan, with a gross margin significantly higher than domestic operations [6][30]. - The European offshore wind market is expected to grow rapidly, with a compound annual growth rate of 36% from 2024 to 2027, driven by energy independence and climate goals [39][40]. Domestic Business Outlook - The domestic wind power market is projected to see a 90% increase in bidding volume in 2024, reaching 164 GW, which is expected to lead to accelerated deliveries in 2025 [34][38]. - The company’s domestic onshore wind business is anticipated to exceed expectations, with a production capacity of approximately 500,000 tons [34]. - The company’s operational projects, including a 250 MW wind project, are expected to contribute stable profits [35]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 804 million yuan and 948 million yuan in 2025 and 2026, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 20X and 17X [6][7].

Investment Rating - The report upgrades the investment rating of the company to "Buy" from "Hold" [1][5][7] Core Views - The company has shown initial success in its "New Two Seas" strategy, with significant improvements in operational quality. In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 3.78 billion RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 12.61%, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 11.46% to 474 million RMB [5][10] - The company is positioned to benefit from the growing demand for wind power installations both domestically and internationally, particularly in the offshore wind sector in Europe, which is expected to see rapid growth starting in 2025 [10][11] - The company has a strong order backlog and is actively expanding its production capacity, aiming for a global production capacity of over 3 million tons, which will support future growth [10][11] Financial Summary - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 3,780 million RMB, with a gross margin of 29.83%, up 6.39 percentage points year-on-year. The net profit margin was 12.54%, an increase of 2.71 percentage points [11][12] - The company forecasts revenues of 5.23 billion RMB, 7.59 billion RMB, and 8.80 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 711 million RMB, 1,017 million RMB, and 1,310 million RMB [7][9] - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 1.12 RMB, 1.59 RMB, and 2.05 RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with a current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 20.4, 14.3, and 11.1 for the same years [7][9]

证券研究报告 | 2025年04月15日 大金重工（002487.SZ） 优于大市 海工出口表现亮眼，客户与产品持续突破 全年业绩稳步增长，盈利能力持续提升。2024 年公司实现营收 37.80 亿元， 同比-12.61%；归母净利润 4.74 亿元，同比+11.46%。2024 年公司销售毛利 率为 29.83%，同比+6.39pct.；销售净利率为 12.54%，同比+2.71pct。公司 海外海工业务快速发展，盈利能力持续提升。 四季度业绩表现亮眼，盈利能力再创新高。第四季度公司实现营收 14.73 亿 元，同比+48.55%，环比+55.07%；归母净利润 1.92 亿元，同比+1017.55%， 环比+77.44%。四季度公司毛利率 33.96%，同比+13.07pct，环比+8.74pct， 净利率 13.02%，同比+11.29pct，环比+1.64pct。 全年海风出口发运近 11 万吨，首次实现 DAP 交付。2024 年公司海外收入达 17.33 亿元，占风电装备板块收入近 50%。公司 2024 年实现向英国、法国、 丹麦、德国等地多个海上风电项目交付单桩、海塔、过渡段等海工产品，出 口 ...