新能源全面入市
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某央企:2026年,不再新增持有光伏等智慧绿电项目
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-24 10:32
登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 2月24日,南网能源发布《关于战略规划2026年度执行重点计划的公告》。公告称,在工业节能领域, 深耕高效冷热供应业务,积极开展生产过程节能,拓展多能协同、零碳园区、交能融合、智能微网、虚 拟电厂等业务,不断完善和优化响应新能源全面入市应对策略,不再新增持有光伏等智慧绿电项目,制 定资产持有策略和优化安排,推动由持有智慧绿电项目向多能协同与智慧运营转型。 公告表示,公司结合行业政策与市场形势变化,明确五大核心执行方向: (一)锚定转型升级,优化核心业务布局 结合公司前期业务布局调整及行业政策与市场形势变化等因素,继续发挥综合能源领域的专业优势、技 术优势,坚持"精益投资+高端服务"并重的转型方向,健全"投资+服务+产品"业务形式。聚焦工业节能 和建筑节能两大业务基本盘,不再新增投资综合资源利用业务。继续开展"节能倍增""服务倍增"等相关 行动,重点拓展工业节能及建筑节能领域的高端服务业务。在工业节能领域,深耕高效冷热供应业务, 积极开展生产过程节能,拓展多能协同、零碳园区、交能融合、智能微网、虚拟电厂等业务,不断完善 和优化响应新能源全面入市应对策略,不再新增 ...
华北电力大学刘敦楠:随着新能源全面入市,电能量市场价格有望回归合理水平
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-19 06:46
专题:财经年会2026:预测与战略暨2025全球财富管理论坛 责任编辑:李思阳 针对"电力回归商品属性"与"行政定价主导"的矛盾问题,刘敦楠澄清了电力商品的特殊性,指出其无法 等同于一般商品,核心源于两大属性:一是物理属性,电力需实时平衡,受电力系统物理约束,安全稳 定是首要前提;二是社会责任属性,我国发电与电网资源归国家所有,而非私人资本掌控,安全保供、 民生保障是第一原则,这与国外电力市场"私有化、重盈利、轻责任"的模式有本质区别。 他强调,所谓"行政定价"更应理解为对社会责任的保障,由政府或公共机构按成本核定价格,确保基础 供电。在满足安全保供的前提下,针对供大于求的时段,可通过市场机制优化效率,形成"社会责任为 先、市场效率为辅"的辨证关系。 刘敦楠赞同储能行业的发展潜力,同时指出当前我国储能主要依赖现货市场价差获取收入,而欧美市场 中灵活性资源的收入来源更为多元。利好的是,国家正制定将储能与煤电、抽蓄一视同仁的容量价格机 制,将为储能发展提供基础保障。 "136号文出来之后,新能源全面入市,电能量市场的价格将会回归到一个更加合理的价格或者大家普遍 预期电容量是的价格会有所走低。"腾出的电价空间可用于 ...
光伏业2025:“反内卷”,创价值,见曙光
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-12-18 18:24
Group 1: Industry Trends - The core consensus among solar companies is a shift from cost competition to value creation, indicating a transition towards high-quality development in the solar industry [1][5][8] - The "136 Document" is a pivotal policy that promotes market-driven pricing for renewable energy, marking a shift from fixed pricing to market-oriented evaluations [2][3] - The solar industry is expected to mature and stabilize by 2026, focusing on value creation and technological innovation as key drivers [9][10] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The market is witnessing a gradual recovery in prices since July, with key components like polysilicon and solar cells showing price increases, indicating a potential turning point for profitability [4][7] - The integration of energy storage with solar power is emerging as a new growth avenue, with companies like Canadian Solar and JinkoSolar positioning themselves to capitalize on this trend [6][10] - The industry is experiencing a phase of capacity clearing, with smaller players exiting the market, leading to a more competitive landscape focused on value rather than scale [8][9] Group 3: Future Outlook - The 2026 energy market is anticipated to be crucial for the solar industry, with a focus on self-regulation and adherence to market mechanisms to ensure sustainable growth [9][10] - Companies are expected to enhance their technological capabilities to improve efficiency and power output, which will be essential for navigating the upcoming market challenges [10]
开源证券2026年度投资策略丨电新-风电:乘风而起,行业业绩与信心共振
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-02 00:39
Core Viewpoint - The wind power industry is expected to see significant growth in installed capacity during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, driven by the dual carbon goals and the increasing preference for wind energy projects among developers [3][8]. Group 1: Domestic Wind Power Capacity Growth - The domestic wind power installed capacity is projected to reach new heights, with annual additions expected to be no less than 120GW during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, including at least 15GW from offshore wind [3][8]. - In 2024, the domestic wind power installed capacity increased by 9.6% year-on-year to 86.99GW, with cumulative additions from 2021 to 2024 reaching 272.1GW, significantly higher than the 145.5GW added during the "13th Five-Year Plan" [8][22]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Competition - The land-based wind power market is showing signs of recovery from previous price wars, with average bidding prices for land-based wind turbines increasing by 13% in the first eight months of 2025 compared to the average price in 2024 [4][9]. - The offshore wind power sector has substantial growth potential, with a rich reserve of projects and a high level of bidding activity, indicating a robust market outlook [4][9]. Group 3: International Expansion and Demand - Global wind energy demand is on the rise, with the Global Wind Energy Council predicting a compound annual growth rate of 12.4% for land-based wind installations outside of China from 2025 to 2030, and 15.8% for offshore wind [4][10]. - Chinese wind turbine manufacturers are accelerating their international expansion, with a record 19.28GW of overseas orders secured by seven domestic manufacturers in the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a shift from product export to localized production [4][10][56]. Group 4: Offshore Wind Power Development - The European offshore wind market is experiencing high demand, with a record 199GW of offshore wind projects approved in 2024, indicating a strong growth trajectory for future installations [61][62]. - The domestic offshore wind projects in Jiangsu and Guangdong are progressing well, with significant capacities planned and ongoing construction, which is expected to enhance the overall offshore wind development landscape in China [38][40].
新能源全面入市后,电站该怎么建?
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-11-26 01:23
Core Insights - The traditional methods for assessing the profitability of renewable energy projects have become obsolete due to the comprehensive market entry of renewable energy, necessitating a shift in investment strategies towards outperforming peers [1][2] - The implementation of the "Mechanism Price" system under the "136 Document" allows renewable energy plants to participate in market pricing, which introduces new revenue structures and associated risks [1][2] Group 1: Market Changes - The "136 Document" mandates that renewable energy generation will fully enter the market, with prices determined by market forces, marking a significant shift in the industry [1] - The "new and old separation" and "mechanism price" systems are key components of the transition, with existing plants enjoying guaranteed purchase policies until May 31, 2025, while new plants will operate under a competitive pricing model [1] Group 2: Investment Strategies - Current revenue for renewable energy plants consists of market-based electricity sales and mechanism price revenues, both of which are subject to volatility, increasing investment risks [2] - To mitigate risks, renewable energy plants should aim to keep their generation costs at competitive levels, enabling them to adapt to market fluctuations [2] Group 3: Technological Integration - The integration of AI in the energy sector is seen as crucial for optimizing trading and operational efficiencies, with a growing demand for AI as markets transition to real-time trading [3] - AI's ability to combine market transaction data with weather forecasts is viewed as a competitive advantage for renewable energy plants [2][3] Group 4: Market Dynamics - The rapid growth of renewable energy installations has created challenges for grid capacity, leading to operational pressures on the grid [3] - The market-driven pricing mechanism is expected to better reflect the value of renewable energy generation, although concerns about potential oversupply in certain regions and types of renewable energy have been raised [3]
新能源板块盘中拉升,关注储能电池ETF(159566)、新能源ETF易方达(516090)等布局机会
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-28 04:58
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the renewable energy sector is experiencing a positive trend, with various indices showing gains, indicating a strong market performance in this area [1] - As of the midday close, the China Securities New Energy Index rose by 0.6%, the National Securities New Energy Battery Index increased by 0.5%, the China Securities Photovoltaic Industry Index went up by 0.4%, and the Shanghai Environmental Exchange Carbon Neutrality Index climbed by 0.2% [1] - The Storage Battery ETF (159566) saw a net subscription of 5 million units during the half-day session, reflecting strong investor interest in the sector [1] Group 2 - CITIC Construction Investment Securities stated that the global resonance of the energy storage industry trend remains unchanged, with domestic energy storage economics reaching a turning point [1] - The core drivers for this shift include the comprehensive market entry of renewable energy, which has widened the peak-valley price difference, along with the introduction of capacity price policies that enhance the internal rate of return (IRR) for energy storage [1]
机构称储能全球共振产业趋势不变,关注储能电池ETF(159566)等投资价值
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-20 11:42
Group 1 - The technology and new energy sectors have collectively rebounded, with the battery sector showing significant gains. The Guozheng New Energy Battery Index rose by 1.9%, while the Zhongzheng New Energy Index and the Zhongzheng Shanghai Carbon Neutrality Index both increased by 0.4%, and the Zhongzheng Photovoltaic Industry Index rose by 0.3% [1] - CITIC Construction Investment Securities indicates that the global resonance trend in the energy storage industry remains unchanged, with domestic energy storage economics reaching a turning point. The core drivers include the full market entry of new energy, which has widened the peak-valley electricity price difference, along with the introduction of capacity price policies that enhance the internal rate of return (IRR) of energy storage [1]
中国三峡新能源(集团)股份有限公司关于2025年半年度业绩说明会召开情况的公告
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-09-10 18:36
Core Viewpoint - The company held its 2025 semi-annual performance briefing on September 9, 2025, discussing its project approvals, development plans, and financial performance amidst the evolving renewable energy market [1][2][3]. Group 1: Project Approvals and Capacity - In the first half of 2025, the company secured 4.0056 million kilowatts of new approved/registered projects, including 1.8056 million kilowatts of onshore wind, 300,000 kilowatts of offshore wind, and 1.9 million kilowatts of solar power [2]. - The company aims to focus on high-quality renewable energy projects with favorable wind and solar resources, low engineering costs, and strong risk resistance [2]. Group 2: Development Plans - During the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, the company will align with national carbon neutrality goals, emphasizing high-quality development and seeking new growth points through digitalization and technological innovation [3]. - The strategic focus includes developing large onshore renewable energy bases and leading offshore wind power projects [3]. Group 3: Market Impact and Response - The company anticipates increased market volatility with the full market entry of renewable energy, implementing 43 measures across the project lifecycle to ensure quality and competitiveness [4][5]. - The company is actively participating in market price bidding, adapting its strategies based on local market conditions [5]. Group 4: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported a 2.19% decrease in revenue and a 5.48% decline in net profit, attributed to reduced operating hours and lower average electricity prices [6][7]. - The average electricity price for wind and solar power decreased due to a higher proportion of grid parity projects and increased market competition [12]. Group 5: Renewable Energy Pricing and Recovery - As of June 30, 2025, the company had a balance of 50.289 billion yuan in renewable energy price subsidies, with recovery exceeding the previous year's total by August [7]. - The company maintains a bad debt provision ratio of 5.13% for its renewable energy price subsidies [7]. Group 6: Efficiency Improvement Measures - The company is implementing quality improvement initiatives, focusing on enhancing operational efficiency, stabilizing electricity prices, and reducing costs through optimized management [8][9]. - Specific actions include improving equipment management and exploring financing cost reductions [9]. Group 7: REITs and Asset Management - The company is in the process of public REITs for its Dalian offshore wind project, which has a total installed capacity of 298.8 MW [10]. - Future asset management strategies will focus on revitalizing existing wind and solar assets through appropriate measures [10]. Group 8: Technological Innovation - The company has achieved significant technological advancements, including over 200 new patents and participation in key national research projects [14]. - Innovations include the development of large-capacity offshore wind turbines and new solar technologies, enhancing competitiveness in the renewable energy sector [14][17]. Group 9: Market and Governance - The company is actively enhancing its market value management in response to regulatory requirements, focusing on improving core competitiveness and investor relations [15]. - Measures include establishing a stable dividend policy and enhancing governance effectiveness to support long-term growth [15].
从“强制配储”走向市场竞逐:新型储能的机遇与挑战
中关村储能产业技术联盟· 2025-09-05 09:48
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the urgent need for unified market design to support the development of new energy storage systems, especially after the cancellation of mandatory energy storage requirements for renewable energy sources, which has shifted the focus to market-driven profitability strategies [2][4][7]. Summary by Sections Market Dynamics - The new energy storage market is experiencing a phase of "short-term fluctuations and long-term optimism," transitioning from a policy-driven model to one that must prove its value in a competitive market [4]. - In the first quarter of 2025, the newly installed capacity of new energy storage projects in China was 5.03 GW, showing a year-on-year decline of 1.5% [5]. - By the second quarter of 2025, driven by a surge in photovoltaic installations, the total installed capacity of new energy storage reached 94.91 GW, marking a 29% increase compared to the end of 2024 [6]. Policy and Implementation - The implementation of the "136 Document" by the National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration is crucial for reshaping the "renewable energy + storage" development landscape [2]. - Various provinces have begun to issue local regulations based on the "136 Document," with some provinces like Gansu and Inner Mongolia providing specific capacity pricing standards [6]. Opportunities and Challenges - The full market entry of renewable energy presents new opportunities for new energy storage, as the removal of mandatory storage requirements allows for a broader market demand for adjustable resources [7]. - However, challenges remain, including the lack of industry standards, economic viability, and unclear profit models [8]. Technical and Economic Bottlenecks - Key issues facing new energy storage include safety, technology, and economic viability, with ongoing concerns about the safety of large-scale chemical storage systems [8]. - The current price limits in the electricity market restrict the ability to reflect real-time supply and demand, hindering resource adjustment and development potential [9]. Solutions and Recommendations - To address these challenges, a dual approach of top-level design and technological innovation is recommended, focusing on the adaptability of new energy storage to power system operations [10]. - Emphasis should be placed on reducing costs and improving efficiency in the manufacturing sector, as well as enhancing the planning and investment analysis of energy storage projects [11]. - Experts suggest expanding market price mechanisms and developing long-cycle, large-capacity storage technologies to address seasonal power supply issues [12].
龙源电力(001289):上半年业绩符合预期,关注全面入市下的经营拐点
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-08-25 12:43
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company's performance in the first half of 2025 met expectations, with a focus on operational turning points under comprehensive market entry [5] - The company reported a revenue of 15.657 billion RMB in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 17.36%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.519 billion RMB, down 12.46% [7] - The company plans to distribute a mid-term cash dividend of 0.1 RMB per share, accounting for 24.77% of the net profit attributable to shareholders [7] - The decline in revenue is attributed to the divestment of thermal power, while the average on-grid electricity price for wind power decreased by 1.6 cents to 0.422 RMB/kWh [7] - The company has a significant focus on shareholder returns, committing to a cash dividend ratio of no less than 30% of the net profit attributable to shareholders for the years 2025-2027 [7] Financial Summary - The company’s projected revenue for 2025 is 32.408 billion RMB, with a year-on-year decrease of 12.6% [6] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 5.982 billion RMB in 2025, with a projected P/E ratio of 8.8 [6] - The company’s total market capitalization is approximately 57.1 billion HKD, with a circulating market capitalization of about 22.7 billion HKD [3]