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申万宏源:航司持续加大运力投放 关注后续“反内卷”下票价回暖信号及趋势
智通财经网· 2025-09-17 03:30
智通财经APP获悉,申万宏源发布研报称,8月迎来暑运旺季高峰,航空市场运力运量稳步增长。继续 看好航空板块,供给逻辑确定性强,预计未来3-5 年行业机队供给增速趋缓,需求端具备弹性,客运量 和客座率持续增长均已在相对高位,可关注后续民航"反内卷"下票价回暖信号及趋势。同时,在外部油 汇变化配合下,航空公司能够释放较大业绩提升空间,推荐中国国航(601111.SH)、华夏航空 (002928.SZ)、春秋航空(601021.SH)、吉祥航空(603885.SH)、国泰航空(00293)、南方航空(600029.SH)、 中国东航(600115.SH)。 申万宏源主要观点如下: 暑运后半段进入旺季高峰,8月民航运力运量均同比增长 根据航班管家数据,8月民航旅客运输量约7508万人次,同比24年增长3.0%;民航国内运力同比24年增长 1.3%,国内客流量同比24年增长2.2%。8月国际客运航班约6.1万班次,恢复至19年同期的88.6%,中国 大陆赴日、韩、香港航班量排列前三。8月民航日均飞机利用率为8.9小时,环比+0.3%,同比+0.2%。 根据航班管家数据,8月宽体机日均利用率为10.5小时,窄体机为8.9 ...
航空行业8月数据点评:暑运旺季高峰,航司持续加大运力投放,客座率环比增长
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the aviation sector, indicating a positive outlook for the industry compared to the overall market performance [7]. Core Insights - The aviation industry is experiencing steady growth in capacity and passenger volume, with August data showing a year-on-year increase in domestic passenger transport volume by 3.0% and domestic capacity by 1.3% compared to 2024 [3][4]. - The report highlights that airlines are increasing capacity to meet the demand during the peak summer travel season, with a notable rise in passenger turnover and load factors across major airlines [4]. - The analysis suggests that the supply-demand balance in the domestic market is improving, with significant growth in capacity and volume for airlines like Spring Airlines and China Eastern Airlines [4]. Summary by Sections August Data Overview - In August, the average daily aircraft utilization rate was 8.9 hours, showing a month-on-month increase of 0.3% and a year-on-year increase of 0.2% [4]. - Major airlines reported varying year-on-year changes in capacity (ASK) and passenger turnover (RPK), with Spring Airlines leading in growth [4][5]. Domestic Market Performance - The domestic market shows a balanced growth in supply and demand, with significant increases in capacity and volume for Spring Airlines, China Eastern Airlines, and China Southern Airlines [4]. - Year-on-year changes in ASK and RPK for major airlines indicate a mixed performance, with some airlines like Spring Airlines showing strong growth [5]. International Market Performance - Airlines are significantly increasing international capacity, with several airlines surpassing pre-pandemic levels in terms of capacity and passenger turnover [4]. - The report provides detailed year-on-year comparisons for international operations, highlighting the recovery trajectory of major airlines [5]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends a focus on airlines such as China National Aviation, Spring Airlines, and China Eastern Airlines, citing strong supply logic and expected growth in passenger volume and load factors [4][7]. - The analysis anticipates a gradual slowdown in fleet supply growth over the next 3-5 years, with resilient demand expected to support the sector [4].
航空行业2025年8月数据点评:8月航司供需延续稳步增长,票价同比表现略好于7月,关注近期量价回暖
Huachuang Securities· 2025-09-16 12:11
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the aviation industry, indicating an expectation of outperforming the benchmark index by 10%-20% over the next six months [5]. Core Insights - The aviation industry shows steady growth in supply and demand as of August 2025, with ticket prices performing slightly better than in July. The report highlights a recent recovery in both volume and pricing [1]. - Domestic demand remains resilient, supported by internal growth and ongoing recovery in international routes. Supply constraints continue to be a factor, while falling oil prices are expected to reduce costs [7]. - The report emphasizes the potential for investment in leading companies within the industry, particularly focusing on low-cost carriers and those with strong operational efficiencies [7]. Summary by Sections Airline Data Analysis - In August, the overall ASK (Available Seat Kilometers) growth year-on-year was led by Spring Airlines (12.0%), followed by Eastern Airlines (6.8%), Southern Airlines (6.4%), Air China (2.3%), and Juneyao Airlines (-2.7%). RPK (Revenue Passenger Kilometers) growth was similarly led by Spring Airlines (12.2%) [1]. - Cumulative data from January to August shows Spring Airlines leading in ASK growth (10.0%) and Eastern Airlines leading in RPK growth (11.3%) [1]. - Domestic routes in August saw Spring Airlines with an ASK growth of 9.1% and RPK growth of 9.6%, while Air China experienced a decline in both metrics [1]. - International routes showed significant growth for Spring Airlines (ASK +27.2%, RPK +26.3%) and a strong performance from Juneyao Airlines [2]. Load Factor and Fleet Size - The load factor in August was highest for Spring Airlines at 93.9%, with a year-on-year increase of 0.2 percentage points. The cumulative load factor from January to August for Spring Airlines was 91.2%, reflecting a slight decline [3]. - The total fleet size of the five listed airlines increased by 12 aircraft in August, with a year-on-year growth of 3.6% [3]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a positive outlook for investment in the aviation sector, particularly for companies like Huaxia Airlines, which is expected to reach a sustainable operational turning point, and Spring Airlines, which is leveraging its low-cost competitive advantage [7]. - The report anticipates a recovery in international routes, with companies like Juneyao Airlines expected to benefit from efficient operations of wide-body aircraft [7].
航空机场板块9月16日涨1.24%,海航控股领涨,主力资金净流出2.71亿元
Core Insights - The aviation and airport sector experienced a rise of 1.24% on September 16, with HNA Holding leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3861.87, up 0.04%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13063.97, up 0.45% [1] Stock Performance - HNA Holding (600221) closed at 1.69, with a gain of 4.32% and a trading volume of 10.23 million shares, amounting to a turnover of 1.702 billion yuan [1] - Huaxia Airlines (002928) closed at 9.80, up 3.92%, with a trading volume of 211,400 shares and a turnover of 204 million yuan [1] - Spring Airlines (601021) closed at 53.50, gaining 1.98% with a trading volume of 74,400 shares and a turnover of 397 million yuan [1] - China National Airlines (601111) closed at 7.92, up 1.67%, with a trading volume of 714,600 shares and a turnover of 564 million yuan [1] - China Eastern Airlines (600115) closed at 4.02, gaining 1.01% with a trading volume of 2.1582 million shares and a turnover of 866 million yuan [1] - Other notable performances include: - Xiamen Airlines (600897) down 0.07% to 14.72 [1] - Shanghai Airport (600009) down 0.06% to 32.06 [1] Capital Flow - The aviation and airport sector saw a net outflow of 271 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 178 million yuan [2] - HNA Holding experienced a net inflow of 79.14 million yuan from institutional investors, despite a net outflow from retail investors [2] - Spring Airlines had a net inflow of 7.38 million yuan from institutional investors, with retail investors contributing positively [2] - China National Airlines faced a net outflow of 4.23 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors had a significant net outflow [2] - Xiamen Airport saw a net outflow of 1.34 million yuan from institutional investors, but retail investors contributed positively [2]
暑运量增价跌,景气有望底部改善
HTSC· 2025-09-16 05:41
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the aviation transportation industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The aviation sector is expected to see a bottoming out of its economic cycle, with potential improvements in demand and pricing as the supply growth remains low [5][8] - Despite a decline in ticket prices during the peak summer season, there are signs of recovery in business travel demand, which may lead to better pricing in the near future [5][8] Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations - China National Aviation (601111 CH): Buy, Target Price: 9.25 CNY [4] - China Eastern Airlines (600115 CH): Buy, Target Price: 4.80 CNY [4] - China Southern Airlines (600029 CH): Buy, Target Price: 7.35 CNY [4] - Spring Airlines (601021 CH): Buy, Target Price: 67.80 CNY [4] - 吉祥航空 (603885 CH): Buy, Target Price: 16.25 CNY [4] - 华夏航空 (002928 CH): Buy, Target Price: 13.65 CNY [4] - Cathay Pacific (293 HK): Buy, Target Price: 13.20 HKD [4] Industry Performance - In August, the three major airlines and Spring Airlines saw a 5.0% increase in available seat kilometers (ASK) and a 5.8% increase in revenue passenger kilometers (RPK), leading to an overall passenger load factor increase of 0.6 percentage points to 86.8% [5][11] - Domestic ticket prices showed a year-on-year decline of 6.5% during the peak summer season, but there was a 2.5% increase in ticket prices in early September [5][8] Company-Specific Insights - China National Aviation reported a revenue of 80.757 billion CNY in the first half of 2025, a 1.6% increase year-on-year, with a net loss of 1.806 billion CNY, narrowing by 35.1% [23] - China Eastern Airlines achieved a revenue of 66.822 billion CNY in the first half of 2025, a 4.1% increase year-on-year, with a net loss of 1.592 billion CNY, narrowing by 42.5% [23] - China Southern Airlines reported a revenue of 86.291 billion CNY in the first half of 2025, a 1.8% increase year-on-year, with a net loss of 1.533 billion CNY, which is a 24.8% increase in loss year-on-year [24] - Spring Airlines reported a revenue of 10.304 billion CNY in the first half of 2025, a 4.3% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 1.169 billion CNY, a 14.1% decrease year-on-year [24] - 吉祥航空 reported a revenue of 11.067 billion CNY in the first half of 2025, a 1.0% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 0.505 billion CNY, a 3.3% increase year-on-year [24] - 华夏航空 reported a revenue of 3.610 billion CNY in the first half of 2025, a 12.4% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 0.251 billion CNY, an increase of 859.0% year-on-year [24] - Cathay Pacific reported a revenue of 54.309 billion HKD in the first half of 2025, a 9.5% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 3.651 billion HKD, a 1.1% increase year-on-year [24]
财经早报:中美就妥善解决TikTok问题达成基本框架共识
Xin Lang Zheng Quan· 2025-09-15 23:37
Group 1 - The Chinese Ministry of Commerce announced a basic framework consensus with the U.S. to resolve the TikTok issue and promote economic cooperation [2] - Nvidia is under further investigation for violating China's antitrust laws related to its acquisition of Mellanox Technologies [3] - The State Administration of Foreign Exchange released new measures to facilitate foreign investment and improve cross-border financing [4] Group 2 - The National Bureau of Statistics reported that the real estate market is stabilizing, with a narrowing decline in sales and prices over the first eight months of the year [8] - Multiple automotive companies, including Dongfeng and BYD, have committed to a new payment standard to enhance collaboration within the industry [9] - The U.S. is pressuring allies to impose tariffs on China based on its purchase of Russian oil, which China strongly opposes [7] Group 3 - Elon Musk disclosed a $1 billion purchase of Tesla shares, boosting investor confidence and the company's stock price [13] - Recent rumors about the collapse of gold merchants in Shenzhen were found to be exaggerated, with many businesses still operating normally [14] - Several new energy vehicle companies, including Neta and WM Motor, are attempting to revive operations after previous shutdowns [15] Group 4 - The energy storage industry is experiencing significant growth due to favorable policies and increased demand [16] - The semiconductor market is seeing a new wave of price increases, benefiting several related stocks [16] - The A-share market showed mixed performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3860.50 points, down 0.26% [16][17]
华夏航空:胡晓军被选举为第四届董事会董事长
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-09-15 13:12
证券日报网讯9月15日晚间,华夏航空(002928)发布公告称,胡晓军被选举为第四届董事会董事长。 ...
华夏航空:选举吴龙江为第四届董事会职工董事
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-09-15 13:12
证券日报网讯9月15日晚间,华夏航空(002928)发布公告称,选举职工代表吴龙江先生担任公司第四 届董事会职工董事。 ...
华夏航空拟8000万元至1.6亿元回购股份,公司股价年内涨21.52%
Xin Lang Zheng Quan· 2025-09-15 12:00
Core Viewpoint - Huaxia Airlines announced a share buyback plan with a total amount between 80 million and 160 million yuan, with a maximum buyback price of 13.54 yuan per share, which is 43.58% higher than the current price of 9.43 yuan [1] Group 1: Share Buyback Details - The buyback will be conducted through centralized bidding and will last for six months [1] - The funding sources for the buyback will be from the company's own and self-raised funds [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - As of June 30, Huaxia Airlines reported a revenue of 3.61 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 12.41% [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 251 million yuan, showing a significant year-on-year increase of 858.95% [2] Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of June 30, the number of shareholders decreased by 14.08% to 22,200, while the average circulating shares per person increased by 16.38% to 57,578 shares [2] - The company has cumulatively distributed 209 million yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with no dividends paid in the last three years [3] Group 4: Institutional Holdings - As of June 30, among the top ten circulating shareholders, Zhonggeng Value Pioneer Stock held 42.25 million shares, a decrease of 9.20 million shares from the previous period [3] - Other notable institutional shareholders include Guangfa Value Leading Mixed A and Guangfa Ruiyi Leading Mixed A, with stable or slightly changed holdings [3]
华夏航空拟斥8000万元至1.6亿元实施回购
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-15 11:36
Core Viewpoint - The company plans to repurchase a portion of its publicly issued shares using its own funds and a special loan for stock repurchase, aimed at employee stock ownership plans or equity incentives [1] Summary by Relevant Sections Repurchase Plan - The repurchase amount will not be less than RMB 80 million and not exceed RMB 160 million, with a maximum repurchase price of RMB 13.54 per share [1] - The repurchase period is set for no more than six months from the date of board approval [1] Financing Details - The company has obtained a loan commitment letter from CITIC Bank's Chongqing branch, promising to provide a maximum of RMB 144 million for the stock repurchase [1] - The loan term will not exceed 36 months, with an annual interest rate of 1.80% [1]