Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [3] Core Insights - The pork market is experiencing an oversupply, leading to a continued decline in pork prices. The average price of external three yuan pigs is 14.13 yuan/kg, with a week-on-week decrease of 1.09% [2][12] - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs emphasizes the need for quality improvement and efficiency enhancement in the pig industry, suggesting that outdated production capacity will gradually be eliminated [2][13] - The report highlights the potential benefits of genetically modified crops in increasing yield and self-sufficiency rates for key varieties, with specific companies recommended for investment [12] Summary by Sections Planting Industry - A meeting was held to discuss increasing crop yields in Northeast China, which is crucial for national food security. The region has seen improvements in planting density and technology, contributing to stable yield increases [1] - Companies such as Beidahuang and Suqian Agricultural Development are expected to benefit from these developments, along with seed companies like Dabeinong and Longping High-Tech [1][12] Pig Farming - The average price of pigs has shown a downward trend, with the average weight of slaughtered pigs decreasing for eight consecutive weeks. The number of breeding sows has also decreased slightly [2][12] - The report suggests focusing on companies with significant cost improvements and high future output elasticity, including DeKang Agriculture and Mu Yuan Co., Ltd. [13] Key Agricultural Product Data Tracking - Corn: The average price is 2406.65 yuan/ton, with a week-on-week decrease of 0.09% [27] - Wheat: The average price is 2440.86 yuan/ton, with a week-on-week decrease of 0.08% [30] - Rice: The average price of japonica rice is 2912.00 yuan/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 0.14% [35] - Soybeans: The average price is 3926.32 yuan/ton, remaining stable week-on-week [40] - Cotton: The average price is 15410.00 yuan/ton, with a slight decrease of 0.02% [47] Feed and Vitamin Prices - The average price of pig feed is 2.73 yuan/kg, with a week-on-week increase of 0.37% [53] - The average price of vitamin E is 68.00 yuan/kg, remaining stable week-on-week [62]

Core Points - The stock price of Qianyuan High-Tech (300087) closed at 9.08 yuan on July 31, 2025, down 2.26% with a turnover rate of 3.02% and a trading volume of 269,900 hands, amounting to 247 million yuan [1] - The latest financial report for Qianyuan High-Tech shows total operating revenue of 835 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24.13%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.1967 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 87.62% [1] - The company has a current ratio of 1.447, a quick ratio of 0.685, and a debt-to-asset ratio of 62.94% [1] Investment and Business Activities - Qianyuan High-Tech has invested in 33 companies and participated in 313 bidding projects [2] - The company holds 241 trademark registrations and 65 patents, along with 19,302 administrative licenses [2] Company Background - Qianyuan High-Tech, established in 2002 and located in Hefei, is primarily engaged in agriculture [1] - The registered capital of the company is approximately 947.33 million yuan, with paid-in capital of about 122.57 million yuan [1]

Market Overview - The planting industry sector experienced a decline of 1.86% on July 31, with Shennong Seed Industry leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3573.21, down 1.18%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 11009.77, down 1.73% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Shennong Seed Industry (code: 681006) closed at 4.75, down 3.85% with a trading volume of 1.5589 million shares and a transaction value of 7.471 billion [1] - Kangnong Seed Industry (code: 837403) closed at 24.71, down 3.63% with a trading volume of 36,100 shares and a transaction value of 90.4238 million [1] - New Sai Co., Ltd. (code: 600540) closed at 4.85, down 3.19% with a trading volume of 221,800 shares and a transaction value of 109 million [1] - Other notable declines include Qiule Seed Industry (down 2.99%), Xuecheng Biological (down 2.64%), and New Agricultural Development (down 2.63%) [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The planting industry sector saw a net outflow of 362 million from main funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 265 million [3] - Notable capital movements include: - Honghui Fruits and Vegetables (code: 603336) saw a main fund net inflow of over 3.7874 million [3] - Wanxiang Denong (code: 600371) experienced a main fund net outflow of 7.3007 million [3] - New Agricultural Development (code: 600359) had a significant main fund net outflow of 13.2779 million, with a retail net inflow of 11.8843 million [3]

证券日报网讯荃银高科（300087）7月29日在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，公司在雅鲁藏布江地区 没有投资。 ...

证券日报网讯荃银高科（300087）7月29日在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，公司在海南三亚建有稳 定的科研育种基地。 ...

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [3] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the need for high-quality development in the pig farming industry, focusing on improving efficiency and quality. It highlights the importance of capacity control and the encouragement of large enterprises to collaborate with smaller farms to share industry benefits [2][12] - In the planting industry, the report discusses the promotion of new varieties and technologies to enhance crop yields, particularly in the context of food security. It predicts a continued acceleration in the commercialization of genetically modified crops [1][11] Summary by Sections Planting Industry - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs is working on a directory for superior crop varieties by 2025, focusing on enhancing yields and meeting current production needs [1][11] - The report identifies potential beneficiaries in the planting sector, including Beidahuang and Su-Kun Agricultural Development, and recommends companies with strong advantages in seed development such as Longping High-Tech and Denge Seed Industry [1][11] Pig Farming - The average price of external three-way cross pigs is 14.29 CNY/kg, showing a week-on-week decrease of 1.20%. The overall supply exceeds demand, leading to a forecast of continued price declines [2][12] - The report notes a decrease in the number of breeding sows, with a total of 40.43 million as of June 2025, down by 370,000 from the previous year [2][12] - Recommended companies in the pig farming sector include Dekang Agriculture, Jingji Zhino, Muyuan Foods, and Wens Foodstuff [2][12] Feed and Animal Health - The average price of pig feed is 2.72 CNY/kg, with no change from the previous week. The report also provides insights into the prices of various feed types for poultry and livestock [50][52]

- The report utilizes the Heston model to calculate implied volatility for near-month at-the-money options, serving as a market fear index. Implied volatility reflects market participants' expectations of future volatility[6] - Positive signals appeared 3052 times from July 14 to July 18, with an average future high-point success rate of 68.64%. Negative signals appeared 3426 times, with an average future low-point success rate of 27.06%[10] - The broad-based timing strategy signals indicate "bullish" for indices such as ChiNext Index, SSE 50, Wind Microcap Index, Hang Seng Equal Weight Index, Hang Seng Tech Index, Hang Seng Hong Kong 35, Hang Seng Index, Hang Seng Financials, Hang Seng Sustainable Development Enterprises Index, Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, and Hang Seng China (Hong Kong-listed) 100[12] - The industry timing strategy is constructed using the scissors difference ratio of long-short signals for industry index constituent stocks. If no bullish or bearish signals appear on a given day, the scissors difference value and ratio are set to zero. The model outperformed all respective industry indices historically, demonstrating excellent backtesting results[13] - Industry timing strategy signals show "bullish" for sectors such as building materials, light manufacturing, home appliances, textiles and apparel, non-ferrous metals, power and utilities, steel, consumer services, transportation, coal, pharmaceuticals, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishing, and petrochemicals[15]

Group 1 - The genetically modified concept sector rose by 3.15%, ranking 7th among concept sectors, with 18 stocks increasing, including Shennong Seed Industry which hit the daily limit of 20% [1] - The main inflow of funds into the genetically modified concept sector was 459 million yuan, with 13 stocks receiving net inflows, and 8 stocks seeing inflows exceeding 10 million yuan [2] - Shennong Seed Industry led the net inflow of funds with 292 million yuan, followed by Qianyuan High-Tech, Jincheng Pharmaceutical, and Top Cloud Agriculture [2][3] Group 2 - The top stocks by net inflow ratio included Shennong Seed Industry at 11.98%, Qianyuan High-Tech at 10.45%, and Nongfa Seed Industry at 10.05% [3] - The trading volume and turnover rates for leading stocks were significant, with Shennong Seed Industry showing a turnover rate of 53.68% [3][4] - Other notable stocks included Jincheng Pharmaceutical and Top Cloud Agriculture, with net inflows of 26.61 million yuan and 24.76 million yuan respectively [3]

Group 1 - A-share agricultural stocks experienced significant movement in the afternoon, with Honghui Fruits and Vegetables hitting the daily limit up [1] - Other companies such as Qiule Seed Industry, Jinjian Rice Industry, Feng'an Co., Top Cloud Agriculture, and Qianyin High-Tech also saw increases [1]

Group 1 - The agricultural sector stocks are experiencing a significant rise, with Shennong Seed Industry (300189) hitting the 20% daily limit up [1] - Hainan Rubber (601118) also reached the daily limit up, indicating strong market interest [1] - Other companies such as Quanyin High-Tech (300087), Honghui Fruits and Vegetables (603336), and Kangnong Seed Industry are also seeing notable increases in their stock prices [1]