Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [7] Core Insights - In July, the National Press and Publication Administration approved 127 domestic game titles, including key products from Huatuo and Giant Network. The summer gaming season has seen strong performance from multiple new games, indicating a sustained high level of activity in the gaming sector [2][4] - The new game cycle, favorable policy trends, and AI catalysis are expected to drive continued improvement in the gaming sector's fundamentals, suggesting that the valuation of the gaming sector still has upward elasticity. Investors are encouraged to continue monitoring investment opportunities in this sector [2][4] Summary by Sections Game License Issuance - In July, 127 domestic games received approval, including Huatuo's "Kingshot" and Giant Network's "Famous Generals Kill." Additionally, 7 imported game licenses were granted [9] - "Kingshot" has seen significant revenue growth, doubling in May and increasing by 56% in June, ranking third in China's mobile game overseas revenue growth [9] New Game Performance - Several new games from listed gaming companies have performed strongly during the summer season. For instance, Giant Network's "Supernatural Action Group" reached the top 4 in the free game rankings and top 20 in the revenue rankings on its launch day [9] - Other notable performances include Jiubite's "Staff Sword Legend," which entered the iOS revenue rankings top 13, and Tencent's "Dungeon and Fighter Mobile," which topped the iOS revenue rankings [9] Future Outlook - The pipeline for key gaming companies is robust, with several new titles set to launch, including "Tomb Raider: Journey" and "Douluo Continent: Evil Legend" [9] - The new game cycle is expected to enhance the sector's fundamentals, with ongoing policy stability and the integration of AI in gaming likely to boost valuations and performance [9]

证券代码：300533 证券简称：冰川网络 公告编号：2025-045 二、截至本公告日，公司及子公司过去十二个月内使用闲置自有资金购买理 财产品的情况 | 签约方 | 产品名称 | 产品类型 | 金额 | 资金 | 起 | | 是 否 | 实际收益 | 备注 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | 来源 | 始 | | 到 | （元） | | | | | | | | | 日 | | 期 | | | | | 平安信托 | 平安信托固 | | | 闲置 | 2024 | | 已 | | 已于 2024 | | | | 益联 3M-37 | 非保本浮动 | 15,000.00 万 | | | | | | | | | 有限责任 | | | | 自有 | 年 5 | 月 | 到 | 1,259,388.93 | 年 8 | 月 19 | | 公司 | 号集合资金 | 收益型 | 元人民币 | 资金 | 17 | 日 | 期 | | 日赎回 | | | | 信托计划 | | | | | | | | ...

Core Viewpoint - The issuance of game licenses has accelerated significantly this year, providing a strong impetus for the gaming industry, leading to impressive performance from many A-share gaming companies in the first half of the year, with numerous positive earnings forecasts [1] Group 1: Earnings Forecasts - As of July 15, 11 A-share listed gaming companies have disclosed their earnings forecasts for the first half of 2025, with 8 companies expected to report profits [3] - Among the profit-making companies, Youzu Network is projected to have the highest growth in net profit, estimated between 40 million to 60 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 768.75% to 1203.13% [4] - ST Huachuang, Tianzhou Culture, and Zhejiang Shuju are also expected to see net profit increases exceeding 100% [4] Group 2: Key Company Performances - ST Huachuang's net profit is expected to reach between 2.4 billion to 3 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 107.20% to 159% [5] - Tianzhou Culture's net profit is forecasted to be between 45 million to 55 million yuan, with an increase of 135.94% to 188.38% [5] - Zhejiang Shuju anticipates a net profit of 330 million to 390 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 124% to 165% [6] Group 3: Companies Turning Losses into Profits - Perfect World and Icefire Network are expected to turn losses into profits, with net profits projected at 480 million to 520 million yuan and 310 million to 400 million yuan, respectively [7] - Perfect World attributes its turnaround to the successful launch of its self-developed MMORPG "Zhu Xian World" and the growth of its esports business [7] - Tianyu Digital and Weng Investment Holdings are also expected to report profits, with net profits ranging from 18 million to 26 million yuan and 0 to 5 million yuan, respectively [8] Group 4: Market Trends - The A-share gaming sector has seen steady growth this year, with many companies experiencing significant stock price increases, particularly after the first quarter earnings reports [9] - As of July 18, 18 companies in the A-share network gaming sector have seen stock price increases exceeding 20% this year, with ST Huachuang leading at a 117.51% increase [9] - The rise in the gaming sector is attributed to both overall market trends and the influence of AI applications within the gaming industry [10]

Core Viewpoint - The gaming industry in China is experiencing a significant recovery in the first half of the year, as evidenced by the performance forecasts of several A-share gaming companies, with many reporting substantial profit growth or turning losses into profits [1][2]. Financial Performance - ST华通 (Century Huatong) is expected to achieve a net profit of 2.4 billion to 3 billion yuan, representing a growth of 107.20% to 158.00% [2] - 浙数文化 (ZheShu Culture) anticipates a net profit of 330 million to 390 million yuan, with a growth of 124% to 165% [2] - 游族网络 (Youzu Network) forecasts a net profit of 40 million to 60 million yuan, marking an increase of 768.75% to 1203.13% [2] - 完美世界 (Perfect World) and 冰川网络 (Icefire Network) are expected to turn losses into profits, with 完美世界 projecting a profit of 480 million to 520 million yuan [2][6] - ST凯文 (ST Kevin) expects to maintain a loss level similar to last year, with a projected loss of 65 million to 48 million yuan [2] - 电魂网络 (Dianhun Network) anticipates a loss of 11 million to 7.5 million yuan, indicating a shift from profit to loss [2] Cost Control as a Key Factor - Cost control has emerged as a critical factor for gaming companies to avoid losses, with companies like 完美世界 and 冰川网络 attributing their turnaround to reduced investment in underperforming projects [1][4] - High distribution costs have made it challenging for gaming companies to maintain profitability [2][3] Market Environment - The number of game licenses issued in the first half of the year has significantly increased compared to last year, with the domestic mobile game market growing by 20% year-on-year [1][7] - The gaming market is characterized by intense competition, with a focus on product quality as a determinant of success [1][8] Long-term Products and New Releases - Long-standing products are crucial for the stability of gaming companies, providing a solid revenue base amid market growth [7] - New blockbuster games remain essential for driving rapid revenue growth, as seen with ST华通's new release, which has performed exceptionally well in the market [9][10] Industry Trends - The gaming industry is witnessing a recovery in market sentiment, with a notable increase in the issuance of domestic game licenses and the integration of AI technology enhancing operational efficiency [8] - The upcoming release of major titles from leading companies is expected to intensify market competition [10]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint highlights the cyclical nature of market reactions to economic news, particularly the role of institutional investors in creating panic among retail investors during times of uncertainty, similar to past events like the 2018 trade war and the 2025 Iran-Israel conflict [1][3][13] - The article discusses the phenomenon of "institutional shakeout," where institutions manipulate market sentiment to acquire shares at lower prices while retail investors panic and sell [10][12][13] - It emphasizes the importance of quantitative data in understanding market behavior and avoiding common pitfalls associated with emotional trading [7][14] Group 2 - The article provides examples of specific stocks that experienced significant price movements in response to market fears, illustrating the disconnect between market sentiment and actual performance [3] - It notes that institutional trading patterns can be identified through data analysis, allowing for better predictions of market movements [9][10] - The piece concludes with advice for investors to focus on data-driven decision-making rather than being swayed by fragmented information and market emotions [15]

Group 1 - The gaming sector continues to weaken, with ST Huaton (002602) hitting the daily limit down [1] - Other companies such as Ice Glacier Network (300533), Kaiying Network (002517), Giant Network (002558), and Perfect World (002624) also experienced declines [1]

Core Viewpoint - The recent public fund reports reveal that high-performing funds have achieved impressive returns by focusing on sectors like innovative pharmaceuticals and new consumption, while also highlighting a trend towards thematic funds targeting niche markets [1][2][5]. Fund Performance and Holdings - High-performing funds have seen significant returns, with the Changcheng Pharmaceutical Industry Fund achieving a return rate of 102.52% this year, driven primarily by its focus on innovative pharmaceuticals [2]. - Many top-performing funds in the first half of the year are pharmaceutical-themed, including Zhongyin Hong Kong Stock Connect Pharmaceutical and Huashan Pharmaceutical Biotechnology [2][3]. - The top holdings of several funds have shifted towards technology and pharmaceuticals, with notable new additions like Zhongji Xuchuang and Xin Yisheng in the top ten holdings of the China Europe Digital Economy Mixed Fund [3]. Thematic Funds and Sector Focus - Some actively managed funds have undergone significant portfolio changes, with a complete overhaul of their top holdings to focus on emerging sectors like robotics and short dramas [4]. - The Tongtai Industry Upgrade Mixed Fund increased its stock position from 30% to 90% and shifted its focus to robotics, while the Tongtai Huile Mixed Fund transitioned to short drama and gaming stocks [4]. - Fund companies are launching numerous thematic products targeting specific high-growth sectors, such as controllable nuclear fusion and deep-sea technology, indicating a trend towards specialized investment strategies [5]. Market Outlook - Fund managers maintain a positive outlook for the equity market in the third quarter, with confidence in the performance of related sectors [6]. - The Changcheng Pharmaceutical Industry Fund manager anticipates growth in innovative pharmaceuticals driven by overseas licensing and domestic sales, while the Tongtai Industry Upgrade Fund manager expects significant opportunities in the robotics sector due to increased production and technological advancements [6].

Industry Overview - The ChinaJoy event will take place in early August in Shanghai, featuring the inaugural China International Game Developers Conference, which will release the "One Country, One Policy" guideline for game companies' overseas expansion [1] - Shanghai's online gaming industry achieved a total sales revenue of 83.283 billion yuan in the first half of the year, marking a year-on-year growth of 10.80%, with domestic sales at 68.737 billion yuan and overseas sales at 14.546 billion yuan, growing by 10.73% and 11.12% respectively [1] - The esports industry in Shanghai generated revenue of 3.254 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.91%, with esports live streaming and event revenues leading the nation [1] Policy Support - Multiple regions have introduced new policies to support local gaming companies in their global expansion, including Guangdong's measures to guide and support game companies in leading smaller enterprises to go global [1] - Beijing is soliciting opinions on measures to support the establishment of an "Overseas Service Zone" to facilitate game exports and provide consulting services [2] - Zhejiang province has released a comprehensive policy document with 20 specific measures to support game exports, focusing on industry enhancement, platform support, ecological optimization, and resource assurance [2] Company Performance - Companies like Shunwang Technology and Kaiying Network are focusing on innovative brand promotion and overseas business expansion, respectively, with Kaiying Network reporting sustained growth in overseas revenue through targeted user engagement strategies [3] - Twelve gaming concept stocks have released half-year performance forecasts, with seven expecting positive results; ST Huatuo is projected to have the highest net profit between 2.4 billion to 3 billion yuan, reflecting a significant year-on-year increase [3] - Companies such as Youzu Network and Zhejiang Cultural are also reporting substantial profit growth, with Youzu Network's net profit expected to rise by 768.75% to 1203.13% [4]

Group 1 - 33 companies listed on the ChiNext board have released their performance forecasts for the first half of the year, with 23 companies expecting profit increases, accounting for 69.70% of the total [1] - The overall proportion of companies with positive forecasts (including profit increases and profit forecasts) is 78.79%, while 3 companies expect profit declines, 1 company anticipates losses, and 1 company expects reduced losses [1] - Among the companies with positive forecasts, 10 companies are expected to see net profit growth exceeding 100%, with Han Yu Pharmaceutical leading at a projected increase of 1567.36% [1] Group 2 - The sectors with the most companies expecting profit growth include pharmaceuticals and electronics, with 2 stocks from each sector listed among those expecting to double their profits [2] - The average increase in stock prices for companies expecting profit growth has been 35.51% year-to-date, with notable performers including Ice River Network, Morning Light Biology, and Han Yu Pharmaceutical, which have risen by 90.03%, 55.14%, and 43.60% respectively [2] - A detailed list of companies expecting significant profit increases includes Han Yu Pharmaceutical, Rui Jie Network, and Ice River Network, with projected net profit growth rates of 1567.36%, 195.88%, and 168.92% respectively [2]

Core Viewpoint - Glacier Network (300533) expects a significant turnaround in net profit for the period from January 1, 2025, to June 30, 2025, projecting a profit of 310 million to 400 million yuan, compared to a loss of 515 million yuan in the same period last year [1] Financial Performance - The projected net profit attributable to shareholders is between 310 million yuan and 400 million yuan, a substantial improvement from the previous year's loss of 515 million yuan [1] - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is expected to be between 292 million yuan and 378 million yuan, compared to a loss of 544 million yuan in the same period last year [1] Operational Adjustments - During the reporting period, the company reduced investment in projects with weak expected returns, leading to a decrease in sales expenses [1] - Non-recurring gains and losses for the period are estimated at approximately 18.5 million yuan, primarily from government subsidies and deposit investment income [1]