Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call focuses on the energy metals sector, particularly lithium, nickel, and cobalt companies, highlighting their financial performance and market dynamics in 2024 and early 2025 [1][2][3]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Financial Performance**: In 2024, Tianqi Lithium and Ganfeng Lithium reported losses of 7.9 billion yuan and 2.1 billion yuan respectively, primarily due to declining lithium prices. The industry's profitability is increasingly reliant on non-energy metal businesses or hedging strategies [1][2]. - **Market Recovery Signs**: By Q1 2025, there are indications of improvement in energy metal companies' performance, with Tianqi Lithium returning to profitability, suggesting a potential recovery despite ongoing challenges in the lithium market [3]. - **Lithium Market Dynamics**: The lithium market is facing downward pressure, with prices challenging the critical support level of 70,000 yuan. Recent prices for battery-grade lithium carbonate have dipped below this threshold, impacting the entire supply chain [4][9]. - **Cost Reduction Limitations**: The industry has exhausted many cost-cutting measures, with limited new strategies emerging. Projects like the lithium sulfate plant in Zimbabwe are being approached cautiously due to low price levels affecting investment decisions [5][8]. - **Nickel Market Outlook**: Nickel companies are expected to see improved performance in Q2 2024, benefiting from rising prices that have not yet fully reflected in stock valuations [6][7]. - **Cobalt Export Regulations**: The Democratic Republic of Congo's (DRC) cobalt export control policies are under evaluation, with potential extensions of export bans if pricing expectations are not met. This could significantly impact market dynamics and stock prices [12][13][15]. Additional Important Insights - **Supply Chain Challenges**: The DRC's export controls and the exit of major players like Zijin Mining complicate the nickel supply chain, leading to procurement difficulties and increased costs [11]. - **Cobalt Inventory Concerns**: Current cobalt inventories are low, and the market is experiencing operational disruptions due to export bans, which could lead to price surges if supply constraints persist [14][15]. - **Rare Earth Export Restrictions**: New export bans on heavy rare earths are causing significant disruptions in the magnetic materials industry, with potential long-term impacts on production and supply chains [17][19]. - **Investment Opportunities**: Companies like Huayou Cobalt, Hanrui Cobalt, and others are expected to benefit from improved performance in the cobalt and nickel sectors, especially if they can effectively hedge against price declines [16][21]. Conclusion - The energy metals sector is navigating a challenging landscape characterized by price volatility, regulatory changes, and supply chain disruptions. However, there are signs of recovery and potential investment opportunities as companies adapt to these challenges and explore new strategies for profitability.

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has shown significant performance improvement, focusing on integrated industrial development. In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 6.542 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.02%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 685 million yuan, a substantial increase of 81.24% year-on-year [4][6] - The company is accelerating new technology development and continues to advance its integrated layout. It has established production capacities for 20,000 tons of ternary precursors and 10,000 tons of cobalt oxide, ensuring stable supply of cobalt sulfate solution, nickel sulfate solution, manganese sulfate solution, and cobalt chloride solution [5] Financial Performance Summary - In Q1 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 1.461 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 3.59%, and a net profit of 123 million yuan, down 14.27% year-on-year. The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q4 2024 was 67.78 million yuan, a decline of 50.52% year-on-year [4][6] - The company forecasts net profits for 2025-2026 to be 875 million yuan, 1.082 billion yuan, and 1.326 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 15, 12, and 10 [6][8] - Key financial metrics for 2024 include a gross margin of 22.1%, a return on equity (ROE) of 7.8%, and earnings per share (EPS) of 2.33 yuan [8]

Investment Rating - Investment Rating: Buy (Maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported significant performance improvement, achieving a revenue of 6.542 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 18.02%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 685 million yuan, which increased by 81.24% year-on-year [4][6] - In Q1 2025, the company generated a revenue of 1.461 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.59% year-on-year, and a net profit of 123 million yuan, down 14.27% year-on-year [4] - The company is accelerating new technology development and continues to promote integrated layout, with significant production capacity achieved in various cobalt-related products [5] Financial Performance Summary - 2024 Revenue: 6.542 billion yuan, 2025E Revenue: 7.461 billion yuan, 2026E Revenue: 8.394 billion yuan, 2027E Revenue: 9.044 billion yuan [8] - 2024 Net Profit: 685 million yuan, 2025E Net Profit: 875 million yuan, 2026E Net Profit: 1.082 billion yuan, 2027E Net Profit: 1.326 billion yuan [8] - Gross Margin: 22.1% in 2024, expected to rise to 24.8% by 2026 [8] - P/E Ratio: 19.40 in 2024, decreasing to 10.05 by 2027 [8] - ROE: 7.8% in 2024, projected to reach 10.9% by 2027 [8]

➢ 钴：产能扩张产销增加，毛利率逆势提升。1）量：24 年钴产品产量 2.1 万 吨，同比+31.5%，销量 1.9 万吨，同比+22.8%，主要由于国内钴产能扩张；2） 库存：截至 24 年底，钴产品库存 2199 吨，同比增加 1397 吨；3）价：24 年国 内金属钴均价 18.4 万元/吨，同比-27.8%，其中 24Q4 均价 16.3 万元/吨，环 比-4.1%；25Q1 钴均价 17.2 万元/吨，环比+5.5%；4）利：尽管钴价下跌，24 年钴产品毛利率 7.6%，同比+4.1pct，我们预计主要由于公司在钴价低迷时主动 调整产品结构，增加氯化钴和电钴产量。 腾远钴业（301219.SZ）2024 年年报及 2025 年一季报点评 业绩高增长，期待铜钴同步扩产 2025 年 04 月 24 日 ➢ 事件：公司发布 2024 年年报及 2025 年一季报。1）业绩：2024 年公司实 现营收 65.4 亿元，同比+18.0%，归母净利 6.9 亿元，同比+81.2%，扣非归母 净利 6.7 亿元，同比+83.4%；单季度看，24Q4 实现营收 16.5 亿元，同比+5.2%， 环比-2.0%，归 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative increase of over 15% compared to the benchmark index [6][8]. Core Views - The company has demonstrated significant revenue growth, with a 2024 revenue of 6.54 billion yuan, up 18% year-on-year, and a net profit of 690 million yuan, up 81.2% year-on-year [3]. - The copper and cobalt production capacities are expected to expand simultaneously, which is anticipated to sustain high growth in performance [5][6]. Financial Performance Summary - **2024 Performance**: - Revenue: 6.54 billion yuan, +18.0% YoY - Net Profit: 690 million yuan, +81.2% YoY - Q4 2024 Revenue: 1.65 billion yuan, +5.2% YoY, -2.0% QoQ - Q1 2025 Revenue: 1.46 billion yuan, -3.6% YoY, -11.6% QoQ [3][4]. - **Copper Segment**: - 2024 copper production: 55,000 tons, +9.8% YoY - 2024 copper sales price: 63,000 yuan/ton, +10.5% YoY - 2024 copper product gross margin: 33.6%, +3.1 percentage points YoY [4]. - **Cobalt Segment**: - 2024 cobalt production: 21,000 tons, +31.5% YoY - 2024 cobalt sales price: 184,000 yuan/ton, -27.8% YoY - 2024 cobalt product gross margin: 7.6%, +4.1 percentage points YoY [5]. Future Projections - The company projects net profits of 910 million yuan in 2025, 1.12 billion yuan in 2026, and 1.43 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding PE ratios of 15, 12, and 9 [6][7]. - Revenue is expected to grow to 9.11 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 39.3% [7][12]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the ongoing expansion in copper production and the anticipated increase in cobalt prices due to supply constraints in the Democratic Republic of Congo will positively impact the company's profitability [6][5].

一系列看似独立事件，形成的效应，乃至风暴正在对动储产业全球化趋势产业严重影响，甚至剧 烈冲击。 近日据多方外媒报道，韩国电动汽车 (EV) 电池制造商LG集团及其财团已正式撤回在印度尼西亚 建设电动汽车电池生态系统的计划投资。这一决定标志着该项目自2019年宣布以来，历经多年缓 慢进展后，最终未能落地。 据悉，该项目总投资额达77亿美元，原计划由LG Energy Solution （LG新能源） 、LG Chem （LG化学） 、LX International Corp （LX国际公司） 以及印度尼西亚国有企业共同推进，旨在 构建从原材料采购到电池生产的 "端到端价值链"。印尼作为全球最大的镍生产国，其丰富的镍资 源对电动汽车电池产业至关重要，因此该项目被视为LG集团在全球电池供应链布局中的关键一 环。 （消息来自 "环球网"） 事实上，这还只是动储产业全球化退潮的冰山一角。 据德国媒体4月中旬披露，由于国轩高科与市政府之间的法律纠纷，美国密歇根州梅科斯塔县计 划建设的电动汽车电池生产设施已停工。据了解，国轩计划在格林查特镇建设电池生产设施，该 项目预计投资约23.6亿美元，生产原定于2026年1月开始。 ...

Summary of Tengyuan Cobalt Industry Conference Call Company Overview - Tengyuan Cobalt Industry is a comprehensive enterprise engaged in the production and trade of cobalt, nickel, and copper products, leading the industry in precious metal recovery rates. The company has a short production cycle for new factories and flexible production line designs, optimizing fixed asset investments. The strategic focus is on expanding the Chinese market while ensuring upstream raw material supply and consolidating its position as a leader in midstream smelting [1][2][3]. Core Business Insights - The company's products are widely used in various sectors, including electric vehicles (cobalt sulfate, nickel sulfate), AI terminals (cobalt chloride, cobalt oxide), aerospace, hard alloys, infrastructure, and power. Tengyuan has established long-term stable partnerships with leading enterprises in the industry chain and is actively exploring deep cooperation models [1][4]. - In 2024, the company expects revenue to exceed 6.5 billion yuan and net profit to surpass 680 million yuan, with total assets reaching 10.7 billion yuan and a debt ratio of only 17.8%, significantly lower than the industry average [2][11]. Market Trends and Challenges - The international landscape in 2024 is complex, with geopolitical tensions and trade frictions impacting the industry. However, the company believes these factors will have limited effects on its operations. The consumption electronics and AI terminal markets are seen as promising directions for the next 3 to 5 years, supported by government subsidies [1][5]. - The electric vehicle market continues to grow robustly, driven by policies promoting vehicle upgrades and advancements in autonomous driving technology. The company aims to leverage its advantages in material research and production to support the widespread application of high-density batteries [7][8]. Production and Capacity Expansion - The company plans to expand its production capacity significantly, with cobalt production increasing to 46,000 tons, nickel to 60,000 tons, lithium carbonate to 20,000 tons, electrolytic copper to 90,000 tons, ternary materials to 120,000 tons, and nickel sulfate to 20,000 tons by 2025 [2][14]. - A new copper smelting project in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) is expected to produce 30,000 tons annually by the end of 2026 [2][10]. Research and Development - Tengyuan is increasing its R&D investment by 12% in 2024 compared to 2023, focusing on cost reduction and efficiency improvements, which have led to a 6.13% decrease in carbon emissions [12][13]. Supply Chain and Raw Material Procurement - The company has established a dual-driven strategy to ensure stable raw material supply through both primary production and secondary resource recovery. It sources raw materials from major mining companies and employs a combination of long-term and short-term contracts to manage procurement [3][23][39]. - The company is actively addressing challenges related to power supply and transportation in its DRC operations to enhance production efficiency [15]. Future Outlook - The company is optimistic about its performance in 2025, expecting to achieve over 10% growth in cobalt product sales compared to 2024, driven by technological innovation and cost control [24][37]. - The global outlook for bulk commodities, particularly copper, remains positive, with anticipated price increases despite short-term fluctuations due to macroeconomic factors [10][36]. Conclusion - Tengyuan Cobalt Industry is well-positioned to capitalize on growth opportunities in the electric vehicle and AI sectors while maintaining a strong focus on R&D and operational efficiency. The company's strategic initiatives and robust supply chain management are expected to support its long-term growth objectives in a challenging market environment [1][2][5][45].

2025年4月22日，腾远钴业（301219）披露接待调研公告，公司于4月22日接待淡水泉投资管理有限公 司、北方工业有限公司、北京源乐晟资产管理有限公司、博时基金管理有限公司、财通证券（601108） 股份有限公司、淳厚基金管理有限公司等57家机构调研。 调研详情如下： 1、请介绍公司目前的产能情况? 截至2025年一季度末，公司产能如下:钴产品2.65万金属吨、镍产品1万金属吨、锰产品1万金属吨、碳 酸锂0.5万吨，铜产品6万吨。 2、请问2024年公司钴产品产销结构是什么样? 公司钴相关产线均为柔性化设计，可根据市场需求的变化灵活调整各产品产量。2024年整体来看，消费 电子市场回暖信号明显，公司钴产品中氯化钴占比约50%，硫酸钴占比近40%，电钴基本是满产的状 态。 3、请问2025年一季度公司营收净利润同比下降原因? 公司2025年一季度净利润同比下降原因主要系刚果腾远受电力紧缺影响，导致铜产品产能未能充分释 放。在电力保障方面，公司将积极推进刚果腾远四期项目建设进度，同时柴油发电项目也将在二季度投 入使用，补充生产用电，充分释放既定产能。 4、请问公司一季报中合同负债大幅增长，是什么原因? 公司2 ...

| | 1、请介绍公司目前的产能情况？ | | --- | --- | | | 截至2025年一季度末，公司产能如下：钴产品2.65万金属 | | | 吨、镍产品1万金属吨、锰产品1万金属吨、碳酸锂0.5万吨，铜 | | | 产品6万吨。 | | | 2、请问2024年公司钴产品产销结构是什么样？ | | | 公司钴相关产线均为柔性化设计，可根据市场需求的变化灵 | | | 活调整各产品产量。2024年整体来看，消费电子市场回暖信号明 | | | 显，公司钴产品中氯化钴占比约50%，硫酸钴占比近40%，电钴基 | | | 本是满产的状态。 | | | 3、请问2025年一季度公司营收净利润同比下降原因？ | | | 公司2025年一季度净利润同比下降原因主要系刚果腾远受电 | | 投资者关系活 | 力紧缺影响，导致铜产品产能未能充分释放。在电力保障方面， | | 动主要内容介 | 公司将积极推进刚果腾远四期项目建设进度，同时柴油发电项目 | | 绍 | 也将在二季度投入使用，补充生产用电，充分释放既定产能。 | | | 4、请问公司一季报中合同负债大幅增长，是什么原因？ | | | 公司2025年一季度合同负 ...

Core Viewpoint - In 2024, the company achieved significant revenue growth, but it faced a decline in performance in the first quarter of 2025, prompting concerns about market conditions and future prospects [2][8]. Group 1: 2024 Performance - The company reported total revenue of 6.542 billion yuan in 2024, representing an 18.02% year-on-year increase [5]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders reached 685 million yuan, a substantial increase of 81.24% compared to the previous year [5]. - The gross profit was 1.445 billion yuan, reflecting a 38.54% increase, indicating effective cost control and product optimization [5]. - The company expanded its product offerings, including cobalt salts and battery-grade lithium carbonate, and established long-term partnerships with several well-known enterprises in the industry [5]. Group 2: Q1 2025 Performance - In the first quarter of 2025, the company reported revenue of 1.46 billion yuan, a decline of 3.6% year-on-year [6]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 123 million yuan, down 14.3% compared to the same period last year [6]. - The company experienced a negative operating cash flow of 19.12 million yuan, despite a 19.6% increase in cash flow from operations [6]. Group 3: Future Growth Plans - The company announced plans to expand its copper and cobalt production capacity overseas, including a new wet metallurgy plant in the Democratic Republic of the Congo with an annual capacity of 30,000 tons of copper and 2,000 tons of cobalt [7]. - The project is expected to have a construction period of 18 months and a post-tax internal rate of return of 35.01% [7]. - The company maintains a safety stock of materials and is prepared to manage potential disruptions due to local policy changes in the Democratic Republic of the Congo [7].