证券之星消息，8月1日能源金属板块较上一交易日上涨0.05%，ST盛屯领涨。当日上证指数报收于 3559.95，下跌0.37%。深证成指报收于10991.32，下跌0.17%。能源金属板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600711 | ST盛屯 | 7.91 | 5.05% | 86.20万 | | 6.68亿 | | 002240 | 盛新锂能 | 15.82 | 1.93% | 32.66万 | | 5.15亿 | | 002756 | 永兴材料 | 35.54 | 1.51% | 8.80万 | | 3.12亿 | | 002192 | 融捷股份 | 34.97 | 1.33% | 8.91万 | | 3.11亿 | | 665E09 | 永杉锂V | 10.15 | 1.20% | 19.12万 | | 1.93亿 | | 002460 | 赣锋锂业 | 36.18 | 0.50% | 26.92万 | | 9.73亿 | | 6053 ...

| 代码 | 名称 | 主力净流入(元) | 主力净占比 游资净流入 (元) | | 游资净占比 散户净流入(元) | | 散户净占比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 6633209 | 永杉锂业 | 3488.97万 | 9.19% | 2096.53万 | 5.52% | -5585.50万 | -14.71% | | 002240 盛新锂能 | | 2769.67万 | 3.19% | 1326.90万 | 1.53% | -4096.57万 | -4.72% | | 605376 博迁新材 | | -1263.61万 | -5.20% | 754.57万 | 3.11% | 509.04万 | 2.10% | | 000762 西藏矿业 | | -2416.89万 | -4.93% | -341.23万 | -0.70% | 2758.12万 | 5.63% | | 002756 永兴材料 | | -2673.62万 | -5.54% | 1157.08万 | 2.40% | 1516.54万 | 3.14% | | 0004 ...

Market Overview - The energy metals sector increased by 0.59% on July 29, with Boqian New Materials leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3609.71, up 0.33%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 11289.41, up 0.64% [1] Stock Performance - Boqian New Materials (605376) closed at 42.28, up 4.21%, with a trading volume of 102,200 shares and a turnover of 427 million yuan [1] - Huayou Cobalt (603799) closed at 46.48, up 2.38%, with a trading volume of 850,800 shares and a turnover of 3.968 billion yuan [1] - Tengyuan Mining (301219) closed at 59.04, up 2.06%, with a trading volume of 127,000 shares and a turnover of 758 million yuan [1] - Other notable performances include: - Sai Rui Mining (300618) at 38.55, up 1.10% [1] - Yongxing Materials (002756) at 36.58, up 0.61% [1] - Cangge Mining (000408) at 47.68, up 0.51% [1] Capital Flow - The energy metals sector experienced a net outflow of 36.08 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net outflow of 13.8 million yuan [2] - Conversely, speculative funds recorded a net inflow of 174 million yuan [2] Individual Stock Capital Flow - Tengyuan Mining (301219) had a net inflow of 66.62 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors faced a net outflow of 80.57 million yuan [3] - Boqian New Materials (605376) saw a net inflow of 65.08 million yuan from institutional investors, with retail investors also experiencing a net outflow of 53.37 million yuan [3] - Huayou Cobalt (603799) had a net outflow of 21.46 million yuan from institutional investors, while speculative funds recorded a net inflow of 9.79 million yuan [3]

Investment Rating - Industry rating: Recommended [3] Core Insights - The U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) has invested billions in MP Materials to accelerate the independence of U.S. rare earth magnets, but global production remains highly concentrated in China in the short term [9][14][45] - Nickel prices have decreased due to a significant drop in demand and production halts in Indonesia, which may impact local mining operations [12][20][23] - Cobalt prices have risen due to supply tightening from the Democratic Republic of Congo, which accounts for approximately 75% of global electric vehicle battery supply [13][31] - Lithium carbonate prices have increased, but future price movements will depend on downstream demand recovery [7][38][44] - Antimony prices have remained stable, with domestic supply still tight, and production expected to decline in the coming months [32][36] Summary by Sections Rare Earth Industry - MP Materials announced a partnership with the DoD to enhance domestic production capabilities, with a new magnet manufacturing facility expected to be operational by 2028 [45][46] - The DoD has committed to a minimum price of $110 per kilogram for NdPr products, ensuring stable cash flow for MP Materials [46][47] Nickel Industry - As of July 11, LME nickel spot price was $14,955 per ton, down 1.09% from July 4, with total LME nickel inventory increasing by 1.83% [20] - Domestic NPI smelting costs remain under pressure, affecting the acceptance of high-priced raw materials [20][23] Cobalt Industry - As of July 11, cobalt prices have shown mixed trends, with electrolytic cobalt at 249,300 yuan per ton, down 0.99%, while cobalt oxide increased by 1.54% [24][31] - The extension of a temporary export ban by the Congolese government is expected to tighten global cobalt supply [31] Lithium Industry - The average price of battery-grade lithium carbonate reached 63,800 yuan per ton, up 2.36% as of July 11 [7][38] - Market sentiment is cautious, with inventory levels remaining high, limiting upward price movement [38][44] Antimony Industry - Domestic antimony ingot prices have stabilized, with supply constraints expected to support future pricing [32][36]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Tengyuan Cobalt Industry has experienced a significant decline in its stock price since its IPO, currently trading at 51.72 yuan, down 2.12%, and is in a state of breaking its initial offering price [1] - Tengyuan Cobalt Industry was listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange's ChiNext board on March 17, 2022, with an initial public offering (IPO) price of 173.98 yuan per share and a total of 31.4869 million shares issued [1] - The company raised a total of 5.478 billion yuan from its IPO, with a net amount of 5.204 billion yuan after deducting issuance costs, which was 3.006 billion yuan more than the originally planned fundraising of 2.198 billion yuan [1] Group 2 - The company announced a cash dividend of 12.00 yuan per 10 shares for the year 2022, totaling 272.05 million yuan, along with a capital reserve distribution of 3 additional shares for every 10 shares held, increasing the total share capital to 294,717,182 shares [2] - The previous year's dividend distribution included a cash payout of 39.9 yuan per 10 shares and a capital reserve increase of 8 shares for every 10 shares held [2]

Group 1: Overview of Cobalt Tetroxide - Cobalt Tetroxide, with the chemical formula Co3O4, is a mixed valence compound containing both divalent and trivalent cobalt, with a theoretical cobalt content of 73.43% and oxygen content of 26.57% [1][2] - It is a crucial raw material for producing lithium cobalt oxide, which is the most commercially viable lithium-ion battery cathode material and has been widely used in high-end consumer electronics due to its high volumetric energy density and excellent packing density [1][2] Group 2: Market Dynamics - In 2024, China's apparent demand for Cobalt Tetroxide is projected to reach 91,000 tons, representing a year-on-year increase of 24% [1][13] - The production of Cobalt Tetroxide in China is expected to be 94,000 tons in 2024, with a growth rate exceeding 20% compared to the previous year [1][10] - The main production regions for Cobalt Tetroxide in China include Hunan, Zhejiang, Fujian, and Hebei, accounting for 82% of total production [1][12] Group 3: Supply and Demand - The supply of Cobalt Tetroxide is expected to increase significantly in 2024, driven by stable demand from major manufacturers and a recovery in the consumer electronics market [1][10] - The first quarter of 2024 saw increased orders for Cobalt Tetroxide due to low inventory levels and pre-holiday stocking, leading to a notable rise in production [1][10] - The demand for Cobalt Tetroxide is closely linked to the performance of lithium cobalt oxide manufacturers, with a notable increase in demand observed in the third quarter of 2024 [1][10] Group 4: Trade and Export - In 2024, China's Cobalt Tetroxide exports are expected to reach 3,509.5 tons, marking a year-on-year increase of 15.1%, while the export value is projected to be $6,385.4 million, down 17.9% [1][16] - South Korea is the largest destination for China's Cobalt Tetroxide exports, accounting for 61.4% of total exports, followed by Spain and Belgium [1][17] Group 5: Industry Structure - The domestic market for Cobalt Tetroxide is characterized by high concentration, with major players including Zhongwei Co., Huayou Cobalt, and Greeenme, which together hold over 50% of the market share [1][20] - Zhongwei Co. is recognized as the largest supplier of Cobalt Tetroxide globally [1][20] Group 6: Cobalt Tetroxide Applications - Cobalt Tetroxide is primarily used to produce lithium cobalt oxide, which is a key component in lithium-ion batteries, and its quality significantly impacts the performance and cost of the final product [1][28] - The production of lithium-ion batteries in China is expected to continue its growth trend, with total production reaching 1,170 GWh in 2024, a 24% increase year-on-year [1][30]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the non-ferrous metals industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4][106]. Core Views - The report highlights that copper prices are experiencing fluctuations due to the interplay of the 232 investigation and interest rate cut expectations, with recent price changes showing a mixed trend [5]. - The report emphasizes the importance of low inventory levels in supporting copper prices, while also noting the potential impact of the 232 copper import investigation and upcoming interest rate decisions by the Federal Reserve [5]. - The report suggests monitoring companies such as Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, Jincheng Mining, and Western Mining for investment opportunities [5]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - The report provides insights into macroeconomic indicators, including U.S. employment data, which may influence market conditions [9]. - The non-ferrous metals sector's performance is analyzed, with the sector underperforming compared to the Shanghai Composite Index [11]. 2. Industrial Metals 2.1 Copper - Recent price movements show LME copper up by 0.25%, while SHFE copper is down by 0.24% [25]. - Inventory levels for copper have increased, indicating a potential shift in market dynamics [25]. 2.2 Aluminum - LME aluminum prices increased by 0.41%, with inventory levels also rising [35]. - The report notes a decrease in aluminum smelting profits, attributed to rising costs [35]. 2.3 Lead and Zinc - Lead prices have seen a slight increase, while zinc prices have decreased [48]. - Inventory levels for both metals are discussed, highlighting market supply conditions [48]. 2.4 Tin and Nickel - Tin prices have decreased slightly, while nickel prices have shown an upward trend [62]. - The report discusses profitability metrics for nickel producers in both domestic and international markets [62]. 3. Energy Metals 3.1 Lithium - Lithium prices have shown a slight rebound, with specific price changes noted for lithium carbonate and lithium spodumene [74]. - The report indicates that supply-side adjustments are anticipated, which may affect future pricing [74]. 3.2 Cobalt - Cobalt prices have increased domestically due to export bans from the Democratic Republic of Congo, which may create supply constraints [86]. - The report highlights the profitability of domestic cobalt refining operations [86].

Group 1 - The non-ferrous metal sector continues to weaken, with significant declines in stock prices [1] - Precision Instrument Co., Ltd. (002295) hit the daily limit down [1] - Northern Copper Industry (000737) fell over 7% [1] Group 2 - Guangsheng Nonferrous Metals (600259) and Feinan Resources (301500) both dropped over 5% [1] - Tengyuan Cobalt Industry (301219) and Tibet Mining (000762) also experienced declines [1]

Group 1 - The non-ferrous metal sector experienced a decline at the beginning of trading, with significant drops in stock prices [1] - Jingyi Co., Ltd. (002295) fell over 7%, indicating a notable downturn in its market performance [1] - Other companies such as Northern Copper Industry (000737) and Feinan Resources (301500) also saw declines exceeding 5% [1] Group 2 - Tengyuan Cobalt Industry (301219), Huayu Mining (601020), and Huaxi Nonferrous Metals (600301) all faced downward pressure in their stock prices [1]

Core Viewpoint - The extension of the cobalt export ban by the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) is expected to impact cobalt prices positively, as it aims to address the oversupply in the market and may lead to a supply shortage, thus increasing prices [1][2][4]. Cobalt Market Dynamics - Cobalt is a critical metal for energy transition, widely used in battery manufacturing and alloys, with DRC being the main global supplier [2]. - Prior to the export ban, cobalt prices had dropped significantly, with a reported price of $11.26 per pound in 2024, down 25.48% year-on-year [2]. - Following the initial export ban in February, cobalt prices peaked at 250,000 yuan/ton but later fell to 230,000 yuan/ton due to high historical inventory levels and unclear future policies [2]. Price Movements - After the announcement of the extended export ban, cobalt prices showed a notable increase, with "Longjiang 1 cobalt" rising by 22,000 yuan/ton, reaching a price range of 244,000 to 268,000 yuan/ton [3]. Impact on Companies - Companies primarily dealing with cobalt, such as Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co., Ltd., Nanjing Hanrui Cobalt Co., Ltd., and Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt Industry New Materials Co., Ltd., saw their stock prices rise significantly following the ban announcement [4]. - The DRC's export ban is expected to exacerbate raw material shortages in major consuming countries like China, with potential supply reductions exceeding 100,000 metal tons [4][5]. Company Responses - Companies like Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. reported a significant increase in cobalt production and sales for 2024, with production up 105.61% to 114,200 tons and sales up 266.23% to 108,900 tons [6]. - Luoyang Molybdenum operates two major mines in DRC, benefiting directly from the price rebound due to the export ban [7]. - Tengyuan Cobalt Industry indicated that they have sufficient safety stock to mitigate the impact of the export ban on their operations, and they maintain good relationships with suppliers to ensure raw material availability [8].