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ADP Weak 2nd Straight Month: +37K, but Wages Stable
ZACKS· 2025-06-04 15:16
Group 1: Job Market Overview - The private-sector payrolls report from ADP for May shows a weak job creation of +37K, significantly below the projected +110K, marking the lowest tally since March 2023 [1][2] - The average job creation over the past four months is only +82K, compared to +197K in the previous four months, indicating a substantial decline in job growth [2] - Goods-producing jobs decreased by -2K, while services added a modest +36K jobs, reflecting ongoing challenges in the labor market [3][4] Group 2: Sector Performance - The Leisure & Hospitality sector gained +38K jobs, followed by Financial Services with +20K and Construction with +6K, while Education & Health Services lost -13K and Professional/Business Services saw a decline of -27K [4] - Medium-sized companies (50-499 employees) led job gains with +49K, while large firms lost -3K and small businesses dropped -13K, highlighting the vulnerability of small-sized companies in the current labor market [5] Group 3: Wage Trends - Job Stayers experienced a +4.5% year-over-year wage increase, while Job Changers saw a +7.0% increase, indicating a generally healthy wage environment despite lower levels compared to previous periods [6] - Wages are stabilizing at robust levels, but there are no strong sectors driving significant hiring, leading to a hesitant job market [7] Group 4: Market Reaction - Following the ADP report, pre-market indexes shifted from positive to negative, with the Dow down -44 points, S&P 500 down -4, and Nasdaq down -20 [8] - Year-to-date performance shows the Dow at -0.7%, S&P at +0.7%, Nasdaq at +2.2%, and Russell 2000 at -6.5%, indicating mixed market sentiment [8]
【环球财经】贸易政策担忧导致招聘放缓 美国ADP就业人数大幅低于预期
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-06-04 13:46
Core Insights - In May, U.S. private sector created only 37,000 new jobs, significantly below expectations and marking the smallest increase in over two years, attributed to trade policies making companies hesitant in hiring [1][3] - The majority of new jobs in May came from the service sector, particularly leisure and hospitality, while manufacturing and natural resources/mining saw job losses [1] - The report indicates a potential weakening labor market amid increasing economic uncertainty as employers reduce hiring [3] Employment Data Summary - In May, construction employment increased by 6,000, down from 16,000 in April; manufacturing jobs decreased by 3,000, following a 4,000 increase in April; trade/transportation/utilities jobs fell by 4,000, after a 21,000 increase in April; financial services added 20,000 jobs, consistent with April; professional/business services saw a decrease of 17,000 jobs, compared to a 2,000 decrease in April [1] - Year-over-year wage growth for construction workers was 4.6% in May, down from 4.7% in April; manufacturing wage growth remained at 4.6%; trade/transportation/utilities wage growth was 4.2%, down from 4.3%; financial services wage growth increased to 5.2% from 5.1%; professional/business services wage growth decreased to 4.2% from 4.3% [2]
5月小非农“爆冷”!美国就业市场踩下急刹车?
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-06-04 12:33
Group 1 - The ADP report indicates that U.S. private sector job growth slowed to a near standstill in May, with only 37,000 jobs added, the lowest level in over two years, and significantly below the market forecast of 110,000 [1][3] - The report shows a mixed picture in the labor market, with the goods-producing sector losing 2,000 jobs, while the construction industry added 6,000 jobs, partially offsetting losses in other areas [3][4] - In the services sector, leisure and hospitality added 38,000 jobs, while professional/business services and education/health services saw declines, contributing to the overall slowdown in job growth [3][5] Group 2 - The annual salary growth rate for retained employees is 4.5%, while for those who switch jobs, it is 7%, indicating a strong wage growth environment despite the slowdown in job creation [3][5] - Market sentiment remains mixed, with some economists expressing concerns about the limited hiring and low turnover rates, suggesting that the labor market may not sustain its current state for long [5][6] - Federal Reserve officials maintain an optimistic view of the economy, but there are rising concerns about the potential impact of trade policies on inflation and employment [5][6]
Gold prices see solid support as U.S. ADP shows 37K jobs created in May
KITCO· 2025-06-04 12:27
Group 1 - The article discusses the employment application process and its relevance to the production sector [1][2] - It highlights the importance of personal production contracts in the industry [1] - The content emphasizes the need for effective communication and documentation in employment applications [2] Group 2 - Neils Christensen is identified as a journalist with over a decade of experience in financial reporting [3] - His background includes covering politics and working within the financial sector since 2007 [3]
美国自动数据处理公司ADP:5月私营部门就业岗位在5月份增加了37,000个,年薪同比增长4.5%。
news flash· 2025-06-04 12:21
Group 1 - The core point of the article is that ADP reported an increase of 37,000 private sector jobs in May, with an annual salary growth of 4.5% [1]
Markets Await Jobs Data
ZACKS· 2025-06-02 16:11
Trade Tensions and Market Impact - President Trump accused China of violating tariff agreements, leading to a decision to double steel tariffs from 25% to 50% [1] - Cleveland-Cliffs saw a significant stock surge of +24% following the tariff announcement [2] - Major indexes like the Dow, Nasdaq, S&P 500, and Russell 2000 experienced declines, with the S&P 500 down -20 points [2] Labor Market Insights - The upcoming week is designated as Jobs Week, with key reports including Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) and the U.S. Employment Report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) [3][4] - Expectations for job gains are set at +112K for ADP and +125K for BLS, with potential narratives of labor market loosening if results show notable weakness [4] - The U.S. labor force has been underestimated, with a current unemployment rate expected to remain low at 4.2% despite recent increases [6] Company Earnings Reports - Campbell's Company reported fiscal Q3 earnings of 73 cents per share, exceeding expectations by +12% but slightly below the previous year's quarter [7][8] - Revenues for Campbell's reached $2.48 billion, surpassing expectations by +1.55% and showing growth from $2.37 billion year-over-year [8] Economic Indicators - Anticipation for S&P Manufacturing PMI and ISM Manufacturing reports, with S&P expected at +52.3 and ISM projected to decrease to +48.5 [9] - Construction Spending for April is expected to show a positive change of +0.2% after a -0.5% decline in March, following a trend of negative spending in recent months [10]
Three-Tier Business Strategy Aids ADP Amid Intense Competition
ZACKS· 2025-05-22 14:31
Group 1: Financial Performance - ADP's stock has increased by 10.8% year-to-date, outperforming the industry and the S&P 500 composite, which grew by 6.7% and 0.8% respectively [1] - In the third quarter of fiscal 2025, ADP reported earnings per share of $3.06, exceeding consensus estimates by 3.4% and showing a 6.3% increase year-over-year [1] - Total revenues reached $5.6 billion, surpassing consensus estimates by 1.1% and growing 5.7% year-over-year [1] Group 2: Business Strategy - ADP employs a three-tier business strategy to enhance its human capital management (HCM) and HR outsourcing (HRO) services, focusing on cloud-based solutions [2] - The company is expanding its international HCM and HRO businesses with local software solutions and multi-country cloud-based offerings [2] - ADP's transformation initiative aims to accelerate DataCloud penetration and improve operations, which is expected to enhance margins [3] Group 3: Dividend Policy - ADP has shown a strong commitment to returning value to shareholders, with dividend payouts increasing from $1.7 billion in 2022 to $2.2 billion in 2024 [4] - The anticipated steady income growth supports the optimistic outlook on ADP's ability to maintain consistent dividends [4] Group 4: Financial Ratios - As of the end of the third quarter of fiscal 2025, ADP's current ratio was 1.02, which is below the industry average of 2.38 but still indicates the ability to meet short-term obligations [5] Group 5: Competitive Landscape - ADP faces significant competition across its product lines, particularly in Employer services and PEO services, which affects its retention rate [7] - The labor-intensive nature of the outsourcing industry and reliance on foreign talent necessitate increased hiring, leading to rising talent costs and potential impacts on industry growth [8]
Are Computer and Technology Stocks Lagging Automatic Data Processing (ADP) This Year?
ZACKS· 2025-05-19 14:45
Group 1 - Automatic Data Processing (ADP) is part of the Computer and Technology sector, which includes 607 stocks and has a Zacks Sector Rank of 7, indicating its relative strength among sectors [2] - ADP currently holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), suggesting a favorable outlook based on earnings estimate revisions and improving earnings outlooks [3] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for ADP's full-year earnings has increased by 0.5% in the past quarter, reflecting stronger analyst sentiment and an improving earnings outlook [4] Group 2 - Year-to-date, ADP has increased by approximately 9.1%, while the average performance of stocks in the Computer and Technology group has declined by about 1.2%, indicating ADP's outperformance [4] - ADP is categorized under the Internet - Software industry, which consists of 167 companies and has an average gain of 8.9% this year, further highlighting ADP's strong performance within its industry [6] - In comparison, Allegro MicroSystems, Inc. (ALGM), another outperforming stock in the Computer and Technology sector, has risen by 25.9% year-to-date, with a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) [5]
New initiative delivers CPR education through ADP Mobile Solutions app to build Nation of Lifesavers™
Prnewswire· 2025-05-19 10:00
ADP supports American Heart Association goal to prepare more workers to respond to cardiac emergencies DALLAS and ROSELAND, N.J., May 19, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- With more than 10,000 cardiac arrests occurring annually in U.S. workplaces1, ADP, a global technology company providing human capital management (HCM) solutions, is supporting the American Heart Association to expand CPR education across the workforce. By integrating information about Hands-Only CPR training into the ADP Mobile Solutions app, the org ...
ADP to Host 2025 Investor Day
Prnewswire· 2025-05-15 12:00
Core Insights - ADP will host an Investor Day on June 12, 2025, at 9:00 a.m. ET to discuss strategic priorities and financial outlook [1] Group 1 - The event will feature discussions by members of the ADP senior management team [1] - Interested parties can register for the event and access a live webcast and presentation materials at investors.adp.com [2] - A replay of the webcast will be available after the event [2] Group 2 - ADP is a leading global provider of Human Capital Management (HCM) solutions, focusing on HR, Talent, Time Management, Benefits, and Payroll [3] - The company emphasizes designing better ways to work through innovative products and exceptional services [3]