Core Viewpoint - Amazon is significantly increasing its capital expenditures, indicating a defensive strategy rather than aggressive growth [1] Group 1 - The company is investing heavily in capital expenditures, which suggests a shift in focus towards maintaining its market position [1] - Analysts note that this approach may reflect a response to competitive pressures in the industry [1]

Group 1 - The fourth quarter earnings season is ongoing, with significant results from major companies like Alphabet, Amazon, AMD, Qualcomm, and Palantir [1] - As of January 30, 33% of S&P 500 companies have reported their fourth quarter results, with analysts estimating an 11.9% increase in earnings per share, marking the 10th consecutive quarter of annual earnings growth for the index [2][4] - Analysts had initially expected an 8.3% increase in earnings per share before raising expectations, particularly for tech companies, which have been key drivers of earnings growth in recent quarters [4] Group 2 - Big Tech's substantial capital expenditures are influencing the AI trade, alongside ongoing themes from 2025 such as artificial intelligence and economic policies, which continue to impact investor sentiment [5] - Updates from various companies including Disney, Chipotle, PepsiCo, Uber, and Snap were also highlighted during this earnings season [5]

Market Overview - U.S. stock futures are indicating a potential rebound after a significant tech-led sell-off, with Nasdaq 100 futures up 0.35%, S&P 500 futures rising 0.29%, and Dow Jones Industrial Average futures edging up 0.09% [2] - The S&P 500 fell 84.32 points (1.2%) to 6,798.40, the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 592.58 points (1.2%) to 48,908.72, and the Nasdaq Composite lost 363.993 points (1.59%) to end at 22,904.579 on February 5th [3] - The main U.S. stock market index, the US500, has risen to 6846 points, gaining 0.70% from the previous session [4] Corporate Earnings and Performance - Major companies reporting earnings include Biogen, Philip Morris, Toyota Motors, and Under Armour, which will provide insights into corporate performance and economic health [6] - Amazon shares plunged over 11% after missing earnings expectations and issuing a capital expenditure guidance of $200 billion for 2026, leading to a drop of 8% in premarket trading [8] - Alphabet's stock fell as much as 5% due to concerns over its projected 2026 AI spending forecast of $175-$185 billion, which is roughly double the investment made in 2025, despite beating estimates on revenue and earnings per share [9] Notable Stock Movements - Apple has emerged as a "surprise winner" amidst the tech sell-off, with shares up 6% and a market capitalization of $4.06 trillion [13] - Microsoft experienced a significant market value wipeout with its stock falling as much as 12% intraday but is currently showing a slight gain of 0.72% [13] - Nvidia's stock is participating in the premarket recovery, up 3.4%, as it remains a central player in the AI revolution [13] - Tesla's shares fell below $400 for the first time this year, down over 11% in 2026, despite plans to expand its robotaxi service and mass-produce humanoid robots [13] - Newell Brands saw its stock sink 12% after issuing soft fiscal 2026 first-quarter guidance, projecting a wider loss per share and a larger sales drop than expected [13] Market Sentiment and Economic Indicators - Investors are closely watching premarket activity and digesting corporate earnings alongside a postponed key economic report on nonfarm payrolls, which adds uncertainty to the market [1][5] - Current projections suggest an 81.3% likelihood of the Federal Reserve leaving interest rates unchanged in March [5] - The ongoing narrative around AI investments and their perceived returns continues to shape investor sentiment across the tech landscape [10]

根据亚马逊当天公布的最新财报，截至2025年12月31日的这一季度，净销售额达到2134亿美元、同比增 长14%，超出市场预期。其中云计算服务平台销售额增长24%，达到356亿美元，创13个季度以来最快 增速，但云计算服务平台盈利能力并未继续扩张，当季营业利润率为35%，低于上年同期。 一段时间以来，美国科技巨头争相投入巨额资金兴建人工智能基础设施。根据目前公布的财报，今年亚 马逊、微软、谷歌和Meta总计资本支出将超过5000亿美元。不过华尔街也发出明确信号，只有在带来 切实商业回报的前提下，当前的支出水平才会获得投资者的持续支持。谷歌4日盘后公布的财报显示， 2026年资本支出为1750亿美元到1850亿美元之间，较2025年近乎翻倍，其母公司字母表股价一度重挫 7.5%。此前，微软在1月28日盘后公布的财报显示，尽管其云业务增速高于预期，但仍远落后于资本支 出速度，公司股票遭到投资者抛售，股价一度下跌6.6%。 （央视财经《天下财经》）当地时间5日美股盘后，美国亚马逊公司公布2025年第四季度财报，尽管当 季销售业绩强劲，但今年大额资本支出押注AI领域的势头超过其他科技巨头，引发投资者担忧，公司 股价美 ...

Core Insights - Amazon (AMZN) shares fell approximately 10% in after-hours trading following mixed Q4 results and an increased capital expenditure outlook for 2026 [1] - The company reported earnings per share of $1.95, slightly below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.98, while revenues of $213.39 billion exceeded expectations of $211.46 billion, with earnings growing 4.8% year over year and revenues increasing 13.6% [1] Business Segments Performance - Amazon Web Services (AWS) generated $35.58 billion in revenues, a 24% year-over-year increase, surpassing expectations of $34.93 billion [2] - The advertising segment contributed $21.32 billion, up 23% year over year, also exceeding forecasts [2] AWS Growth - AWS revenue growth of 24% year over year outperformed projections of 21.4%, marking the fastest growth in 13 quarters [3] - The backlog for AWS revenue reached $244 billion, a 40% year-over-year increase [3] Competitive Landscape - Despite strong growth in AWS, competition remains intense, with Microsoft Azure reporting 39% growth and Google Cloud revenue increasing about 48% [4] Capital Expenditure Guidance - Amazon plans to increase capital expenditures to approximately $200 billion in 2026, significantly above analyst estimates of $146.6 billion and higher than the $131 billion spent in 2025 [5] - The investment will focus on AI-related initiatives, including data centers, custom chips, robotics, and low-earth-orbit satellite projects, primarily directed toward AWS [6] Investor Sentiment - Investors are skeptical about the large capital expenditure announcement, concerned about the timeline for substantial returns on AI investments [7] Future Outlook - Amazon anticipates first-quarter sales between $173.5 billion and $178.5 billion, indicating growth of 11% to 15%, compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of about $175.47 billion [8] Valuation Metrics - Amazon shares are trading at a Price/Earnings (P/E) multiple of 32.91X, compared to the S&P 500 P/E of 28.996X, and a Price/Book multiple of 6.74X versus 5.44X for the S&P 500 [9] Stock Performance - Over the past year, Amazon's stock has declined 6.8%, underperforming the S&P 500's 11.8% gains [11] Investment Strategies - Analysts suggest that Amazon could benefit from maintaining its relationship with AI start-up Anthropic, which may drive revenue through its API business [12] - Investors are encouraged to consider Amazon stock through exchange-traded funds (ETFs) such as ProShares Online Retail ETF (ONLN) and others [15]

Group 1 - Alphabet announced a capital expenditure of $175 billion to $185 billion for 2026, which was followed by Amazon revealing a significantly higher capital expenditure of $200 billion for the same year, exceeding Wall Street's expectation of $150 billion [1] - Amazon's CEO Andy Jassy emphasized strong demand for existing products and highlighted "pioneering opportunities" in AI, semiconductors, robotics, and low Earth orbit satellites, despite investor concerns over high capital spending [1] - Amazon's stock fell over 8% in pre-market trading following the announcement, indicating investor apprehension regarding the high capital expenditure [1] Group 2 - Marvell Technology is identified as a potential beneficiary of Amazon's capital spending, as it produces Trainium processors for the company [1] - AT&T is expected to benefit from a partnership with Amazon, utilizing Amazon's low Earth orbit satellite internet services to provide stable network connections in signal blind spots across the U.S. [2] - Nvidia and AMD are also potential beneficiaries due to their established partnerships with Amazon, supplying chip products to meet the computing needs in cloud computing and AI [2]

Market Overview - Global markets experienced a decline due to concerns over the disruptive effects of AI and the substantial investments required, leading to significant sell-offs in U.S. stocks, which further spread globally [1][2] - The S&P 500 index futures rose by 0.52%, while the Dow and Nasdaq futures increased by 0.60% and 0.51% respectively, after initially dropping over 1.6% [1] - The MSCI All Country World Index is expected to record its worst weekly performance since mid-November, with a weekly decline of approximately 1.6% [1] AI Spending Concerns - Amazon announced a capital expenditure plan of $200 billion for AI infrastructure, significantly exceeding Wall Street expectations, which caused market shockwaves [2][15] - The combined expected AI spending from Amazon, Microsoft, Google, and Meta is around $600 billion this year, raising concerns about the costs associated with the AI boom [2][15] Market Sentiment and Reactions - The S&P 500 Software and Services Index fell by 4.6%, with a total market value loss of about $1 trillion since January 28, leading to the term "software-mageddon" being used to describe the sell-off [3][16] - There is a notable market rotation occurring, with the Nasdaq underperforming compared to the S&P 500 and traditional consumer staples stocks gaining traction [3][16] Cryptocurrency and Commodities - Bitcoin rebounded by 3.9% after experiencing its worst single-day performance since June 2022, stabilizing around $65,000 [2][19] - Gold and silver prices have been volatile, with gold futures expected to rise by 3% this week, while silver dropped by 4.1% to $73.56, with expectations of a cumulative decline of over 6% for the week [19][20] Economic Indicators - Initial jobless claims in the U.S. surged, further dampening market sentiment, and U.S. Treasury yields fell to a three-week low [17] - The market is increasingly betting on a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, with the probability of a 25 basis point cut rising to 20.7% for the March meeting [5][18]

Market Overview - The market is experiencing a retracement bounce after an aggressive sell-off in recent days, with S&P minis up nearly 0.5%, Nasdaq 100 futures higher by over 0.5%, and small cap futures up 1.25% [1][2]. - The S&P 500 closed at the 100-day moving average, which historically leads to a bounce back the following day [3][4]. - An increase in open interest in E-mini S&P 500 futures indicates new sellers entering the market, suggesting a correction phase [5]. Sector Performance - There is notable weakness in technology stocks, particularly software names, while consumer staples and industrials are showing strength [6][7]. - The "Mag seven" tech stocks, including Microsoft, are underperforming, with concerns about their spending levels impacting stock performance [7][9]. Amazon's Earnings Report - Amazon reported adjusted earnings per share of $1.95, slightly missing expectations of $1.96, but revenue exceeded expectations at $213.3 billion compared to the anticipated $211.4 billion [10][11]. - AWS revenue also surpassed expectations, coming in at $35.58 billion, while advertising revenue exceeded forecasts [11]. - Amazon's capital expenditure (CapEx) is projected to be around $200 billion for 2026, significantly higher than the expected $146.6 billion, raising concerns about future growth and cash flow [12][13]. Reddit's Earnings Report - Reddit's adjusted earnings per share for Q4 came in at $1.24, beating expectations of $1.94, and revenue reached $726 million, also exceeding forecasts [23][24]. - The company is seeing strong growth in daily active users, particularly internationally, and guidance for future revenue and earnings has surpassed expectations [24][25]. - Reddit's partnerships with major companies like Google for AI training are expected to provide long-term business benefits [25][26]. Cryptocurrency Market - Bitcoin is showing signs of recovery, defending a key support level, with a potential close above $68,000 indicating a healthy market condition [16][17]. - There is a noted correlation between Bitcoin and the tech sector, particularly software stocks, although Bitcoin is increasingly trading independently of broader equity markets [20][21].

Amazon.com, Inc. ( AMZN ) is one of my top long-term picks. I previously rated this company as a Strong Buy, and only two other stocks get the same rating from me. I really likeI write about stocks I’m personally interested in adding to my portfolio. I’m not a professional advisor, but I study business and economics and analyze markets full-time. My writing is meant for both complete beginners — I avoid unnecessary complexity — and advanced readers, as I always aim to offer a distinct and well-reasoned pers ...

Core Viewpoint - Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) is identified as a top long-term investment pick, previously rated as a Strong Buy, alongside only two other stocks receiving the same rating [1]. Group 1 - The company is favored for potential portfolio addition, indicating strong personal interest from the analyst [1]. - The analysis is designed to cater to both beginners and advanced readers, emphasizing clarity and well-reasoned perspectives [1]. - The analyst operates a YouTube channel named "The Market Monkeys," where stock analyses are shared [1].