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不止硅谷十万大裁员,Hinton警告:AI正以最糟糕方式颠覆社会
3 6 Ke· 2025-11-28 08:21
AGI冲击已然显现:谁受益、谁买单,正成为时代核心命题。 他们以AI为借口裁员,将节省的资金投入无人付费的AI产品数据中心。 由1000多名亚马逊员工联署的公开信警告称,这种不计代价的AI开发模式可能贻害无穷。 上个月,亚马逊一口气裁掉了3万人。而讽刺的是,这三万人最好、最理想的选择是购买亚马逊股票。 亚马逊最新财报公布后,市值增加了约2500亿美元 一幅末日图景正在浮现:从实验室里的担忧,已经蔓延到办公室、仓库和数据中心。 未来,人工智能(AI)带来的究竟是GDP奇迹,还是社会秩序的解体? 上周,「AI教父」Hinton直言,科技亿万富翁真心实意押注AI取代大量人力,这会导致社会的完全解体! 最近,来自亚马逊的匿名人士抗议道: 当前这代AI,几乎成了像亚马逊这类科技巨头沉迷的毒品—— 根据Challenger, Gray&Christmas等再就业咨询公司数据,美国企业10月共宣布裁员153074人,创20多年新高。 另据Crunchbase和layoffs.fyi统计,仅2025年,Intel、微软、Verizon、亚马逊等大公司就宣布合计裁撤超过70000个岗位。 国外媒体用「layoffs are p ...
Black Friday Sale: Indian retailers’ hunt for a Western windfall and your rewards
The Economic Times· 2025-11-28 04:40
It’s not just a sale; it’s a rush, a challenge, a festival of discounts designed to get your heart -- and your wallet -- racing with adrenaline before your favourites go out of stock.From Amazon to Shoppers are planning big-ticket buys, refreshing pages at midnight, and hunting for every possible advantage. Black Friday in India is no longer just a sale -- it’s a spectacle, a digital frenzy, and an unmissable chance to turn shopping into a victory lap.E-commerce giants push the Black Friday trend forward o ...
X @Nick Szabo
Nick Szabo· 2025-11-28 04:26
RT Matt Forney (@mattforney)EXCLUSIVE: a reader shares a list of Amazon job openings "that are internal only and hidden from citizens" with the intent of reserving them for Indian H-1Bs.He writes:"They don't advertise these as perm notices for citizens to apply and HR/Hiring managers ignore the external applications as it happens within my organization...there are 50 postings like this as of today and companies continue to sponsor green cards for H-1B's when firing 30,000 citizens over the last 3 years."He ...
亚马逊研究奖获奖名单出炉:王晋东等26位华人入选
机器之心· 2025-11-28 04:11
机器之心报道 机器之心编辑部 恭喜! 近日,亚马逊研究奖(Amazon Research Awards,ARA)公布了最新一期获奖者名单,共 63 位(其中 26 位华人),来自 8 个国家 41 所大学。 名单地址:https://www.amazon.science/research-areas/latest-news/63-amazon-research-award-recipients-announced-spring-2025 亚马逊研究奖于 2015 年设立,旨在为多学科研究主题的研究人员提供资助奖励。获奖者可以访问 700 多个亚马逊公共数据集,并可以通过促销积分使用 AWS AI/ML 服务和工具。除此以外,获奖者还将与亚马逊专家建立联系,以获得咨询和建议,还可以参加亚马逊举办的活动、培训课程等。 在这一期的获奖名单中,我们看看有哪些华人学者。 AI 信息安全 AI 信息安全领域的应用方向有 8 位研究者获奖,其中有 3 位是华人。 Zhou Li(李洲) 机构:加州大学欧文分校 研究课题:利用 LLM 在审计日志中实现精确且分析人员友好的攻击溯源 李洲,加州大学欧文分校电气工程与计算机科学系 ...
大空头的观点解析
傅里叶的猫· 2025-11-28 03:32
Core Viewpoints - Michael Burry emphasizes that the primary indicator of a bubble is supply-side greed, which leads to over-expansion and ultimately market crashes, rather than demand shortages or profit deficiencies [7][11][12] - The current AI boom mirrors the 1990s internet bubble, with significant investments in AI infrastructure that may not align with actual demand [12][13] Group 1: Historical Analysis of Bubbles - The internet bubble of the 1990s was driven by excessive capital investment in data transmission infrastructure, leading to a supply-demand imbalance [7][8] - Major companies like AT&T and MCI invested heavily in infrastructure, but the actual demand for broadband was not met, resulting in a significant market crash by 2002 [8][11] - Similar patterns of over-investment leading to market corrections have been observed in the real estate bubble of the 2000s and the shale oil revolution of the 2010s [11] Group 2: Current AI Landscape - Major tech companies plan to invest nearly $3 trillion in AI infrastructure over the next three years, raising concerns about potential overcapacity [12] - OpenAI's projected spending of $1.4 trillion over eight years, with revenues not even close to covering this expenditure, highlights the unsustainable nature of current valuations [12] - The rapid pace of technological advancement in AI, particularly with companies like NVIDIA, raises questions about the longevity and economic viability of older chip models [22][23] Group 3: Financial Practices and Risks - Burry points out that major tech firms are extending the depreciation periods of their assets, which artificially inflates reported profits [20][21] - This accounting practice can lead to significant risks, as seen in the case of Baidu, which had to write down substantial asset values after extending depreciation periods [25] - The rapid obsolescence of technology, particularly in data centers, poses a risk of "zombie assets" that may not generate expected returns [24] Group 4: Clarifications on Misinterpretations - Burry clarifies that his positions in options against companies like Palantir and NVIDIA have been misrepresented in the media, emphasizing the importance of accurate reporting [26] - He distinguishes between criticizing accounting practices and directly accusing companies of fraud, asserting that his concerns are about industry-wide practices rather than specific companies [26]
X @Forbes
Forbes· 2025-11-28 02:48
Amazon Customers Issued 48 Hour Warning—‘Attacks Already Surging’It is critical that you look out for messages on your PC or smartphone and check your account. https://t.co/UEdvkLUTXQ ...
美国商家决战超级购物季 AI流量成新战场
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-11-27 21:32
Core Insights - The upcoming shopping season in the U.S. is expected to see a surge in consumer spending, but the impact of tariffs may weaken discounts offered by retailers, potentially affecting overall consumer expenditure [1][2]. Group 1: Consumer Behavior and Spending Trends - The National Retail Federation (NRF) predicts that the number of shoppers during the five-day shopping period from Thanksgiving to Cyber Monday will reach 186.9 million, a slight increase from 183.4 million last year [2]. - Total sales during this holiday season are expected to exceed $1 trillion for the first time, with a year-on-year growth of 3.7% to 4.2%, although this is lower than last year's growth of 4.8% [2]. - Consumer confidence has dropped to a seven-month low, influenced by concerns over tariffs, high inflation, and stagnant incomes, with the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index also hitting historic lows [2][3]. Group 2: Retailer Strategies and Market Dynamics - Retailers are facing rising costs due to tariffs, which are impacting consumer spending patterns, particularly among lower-income households [2][3]. - NRF estimates that average spending on holiday-related items will be $890 per household, slightly down from $902 last year [3]. - The holiday shopping season is traditionally significant, accounting for about one-third of annual sales, prompting retailers to initiate promotions early [5]. Group 3: AI and Digital Transformation in Retail - Retailers are increasingly leveraging AI tools to attract consumers, with platforms like ChatGPT and Google's Gemini becoming integral in providing shopping recommendations [5][6]. - Companies are ramping up content production to adapt to the "AI decision-making" consumer landscape, which, while requiring high initial investment, is expected to lower customer acquisition costs and improve conversion rates in the long run [7]. - Despite the current low traffic from generative AI platforms to retail websites, companies are exploring new methods to enhance visibility and engagement through increased content output and specialized data channels [7][8].
Sorry, mom. The shopping bots suggested a bathrobe for Christmas
Fortune· 2025-11-27 19:40
Core Insights - New AI shopping tools are emerging as US consumers are expected to spend a record $253 billion online during the holiday season, indicating a shift in consumer behavior towards autonomous agents for product research and purchases [2][3] - The concept of agentic commerce, where automated agents assist in transactions, is projected to grow into a $1 trillion market in the US by 2030, reflecting consumer demand for innovative shopping experiences [3] - Despite the potential, the current phase of agentic commerce is experimental, with companies facing technical challenges and the need for effective partnerships [4][9] Company Developments - Amazon has introduced its AI shopping assistant, Rufus, which aims to enhance the shopping experience by providing personalized recommendations and facilitating purchases [1][12] - OpenAI has launched a free ChatGPT tool that generates personalized gift-buying guides, showcasing the trend towards AI-driven shopping assistance [1][16] - Walmart is collaborating with AI companies to allow direct purchases through ChatGPT, indicating a willingness to integrate AI into their shopping platforms [13][14] Consumer Behavior - Over one-third of US consumers have utilized AI tools for online shopping, primarily for product research, highlighting a growing acceptance of AI in the shopping process [3] - The user experience of AI shopping assistants is seen as more intuitive compared to traditional search methods, with early indications suggesting that users referred by AI are more prepared to make purchases [6][16] Technical Challenges - Current shopping bots have not significantly improved the shopping experience, with issues related to personalization and accuracy in pricing and delivery estimates [7][10] - Retailers' websites were not originally designed for automated purchasing, leading to limitations in how effectively AI can facilitate transactions [8] Future Outlook - Partnerships with major retailers and payment processors are essential for AI companies to enable seamless shopping experiences directly within their applications [14] - The development of AI tools that can effectively communicate and navigate product catalogs is ongoing, with companies like Microsoft and Google working on solutions to enhance bot capabilities [9]
Hedge Fund and Insider Trading News: Boaz Weinstein, David Tepper, Michael Burry, Ray Dalio, Peter Thiel, Bill Ackman, OneWater Marine Inc (ONEW), and More
Insider Monkey· 2025-11-27 18:20
Core Insights - Generative AI is viewed as a transformative technology by Amazon's CEO Andy Jassy, indicating its potential to significantly enhance customer experiences across the company [1] - Elon Musk predicts that by 2040, the humanoid robot market could be valued at $250 trillion, driven by an ecosystem of AI innovators [2][3] - Major firms like PwC and McKinsey recognize the multi-trillion-dollar potential of AI, suggesting a broad consensus on its economic impact [3] Company and Industry Analysis - A breakthrough in AI technology is believed to be redefining work, learning, and creativity, attracting significant interest from hedge funds and top investors [4] - There is speculation about an under-owned company that may play a crucial role in the AI revolution, with its technology posing a threat to competitors [4][6] - Prominent figures in technology and investment, including Bill Gates and Warren Buffett, are positioning themselves around AI, highlighting its potential to improve various sectors such as healthcare and education [8]
The ‘Anti-Mag 7’ ETF Is Up 12% and Looks Ready To Run
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-27 16:33
Core Insights - The S&P 500's recent bull run has been significantly driven by the "Magnificent 7" AI tech stocks, which include Apple, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla [2][3] - The Magnificent 7 stocks account for over half of the S&P 500's year-to-date gains, with the index returning approximately 16% overall; excluding these stocks, the return drops to 7% [3] - Concerns about a potential AI bubble have led investors to seek alternatives, such as the Defiance Large Cap ex-Mag 7 ETF (NASDAQ: XMAG), which tracks the S&P 493, excluding the Magnificent 7 stocks [3][5] Investment Alternatives - The Defiance Large Cap ex-Mag 7 ETF (XMAG) has achieved a year-to-date return of 13.54%, outperforming the S&P 500's 7% return without the Magnificent 7 by about 650 basis points [5] - XMAG focuses on 493 large-cap stocks, with significant holdings in companies like Broadcom and Eli Lilly, rather than the Magnificent 7 [5] - The BITA US 500 ex-Magnificent 7 Index, created by BITA GmbH, offers a diversified alternative to the S&P 500 by excluding the largest AI-cap stocks, rebalancing quarterly to mitigate volatility and risk exposure [6]