里昂发布研报称，周大福(01929)2026财年上半财年销售额和利润略低于市场共识，但同店销售额增长 指引维持不变，且盈利能力指引被上调;预测2026财年销售额及净利润同比增长3%、40%，毛利率及营 业利润率分别为30.6%、18%。里昂将周大福12个月目标价从12港元升至13港元，维持12个月前瞻市盈 率12倍不变;并预计周大福下一个旺季(新年、春节和情人节)的销售表现对股价至关重要。 该行又将周大福2026至2028财年预测销售额、净利润预测分别上调1%至2%、8%，以反映指引上调及中 期前景的改善;并认为在金价持续上涨及中国内地竞争激烈的风险下，为周大福的同店销售增长前景蒙 上阴影。 ...

该行又将周大福2026至2028财年预测销售额、净利润预测分别上调1%至2%、8%，以反映指引上调及中 期前景的改善;并认为在金价持续上涨及中国内地竞争激烈的风险下，为周大福的同店销售增长前景蒙 上阴影。 智通财经APP获悉，里昂发布研报称，周大福(01929)2026财年上半财年销售额和利润略低于市场共识， 但同店销售额增长指引维持不变，且盈利能力指引被上调;预测2026财年销售额及净利润同比增长3%、 40%，毛利率及营业利润率分别为30.6%、18%。里昂将周大福12个月目标价从12港元升至13港元，维 持12个月前瞻市盈率12倍不变;并预计周大福下一个旺季(新年、春节和情人节)的销售表现对股价至关重 要。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from Credit Lyonnais raises Chow Tai Fook's 12-month target price from HKD 12 to HKD 13, maintaining a forward P/E ratio of 12 times, indicating a positive outlook for the company's stock performance in the upcoming peak sales season [1] Summary by Categories Sales and Profit Forecast - Credit Lyonnais has adjusted its sales and net profit forecasts for Chow Tai Fook for the fiscal years 2026 to 2028, increasing sales estimates by 1% to 2% and net profit estimates by 8%, reflecting improved guidance and mid-term outlook [1] Market Conditions - The upcoming peak sales season, which includes New Year, Spring Festival, and Valentine's Day, is deemed crucial for Chow Tai Fook's stock price performance [1] - The report highlights concerns regarding same-store sales growth prospects due to rising gold prices and intense competition in mainland China [1]

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年11月30日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 FF301 II. 已發行股份及/或庫存股份變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 是 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 01929 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數目 | | 庫存股份數目 | | | 已發行股份總數 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 9,864,944,600 | | 422,800 | | | 9,865,367,400 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 9,864,944,600 | | 422,800 | | | 9,865,367,400 | 公司名稱: 周大福珠寶集團有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年12月1日 I. 法定/註冊股本 ...

Core Insights - Chow Tai Fook's (01929.HK) performance for the first half of the fiscal year 2026 (April 1 to September 30, 2025) fell short of market expectations, leading to a significant drop in its stock price on November 26, with a decline of over 7% during trading [2] Financial Performance - The company's revenue for the first half of the fiscal year was HKD 38.99 billion, a slight decrease of 1.07% year-on-year, which was below the market estimate of HKD 40.19 billion [2] - Shareholder profit attributable to the company was HKD 2.534 billion, showing only a 0.1% increase compared to the same period last year, also missing the analyst forecast of HKD 2.63 billion [2] - Chow Tai Fook's gross profit margin narrowed by 0.9 percentage points to 30.5% year-on-year, attributed to limited increases in gold prices affecting retail product margins [2] Consumer Behavior and Market Trends - High gold prices have led to a noticeable change in consumer purchasing behavior, with customers showing hesitation in buying heavier gold products and preferring lower-priced jewelry or affordable alternatives [2] - The revenue structure reflects this trend, with a 9.3% year-on-year increase in revenue from priced jewelry, while revenue from gold jewelry based on weight declined by 3.8% [2] Policy Environment - Concerns regarding Chow Tai Fook are also linked to changes in the policy environment, particularly the cancellation of gold tax incentives on November 1, which may increase consumer costs for gold and pressure retail margins [3] Management Outlook - Despite facing short-term challenges, Chow Tai Fook's management remains optimistic about a recovery in the second half of the fiscal year, raising the gross profit margin guidance to 31% to 32% for the fiscal year ending March 2026 [3] - Analysts from institutions like Bank of America believe that the worst period for same-store sales growth may have passed, and business transformation efforts are expected to support profit recovery [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of HKD 38.986 billion for FY2026H1, a decrease of 1.1% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was HKD 2.534 billion, an increase of 0.2% year-on-year [1] - In FY2026Q2, the sales growth turned positive, with a year-on-year increase of 4.1% [1] - The company plans to distribute an interim cash dividend of HKD 0.22 per share, resulting in a payout ratio of 85.7% [1] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For FY2026H1, the revenue from priced jewelry increased by 9.3%, while the total revenue from gold jewelry and watches decreased by 3.8% and 10.6%, respectively [2] - The gross profit margin for FY2026H1 was 30.5%, down by 0.9 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to the timing of gold price increases [4] - The company’s operating income for FY2026 is projected to be HKD 90.859 billion, with a net profit of HKD 8.131 billion, reflecting a growth rate of 37.45% [5] Market Segments - The revenue from the mainland China market accounted for 82.6% of total revenue, with a year-on-year decline of 2.5% [2] - The Hong Kong, Macau, and other markets showed a revenue increase of 6.5% in FY2026H1, with same-store sales growth of 4.4% [3] Sales Channels - The company’s retail revenue grew by 8.1% year-on-year, while franchise revenue declined by 10.2% [2] - Same-store sales in the mainland China market increased by 4.8% for franchises and 2.6% for direct sales [2] Profitability and Valuation - The report projects an increase in net profit for FY2026, FY2027, and FY2028 by 17.4%, 16.1%, and 16.0%, respectively, with corresponding EPS of HKD 0.82, 0.91, and 0.97 [4] - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings ratio of 17 for FY2026, 15 for FY2027, and 14 for FY2028 [4]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a slight decline in revenue for the first half of FY2026, but a marginal increase in net profit, indicating resilience amid challenges. The board declared an interim dividend, reflecting confidence in future performance [1]. Financial Performance - FY2026H1 revenue reached HKD 38.986 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 1.1% - Net profit attributable to shareholders was HKD 2.534 billion, showing a slight increase of 0.1% - The board declared an interim dividend of HKD 0.22 per share [1]. Sales and Profitability - Same-store sales in mainland China increased by 2.6% in FY2026H1, with Q1 and Q2 showing contrasting trends of -3.3% and +7.6% respectively - Gross margin for FY2026H1 was 30.5%, down by 0.9 percentage points, benefiting from rising gold prices and a higher proportion of high-margin priced jewelry [1]. - Revenue from priced jewelry, gold jewelry, and watches showed year-on-year changes of +9.3%, -3.8%, and -10.6% respectively, with priced jewelry performing well [1]. Regional Performance - Revenue from mainland China decreased by 2.5%, while revenue from markets outside mainland China increased by 6.5% - Mainland China accounted for 82.6% of total revenue, a decrease of 1.2 percentage points [1]. Brand Transformation and Product Optimization - The company is actively optimizing store quality and efficiency, closing 611 stores in mainland China, resulting in a total of 5,663 stores at the end of FY2026H1, with 27.3% being direct-operated and 72.7% franchised [1]. - The company opened 8 new image stores in FY2026H1, enhancing brand appeal [2]. - Sales of signature priced products, including the Chao Fu, Chuan Xi, and Palace Museum series, reached HKD 3.4 billion in FY2026H1, with the proportion of priced gold products in mainland China increasing to 31.8%, up by 4.4 percentage points [2].

Group 1: French Broadcasting Incident - The Paris headquarters of French news broadcaster BFMTV and RMC BFM TV were evacuated due to a bomb threat, leading to the suspension of live broadcasts [2][7] - Police, including bomb disposal units, were deployed to conduct thorough checks, and the alert was later cleared, allowing some staff to return [2][7] Group 2: Iraqi Sovereignty and External Influence - U.S. Special Envoy to Iraq, Mark Savaya, emphasized the importance of Iraq asserting its sovereignty by controlling all weapons and eliminating external interference, particularly from Iran [3][7] - Savaya stated that confining weapons to state authority is essential for Iraq to regain its influential role in the region [3][7] Group 3: Gold Prices and China's Jewelry Market - Gold prices surged past $4,000 an ounce in October 2025, driven by geopolitical and economic uncertainties, creating a complex landscape for China's retail jewelry sector [4][7] - High gold prices have negatively impacted sales at major Chinese jewelry retailers, with a reported 52% decline in jewelry purchases during the second quarter of 2024 [5][7] - Despite the decline in jewelry sales, there was a 46% increase in sales of gold bars and coins in the first half of 2024 as consumers sought to hedge against economic uncertainty [5][7]

Core Viewpoint - Chow Tai Fook's stock price has experienced a decline despite a significant increase in gold prices this year, indicating potential market challenges and consumer behavior shifts in response to high gold prices [1][2] Group 1: Stock Performance - Chow Tai Fook's stock closed at HKD 13.65 on November 28, down 0.80%, marking a cumulative decline of 10.43% over three consecutive days [1] - Year-to-date, Chow Tai Fook's stock has risen by 112.95% [1] Group 2: Gold Price Trends - As of November 27, the London spot gold price reached USD 4,153.95 per ounce, with a year-to-date increase of 52% [1] - The in-store gold price at Chow Tai Fook reached CNY 1,321 per gram, with some high-end products priced at CNY 2,000 per gram due to additional craftsmanship costs [1] Group 3: Consumer Behavior - Despite high gold prices, sales have not declined compared to last year, with an increasing number of young consumers purchasing gold as an investment [1] - The high-end store, Chow Tai Fook Huiguan, focuses on premium gold products and has maintained its number of locations in Shenzhen [1] Group 4: Financial Performance - For the six months ending September 30, 2025, Chow Tai Fook reported a revenue of HKD 38.986 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 1.1%, while net profit slightly increased by 0.1% to HKD 2.534 billion [1] - The gross profit margin decreased to 30.5% from 31.4% in the previous year [1] Group 5: Retail Market Dynamics - The retail value in mainland China decreased by 1.1%, primarily due to the closure of 611 underperforming stores [2] - First-tier cities showed a retail value increase of 8.7%, while lower-tier cities experienced declines of 1.8%, 6.2%, and 4.8% respectively [2] - The retail markets in Hong Kong and Macau grew by 6.5% and 16.7%, respectively, indicating a divergence in consumer spending patterns [2]

Core Viewpoint - Chow Tai Fook's stock price has experienced a decline of 10.43% over three consecutive days, despite a significant year-to-date increase of 112.95%. This decline coincides with a substantial rise in international gold prices, which have increased by 52% this year, reaching $4,153.95 per ounce as of November 27 [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Chow Tai Fook's stock closed at HKD 13.65 per share on November 28, down 0.80% [1]. - The stock has seen a cumulative increase of 112.95% year-to-date [1]. Group 2: Gold Prices - As of November 28, the gold price in Chow Tai Fook's stores reached CNY 1,321 per gram, with some high-end products priced at CNY 2,000 per gram due to additional craftsmanship costs [3][7]. - International gold prices have surged by 52% this year, with the London spot gold price at $4,153.95 per ounce [1]. Group 3: Sales Performance - Despite high gold prices, sales have not declined compared to last year, with an increasing number of young consumers purchasing gold as an investment [7]. - Chow Tai Fook's mid-term financial report for the fiscal year 2026 showed a revenue of HKD 38.986 billion, a slight decrease of 1.1% year-on-year, while net profit increased by 0.1% to HKD 2.534 billion [10]. - Retail value in mainland China decreased by 1.1%, primarily due to the closure of 611 underperforming stores, but first-tier cities saw an 8.7% increase in retail value [10][13]. Group 4: Market Trends - The gold consumption market is exhibiting a K-shaped trend, with high-income consumers in first-tier cities and Hong Kong/Macau increasing their gold purchases, while lower-tier cities are experiencing a decline [15].