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大行评级|招商证券国际:上调亚马逊目标价至271美元 看好其受惠AI发展及AWS增长潜力
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-04 02:24
招商证券国际发表研究报告指,亚马逊第二季度业绩表现强劲,净销售额按年增长13%,经营利润增长 31%,净利润增长35%,均超出市场预期。期内AWS按年增长17%,增速与首季相若,略逊于微软 Azure及谷歌Google Cloud的39%及32%增长。该行指,亚马逊第三季度收入指引胜预期,经营利润指引 中位数略低于预期,可能反映宏观环境及关税因素影响,维持"买入"评级,将目标价上调至271美元, 看好其受惠AI发展、关税能见度改善及AWS增长潜力,预期产能限制问题可逐步缓解。 ...
招商证券:8月中下旬市场可能继续创新高
智通财经网· 2025-08-03 12:35
Market Outlook - The market is expected to show a fluctuating pattern in early August, returning to an upward trend in late August, potentially reaching new highs [1][2] - The overall demand is recovering, with government spending and exports performing well, while real estate and investment face pressure [2][5] Earnings Reports - The earnings season is anticipated to reveal mixed results, with some stocks facing adjustment pressure before disclosures [1][2] - The second quarter earnings reports are expected to confirm improvements in operating cash flow for leading companies [2][5] Investment Strategy - A "dumbbell" investment strategy is recommended, focusing on high ROE and free cash flow companies on one side, and sectors like AI on the other [3][4] - Key sectors to watch include military trade, semiconductor autonomy, and new consumption [3] Style and Sector Allocation - In August, the market is expected to experience increased volatility, favoring mainstream styles [4] - Recommended indices include Sci-Tech 50, CSI 1000, and Hang Seng Technology [4] Industry Focus - Attention should be given to sectors with expected earnings recovery, including non-bank financials, pharmaceuticals, power equipment, machinery, defense, and computing [5][7] - Key investment themes include AI applications, AI hardware, non-bank finance, defense, and innovative drugs [5][6] Liquidity and Fund Supply - There is an expectation of continued net inflow of incremental funds, with active participation from financing, private equity, and industry ETFs [5][6] - The macro liquidity remains loose, but potential tightening may occur due to increased government bond supply [5][6] Economic Indicators - High-performing sectors in July included resources, midstream manufacturing, and information technology, with price increases noted in steel and coal [7] - The overall A-share earnings report is expected to face pressure, but certain sectors may still show robust growth [6][7]
长芯博创获招商证券给予 “强烈买入” 初始评级


Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-03 11:05
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that China’s Longxin Technology has been initiated coverage by China Merchants Securities (Hong Kong) with a "strong buy" rating [1]
大行评级|招商证券国际:上调Meta目标价至866美元 设为行业首推股票
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-01 03:17
鉴于业绩的强劲增长,Meta当前估值为19倍2025财年非GAAP市盈率,对比行业均值31倍,及同行亚马 逊27倍和微软37倍相对具有吸引力。该行将Meta设为行业首推股票,目标价从759美元上调至866美 元,分别对应2025、2026财年24倍、22倍市盈率,以及22倍、19倍企业价值倍数(EV)/EBITDA,评 级"增持" 。 招商证券国际发表研究报告指,Meta次季收入按年增长22%,盈利按年增长38%,三季度收入指引下限 高于市场共识。此外,Meta用户增长强劲,日活跃用户增长6%,AI驱动广告效果增强,带动广告展示 量和平均广告价格增长。 ...
招商证券:上半年寿险保费延续强劲增长、财险表现稳健 维持行业“推荐”评级
智通财经网· 2025-08-01 03:02
Group 1: Life Insurance Sector - The life insurance companies reported a cumulative premium income of 27,705 billion, a year-on-year increase of 5.4%, showing continuous improvement in growth rate [1] - In June, the premium income for life insurance companies was 4,908 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 16.3%, maintaining rapid growth [1] - The premium income from life insurance was 4,141 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 21.0%, which remains the main driver for the rapid growth of overall life insurance premiums [1] Group 2: Health and Accident Insurance - Health insurance premium income was 735 billion, showing a year-on-year decrease of 3.6%, while accident insurance premium income was 33 billion, down 9.4%, indicating ongoing pressure on growth [1] Group 3: Property Insurance Sector - The property insurance companies reported a cumulative premium income of 9,645 billion, a year-on-year increase of 5.1%, indicating stable growth [3] - In June, the premium income for property insurance companies was 1,839 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 4.6% [3] - The premium income from auto insurance was 785 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 4.9%, driven by government subsidies and a positive car market trend [3] Group 4: Overall Industry Performance - The cumulative premium income for the insurance industry reached 37,350 billion, a year-on-year increase of 5.3%, with continuous improvement in growth rate [4] - As of the end of June, the total assets of the insurance industry were 392,214 billion, an increase of 9.2% compared to the beginning of the year [4] - The net assets of the insurance industry were 37,540 billion, reflecting a year-to-date increase of 12.9% [4]
招商证券国际:维持百威亚太(01876)目标价8.7港元 评级“持有”
智通财经网· 2025-08-01 02:48
Core Viewpoint - Budweiser APAC (01876) has seen a significant decline in net profit expectations for the first half of 2025, with a projected decrease of 24%, indicating a general market sentiment of lowered profitability [1] Financial Performance - Budweiser APAC's second-quarter performance was largely in line with expectations, but sales in key markets like China and South Korea have generally contracted [1] - Despite a slight increase in average selling prices due to product upgrades, this was insufficient to offset the impact of declining sales [1] Market Position - The management of Budweiser APAC has made efforts to steer the business in the right direction; however, these efforts appear inadequate to reverse the decline in market share as a premium brand during China's consumption upgrade cycle [1]
招商证券:一体化与高股息双驱动 铝业龙头中国宏桥(01378)潜力无限 首予“强烈推荐”评级
智通财经网· 2025-08-01 01:40
智通财经APP获悉,招商证券发布研究报告称,中国宏桥(01378)为全产业链布局的全球一体化电解铝企 业,产能较高,有成本和规模优势。公司股息率高,旗下宏创控股并购重组后铝业核心资产将在A股上 市,叠加西芒杜铁矿放量有望增厚利润,进一步打开估值空间。预计公司25/26/27年每股收益分别为 2.37/2.45/2.52元,对应PE为8.1/7.9/7.6,首次覆盖给予"强烈推荐"投资评级。 股息率较高,主要资产将在A股上市进一步打开估值空间。公司自2011年上市以来坚持分红,2024年每 股股息161港仙,较2023年增长156%,按照当年最后一个交易日的收盘价计算,股息率为13.69%,按 2025年7月28日股价计算为6.89%,高于国内其他主要铝企,在港股各行业头部上市公司中也具备优 势。公司规模较大,毛利率和ROE在同业公司中较高,PE低于主要上市铝企,截至2025年7月28日为 8.25。 公司旗下主要电解铝生产企业宏拓实业将由公司控股子公司宏创控股并购,从而在A股上市,宏拓实业 有氧化铝产能1900万吨和电解铝产能646万吨,并购完成后将显著提升宏创控股的规模和盈利能力,同 时有利于打开中国宏桥的 ...
招商证券:一体化与高股息双驱动 铝业龙头中国宏桥潜力无限 首予“强烈推荐”评级
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-01 01:40
Core Viewpoint - China Hongqiao (01378) is a globally integrated electrolytic aluminum enterprise with a full industry chain layout, high production capacity, and cost advantages. The company has a high dividend yield, and the merger and restructuring of its subsidiary Hongchuang Holdings (002379) will lead to the listing of core aluminum assets in A-shares, further enhancing profit margins and valuation space. The expected earnings per share for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 2.37, 2.45, and 2.52 CNY, respectively, corresponding to PE ratios of 8.1, 7.9, and 7.6, with a strong buy rating given for the first coverage [1]. Group 1 - China Hongqiao is a leading electrolytic aluminum producer with a comprehensive domestic and international industry chain layout, producing and selling aluminum products including electrolytic aluminum, alumina, and aluminum processing products, with a total electrolytic aluminum capacity of 6.46 million tons and alumina capacity of 21 million tons [2]. - The company has a stable gross profit margin, with a projected sales gross margin of 27.0% for 2024, significantly higher than comparable companies, and has maintained stable historical gross margins [2]. - The company is focused on future sustainability, relocating 203,000 tons of electrolytic aluminum capacity from Shandong to Yunnan to increase the use of green electricity, with 148.8 thousand tons already in production as of Q1 2025 [2]. Group 2 - The electrolytic aluminum operating rate is high, with domestic inventory at a historical low of 51,000 tons as of July 24, 2025, supporting aluminum prices, while the operating rate exceeds 97% [3]. - The company has maintained a high dividend yield since its listing in 2011, with a projected dividend of 161 Hong Kong cents per share for 2024, a 156% increase from 2023, resulting in a dividend yield of 13.69% based on the last trading day’s closing price [3]. - The merger of the company's main electrolytic aluminum production enterprise, Hongtuo Industrial, with its subsidiary Hongchuang Holdings will significantly enhance the scale and profitability of Hongchuang Holdings, thereby opening up valuation space for China Hongqiao [4].
招商证券资产管理有限公司 高级管理人员变更公告


Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao - Zhong Zheng Wang· 2025-07-31 23:21
Group 1 - The announcement date is August 1, 2025 [1] - The new senior management personnel information is included [1] - Other matters requiring explanation have been approved by the third board of directors' fourth meeting of China Merchants Securities Asset Management Co., Ltd. and will be filed according to relevant regulations [1]
莱伯泰科: 招商证券股份有限公司关于北京莱伯泰科仪器股份有限公司使用暂时闲置募集资金进行现金管理的核查意见
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-07-31 16:15
Core Viewpoint - The company plans to utilize temporarily idle raised funds for cash management to enhance fund efficiency and generate returns for the company and its shareholders [4][5][6]. Summary by Sections 1. Basic Information on Raised Funds - The company was approved by the China Securities Regulatory Commission to publicly issue 17 million shares at a price of 24.80 RMB per share, raising a total of 421.6 million RMB, with a net amount of 374.48 million RMB after deducting issuance costs [1]. 2. Investment Project Status - The company has modified its investment projects, reallocating funds from the "Experimental Analysis Instrument Consumables Production Project" to the "Trace and Ultra-trace Element Analysis ICP-MS and Online Analysis System Production and R&D Project" [2]. - As of November 14, 2023, the company has approved the conclusion of certain projects and will use surplus funds of 70 million RMB for new projects, including 50 million RMB for a gas chromatography-mass spectrometry project and 20 million RMB for an ICP spectrometer project [2]. 3. Cash Management Plan - The company aims to use up to 130 million RMB of temporarily idle raised funds for cash management, with a maximum investment period of 12 months [4][5]. - The investment will focus on low-risk, high-liquidity financial products, ensuring that the funds are not used for pledging or securities investment [4][6]. 4. Decision-Making and Governance - The board of directors has authorized the chairman to make investment decisions within the approved limits and timeframe, with the finance department responsible for implementation [5][6]. - The decision is valid for 12 months from the date of board approval [5]. 5. Impact on Daily Operations - The cash management plan will not affect the company's normal operations or the progress of investment projects, and it is expected to generate additional returns for the company and its shareholders [4][5]. 6. Verification by Sponsor Institution - The sponsor institution has confirmed that the cash management plan complies with relevant regulations and does not alter the intended use of raised funds, thus supporting the company's interests [6].