FedEx forecast a worse-than-expected profit for the current quarter and said it would only share its outlook for the current quarter due to the uncertain environment for global demand. Katie Linsell reports on Bloomberg Television. -------- More on Bloomberg Television and Markets Like this video? Subscribe and turn on notifications so you don't miss any videos from Bloomberg Markets & Finance: https://tinyurl.com/ysu5b8a9 Visit http://www.bloomberg.com for business news & analysis, up-to-the-minute market ...

Group 1: FedEx Corporation - FedEx reported fourth-quarter revenue of $22.2 billion, exceeding analyst estimates of $21.84 billion [1] - The company achieved fourth-quarter adjusted earnings of $6.07 per share, surpassing analyst expectations of $5.87 per share [1] - For the first quarter, FedEx expects adjusted earnings to be between $3.40 and $4 per share, lower than the estimates of $4.15 per share [2] - FedEx anticipates revenue to be flat to up 2% year-over-year in the first quarter [2] - FedEx shares fell 5.4% to $216.85 in pre-market trading following the soft first-quarter guidance [2] Group 2: Other Companies - Torrid Holdings Inc. saw a significant drop of 29.4% to $3.59 in pre-market trading due to the announcement of a secondary offering of common stock [4] - Allot Ltd. experienced a 9% decline to $8.75 in pre-market trading after announcing the pricing of an underwritten public offering of ordinary shares [4] - QXO, Inc. fell 6.9% to $21.87 in pre-market trading following the announcement of a common stock offering [4] - Cidara Therapeutics, Inc. dropped 6.6% to $43.75 in pre-market trading after announcing an upsized public offering of common stock [4] - Standard BioTools Inc. decreased by 4.9% to $1.1604 in pre-market trading after announcing a strategic sale of SomaLogic to Illumina [4] - AST SpaceMobile, Inc. dipped 4.6% to $50.76 in pre-market trading due to the pricing of a repurchase of convertible notes and a registered direct offering of Class A common stock [4] - Daktronics, Inc. fell 3.4% to $14.68 in pre-market trading following disappointing quarterly sales [4]

Group 1 - FedEx Corporation is identified as a highly attractive investment opportunity in the current market, despite some fundamental challenges [1] - The overall trend for FedEx has been positive, indicating potential for growth [1] Group 2 - Crude Value Insights focuses on cash flow and companies in the oil and natural gas sector, highlighting their value and growth prospects [1] - Subscribers benefit from a comprehensive stock model account and detailed cash flow analyses of exploration and production firms [2]

Core Viewpoint - FedEx's stock experienced a 6% decline in after-market trading following its Q4 FY2025 earnings report, despite surpassing consensus estimates, due to a cautious outlook for the upcoming quarter [2][6] Financial Performance - FedEx reported Q4 revenue of $22.2 billion, matching the prior-year quarter and exceeding the consensus estimate of $21.8 billion [3] - The package segment saw a 5% increase in volume, while composite package yield decreased slightly by 0.4% [3] - Freight volume declined significantly by 15%, although composite freight yield rose by 3% [3] - The adjusted operating margin improved by 600 basis points to 9.1%, with adjusted earnings per share increasing to $6.07 from $5.41 in the previous year, surpassing the consensus estimate of $5.86 [5] Guidance and Outlook - FedEx's guidance for Q1 FY2026 indicates revenue growth of flat to 2% year-over-year, slightly better than street estimates of a 0.1% decline [6] - The company forecasts adjusted earnings per share between $3.40 and $4.00, below the consensus estimate of $4.06 [6] - FedEx plans an additional $1 billion in cost-cutting measures for FY2026, building on $4 billion in savings already achieved [6] Valuation Analysis - FedEx's stock is currently trading around $215, with a trailing adjusted P/E ratio of 12x, lower than its five-year average of 16x, suggesting potential for growth [7] - The separation of the freight business is expected to unlock shareholder value and enhance focus on core parcel delivery operations [8] - The stock appears slightly undervalued, presenting a potential opportunity for long-term gains [8]

盘前市场动向 美股面临"高估值风险"，需要降息或亮眼财报"救场"。美国股市近期在多重压力下仍屡创新高，但估值过高引发担忧。标普500 市盈率达22倍，远超长期均值35%，多项指标显示其处于历史高位。市场能否持续上涨取决于企业盈利能否超预期或美联储降 息。但鉴于估值水平高企，美股盈利超预期门槛很高;与此同时，美联储也表示不急于调整政策。彭博一项模型考虑了诸如美国 国债收益率、每股收益以及股票风险溢价等要素，该模型显示，以历史数据计算，标普500指数的合理市盈率应维持在约17.7倍 的水平，而目前的市盈率为 23.7倍。要使市盈率回归到合理价值水平，该指标的盈利水平需在未来一年内增长 30%(假设股价保 持不变)。据彭博策略师Gina Martin Adams和Michael Casper称，除了盈利增长之外，美联储大幅降息也将是使标普500指数中的 基本面与市场价格之间的差距缩小的另一种方式。 鲍威尔将再闯国会山，今晚继续"打太极"?周三，鲍威尔将继续在参议院银行委员会作证。鲍威尔昨日对尽快降息三缄其口，只 是不排除任何可能。鲍威尔重申了他的观点，即决策者无需仓促调整政策，这与美国总统特朗普的要求以及美联储理事 ...

Core Insights - FedEx utilized its data and digital platform solutions to help navigate challenges related to tariffs and changing trade policies during the recent quarter [1][2] - The company showcased its insights from being at the center of a global trade ecosystem during its fourth quarter earnings call [2][3] Operational Adjustments - FedEx adjusted its operations in response to changing trade policies through its Tricolor network optimization initiative, allowing for quicker market response [3][4] - The company reduced capacity on its Asia-to-Americas lane by over 35% in the first week of May compared to April, and ended May with a 20% reduction in capacity [4] Financial Performance - In the fourth quarter, FedEx reported a 1% year-over-year increase in revenue and an 8% rise in adjusted operating income, continuing its cost reduction efforts initiated in 2023 [5] - The company achieved its DRIVE program's target of $4 billion in structural cost reductions over two years during the quarter [6] Customer Engagement - FedEx's loyalty program for small and medium-sized businesses, FedEx Rewards, experienced growth in enrolled revenue and a lower churn rate compared to nonparticipants [6] - The enrollment in the Rewards program increased by 8% year-over-year, contributing to a more personalized customer experience and driving customer loyalty [7]

Group 1 - FedEx reported quarterly earnings that exceeded market expectations, achieving a net profit of $1.65 billion (EPS of $6.88), up from $1.47 billion (EPS of $5.94) year-over-year [1] - The company has completed its $4 billion cost reduction target and plans to save an additional $1 billion in the new fiscal year [1] - Despite the positive earnings report, FedEx's stock fell over 5% in after-hours trading due to slightly lower profit guidance for the current quarter compared to Wall Street expectations [1] Group 2 - FedEx's capital expenditures for fiscal year 2025 are projected to decrease to $4.1 billion, a 22% reduction from the previous fiscal year's $5.2 billion, marking the lowest capital expenditure as a percentage of revenue in history [2] - The company confirmed it has achieved its cumulative cost reduction goal of $4 billion ahead of schedule, based on fiscal year 2023 [2] - For the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, FedEx expects revenue to be flat to up 2% year-over-year, but the adjusted EPS guidance of $3.40 to $4.00 is slightly below the market expectation of $4.06 [2] Group 3 - FedEx and UPS are engaged in a long-standing market share battle, with demand from manufacturing and other industrial clients remaining weak [3] - The shift of many customers from expensive air freight to lower-cost truck and rail transport is putting pressure on profit margins for express delivery companies [3] - Recent policy changes have negatively impacted air freight volumes from Chinese e-commerce retailers like Temu and SHEIN, following the cancellation of tax exemptions for packages valued under $800 [3]

Core Viewpoint - FedEx reported a revenue of $22.22 billion for the quarter ended May 2025, reflecting a 0.5% increase year-over-year, with an EPS of $6.07, up from $5.41 in the same quarter last year, surpassing both revenue and EPS estimates from analysts [1] Financial Performance - Revenue of $22.22 billion exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $21.73 billion by 2.24% [1] - EPS of $6.07 surpassed the consensus estimate of $5.93, resulting in a surprise of 2.36% [1] - FedEx shares returned +5.8% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +3.9% [3] Key Metrics - FedEx Express reported an average daily package volume of 1.12 million for international exports, exceeding the average estimate of 1.08 million [4] - FedEx Freight's composite weight per shipment was 920 thousand, slightly below the average estimate of 922.71 thousand [4] - Total average daily package volume for FedEx Express was 16.79 million, surpassing the four-analyst average estimate of 16.19 million [4] - Revenue from the FedEx Freight segment was $2.30 billion, above the average estimate of $2.27 billion, but showed a year-over-year decline of 0.4% [4] - Revenue from the Federal Express segment reached $18.98 billion, significantly higher than the $18.42 billion average estimate, marking an 82.2% year-over-year increase [4] - U.S. ground revenue for FedEx Express was $8.59 billion, exceeding the average estimate of $8.34 billion [4] - International priority freight revenue was $603 million, above the average estimate of $562.23 million, reflecting a 7.1% year-over-year increase [4] - Total freight revenue for FedEx Express was $1.41 billion, slightly above the average estimate of $1.37 billion, but down 13.9% year-over-year [4] - U.S. freight revenue was $298 million, marginally above the estimate of $297.13 million, but down 50.7% compared to the previous year [4] - Other revenue for FedEx Express was $217 million, below the average estimate of $246.59 million, representing an 18.7% year-over-year decline [4]

Market Overview - Market futures are rallying due to the absence of negative news, with tech stocks reaching record highs and the S&P 500 only about -1% below all-time highs [1] - The Dow gained +507 points (+0.62%), the S&P 500 rose +67 points (+1.11%), and the Nasdaq led with a gain of +281 points (+1.43%) [2] - Oil prices are declining, with WTI at $64.91 per barrel and Brent crude at $65.08 per barrel, down from $65 and $67 respectively [3] Federal Reserve Insights - Fed Chair Jerome Powell remains firm on keeping interest rates steady despite pressure from Republican members, citing cooling inflation but potential price increases from upcoming tariffs [4] - Employment numbers are softening but not indicating a sudden rise in job losses, with Continuing Jobless Claims not yet reaching 2 million per week [5] Company Performance: FedEx - FedEx reported fiscal Q3 earnings of $6.07 per share, exceeding the Zacks consensus of $5.93, with revenues of $22.22 billion surpassing expectations of $21.73 billion [6] - Both Express and Freight businesses outperformed, with increased export volume indicating a pull-forward of activity ahead of upcoming tariffs [7] - Next-quarter earnings guidance has been lowered to $3.40-4.00 per share, below the Zacks consensus of $4.05, leading to a stock decline of -4.4% [7]

分组1 - FedEx reported quarterly earnings of $6.07 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $5.93 per share, and up from $5.41 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of +2.36% [1] - The company posted revenues of $22.22 billion for the quarter ended May 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.24%, compared to year-ago revenues of $22.11 billion [2] - FedEx has surpassed consensus EPS estimates two times over the last four quarters and has topped consensus revenue estimates two times as well [2] 分组2 - The stock has underperformed the market, losing about 18.5% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has gained 2.4% [3] - The company's earnings outlook is crucial for investors, as it includes current consensus earnings expectations for upcoming quarters and any recent changes to those expectations [4] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the coming quarter is $4.05 on revenues of $21.63 billion, and $19.60 on revenues of $89.41 billion for the current fiscal year [7] 分组3 - The Zacks Industry Rank indicates that the Transportation - Air Freight and Cargo sector is currently in the top 40% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting a favorable outlook for stocks in this sector [8] - Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can be tracked by investors [5] - The estimate revisions trend for FedEx was mixed ahead of the earnings release, resulting in a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) for the stock, indicating expected performance in line with the market [6]