Core Viewpoint - The company focuses on core business districts to establish high-end commercial benchmarks, with a stable revenue growth outlook driven by rental income from investment properties [1] Business Overview - The company's primary business is investment property leasing, supplemented by property sales and hotel operations, with a presence in mainland China and Hong Kong [1] - The company aims to become a luxury retail benchmark in key cities, with its two major shopping centers in Shanghai recognized as landmark buildings [1] Financial Performance - The company expects revenue of HKD 11.2 billion in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 9%, with a CAGR growth rate of 5% from 2011 to 2024 [1] - For the first half of 2025, the company reported revenue of HKD 5 billion, with investment property rental income accounting for 94% [1] Investment Property (IP) and Hotel Operations - Mainland IP rental income for 2024 is projected at HKD 6.5 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 5%, with a CAGR growth rate of 7% since 2011 [2] - The company is actively adjusting its retail offerings, with signs of improvement in retail performance, as evidenced by 7 out of 10 shopping centers showing positive rental growth in the first half of 2025 [2] - Hong Kong IP rental income for 2024 is expected to be HKD 3.05 billion, down 9% year-on-year, but showing signs of recovery in retail and residential leasing [2] - The hotel segment, while smaller, has shown stable operations with revenue of HKD 129 million in the first half of 2025, an increase of 84% year-on-year [2] Market Trends - The luxury retail sector, represented by brands like Hermes, Prada, and LVMH, is experiencing a strong recovery, which is expected to positively impact the company's high-end shopping centers [3] Financial Health and Dividends - The company maintains a healthy financial position with interest-bearing debt of HKD 54.8 billion, a year-on-year increase of 3%, and a net debt ratio of 33.5% [3] - The financing cost has reached a near-term low of 3.9%, and the company has consistently maintained a dividend payout ratio of 80% [3] - Despite a decline in annual dividends to HKD 2.5 billion in 2024 due to performance issues, the company aims to restore its dividend policy to primarily cash-based distributions [3] Investment Analysis - The target price is set at HKD 11.7, with a "buy" rating based on the company's focus on core business districts, improving retail performance, and stable financial health [4] - Projected net profits for 2025-2027 are HKD 2.52 billion, HKD 2.55 billion, and HKD 2.64 billion, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 17%, 1%, and 4% respectively [4]

去年8月起停止运营的原梅龙镇广场物业将迎来新的运营方。12月12日，恒隆地产宣布与上海九百（集 团）有限公司（简称"九百集团"）签约上海南京西路1038号商业运营项目（前身为梅龙镇广场）。项目 由恒隆以20年的营运租赁形式经营，将为恒隆在南京西路的项目增加约96,000平方米的总建筑面积，扩 大约44%至约312,335平方米。 ...

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [3][6][7]. Core Insights - The company focuses on high-end commercial properties, actively adjusting operations to improve performance. It has established itself as a benchmark in luxury retail, particularly in key urban areas [6][8]. - Revenue for 2024 is projected at HKD 11.2 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9%. The company has a stable financial outlook with a dividend payout ratio of 80% [6][7]. - The company’s investment properties (IP) are expected to contribute significantly to cash flow stability, with a focus on high-end markets and a gradual recovery in luxury retail [6][8]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue and profit forecasts for the company from 2023 to 2027 are as follows: - Revenue: HKD 10.3 billion (2023), HKD 11.2 billion (2024), HKD 9.9 billion (2025E), HKD 10.1 billion (2026E), HKD 10.4 billion (2027E) [5]. - Net profit attributable to ordinary shareholders: HKD 3.97 billion (2023), HKD 2.15 billion (2024), HKD 2.52 billion (2025E), HKD 2.55 billion (2026E), HKD 2.64 billion (2027E) [5]. - Earnings per share: HKD 0.79 (2023), HKD 0.43 (2024), HKD 0.50 (2025E), HKD 0.50 (2026E), HKD 0.52 (2027E) [5]. - Return on equity (ROE): 3.0% (2023), 1.6% (2024), 1.9% (2025E), 1.9% (2026E), 2.0% (2027E) [5]. Business Structure - The company’s revenue structure is primarily derived from property leasing, which accounts for over 90% of total income. The revenue breakdown for 2024 is as follows: Mainland property leasing (64%), Hong Kong property leasing (30%), property sales (3%), and hotels (3%) [30][32]. - The company operates 10 investment properties in Mainland China and 24 in Hong Kong, with a total floor area of 2.27 million square meters in Mainland China [32][48]. Investment Properties - The company’s investment properties are positioned in high-end markets, with a focus on luxury retail. The rental income from Mainland properties is projected to be HKD 6.5 billion in 2024, with a year-on-year decline of 5% [6][48]. - The company is actively adjusting its retail offerings, with improvements in tenant sales observed since Q3 2024, indicating a potential stabilization in rental income [6][8]. Financial Health and Dividends - The company maintains a healthy financial position with a net debt ratio of 33.5% and a financing cost of 3.9%, which is at a historical low [6][7]. - The dividend payout has been consistent, with an 80% payout ratio, and is expected to return to a primarily cash-based distribution model in the future [6][7]. Target Price and Valuation - The target price for the company is set at HKD 11.7, with a projected price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 18 for 2025 and 17 for 2027 [6][7].

Company Dynamics - Hang Lung Properties announced a collaboration with Wuxi Liangxi Urban Development Company to acquire the operating rights of a landmark commercial project adjacent to Wuxi Hang Lung Plaza through a long-term lease [1] - This project marks another significant advancement under the "Hang Lung V.3" strategy, which focuses on core cities, high capital efficiency, and selective reinvestment in existing projects [1] Strategic Insights - The expansion into Wuxi aligns with the company's strategy to consolidate its market position with relatively low investment in a competitive landscape [1] - The company has announced light-asset expansions or upgrades in four projects: Kunming, Shanghai, Hangzhou, and Wuxi, which are expected to enhance retail space and improve customer experience [1] Performance Expectations - Wuxi Hang Lung Plaza has shown strong performance since its opening in 2013, with a successful transition to luxury retail since 2019, leading to significant growth in retail sales and rental income [2] - The new project is expected to increase the retail area of Wuxi Hang Lung Plaza by 38% (or 47,000 square meters) and introduce over 80 new brands, further strengthening its competitive advantage in dining, fashion, and lifestyle experiences [2] Financial Projections - The company maintains its profit forecasts and continues to rate the stock as outperforming the industry, with a target price of HKD 9.46 per share, corresponding to a 15x core P/E for 2025 and a 5.5% dividend yield [2] - The stock is currently trading at a 14.5x core P/E for 2025 and a 5.8% dividend yield [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Hang Lung Properties has made significant progress in its V.3 strategy by partnering with Wuxi Liangxi Urban Development Company to secure the operating rights of a landmark commercial project adjacent to Wuxi Hang Lung Plaza [1] - The V.3 strategy, officially launched in September, focuses on core cities with high capital efficiency, selective reinvestment in existing projects, and expansion through partnerships [1] - The report indicates that in a relatively clear competitive landscape in core cities, consolidating market position with lower investment is a preferable strategic choice [1] Group 2 - Despite an annual increase in the fourth quarter, the company expects retail sales in mainland malls for October and November to continue the momentum from the third quarter, projecting a 10% year-on-year growth in retail sales for the third quarter [1] - Recent highlights from key projects include successful events at Shanghai Hang Lung Plaza, such as the Home-to-Luxury store celebration and the reopening of the Chanel store on the first floor [1] - The firm maintains its earnings forecast and valuation unchanged, with a rating of "outperforming the industry" and a target price of HKD 9.46 [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that despite Hang Lung Properties (00101) prioritizing debt reduction in the next 1 to 2 years, it can still discover growth opportunities with lower risk, reaffirming its status as a preferred stock due to improving sales from tenants in mainland China [1] - Hang Lung Properties recently announced the acquisition of operational rights for a commercial project in the center of Wuxi through a long-term lease, marking the fourth expansion under its growth strategy "Hang Lung V.3" [1] - According to Morgan Stanley, referencing the latest rental levels at Hang Lung Plaza 66 shopping center, the expansion plan is expected to generate approximately 200 million RMB in annual rental income, assuming the company holds 60% of the operating lease with a profit margin of 30%, which could contribute about 1% to the annual revenue [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that despite a focus on reducing debt in the next 1 to 2 years, Hang Lung Properties (00101) can still discover growth opportunities with low risk, reaffirming its status as a preferred stock due to improving sales from tenants in mainland China [1] - Hang Lung Properties recently announced the acquisition of operational rights for a commercial project in the center of Wuxi through a long-term lease, marking the fourth expansion under its growth strategy "Hang Lung V.3" [1] - According to Morgan Stanley, based on the latest rental levels at Hang Lung Plaza 66 shopping center, this expansion is expected to generate approximately 200 million RMB in annual rental income, assuming the company holds 60% of the operating lease with a profit margin of 30%, which could contribute about 1% to the annual revenue [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Hang Lung Properties has announced the acquisition of operational rights for a commercial project in the center of Wuxi through a long-term lease, marking the fourth expansion under its growth strategy, Hang Lung V.3 [1] - Morgan Stanley indicates that despite the company's potential focus on reducing debt in the next 1 to 2 years, it can still discover growth momentum with lower risk [1] - The report reaffirms Hang Lung Properties as a preferred stock, citing continuous improvement in sales for mainland tenants, with expectations for fourth-quarter sales to maintain a year-on-year growth of 10% following the third quarter [1] Group 2 - Morgan Stanley sets a target price of HKD 10 for Hang Lung Properties by June 2026 and maintains an "Overweight" rating [1]

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 | 截至月份: | 2025年11月30日 | 狀態: 新提交 | | --- | --- | --- | | 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 | | | | 公司名稱: | 恒隆地產有限公司 | | | 呈交日期: | 2025年12月4日 | | | I. 法定/註冊股本變動 不適用 | | | | 備註： | | | | 恒隆地產有限公司並無法定股本，及其股本並無股份面值。 | | | | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 00101 | 說明 | | 不適用 | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數目 | | | 庫存股份數目 | | 已發行股份總數 | | | 上月底結存 | | | | 5,056,646,442 | | 0 | | 5,056,646,442 | | 增加 / 減少 ...

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 | 截至月份: | 2025年10月31日 | 狀態: | 新提交 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 | | | | | 公司名稱: | 恒隆地產有限公司 | | | | 呈交日期: | 2025年11月6日 | | | | I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 不適用 | | | | 備註： | | | | | 恒隆地產有限公司並無法定股本，及其股本並無股份面值。 | | | | FF301 第 1 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.1.1 FF301 II. 已發行股份及/或庫存股份變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 00101 | 說明 | | 不適用 | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數目 | | | 庫存股份數目 | | 已發行股份總 ...