随着香港住宅市场回暖支持今年发展物业销售，该行认为恒隆有机会于2026年上半年取消"以股代息"计 划，虽然管理层未承诺具体时间表。恒隆目前交易对应的股息率为5.5%，较资产净值折让约60%，该行 认为估值吸引。基于写字楼租金下调，将2026至2027财年每股盈利预测轻微下调1%。 美银证券发布研报称，重申对恒隆地产(00101)"买入"评级，目标价10.4港元。该行预期，2026财年核心 利润将轻微下跌1%，主要由于内地零售租金增长及发展物业利润改善(2025财年录亏损)，被写字楼收入 下降及资本化利息显著减少所抵销。 管理层指出，尽管2026年与2025年农历新年时间不同致对比不利，但1月份中国内地租户销售额大致持 平。预计奢侈品零售将从2025财年估计下跌1%，恢复至2026财年的低至中单位数增长;而非奢侈品类表 现将更优。预测更依赖基本租金的上海港汇恒隆广场(GG66)将实现稳定的3%租金增长，而上海恒隆广 场(Plaza66)零售增长将从2025年下半年的同比1%，改善至2026财年的同比增长4%。营运成本率维持在 合理范围，介乎约十几个百分点。管理层强调加强武汉非奢侈品租户表现的新举措，以及在沈阳引 ...

随着香港住宅市场回暖支持今年发展物业销售，该行认为恒隆有机会于2026年上半年取消"以股代息"计 划，虽然管理层未承诺具体时间表。恒隆目前交易对应的股息率为5.5%，较资产净值折让约60%，该行 认为估值吸引。基于写字楼租金下调，将2026至2027财年每股盈利预测轻微下调1%。 管理层指出，尽管2026年与2025年农历新年时间不同致对比不利，但1月份中国内地租户销售额大致持 平。预计奢侈品零售将从2025财年估计下跌1%，恢复至2026财年的低至中单位数增长; 而非奢侈品类表 现将更优。预测更依赖基本租金的上海港汇恒隆广场(GG66)将实现稳定的3%租金增长，而上海恒隆广 场(Plaza 66)零售增长将从2025年下半年的同比1%，改善至2026财年的同比增长4%。营运成本率维持在 合理范围，介乎约十几个百分点。管理层强调加强武汉非奢侈品租户表现的新举措，以及在沈阳引入新 的运动休闲设施以提升客流量。杭州恒隆广场(Westlake 66)的预租率达到令人鼓舞的91%，预计于2026 年第二季及第三季的开业率分别为80%及90%。 智通财经APP获悉，美银证券发布研报称，重申对恒隆地产(00101)"买入 ...

智通财经记者 | 王婷婷 "从中长远期来看，我觉得大陆办公楼市场还是有机会。"1月30日，恒隆集团（00010.HK）及恒隆地产 （00101.HK）董事长陈文博在业绩会上表示，对2026年的发展会持审慎乐观态度。 在老牌港资开发商中，恒隆集团最先交出2025年成绩单。过去一年，受物业销售减少影响，恒隆集团的 总收入同比下滑；租赁收入因租户组合持续优化，也有轻微下跌；而股东应占基本纯利按年上升3%。 财报数据显示，截至2025年12月31日，恒隆集团录得总收入104.14亿港元，较2024年下跌11%，整体营 业溢利为68.36亿港元。收入下跌主要由于物业销售收入大幅下降83%至2.64亿港元。股东应占基本纯利 上升3%至24.07亿港元，每股基本盈利1.77港元。 据智通财经了解，恒隆集团目前在售物业不多，内地和香港可供销售项目如蓝塘道项目、武汉恒隆府、 昆明君悦居等，这些项目素质较高且售价都不低，销售需要等待时机。 在恒隆集团及恒隆地产行政总裁卢韦柏看来，2025年下半年香港住宅市场明显回暖，是因为利率开始回 落，资金流动性也变得宽松。尤其是很多人会进行去美元化操作，要么选择相对稳定的港币，要么把资 金投 ...

Group 1 - The core announcement is that Weber Lu, the CEO of Hang Lung Group, will retire by August 31, 2026, and the board is currently conducting a search for his successor [1][6] - Lu has been with Hang Lung since May 2018 and previously held significant positions at Procter & Gamble, Coca-Cola, and Citigroup, where he served for 18 years [3] - Lu currently holds 1,128,542 shares of Hang Lung Properties, representing 0.02% of the total issued shares, and 460,000 shares of Hang Lung Group, representing 0.03% of the total issued shares [5] Group 2 - Under the leadership of Chen Wenbo, who took over as chairman in April 2024, the company is transitioning from "heavy asset expansion" to "stock optimization" as part of the "Hang Lung V.3" strategy [6] - Lu expressed gratitude for the support from the board and highlighted the achievements during his tenure, including strengthening the brand and launching significant strategies [6] - The company has faced challenges due to the adjustment in the Chinese real estate market and a decline in luxury consumption, with rental income from mainland properties dropping by 2% to HKD 3.199 billion in the first half of 2025 [7]

Core Viewpoint - The announcement of CEO Lu Weibao's retirement by Hang Lung Group and Hang Lung Properties marks a significant transition to a new management era led by Chen Wenbo, amidst challenges in the real estate market and a strategic transformation towards optimizing existing assets [1][2][4]. Management Transition - Lu Weibao will retire by August 31, 2026, and will continue to provide advisory support to the group [1][4]. - This change follows the recent transition to a third-generation management team under Chen Wenbo, who took over from the long-serving chairman Chen Qizong in April 2024 [3][4]. - The management change is seen as a natural progression in the company's strategic shift from heavy asset expansion to optimizing existing assets [4][5]. Financial Performance and Market Challenges - Hang Lung's stock price has significantly declined from over HKD 18 per share in 2019 to around HKD 8, reflecting the pressures from structural adjustments in the industry and the company's strategic transformation [2][4]. - For the first half of 2025, rental income from mainland properties fell by 2% to HKD 3.199 billion, with operating profit also declining by 2% [4][14]. - The flagship Shanghai Hang Lung Plaza's occupancy rate dropped from a long-term 100% to 98%, with sales down by 8% [4][14]. Strategic Initiatives - The company has initiated a strategic response to market pressures, including a shift away from distinguishing between "high-end" and "sub-high-end" shopping categories, indicating a more flexible approach to customer adaptation [5][14]. - Recent operational data showed a 15% year-on-year increase in total tenant sales during the National Day holiday period, with some properties like Shanghai Port International achieving a 50% sales increase [5][15]. - The V.3 strategy, led by Chen Wenbo, aims to expand core business areas through a light-asset model, with significant projects underway in Shanghai, Hangzhou, and Wuxi [5][15]. Future Outlook and Challenges - The new management team faces challenges, including uncertain retail consumption growth and a competitive office market, with a 5% decline in office income reported for the first half of the year [6][14]. - The transition to a light-asset model involves substantial investment in property renovations, raising concerns about cost overruns and maintaining the high-end brand image while attracting new customer segments [6][16]. - The upcoming selection of Lu Weibao's successor will be critical for maintaining strategic continuity and addressing the multifaceted challenges facing the company [6][18].

Core Viewpoint - The announcement of CEO Lu Weibao's retirement by Hang Lung Group and Hang Lung Properties marks a significant transition as the company enters a new era under the leadership of Chen Wenbo, the third-generation successor, amidst ongoing challenges in the real estate market and a strategic transformation towards optimizing existing assets [5][7][14]. Group 1: Management Transition - Lu Weibao will retire by August 31, 2026, and will continue to provide advisory support to the group [5][14]. - This change follows the retirement of former chairman Chen Qizong in 2024, indicating a shift to a management team led by Chen Wenbo [5][7]. - The transition is seen as a natural progression in the company's strategic transformation, with Lu having laid the groundwork for the "V.3" strategy [7][14]. Group 2: Strategic Transformation - The "V.3" strategy aims to shift from heavy asset expansion to optimizing existing assets, responding to the challenges posed by the real estate market and luxury consumption decline [7][10]. - The company has begun to adapt its operational logic by no longer distinguishing between "high-end" and "mid-range" shopping centers, indicating a more flexible approach to market demands [8][10]. - Recent operational data shows a 15% increase in total tenant sales for mainland properties during the National Day holiday, with significant sales growth in key locations [8][9]. Group 3: Market Challenges - Hang Lung's rental income from mainland properties fell by 2% to HKD 31.99 billion in the first half of 2025, with flagship projects experiencing a decline in occupancy rates [8][9]. - The office market remains under pressure, with a 5% drop in income from mainland office buildings in the first half of the year [10]. - The company faces challenges in balancing the introduction of new retail concepts while maintaining its high-end positioning to avoid losing its existing customer base [10][13]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The selection of Lu Weibao's successor will be closely watched, as the new CEO's ability to uphold strategic consensus and navigate multiple challenges will be crucial for the company's transformation [14]. - The core value of prime commercial locations remains a significant asset, supported by favorable policies and consumer potential in new first-tier cities [13][14]. - The successful execution of the "V.3" strategy and the management transition will be pivotal for restoring investor confidence and achieving sustainable growth [13][14].

Core Viewpoint - The announcement of CEO Lu Weibao's retirement by Hang Lung Group and Hang Lung Properties marks a significant transition as the company enters a new management era led by Chen Wenbo, amidst ongoing challenges in the real estate sector and a strategic shift towards optimizing existing assets [2][5]. Group 1: Management Transition - Lu Weibao will retire by August 31, 2026, and will continue to provide advisory support to the group [2]. - The transition follows the retirement of former chairman Chen Qizong in 2024, indicating a shift to a third-generation management team centered around Chen Wenbo [5]. - Chen Wenbo, who has been rapidly implementing the "Hang Lung V.3" strategy, is expected to lead the company through its transformation from "heavy asset expansion" to "asset optimization" [5][9]. Group 2: Financial Performance and Market Challenges - Hang Lung Properties reported a 2% decline in rental income from mainland properties to HKD 31.99 billion for the first half of 2025, with flagship project Shanghai Hang Lung Plaza's occupancy rate dropping from 100% to 98% [8]. - The company's stock price has halved from over HKD 18 in 2019 to around HKD 8, reflecting significant market pressure [5][8]. - The retail sector has faced compounded challenges since 2021, with a notable decline in luxury consumption impacting the company's performance [8]. Group 3: Strategic Shifts - The company has announced a strategic shift, no longer distinguishing between "high-end" and "mid-range" shopping centers, indicating a more flexible approach to market demands [8]. - Chen Wenbo's leadership has seen the acquisition of long-term rental projects in key cities, expanding retail space while focusing on existing assets rather than new city expansions [9][10]. - The V.3 strategy aims to leverage core business districts' value while addressing the need for renovation and modernization of older properties [10][13]. Group 4: Future Outlook and Challenges - The new management team faces challenges including uncertain retail growth and a competitive office market, with a 5% decline in office income reported for the first half of 2025 [9][10]. - The transition to a light-asset model will require significant investment in property renovations, posing risks related to cost overruns and project timelines [10]. - The ability of the new CEO to maintain strategic continuity and effectively respond to market dynamics will be crucial for the company's transformation and investor confidence [12][14].

Core Viewpoint - The luxury retail landscape in Shanghai is undergoing significant changes, with traditional players like Shanghai Hang Lung Plaza facing challenges from new entrants and changing consumer preferences. The partnership between Hang Lung Properties and Shanghai Jiubai to manage the Meilong Town Plaza is a strategic move to expand their market presence and adapt to these shifts [2][8][16]. Group 1: Strategic Moves - Hang Lung Properties has announced a collaboration with Shanghai Jiubai to take over the commercial operations of Meilong Town Plaza, expanding its retail footprint by approximately 96,000 square meters, increasing the total area of Shanghai Hang Lung Plaza by 44% to about 312,300 square meters [2][5]. - The partnership is described as having "epoch-making significance" by Hang Lung's CEO, indicating the importance of this move in the context of Shanghai's luxury retail market [2][5]. - The renovation of Meilong Town Plaza is set to transform it into a comprehensive commercial landmark, incorporating retail, hotel, and office spaces, with plans to introduce a luxury hotel for the first time [7][11]. Group 2: Market Challenges - The luxury retail sector in Shanghai has faced a downturn, with Hang Lung Plaza experiencing a 24% decline in tenant sales in 2022 and a further 8% drop in the first half of 2023 [9][10]. - The limited size of Hang Lung Plaza, at 53,700 square meters, is seen as a constraint on its ability to accommodate larger brand offerings and meet consumer demand [10]. - The competitive landscape is intensifying, with new luxury retail developments in Shanghai, such as the Louis Vuitton flagship and other high-end brands, challenging the traditional dominance of Hang Lung Plaza [16]. Group 3: Financial Performance - Hang Lung Properties reported a 6% decline in overall rental income for 2024, marking the first drop after 24 years of continuous growth, with mainland rental income down by 5% [12][13]. - The company is shifting its strategy towards a lighter asset model, focusing on existing projects rather than expanding into new cities, as indicated by its "Hang Lung V.3" strategy [13][14]. - Recent acquisitions, such as the 20-year operating rights for Hangzhou Department Store and Wuxi New World Department Store, reflect a strategic pivot to enhance existing market positions rather than aggressive expansion [15][16].

Core Insights - Henglong Real Estate has signed a contract with Shanghai Jiubai Group to acquire the commercial operation project at 1038 Nanjing West Road, known as Meilong Town Plaza, with a total investment exceeding 2 billion RMB [1][3] - The project will be operated by Henglong under a 20-year lease, expanding its total building area on Nanjing West Road by approximately 96,000 square meters, increasing its overall property portfolio by about 44% to approximately 312,300 square meters [1][3] - The project will be transformed into a comprehensive commercial landmark integrating retail, hotel, and office spaces, with the commercial section expected to open in early 2027 and the hotel and office sections by May 2028 [3][4] Investment and Development Strategy - Henglong plans to invest no less than 500 million RMB for the renovation of the hotel, shopping mall, and office areas, contributing to the overall investment exceeding 2 billion RMB [1][3] - The hotel component will feature an international top-tier brand hotel with a total area of no less than 18,000 square meters, marking the introduction of a luxury hotel to the project [3][4] - The project aims to enhance the attractiveness and sustainability of Nanjing West Road, aligning with the strategic planning of the Jing'an District to develop a high-end service axis [3][4] Strategic Expansion - Henglong's CEO stated that the upgrade of the Nanjing West Road property portfolio is part of the "Henglong V.3" strategy, focusing on reinvestment in existing projects to expand scale, visibility, and accessibility in core markets [4][5] - Prior to acquiring Meilong Town Plaza, Henglong announced a new expansion project in Wuxi, collaborating with Wuxi Liangxi Urban Development Group to gain operational rights for a landmark commercial project [5] - The Wuxi project, formerly known as Wuxi New World Department Store, will add approximately 47,000 square meters of commercial space, increasing the total retail area of Wuxi Henglong Plaza by 38% to about 169,000 square meters [5]

Core Insights - Isetan Department Store will exit Shanghai Meilong Town Plaza in June 2024, raising concerns about the future of this iconic retail space in Shanghai [1] - Hang Lung Properties has signed an agreement with Shanghai Jiubai Group to operate the landmark commercial project at 1038 Nanjing West Road for a 20-year lease [1] - The project will expand Hang Lung's presence in the Nanjing West Road area by approximately 96,000 square meters, representing a 44% increase in total building area [2] Company Developments - The Nanjing West Road 1038 project will be transformed into a comprehensive commercial landmark, featuring retail, hotel, and office spaces, with a super five-star hotel planned as a new landmark in the area [4] - Hang Lung Properties aims to create a complete ecosystem in the Nanjing West Road area, with both the Shanghai Hang Lung Plaza and the Nanjing West Road 1038 project catering to different consumer needs [5] - The total investment for the renovation of the Nanjing West Road 1038 project is estimated at 2.2 billion yuan, focusing on facade updates, interior renovations, and structural reinforcements [6] Industry Context - The Jing'an District, where the Nanjing West Road is located, is positioning itself as a core area for international consumption, with significant retail growth observed [5] - The retail sales growth in Jing'an District exceeded 12% from January to October this year, with the Nanjing West Road area contributing significantly to this increase [5] - The district aims to establish a "trillion-yuan business circle" by the end of the 14th Five-Year Plan period (by 2025), with ongoing developments enhancing the commercial landscape [5]