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大摩:升恒隆地产(00101)目标价至10.5港元 内地零售业务好转
智通财经网· 2025-10-16 03:26
Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley has raised the target price for Hang Lung Properties (00101) from HKD 9 to HKD 10.5 due to improved fundamentals and a narrowing NAV discount from 60% to 50%, maintaining an "Overweight" rating [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The mainland retail business of the group is showing signs of recovery, with tenant sales in Shanghai's Grand Gateway 66 and Plaza 66 increasing by 31% and 8% year-on-year in Q3, compared to a 10% increase and an 8% decline in the first half of the year [1] - During the first four days of the National Day Golden Week, overall tenant sales in mainland malls increased by 15%, with Wuhan's Heartland 66 and Shanghai's Grand Gateway 66 recording year-on-year increases of over 70% and 50%, respectively [1] Group 2: Earnings Forecast - The bank has adjusted its earnings per share forecasts for 2026 and 2027 to HKD 0.62 and HKD 0.68, down from previous estimates of HKD 0.65 and HKD 0.69, due to expectations of a slower recovery in EBIT profit margins [1] Group 3: Catalysts for Growth - The luxury goods group LVMH has indicated improvements in its mainland business in Q3, and the upcoming opening of Hang Lung Plaza in Hangzhou, which has already pre-leased 83% of its retail space and 27% of its office space, is expected to be a significant growth catalyst, contributing notably by 2027 [1]
大摩:升恒隆地产目标价至10.5港元 内地零售业务好转
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-16 03:24
Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley has raised the target price for Hang Lung Properties (00101) from HKD 9 to HKD 10.5 due to improved fundamentals and a narrowing NAV discount from 60% to 50%, maintaining an "Overweight" rating [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The mainland retail business of the group has started to improve, with tenant sales in Shanghai's Grand Gateway 66 and Plaza 66 increasing by 31% and 8% year-on-year in Q3, compared to a 10% increase and an 8% decline in the first half of the year [1] - During the first four days of the National Day Golden Week, overall tenant sales in mainland malls increased by 15% year-on-year, with Wuhan's Heartland 66 and Shanghai's Grand Gateway 66 recording over 70% and 50% year-on-year increases, respectively [1] Group 2: Earnings Forecast - The bank has lowered its earnings per share forecasts for 2026 and 2027 to HKD 0.62 and HKD 0.68, respectively, from previous estimates of HKD 0.65 and HKD 0.69, due to expectations of a slower recovery in EBIT margins from now until 2027 [1] Group 3: Catalysts for Growth - The luxury goods group LVMH has indicated improvements in its mainland business in Q3, and the upcoming opening of the Hang Lung Plaza in Hangzhou, which has already pre-leased 83% of its retail space and 27% of its office space, is expected to be a significant growth catalyst, contributing notably by 2027 [1]
大行评级丨大摩:上调恒隆地产目标价至10.5港元 维持“增持”评级
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-10-16 03:02
Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley raised the target price for Hang Lung Properties from HKD 9 to HKD 10.5 due to improved fundamentals and a narrowing NAV discount from 60% to 50, maintaining an "Overweight" rating [1] Group 1: Retail Performance - The mainland retail business of the group is showing signs of recovery, with tenant sales in Shanghai's Plaza 66 and Hang Lung Plaza increasing by 31% and 8% year-on-year in Q3, compared to 10% growth and an 8% decline in the first half [1] - During the National Day Golden Week, overall tenant sales in mainland malls grew by 15% year-on-year in the first four days, with Wuhan Hang Lung Plaza and Shanghai Plaza 66 recording year-on-year increases of over 70% and 50%, respectively [1] Group 2: Key Catalysts - The luxury goods group LVMH indicated an improvement in mainland operations in Q3, alongside the establishment of a gold shop at Plaza 66 and the opening of Hang Lung Plaza in Hangzhou, which are seen as key catalysts [1] - Hang Lung Plaza in Hangzhou has already pre-leased 83% of its retail space and 27% of its office space, expected to contribute significantly by 2027 [1]
大行评级丨星展:上调恒隆地产目标价至10港元 估值仍具有吸引力
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-15 03:17
Core Viewpoint - DBS Research indicates that Hang Lung Properties' overall tenant sales in mainland China grew by 10% year-on-year in Q3 2025, primarily driven by Shanghai's Plaza 66, with Wuhan's performance stabilizing and gradual openings in Hangzhou expected to support future rental income growth [1] Group 1: Sales Performance - Tenant sales in mainland China increased by 10% year-on-year in Q3 2025 [1] - Shanghai Plaza 66 was the main contributor to this growth, while Wuhan's sales performance is stabilizing [1] Group 2: Future Developments - Hangzhou Plaza is set to gradually open, with office buildings and shopping mall sections expected to commence operations in phases starting this year and Q2 next year, achieving pre-leasing rates of 27% and 83% respectively [1] Group 3: Investment Outlook - DBS believes that Hang Lung's valuation remains attractive, especially for long-term investors seeking exposure to China's high-end retail sector [1] - The target price for Hang Lung has been raised from HKD 9.38 to HKD 10, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]
星展:升恒隆地产目标价至10港元 评级“买入”
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-14 10:15
Core Viewpoint - DBS has released a report stating that the valuation of Hang Lung Properties (00101) remains attractive, particularly for long-term investors seeking to invest in China's high-end shopping mall sector. The report anticipates that any further consumer stimulus policies introduced by authorities could enhance its investment appeal, maintaining a "Buy" rating and raising the target price from HKD 9.38 to HKD 10 [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Hang Lung is recognized as a leading commercial real estate developer in China, holding a portfolio of commercial properties for long-term investment purposes. The company expects rental income to improve due to enhanced tenant sales and portfolio expansion [1] - The overall tenant sales of Hang Lung's shopping malls in mainland China are projected to increase by 10% year-on-year by the third quarter of 2025, primarily driven by the performance of Shanghai's Plaza 66. The sales performance of Wuhan's Hang Lung Plaza is also stabilizing [1] Group 2: Future Developments - The Hang Lung Plaza in Hangzhou is set to gradually open, with office buildings and shopping mall sections scheduled to be phased in starting this year and the second quarter of next year. The pre-leasing rates are expected to reach 27% and 83%, respectively, which is believed to support rental income growth in the coming years [1]
星展:升恒隆地产(00101)目标价至10港元 评级“买入”
智通财经网· 2025-10-14 10:12
Core Viewpoint - DBS has released a report indicating that the valuation of Hang Lung Properties (00101) remains attractive, particularly for long-term investors seeking opportunities in China's high-end shopping mall sector. The report maintains a "Buy" rating and raises the target price from HKD 9.38 to HKD 10 [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Hang Lung is recognized as a leading commercial real estate developer in China, holding a portfolio of commercial properties for long-term investment purposes [1] - The report anticipates improvements in tenant sales and expansion of the property portfolio, which are expected to drive rental income growth [1] Group 2: Market Trends - Overall tenant sales in Hang Lung's mainland China malls are projected to increase by 10% year-on-year by the third quarter of 2025, primarily driven by the performance of Shanghai's Plaza 66 [1] - The sales performance of Wuhan's Hang Lung Plaza is stabilizing, while the Hang Lung Plaza in Hangzhou is set to gradually open, with office buildings and mall sections expected to be phased in starting this year and the second quarter of next year, achieving pre-leasing rates of 27% and 83% respectively [1]
研报掘金丨中金:维持恒隆地产“跑赢行业”评级 第三季以来经营表现改善趋势强化
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-10-13 07:17
Core Viewpoint - CICC's research report indicates that Hang Lung Properties is expected to see a 10% year-on-year growth in retail sales for its mainland shopping malls in the third quarter, with improvements observed quarterly throughout the year [1] Group 1: Retail Performance - During the National Day holiday period, Hang Lung Properties reported a 15% year-on-year increase in retail sales for the first four days of October, with a 3% year-on-year increase in foot traffic [1] - The most significant retail growth was noted in Wuhan and Shanghai's Harbour City [1] Group 2: Ratings and Forecasts - CICC maintains a "outperform" rating for Hang Lung Properties and continues to uphold its earnings forecast [1] - The target price for Hang Lung Properties is set at HKD 9.46 [1]
中金:维持恒隆地产(00101)跑赢行业评级 目标价9.46港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-13 01:29
Core Viewpoint - CICC maintains a "outperform" rating and profit forecast for Hang Lung Properties (00101), with a target price of HKD 9.46 per share, corresponding to a 15x core P/E for 2025, a 5.5% dividend yield, and a 5% upside potential [1] Group 1: Retail Performance - The retail performance of mainland shopping malls is expected to improve, with a projected 10% year-on-year increase in retail sales for Q3 2025, following a trend of quarterly improvement throughout the year [2] - Contributing factors include a low base from the previous year (Q3 2024 retail sales down 18%), effective marketing strategies, and an expected 9% increase in foot traffic during July-August [2] - During the National Day holiday, retail sales increased by 15% year-on-year, with notable growth in Wuhan and Shanghai [2] Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - The company has launched the "Hang Lung V.3" strategy, focusing on reinvestment in existing projects and exploring potential opportunities in surrounding areas [3] - Specific initiatives include the expansion of Shanghai Hang Lung Plaza, which is expected to increase rental space by 30%, and the transformation of Shanghai Port Exchange into a five-star hotel [3] Group 3: Performance of Key Malls - Shanghai Hang Lung Plaza is expected to maintain its leading position in the luxury market, with new openings of high-end brands anticipated to further boost retail sales [4] - Shanghai Port Exchange is focusing on luxury brand expansion and optimizing its mix of sports, outdoor, and dining brands, with a projected 31% year-on-year increase in retail sales for Q3 2025 [4] - Wuxi Hang Lung Plaza has shown continuous growth since introducing luxury brands, with over 180 new brands expected to be signed in 2024-2025, including more than 70 first stores in Jiangsu or Wuxi [4]
中金:维持恒隆地产跑赢行业评级 目标价9.46港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-13 01:26
Core Viewpoint - CICC maintains a "outperform" rating and profit forecast for Hang Lung Properties (00101), with a target price of HKD 9.46 per share, corresponding to a 15x core P/E for 2025, a 5.5% dividend yield, and a 5% upside potential [1] Group 1: Retail Performance - The retail performance of mainland shopping malls is expected to improve, with a projected year-on-year increase of 10% in retail sales for Q3 2025, following a trend of quarterly improvement throughout the year [2] - Contributing factors include a low base from the previous year (Q3 2024 retail sales down 18%), effective marketing strategies, and an expected 9% year-on-year increase in foot traffic during July and August [2] - During the National Day holiday, retail sales increased by 15% year-on-year, with notable growth in Wuhan and Shanghai [2] Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - The company has launched the "Hang Lung V.3" strategy, focusing on reinvesting in existing projects and exploring potential opportunities in surrounding areas [3] - Specific initiatives include the expansion of Shanghai Hang Lung Plaza, which is expected to increase rentable area by 30%, and the transformation of Shanghai Port Exchange into a five-star hotel [3] Group 3: Performance of Key Malls - Shanghai Hang Lung Plaza is expected to maintain its leading position in the luxury market through targeted services for high-end clientele, with new openings anticipated to further boost retail sales [4] - Shanghai Port Exchange is focusing on luxury brand expansion and optimizing its mix of sports, outdoor, and dining brands, with a projected year-on-year retail sales increase of 31% for Q3 2025 [4] - Wuxi Hang Lung Plaza has seen continuous growth since introducing luxury brands, with over 180 new brands expected to be signed in 2024-2025, including more than 70 first stores in Jiangsu or Wuxi [4]
恒隆地产(00101.HK):3Q以来经营表现改善趋势进一步强化
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-12 12:26
Company Overview - Recent management roadshow and site visits conducted by the company revealed a strengthening trend in retail performance for its mainland shopping malls, with a projected 10% year-on-year increase in retail sales for Q3 2025, following a gradual improvement throughout the year [1] - The company attributes this improvement to a low base from the previous year, effective marketing strategies, and an increase in foot traffic, which is expected to rise by 9% in July and August [1] Strategic Initiatives - The company has launched the "Henglong V.3" strategy to reinforce its market position in core cities, focusing on reinvestment in existing projects and exploring potential opportunities in surrounding areas [2] - Specific initiatives under this strategy include a 30% increase in leasable area at Shanghai Henglong Plaza, the transformation of Shanghai Port Exchange Henglong into a five-star hotel, and a 40% increase in retail space through long-term leasing cooperation in Hangzhou [2] Performance Insights - Key shopping malls in East China are performing well, with Shanghai Henglong Plaza expected to maintain its leading position in the luxury market, bolstered by the opening of high-end brands [2] - Shanghai Port Exchange Henglong is optimizing its brand mix, with a projected 31% year-on-year increase in retail sales for Q3 2025 [2] - Wuxi Henglong Plaza has seen continuous growth since introducing luxury brands in 2019, with over 180 new brand signings expected between 2024 and 2025, including more than 70 first stores in Jiangsu or Wuxi [2] Financial Projections - The company maintains an outperform rating and unchanged profit forecasts, with a target price of HKD 9.46 per share, reflecting a 15x core P/E for 2025 and a 5.5% dividend yield [2] - Current trading is at 14.6x core P/E for 2025, with a 5.8% dividend yield, suggesting continued attention to year-on-year retail performance and the progress of new openings [3]