Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [8][6]. Core Views - The company has shown stable revenue growth driven by a solid wealth management performance and a recovery in credit demand in the UK [2][4]. - The net interest margin has stabilized and is expected to improve, leading to an upward revision of the net interest income guidance for 2025 from $42 billion to $43 billion [3][6]. - The company has increased its return on tangible equity (ROTE) guidance for 2025 to above 15% [1]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company's revenue increased by 4.8% year-on-year, and pre-tax profit rose by 4.5% [1]. - Non-interest income grew by 17.2% year-on-year, with wealth management business revenue increasing by 24.9% [4]. - The company attracted new investment assets worth $73 billion, with $42 billion coming from Asia [4]. Asset Quality - As of September, the non-performing loan (NPL) ratio was 2.50%, with a provision coverage ratio of 42% [5]. - The company expects credit costs to remain around 0.40% for 2025, with ongoing pressure in the Hong Kong commercial real estate sector [5]. Market Position and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve a target price of HKD 143.08 for 2026, corresponding to a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 1.50 times [6][8]. - The forecasted net profit for 2025-2027 is $22.86 billion, $23.49 billion, and $25.80 billion respectively, reflecting a growth of 6.9%, 3.3%, and 6.5% [6].

Core Viewpoint - HSBC believes the recent decline in gold prices is a temporary pullback, with expectations for a continued upward trend into the new year, peaking in the first half of 2026 [1] Group 1: Key Factors Driving Gold Prices - Key drivers for the anticipated rise in gold prices include inflows of safe-haven funds, expanding fiscal deficits, threats to Federal Reserve independence, and overall pressure on U.S. fiscal stability [1] - Strong inflows into ETFs and physical gold accounts are expected to continue supporting gold prices [1] Group 2: Price Forecasts - For the remainder of this year, gold prices are projected to fluctuate between $3,700 and $4,050, with a year-end target price of $3,950 [1] - In 2024, gold prices are expected to range from $3,600 to $4,400, with a peak anticipated in the first half of 2026, surpassing the $4,400 mark [1] - The forecast for gold prices at the end of 2026 is set at $3,800 [1]

Core Viewpoint - UBS reports that HSBC Holdings' third-quarter performance benefited from improvements in net interest income and fee income, with adjusted pre-provision profit and pre-tax profit exceeding expectations by 9% [1] Financial Performance - Fee and other income exceeded expectations by 6%, while operating expenses were 1% higher than anticipated [1] - Pre-provision profit grew by 9%, despite an increase in provisions for commercial real estate in Hong Kong, with impairment expenses aligning with expectations at 40 basis points of total loans [1] Guidance Updates - HSBC has raised its guidance for tangible equity return and net interest income for banking operations for the fiscal year 2025 [1] - The updated guidance for annual net interest income is set at $43 billion or better (previously $42 billion, with market consensus at $42.45 billion) [1] - Target benchmark operating expenses are projected to increase by 3% year-on-year, approximately $33.5 billion (market consensus at $33.3 billion), with loan losses expected at around 40 basis points (market consensus approximately 42 basis points) [1] Target Price and Rating - UBS sets a 12-month target price for HSBC listed in the UK at 980 pence (approximately HK$101.3), maintaining a "neutral" rating [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that HSBC Holdings reported a third-quarter pre-tax profit of $9.1 billion, exceeding both the bank's original forecast and market consensus by 7% and 9% respectively, driven by better-than-expected revenue performance [1] - Revenue growth was propelled by both net interest income from banking and non-banking activities surpassing expectations [1] - Costs and credit provisions were largely in line with expectations, while the Common Equity Tier 1 (CET 1) capital ratio stood at 14.5%, also meeting market expectations [1] Group 2 - HSBC Holdings raised its return on tangible equity (ROTE) guidance for the fiscal year 2025 to a mid-teens percentage (14%-16%) or higher, with market consensus at 16% [1] - The bank maintained its mid-teens ROTE outlook for fiscal years 2025 to 2027, with the market average expectation for 2026-2027 at 15.7% [1] - HSBC also increased its guidance for net interest income from banking operations for fiscal year 2025 to $43 billion or more, up from the previous estimate of $42 billion, with market consensus at $42.5 billion [1]

Core Viewpoint - CICC has adjusted HSBC Holdings' revenue and net profit forecasts for 2025E downwards due to slowing non-interest income growth, while raising the forecasts for 2026E based on resilient net interest margins [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - HSBC's 3Q25 revenue reached $17.9 billion, a year-on-year increase of 4%, with net profit attributable to ordinary shareholders rising 1% to $6.2 billion, exceeding expectations [2] - The main driver for the better-than-expected performance was the net interest income, which grew 3% quarter-on-quarter and 2% year-on-year, supported by rapid deposit growth [3] - Non-interest income grew 8% year-on-year in 3Q25, although this was a slowdown from previous growth rates of over 20% [4] Group 2: Wealth Management and Cost Control - Wealth management income surged 29% year-on-year in 3Q25, driven by strong performance in the Hong Kong stock market and significant growth in fund distribution and insurance business [5] - Operating expenses increased by 3.5% year-on-year to $8.4 billion, which is slower than revenue growth, aligning with the company's annual cost growth expectation of around 3% [6] Group 3: Credit Quality and Return on Equity - The provision for credit losses was $1 billion in 3Q25, a 2% increase year-on-year, with credit costs remaining stable at 41 basis points [7] - The company has raised its 2025 return on tangible equity (ROTE) guidance to "over 15%" due to improved net interest and wealth management income [9]

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights a decline in German consumer confidence, with the leading index falling to -24.1 in November, marking the lowest level in seven months due to geopolitical uncertainties and rising inflation impacting income expectations [1] - The low consumer confidence negatively affects market sentiment, putting pressure on major European stock indices [1] - In contrast, the UK stock market closed higher, driven by gains in bank stocks, with the FTSE 100 index rising by 0.44% to reach a historical high [1] Group 2 - The French CAC 40 index decreased by 0.27%, while the German DAX index fell by 0.12% [1] - HSBC reported better-than-expected third-quarter earnings, resulting in a 4.6% increase in its stock price on the same day [1]

Core Viewpoint - HSBC Holdings Plc has shown relatively strong performance in the banking sector despite previous bearish sentiments from analysts [1]. Group 1: Company Performance - HSBC's shares have continued to perform well amid a generally bullish banking sector [1]. Group 2: Analyst Background - The analyst has over 18 years of experience in the financial markets, specializing in the financial sector and portfolio management [1].

Core Viewpoint - HSBC Holdings Plc has shown relatively strong performance in the banking sector despite previous bearish sentiments from analysts [1]. Group 1: Company Performance - HSBC's shares have continued to perform well, indicating resilience in the banking sector [1]. Group 2: Analyst Background - The analyst has over 18 years of experience in the financial markets, specializing in the financial sector and portfolio management [1].

Core Insights - HSBC Holdings reported a third-quarter 2025 pre-tax profit of $7.30 billion, a decline of 13.9% year-over-year, primarily due to increased operating expenses and higher expected credit losses [1][7] - Total revenues increased by 4.6% year-over-year to $17.79 billion, driven by higher net interest income and net fee income [2][7] Financial Performance - Operating expenses rose by 19.9% year-over-year to $9.12 billion, excluding amortization and impairment of intangible assets [2] - Expected credit losses (ECL) were $1.01 billion, up 2.2% from the prior-year quarter [2] Business Segment Performance - The Hong Kong Business reported a pre-tax profit of $2.45 billion, up 10.4% year-over-year, driven by higher revenues [4] - The UK Business saw a pre-tax profit of $1.64 billion, down 1% year-over-year due to higher ECL charges and increased expenses [4] - Corporate and Institutional Banking reported a pre-tax profit of $2.55 billion, a decrease of 15.6% year-over-year, attributed to higher ECL charges and operating expenses [5] - International Wealth and Premier Banking's pre-tax profit increased by 9.7% year-over-year to $1.29 billion, supported by higher revenues and lower ECL charges [5] - The Corporate Centre reported a pre-tax loss of $637 million, compared to a pre-tax income of $400 million in the previous year [5] Capital and Dividend Updates - HSBC completed a $3 billion share buyback plan and announced a third interim dividend of 10 cents per share for 2025 [6] - The common equity tier 1 (CET1) ratio as of September 30, 2025, was 14.5%, down from 14.9% as of December 31, 2024 [3] Management Outlook - For 2025, management expects banking net interest income (NII) of $43 billion or better, reflecting increased confidence in policy rates in key markets [7][8] - Operating expenses are anticipated to rise by 3% in 2025, with expected ECL charges at 40 basis points of average gross loans [8][9] - The company aims for a return on average tangible equity in the mid-teens range for 2025, excluding notable items [9] Strategic Initiatives - HSBC plans to incur $1.8 billion in expenses related to business overhaul by the end of 2026, aiming for annualized cost savings of $1.5 billion by the end of 2027 [8] - The company is divesting operations in underperforming regions and has exited retail banking in multiple markets to improve operating efficiency [12]

Core Viewpoint - HSBC Holdings reported a third-quarter revenue of $17.79 billion, exceeding expectations by $720 million, despite a 14% year-over-year decline in profit [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The bank's net interest income showed significant growth [1] - HSBC announced a dividend of $0.10 per share [1] Group 2: Future Outlook - HSBC maintains an optimistic outlook for 2025, expecting a tangible equity return rate to reach mid-teens [1]