翌日披露報表 (股份發行人 ── 已發行股份或庫存股份變動、股份購回及/或在場内出售庫存股份) FF305 表格類別： 股票 狀態： 新提交 公司名稱： HSBC Holdings plc 滙豐控股有限公司 呈交日期： 2025年10月10日 | 1). | 在英國購回以作註銷但尚未註銷之股份 | 500,000 | 0.002898 % | GBP | 10.6251 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 變動日期 2025年10月8日 | | | | | | 2). | 在英國購回以作註銷但尚未註銷之股份 | 2,580,000 | 0.014956 % | GBP | 10.1198 | | | 變動日期 2025年10月9日 | | | | | | 3). | 在香港購回以作註銷但尚未註銷之股份 | 1,489,600 | 0.008635 % | HKD | 107.367 | | | 變動日期 2025年9月18日 | | | | | | 4). | 在香港購回以作註銷但尚未註銷之股份 | 1,490,000 | 0.008637 % | HKD ...

Core Viewpoint - HSBC Holdings (00005) announced plans to privatize its subsidiary Hang Seng Bank (00011) at a price of HKD 155 per share, which will impact its Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) capital ratio [1] Group 1: Transaction Details - The privatization will result in a decrease of 125 basis points in HSBC's CET1 ratio, prompting the company to suspend share buybacks for three quarters to maintain the ratio within regulatory guidelines [1] - The transaction is expected to reduce buybacks by approximately USD 7 billion [1] Group 2: Financial Projections - JPMorgan estimates that the CET1 ratio will be 14% by the end of Q2 2026, indicating a long-term positive impact from the privatization [1] - Even without considering revenue synergies or cost optimization, earnings per share and dividends per share are projected to exceed baseline forecasts by 1.5% and 3.1% respectively by 2027, primarily due to the exclusion of minority interests from Hang Seng Bank [1] Group 3: Performance Metrics - HSBC reported a tangible return on equity of 38% for its Hong Kong operations in 2024, while Hang Seng Bank reported only 11% for the same period [1]

该行估计，私有化恒生将减少约70亿美元的回购，预计2026年第二季度末的CET1比率为14%，长远而 言私有化可能带来正面影响。 即使不考虑收入协同效应或成本优化，预计2027年每股盈利及每股股息 可较基准预测分别高出1.5%及3.1%，主要由于剔除恒生银行的少数股东权益。值得注意的是，汇控披 露其2024年香港业务的有形股本回报率为38%，而恒生同期仅报11%的股本回报率。 智通财经APP获悉，摩根大通发布研报称，汇丰控股(00005)周四(9日)发公告，拟以协议安排方式将同 系恒生银行(00011)私有化，每股作价155港元。上述交易将令汇控的普通股权一级资本(CET1)比率下降 125个基点，为维持比率在指引范围内，汇控将在公告后的三个季度暂停股份回购。小摩预计，短期内 汇率可能会下跌中单位数百分点，若股价反应过度，则视为累积机会，给予汇控"增持"评级，目标价 122港元。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the recent surge in gold prices, which reached a historic high of over $4000 per ounce, will significantly enhance the profitability of Chinese gold producers [1][4]. - HSBC's research indicates that a 1% change in gold prices will lead to approximately a 2% change in the earnings of pure gold mining stocks, suggesting that the potential stock price increase for gold producers will exceed the rise in gold prices themselves [1]. - HSBC has raised the target prices for Zijin Mining, Shandong Gold, and Zhaojin Mining based on the expectation of sustained high gold prices [1]. Group 2 - The gold price has increased by 54% year-to-date, driven by multiple global risk factors [4]. - Key drivers for the rise in gold prices include geopolitical risks, economic policy uncertainties, concerns over the independence of the Federal Reserve, and a weakening dollar [6]. - The U.S. government shutdown crisis and doubts about the Federal Reserve's independence have further heightened risk aversion, contributing to the demand for gold [6]. Group 3 - In September, global gold ETFs recorded the largest single-month inflow in history, with the third quarter also seeing record high cumulative inflows [7]. - Strong demand from off-exchange trading and physical funds, along with high speculative long positions on the CME, indicate robust market interest [7]. - The People's Bank of China has increased its gold reserves for the 11th consecutive month, although the pace has slowed, suggesting significant growth potential as China's gold reserves currently account for only 7.7% of total reserves, compared to the global average of 15% [7].

Core Viewpoint - Citigroup's report indicates that HSBC Holdings announced plans to acquire a 37% minority stake in Hang Seng Bank at a price reflecting a 30% premium and a price-to-book ratio of 1.8 times [1] Group 1: Acquisition Details - The acquisition is expected to impact HSBC's capital by 125 basis points, with the funding coming from a suspension of stock buybacks for three quarters [1] - The acquisition premium is considered substantial, especially as Hang Seng Bank's stock price has risen by 24% over the past 12 months [1] Group 2: Strategic Implications - The move reflects the new management's strategic priorities under CEO Noel Quinn, focusing on restructuring HSBC according to a new business framework [1] - The strategy emphasizes a focus on Hong Kong and the UK, as well as Corporate and Investment Banking (CIB) and Individual Wealth Management (IWPB) [1] - The management is also advancing a cost-cutting plan and strategic asset disposals, which are progressing steadily [1]

Core Viewpoint - UBS reports that HSBC Holdings (00005) has proposed to privatize Hang Seng Bank (00011) at HKD 155 per share, with HSBC believing there will be no significant regulatory obstacles to the acquisition [1] Group 1: Financial Impact - If the acquisition is successful, HSBC's Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) capital ratio is expected to decrease by 125 basis points [1] - HSBC anticipates restoring the CET1 ratio to a target range of 14%-14.5% through organic growth, and plans to suspend share buybacks for the next three quarters while maintaining a 50% payout ratio based on underlying earnings for 2025 [1] - The CET1 ratio for HSBC was 14.6% in Q2 of this year, and the bank expects the transaction to enhance earnings per share, although no additional financial data regarding the transaction has been provided [1] Group 2: Operational Perspective - From a customer standpoint, Hang Seng Bank will continue to operate under its existing model [1] - UBS previously expressed concerns regarding provisions for commercial real estate loans at Hang Seng Bank, but now believes that increasing exposure to this high Return on Tangible Equity (ROTE) market while reducing internal operational complexity is a correct strategy [1]

Core Viewpoint - UBS reports that HSBC Holdings (00005) has proposed to privatize Hang Seng Bank (00011) at HKD 155 per share, with HSBC confident that there will be no significant regulatory obstacles [1] Group 1: Financial Implications - If the acquisition is successful, HSBC's Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) capital ratio is expected to decrease by 125 basis points [1] - HSBC anticipates restoring the CET1 ratio to a target range of 14%-14.5% through organic growth, and plans to suspend share buybacks for the next three quarters while maintaining a 50% payout ratio based on underlying earnings for 2025 [1] - HSBC's CET1 ratio was 14.6% in Q2 of this year, and the bank expects this transaction to enhance earnings per share, although no additional financial data regarding the transaction has been provided [1] Group 2: Customer Perspective - From a customer standpoint, Hang Seng Bank will continue to operate under its existing model [1] - UBS previously expressed concerns regarding provisions for commercial real estate loans at Hang Seng Bank, but believes that increasing exposure to this high Return on Tangible Equity (ROTE) market while reducing operational complexity within the group is a correct move [1]

Core Viewpoint - S&P Global Ratings anticipates that HSBC's acquisition of Hang Seng Bank at a 30.3% premium will strengthen the ties between the two banks, enhance governance consistency, and promote closer operational collaboration [1] Group 1: HSBC and Hang Seng Bank Relationship - The privatization is expected to reinforce the relationship between HSBC and Hang Seng Bank, facilitating tighter cooperation in business and operations [1] - S&P believes that Hang Seng Bank will continue to operate under its independent brand post-privatization, reflecting HSBC's long-term commitment to the Hong Kong market [1] Group 2: Financial Implications - S&P estimates that the capital pressure faced by HSBC due to the buyback of all outstanding shares of Hang Seng Bank will remain manageable [1] - The transaction is projected to be completed in the first half of 2026, which will lead to a decrease in HSBC's risk-adjusted capital (RAC) ratio by approximately 2%, bringing it to around 11% to 12% by the end of 2026, still above S&P's strong capital threshold of 10% [1]

Core Viewpoint - HSBC Holdings plans to acquire 680 million shares of Hang Seng Bank at HKD 155 per share, totaling HKD 106 billion (approximately USD 13.6 billion), increasing its stake from 63% to 100% [1] Group 1: Acquisition Purpose - The acquisition aims to enhance synergy, simplify operations, and capture growth opportunities while maintaining Hang Seng Bank's brand and independent status [2] - HSBC's CEO expressed confidence in the Hong Kong market and Hang Seng's operational capabilities, indicating that the acquisition will lead to cost savings and improved product offerings for customers [2] Group 2: Financial and Regulatory Impact - The acquisition is expected to reduce HSBC's core Tier 1 capital ratio by approximately 165 basis points, but the removal of minority interest deductions will increase it by about 40 basis points, resulting in a net impact of 125 basis points [4] - HSBC's ordinary share EPS is projected to increase post-acquisition, leading to a rise in dividend per share (DPS) and an increase in dividend yield from 5.3% to 5.4% [3] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - Short-term impacts include a decline in share price due to reduced dividend and buyback returns, with a noted 6% drop following the announcement [5] - The acquisition is expected to decrease net assets by approximately 4%, affecting the company's valuation, which is already reflected in the recent share price drop [6] - The projected return from dividends and buybacks for 2026 is expected to decrease to 7.5%, compared to Standard Chartered's 8.8%, indicating a potential decline in attractiveness [6]

智通财经APP获悉，中金发布研报称，10月9日早8点，汇丰控股(00005)公告计划以每股155港币的价格 以现金收购恒生银行6.8亿股(前一日恒生银行收盘价119港币，对应1.4x P/B，收购价较公开价溢价 30%，对应1.8x P/B;收购价高于2022年3月以来恒生银行最高收盘价154港币)，收购总价1060亿港币(约 136亿美元)，收购后汇丰对恒生的持股比例由此前的63%提升至100%。该收购待恒生少数股东中"75% 持股者同意"+"少于10%持股者反对"方可推进。若进展顺利，公司预计2026年中之前逐步完成私有化。 予汇丰"跑赢行业"评级，目标价111.9港元。 综合考虑股息率的提升和回购回报率的减少，2026E股权回报率由此前的9.4%降至7.5%，4Q25-3Q26E 股权回报率由此前的9.3%降至6.2%。 1)汇丰普通股EPS提升。收购完成后，作为分红基准的汇丰普通股EPS(不包括重大特殊项目)因不再扣除 归属于恒生少数股东的利润而提升，公司承诺会维持50%的分红率，则意味着汇丰普通股DPS增加，股 息率提升。该行测算加回归属恒生少数股东净利润至汇丰普通股净利润相当于提升股息率约3%，相 ...