Market Overview - U.S. equities faced a significant downturn on November 4, 2025, with all three major indexes closing in the red, particularly the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite, which led the declines [1][2] - The S&P 500 fell 1.2% to 6,771 points, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average decreased by 0.5% or approximately 238 points to 47,085, and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 2% to 23,348 [2] - The Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) surged 10% to 18.9, indicating increased investor apprehension amid concerns over valuations and a potential market correction [2] Economic Data and Events - The ongoing U.S. government shutdown is delaying key economic data releases, increasing focus on private sector data [3] - The ADP employment report is anticipated, which may provide insights into hiring trends following a dip in September [3] - The ISM Manufacturing PMI declined to 48.7 in October from 49.1 in September, marking the eighth consecutive month of contraction [4] Corporate Developments - Palantir Technologies (PLTR) saw a significant decline of 7.9% despite surpassing analysts' forecasts for sales and profit, raising concerns over high valuations [5] - Nvidia (NVDA) fell 4%, and Microsoft (MSFT) dipped 1%, reflecting growing concerns about the sustainability of the AI rally [5] - Uber Technologies (UBER) slumped 6.3% despite reporting better-than-expected financial results [5] - Yum! Brands (YUM) rose 6.1% after announcing strong quarterly results and considering selling its Pizza Hut unit [5] - Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) reported robust third-quarter results, including record free cash flow and an increase in share buyback target and dividend [6] Earnings Announcements - Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) is expected to report a 27.63% year-over-year increase in earnings per share [10] - Arista Networks, Inc. (ANET) is forecasted to see a 14.04% increase in earnings per share [10] - Axon Enterprise, Inc. (AXON) plunged 20% in after-hours trading following a Q3 earnings miss [10] - Digital Turbine (APPS) surged 22% in after-hours trading after reporting its FY 2026 Q2 earnings [10]

Revenue Performance - In Q3 2025, worldwide RevPAR increased by 0.5%, driven by ADR growth of 0.9%[61] - In the U.S. & Canada, RevPAR decreased by 0.4% in Q3 2025, while it increased by 0.9% in the first three quarters of 2025[62] - In international regions, RevPAR grew by 2.6% in Q3 2025 and 4.6% in the first three quarters of 2025, with strong demand in APEC, EMEA, and CALA[63] - RevPAR for U.S. & Canada increased by 2.3% to $184.92, while occupancy decreased by 0.2 percentage points to 70.0% in 2025 compared to 2024[72] - The company reported a 4.6% increase in international RevPAR to $123.77, with a 1.1 percentage point increase in occupancy to 69.2%[72] Property and Room Growth - As of September 30, 2025, the company had 9,721 properties and 1,753,722 rooms, representing a 7% increase in properties and a 5% increase in rooms year-over-year[69] - The development pipeline included approximately 3,900 properties and over 596,000 rooms, with over 250,000 rooms (42%) under construction or in conversion[66] - The company expects full year 2025 net rooms growth to approach 5%, including rooms from the citizenM brand acquisition[67] - The company added roughly 47,400 net rooms in the first three quarters of 2025[65] Financial Performance - Franchise fees rose by 8% to $876 million in Q3 2025, driven by rooms growth and higher brand-related fees[74][75] - Owned, leased, and other revenue increased by 10% to $420 million in Q3 2025, primarily due to the acquisition of the Sheraton Grand Chicago hotel[77] - Cost reimbursement revenue grew by 3% to $4.76 billion in Q3 2025, with net cost reimbursements increasing by 133% to $21 million[78] - General, administrative, and other expenses decreased by 15% to $234 million in Q3 2025, attributed to lower guarantee reserves and compensation costs[80] - Interest expense increased by 15% to $206 million in Q3 2025, primarily due to higher debt balances from Senior Notes issuances[82] - Provision for income taxes rose by 32% to $266 million in Q3 2025, driven by higher pre-tax income[83] - Net fee revenues for the first three quarters of 2025 increased by 4% to $3.93 billion compared to the same period in 2024[74] - The overall gross fee revenues for the first three quarters of 2025 were $4.01 billion, reflecting a 5% increase from 2024[74] Segment Performance - In Q3 2025, U.S. & Canada segment net fee revenues were $721 million, a decrease of 1% compared to $728 million in Q3 2024, while segment profit increased by 10% to $680 million from $617 million[86] - EMEA segment net fee revenues grew by 11% to $167 million in Q3 2025, up from $150 million in Q3 2024, with segment profit increasing by 4% to $158 million[86] - Greater China segment net fee revenues increased by 2% to $63 million in Q3 2025, while segment profit decreased by 4% to $44 million[86] - APEC segment net fee revenues rose by 6% to $85 million in Q3 2025, with segment profit declining by 5% to $63 million[86] Cash and Capital Management - Cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash totaled $694 million at September 30, 2025, an increase of $269 million from year-end 2024[94] - Capital expenditures for the first three quarters of 2025 were $432 million, with an expected total of approximately $1,450 million for the full year[97] - The company repurchased 3.0 million shares for $0.8 billion in Q3 2025, totaling 9.7 million shares repurchased for $2.6 billion year-to-date[98] - The company declared quarterly cash dividends of $0.63, $0.67, and $0.67 per share in 2025[99] - The company expects to continue returning cash to stockholders through share repurchases and cash dividends[100] Data Security Incident - The company reported a data security incident related to the Starwood reservations database but does not expect it to impact long-term financial health[64]

Marriott International narrowed its full-year earnings outlook after logging higher profit and revenue in the third quarter, as ongoing strength in the luxury segment more than offset reduced government travel https://t.co/6sVeL6Acyo ...

Core Insights - Marriott International, Inc. reported strong third-quarter 2025 results, with adjusted earnings and revenues exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the fourth consecutive quarter, showing year-over-year growth [1][4][8] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) reached $2.47, surpassing the estimate of $2.41 and increasing from $2.26 in the prior-year quarter [4][8] - Quarterly revenues totaled $6,489 million, beating the consensus mark of $6,454 million, reflecting a 4% year-over-year increase [4][8] - Adjusted EBITDA was $1.35 billion, up from $1.23 billion in the previous year [9] Revenue Breakdown - Base management and franchise fees generated $314 million and $876 million, respectively, marking increases of 1% and 8% year over year [5] - Incentive management fees, however, decreased by 7% year over year to $148 million [5] RevPAR and Market Performance - Global revenue per available room (RevPAR) rose 0.5% year over year, supported by a 0.9% increase in average daily rate (ADR), despite a 0.3% decline in occupancy [6] - In the Asia Pacific region, RevPAR increased 4.7%, with occupancy up 1.2% and ADR rising 3% [6][7] - Internationally, RevPAR improved by 2.6%, with occupancy and ADR gaining 0.8% and 1.4%, respectively [7] Development and Growth Outlook - The company reported a robust development pipeline with 3,923 hotels worldwide, including 1,536 properties under construction [11] - Marriott anticipates a net rooms growth of 5% for 2025 and mid-single-digit expansion in the following years [3] Future Guidance - For Q4 2025, management expects gross fee revenues between $1.382 billion and $1.402 billion, with EPS projected between $2.54 and $2.62 [12] - For the full year 2025, the company forecasts worldwide system-wide RevPAR growth of 1.5-2.5% and gross fee revenues of $5.395-$5.415 billion [13][14]

Core Insights - Marriott International reported revenue of $6.49 billion for the quarter ended September 2025, reflecting a 3.7% increase year-over-year and a surprise of +0.55% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $6.45 billion [1] - The company's EPS for the quarter was $2.47, up from $2.26 in the same quarter last year, exceeding the consensus EPS estimate of $2.41 by +2.49% [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Comparable Systemwide International Properties - Worldwide REVPAR was reported at 131, slightly below the estimated 132 [4] - Total rooms stood at 1,753,722, surpassing the average estimate of 1,750,993 [4] - Owned/Leased rooms were reported at 14,206, compared to the estimated 14,187 [4] - REVPAR Growth Rate was 0.5%, exceeding the average estimate of 0.4% [4] - Gross fee revenues reached $1.34 billion, above the $1.32 billion estimate, marking a +4.3% year-over-year change [4] - Net fee revenues were $1.31 billion, compared to the estimated $1.29 billion, representing a +4.1% increase year-over-year [4] - Owned, leased, and other revenue was reported at $420 million, exceeding the estimate of $403.7 million, with a +10.2% year-over-year change [4] - Franchise fees amounted to $876 million, above the estimated $864.58 million, reflecting a +7.9% year-over-year increase [4] - Incentive management fees were $148 million, slightly above the estimate of $141.48 million, but down -6.9% year-over-year [4] - Cost reimbursements were reported at $4.76 billion, matching the estimate, with a +3.1% year-over-year change [4] - Base management fees were $314 million, slightly below the estimate of $316.47 million, representing a +0.6% year-over-year change [4] Stock Performance - Marriott's shares have returned -3% over the past month, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite has increased by +2.1% [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), indicating potential underperformance relative to the broader market in the near term [3]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Third quarter adjusted EBITDA rose 10% to $1.35 billion, exceeding expectations, while adjusted EPS grew 9% [15][17] - Global RevPAR increased by 0.5%, driven by nearly 1% ADR growth, offsetting a 30 basis point decline in occupancy [15][17] - Total gross fee revenues increased 4% year-over-year to $1.34 billion, primarily due to rooms growth and strong co-branded credit card fee growth [15][17] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - RevPAR growth was strongest in the APEC region, increasing nearly 5%, driven by robust ADR growth and higher demand from international travelers [6][7] - International RevPAR grew 2.6%, outperforming the U.S. and Canada, where RevPAR was down 0.4% [5][6] - Luxury RevPAR rose 4%, while select service brands in the U.S. and Canada saw declines, impacting overall RevPAR performance [8][9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - RevPAR in EMEA rose 2.5%, with a potential 5% increase when excluding the impact of major events last year [7] - In Greater China, RevPAR was flat due to weaker macro conditions, although market share continued to grow [7][8] - The U.S. business transient RevPAR was flat, with government transient down 14% [8][9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to continue strong net rooms growth, with a pipeline of over 596,000 rooms, including 250,000 under construction [9][21] - Focus on technology transformation to enhance customer experience and operational efficiency [12][14] - Launch of new brands like Outdoor Collection by Marriott Bonvoy and Series by Marriott to expand offerings [10][11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management anticipates global RevPAR growth of 1%-2% in Q4, with stronger growth expected internationally compared to the U.S. [17][18] - Preliminary outlook for 2026 suggests similar RevPAR growth of 1.5%-2.5% as this year, with the World Cup expected to contribute positively [18][19] - Management remains optimistic about the future, citing strong cash flow performance and ongoing negotiations for credit card partnerships [14][22] Other Important Information - Membership in Marriott Bonvoy grew to nearly 260 million, up 18% year-over-year, enhancing customer engagement [11] - The company expects full-year G&A expenses to decline by 8%-9% due to efficiency initiatives [20][21] - Total investment spending for the year is expected to be around $1.1 billion, with a focus on growth and shareholder returns [22] Q&A Session Summary Question: Credit card program and renewal parameters - Management acknowledged ongoing negotiations and highlighted the growth of the Bonvoy program, which has doubled in membership since 2017 [24][27] Question: Health of franchisees and owner requests - Management noted record signings and efforts to enhance top-line performance, indicating strong franchisee health [36][39] Question: Investment spending trends - Management clarified that increased investment spending is related to tech transformation and existing hotel CapEx, not new development-related key money [44][45] Question: 2026 outlook and RevPAR growth - Management expects U.S. RevPAR to improve slightly, driven by the World Cup, with group pace up 7% [48][50] Question: Development environment in APAC and China - Management reported strong rooms growth and signings in Asia, particularly in Greater China, with a 24% increase in signings year-over-year [60][64] Question: Business transient trends - Management indicated flat global business transient RevPAR, with government transient down significantly, but larger corporate segments showing strength [66][68] Question: AI and digital distribution opportunities - Management expressed optimism about leveraging AI for distribution and enhancing customer experience through new channels [74][76]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Third quarter adjusted EBITDA rose 10% to $1.35 billion, exceeding expectations, while adjusted EPS grew 9% [15][21] - Global REVPAR increased by 0.5%, with nearly 1% ADR growth offsetting a 30 basis point decline in occupancy [15][17] - Total gross fee revenues increased 4% year-over-year to $1.34 billion, driven by rooms growth and strong co-branded credit card fee growth [15][16] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - REVPAR growth was strongest in the luxury segment, which rose 4%, while select service brands in the US and Canada saw declines [8][9] - Incentive management fees (IMFs) totaled $148 million, down 7% year-over-year, primarily due to declines in the US and Canada [16] - Owned lease and other revenue net of expenses rose 16% compared to the prior year, driven by contributions from newly acquired properties [16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - International REVPAR grew 2.6%, outperforming the US and Canada, where REVPAR was down 0.4% [5][6] - APEC region saw nearly 5% REVPAR growth, driven by robust ADR growth and higher demand from international travelers [6][7] - Greater China faced challenges with flat REVPAR, impacted by macro conditions and multiple typhoons, although market share continued to grow [7][8] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to drive growth through technology transformation and expansion of its global portfolio, with a focus on high-end segments [10][12] - The launch of new brands like Outdoor Collection by Marriott Bonvoy reflects the company's strategy to diversify offerings and enhance guest experiences [10][11] - The company remains committed to maintaining an investment-grade rating while returning excess capital to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases [22] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management anticipates global REVPAR growth of 1-2% in Q4, with stronger growth expected internationally compared to the US and Canada [17][18] - The preliminary outlook for 2026 suggests similar REVPAR growth of 1.5%-2.5%, with the World Cup expected to contribute positively [18][19] - Management expressed optimism about the future, citing strong cash flow performance and a robust pipeline of new hotel signings [21][22] Other Important Information - Membership in the Marriott Bonvoy loyalty program grew to nearly 260 million, up 18% year-over-year, enhancing guest engagement and value for owners [11] - The company is leveraging AI to improve customer experiences and operational efficiency [14][12] - The pipeline of new rooms reached a record high of over 596,000, with significant contributions from conversions [9][10] Q&A Session Summary Question: Credit card program and renewal parameters - Management acknowledged ongoing negotiations and highlighted the growth of the Bonvoy program, which has doubled in membership since 2017 [26][28] Question: Health of franchisee and owner requests - Management noted record signings and efforts to enhance top-line performance, indicating strong owner engagement [36][38] Question: Investment spending trends - Management clarified that increased investment spending is related to tech transformation and existing portfolio improvements, not a change in key money philosophy [44][45] Question: 2026 outlook and business transient trends - Management expects leisure to outperform business transient, with group pace showing positive signs for next year [46][49] Question: Development environment in APAC and China - Management reported strong growth in signings and room growth in APAC, particularly in Greater China, despite macro challenges [60][62] Question: Changes in underlying seasonality - Management observed an extension of peak seasonality into fall, with no significant shifts in customer mix from the US [78][81]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Third quarter adjusted EBITDA rose 10% to $1.35 billion, exceeding expectations, while adjusted EPS grew 9% [13][15] - Global REVPAR increased by 0.5%, driven by nearly 1% ADR growth, offsetting a 30 basis point decline in occupancy [13][15] - Total gross fee revenues increased 4% year-over-year to $1.34 billion, primarily due to rooms growth and strong co-branded credit card fee growth [13][14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - REVPAR growth was strongest in the luxury segment, which rose 4%, while select service brands in the US and Canada saw declines [6][7] - Incentive management fees (IMFs) totaled $148 million, down 7% year-over-year, primarily due to declines in the US and Canada [14] - Owned lease and other revenue net of expenses rose 16% compared to the prior year, driven by contributions from newly acquired properties [14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - International REVPAR grew 2.6%, outperforming the US and Canada, where REVPAR was down 0.4% [4][5] - APEC region saw nearly 5% REVPAR growth, driven by robust ADR growth and higher demand from international travelers [4][5] - Greater China faced challenges with flat REVPAR due to weaker macro conditions, although market share continued to grow [5][6] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims for strong net rooms growth in 2025 and beyond, with a pipeline of over 596,000 rooms, including 250,000 under construction [8][18] - The launch of new brands like Outdoor Collection by Marriott Bonvoy reflects the company's strategy to diversify offerings and enhance guest experiences [9][10] - Continued focus on technology transformation and AI integration to improve operational efficiency and customer experience [11][12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management anticipates global REVPAR growth of 1-2% in Q4, with stronger growth expected internationally compared to the US and Canada [15][16] - The company expects full-year 2025 REVPAR to rise between 1.5% and 2.5% year-over-year, with a positive impact from next summer's World Cup [16][18] - Management remains optimistic about the future, citing strong cash flow performance and a commitment to shareholder returns [19] Other Important Information - Membership in the Marriott Bonvoy loyalty program grew to nearly 260 million, up 18% year-over-year, enhancing customer engagement [10] - The company is committed to maintaining an investment-grade rating while returning excess capital to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases [19] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you provide details on the credit card program and renewal? - Management acknowledged ongoing negotiations and highlighted the growth of the Bonvoy program, which has doubled in membership since 2017, indicating strong potential for future credit card fees [22][25][26] Question: What are the trends in franchisee health and owner requests? - Management noted record signings and efforts to enhance top-line performance, indicating strong franchisee health despite macroeconomic challenges [33][34] Question: Can you elaborate on investment spending trends? - Management clarified that increased investment spending is related to non-development expenditures and technology transformation, not a change in key money philosophy [37][38] Question: What is the outlook for business transient travel? - Business transient REVPAR was flat, with government transient down 15%, but larger corporate clients showed encouraging strength [57][58] Question: How is the development environment in APAC and China? - Management reported strong rooms growth and signings in Asia, particularly in Greater China, with a 24% year-over-year increase in room signings [51][56] Question: Are there any changes in underlying seasonality? - Management observed an extension of peak seasonality into the fall, with no significant shifts in the mix of U.S. customers in Europe [65][67]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Third quarter adjusted EBITDA rose 10% to $1,350 million, exceeding expectations [17] - Adjusted EPS grew 9% year over year [17] - Global RevPAR increased by 0.5%, driven by nearly 1% ADR growth, offsetting a 30 basis point decline in occupancy [17] - Total gross fee revenues increased 4% year over year to $1,340 million, primarily due to rooms growth and strong co-branded credit card fee growth [17][18] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - RevPAR growth was strongest in the luxury segment, which rose 4%, while select service brands in the U.S. and Canada saw declines [8][9] - Incentive management fees (IMFs) totaled $148 million, down 7% year over year, primarily due to declines in the U.S. and Canada [18] - Owned, leased, and other revenue, net of expenses, rose 16% compared to the prior year, driven by contributions from the Sheraton Grand Chicago and improved performance at other hotels [18] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - International RevPAR grew 2.6%, outperforming the U.S. and Canada, where RevPAR was down 0.4% [5] - RevPAR in the Asia-Pacific (APAC) region increased nearly 5%, driven by robust ADR growth and higher demand from international travelers [6] - The operating environment in Greater China remains challenged, with RevPAR flat year over year, impacted by multiple typhoons [7] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to drive growth by expanding its global portfolio, which grew by 4.7% year over year to over 1.75 million rooms [4] - The launch of new brands, such as Outdoor Collection by Marriott Bonvoy and Series by Marriott, reflects the company's strategy to diversify offerings [12][13] - The company continues to focus on technology transformation to enhance customer experience and operational efficiency [15] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about future RevPAR growth, expecting an increase of 1% to 2% in Q4 and 1.5% to 2.5% for the full year 2025 [20][22] - The impact of the upcoming World Cup is anticipated to contribute around 30 to 35 basis points to full year global RevPAR growth [21] - Management acknowledged ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties but highlighted strong demand in the luxury segment and resilience among high-end consumers [8][9] Other Important Information - Membership in the Marriott Bonvoy loyalty program grew to nearly 260 million, up 18% year over year [13] - The company expects full year capital returns to shareholders to be roughly $4 billion while maintaining leverage in the lower part of the net debt to EBITDA range [26] Q&A Session Summary Question: Credit card program and renewal conversation - Management discussed ongoing negotiations with credit card partners, emphasizing the growth of the Bonvoy program and its attractiveness to financial services partners [32][33] Question: Health of franchisee and RevPAR trends - Management noted record signings globally, indicating strong franchisee interest despite RevPAR slowing [41][42] Question: Investment spending trends - Management clarified that increased investment spending is related to non-development expenditures and tech transformation investments [45][47] Question: Business transient trends - Management reported flat global business transient RevPAR, with government transient down 15% year over year, but larger corporate clients showed strength [76][78] Question: Development environment in APAC and China - Management highlighted strong rooms growth and signings in APAC, particularly in India and Indonesia, while noting challenges in Greater China [70][73] Question: Changes in underlying seasonality - Management observed an extension of peak seasonality in Europe, with no significant shifts in U.S. customer demand [90][94]

Core Viewpoint - Marriott International Group reported third-quarter earnings with revenue of $6.49 billion, exceeding analyst expectations of $6.46 billion, and showing a year-over-year growth of over 3.6% [1] - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) were $2.47, surpassing analyst expectations of $2.38, and reflecting a year-over-year increase of over 9% [1] - The company provided guidance for fourth-quarter adjusted EPS to be between $2.54 and $2.62, slightly below analyst expectations of $2.64 [1] - For the full year 2025, the company adjusted its EPS guidance from a range of $9.85 to $10.08 to a new range of $9.98 to $10.06, compared to analyst expectations of $10.04 [1] Financial Performance - Third-quarter revenue: $6.49 billion, up over 3.6% year-over-year [1] - Adjusted EPS for Q3: $2.47, up over 9% year-over-year [1] - Fourth-quarter adjusted EPS guidance: $2.54 to $2.62 [1] - 2025 full-year EPS guidance revised: $9.98 to $10.06 [1]