进入 2025 年，这一区间摇身一变成为关键支撑。3 月至 7 月期间，尽管月内价格曾多次下探跌破该水平，但月度收盘价始终坚守阵地，进一步确认 了其结构性支撑的重要地位。如今狗狗币再度回测这一区间，其能否守住将直接决定后续走向。 月底收盘价定生死，两种结局清晰分化 当前距离 11 月底还有约半数时间，月度红色蜡烛图已跌破 0.18 美元趋势线，能否依托 0.159-0.16 美元区间止跌回升，成为市场关注的核心。对长 期走势而言，月度收盘价的意义远超短期波动。 若狗狗币能在月底前重回上升趋势线上方并站稳收盘，其 "不断抬高低点" 的多年上升趋势结构将基本保持完整，宏观看涨逻辑仍有延续可能；反 之，若月度收盘价大幅跌破 0.159 美元关键水平，则意味着上升支撑位与历史底部双双失效，宏观看涨结构将被显著削弱，狗狗币恐将再度滑向熊 市。 关键趋势线告破，技术形态亮红灯 DOGE月度图表清晰追踪了狗狗币的长期走势：从 2021 年暴涨峰值，到 2022-2023 年的熊市调整，再到后续的复苏反弹，一条起于熊市低点的上升 趋势线成为其宏观上涨的核心支撑。 这条关键趋势线当前位于 0.18 美元附近，而截至发稿，狗狗币 ...

Core Viewpoint - The international gold market has shown a strong rebound, reaching historical highs and maintaining an upward trend, with future movements dependent on the trend line resistance level [1][3]. Price Movement - Gold prices opened the week at $4004.70, hitting a low of $4003.62 before rebounding to a historical high of $4378.91 on Friday, followed by a drop of over $192, ultimately closing at $4246.89. The weekly price fluctuation was $375.29, with a weekly increase of $234.26, representing a 5.83% rise compared to the previous week's closing price of $4012.63 [3]. Influencing Factors - The rise in gold prices was driven by concerns over a potential U.S. government shutdown, statements from Federal Reserve officials supporting interest rate cuts, heightened geopolitical tensions, and increased risk aversion due to issues in the U.S. credit market [3]. - The upward movement faced resistance at the trend line, leading to profit-taking, while the U.S. dollar index and U.S. Treasury yields rebounded on Friday, adding pressure to gold prices [3].

Core Viewpoint - The international gold market has shown a strong rebound, reaching historical highs and closing positively for the ninth consecutive week, with future movements dependent on the trend line resistance level [1][3]. Market Performance - Gold prices opened the week at $4004.70, hitting a low of $4003.62 before rebounding to a high of $4378.91, ultimately closing at $4246.89, marking a weekly increase of $234.26 or 5.83% from the previous week's close of $4012.63 [1][3]. Influencing Factors - Concerns over a potential U.S. government shutdown, dovish comments from Federal Reserve officials, and rising geopolitical tensions have contributed to increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [3][5]. - The recent surge in gold prices has also been influenced by significant sell-offs as prices approached key resistance levels, alongside a rebound in the U.S. dollar index and Treasury yields [3][5]. Future Outlook - The market is expected to experience volatility, with potential adjustments to $4000 or $3800 if resistance is encountered. Key events to watch include the meeting between Trump and Chinese leaders and the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting at the end of October [3][5]. - Long-term bullish sentiment remains, supported by central bank gold purchases and ongoing geopolitical risks, despite short-term concerns about market corrections [5][6]. Technical Analysis - Monthly charts indicate that gold prices are encountering resistance at the upper trend channel, with a potential for further upward movement if the resistance is broken. However, a significant adjustment may be on the horizon, as historical data suggests that gold has never achieved ten consecutive weeks of gains [8][10]. - Daily charts show a bearish reversal pattern, indicating a possible short-term decline unless prices recover from recent losses [10]. Support and Resistance Levels - Key support levels for gold are identified at $4215 and $4160, while resistance levels are at $4285 and $4333. For silver, support is at $51.20 and $49.85, with resistance at $52.35 and $53.00 [10].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that gold prices are experiencing strong bullish momentum but face resistance levels around 4060/4085, with support at 4021/4000. A buy recommendation is suggested near 4020 with a target profit of 70-100 points and a stop loss at 4010 [2][3] - The driving factors for gold's movement include escalating geopolitical risks, expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, and political instability in multiple countries, which are increasing demand for safe-haven assets [3] Group 2 - For EUR/USD, the market is currently in a consolidation phase after reaching a high of 1.163, with a focus on the easing of political tensions in France and Germany, which counterbalance the delayed impact of U.S. employment data [5] - Key support levels are identified at 1.150/1.154 and resistance at 1.169/1.174, with a trading strategy suggesting a short position near 1.166 [7] Group 3 - GBP/USD is supported by hawkish comments from the Bank of England, but U.S. risk aversion is limiting its gains, resulting in a doji candlestick formation [9] - Key support levels are at 1.323/1.328 and resistance at 1.343/1.348, with a recommendation to enter a long position near 1.330 [11] Group 4 - GBP/JPY experienced a downward breakout after initial fluctuations, reaching a significant Fibonacci retracement level, with a bearish candlestick formation [13] - Resistance levels are noted at 203.7/204.4 and support at 201.3/202, with a recommendation to enter short positions between 203-203.5 [15]

Group 1: XAU/USD Gold - The gold price experienced a high of 3791 before retreating to a support level of 3737, with a cautious dovish speech from Powell causing a drop to 3751 [1] - ETO Markets indicates that under the Fed's "dual risk" policy framework, data-driven characteristics are strengthening, and there is a need to be wary of technical pullback risks [1][3] Group 2: EUR/USD Euro - The EUR/USD pair fluctuated around 1.180 due to slowing PMI growth in the Eurozone and a decline in the US PMI, with a volatility of 41 points [5] - ETO Markets notes doubts about the sustainability of Eurozone growth, while the path for Fed rate cuts remains unclear, suggesting a short-term consolidation pattern [5] Group 3: GBP/USD Pound - The GBP/USD pair closed at 1.3512, with all UK PMIs falling short of expectations, raising concerns about the Bank of England's rate cut expectations intertwined with Fed policy uncertainty [10] - ETO Markets emphasizes the need to pay attention to UK policy developments [10] Group 4: GBP/JPY Pound-Yen - The GBP/JPY pair showed a sideways movement near the H1 trend line, closing with a small bearish candle, with resistance at 199.8-200 suggesting a short-term bearish bias [14] - ETO Markets recommends focusing on short positions at resistance levels [14][16] Group 5: Today's Economic Focus - Key economic data to watch includes Australia's August CPI, Germany's IFO Business Climate Index, US new home sales, and EIA crude oil inventory data [17] - ETO Markets warns of potential market volatility from Trump's speech at the UN and advises careful risk management during this data-intensive period [17]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that spot gold prices experienced a slight decline due to short-term profit-taking, but are still supported above the EMA50 on the 4-hour chart, suggesting a potential recovery in bullish momentum [1] Group 2 - The RSI indicator is providing positive signals, indicating that gold prices are attempting to oscillate under the influence of a major bullish trend line [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that spot gold prices are experiencing slight declines due to negative pressure from the EMA50 moving average, particularly after breaking below a short-term bullish trendline, which has intensified selling pressure [1] - The RSI indicator on the 4-hour chart has reached a significantly oversold level, suggesting a potential for positive momentum that could pave the way for a short-term rebound in gold prices [1]

Core Viewpoint - The content emphasizes the importance of conducting personal due diligence and consulting competent advisors before making any financial decisions, particularly in the context of investments and trading [1]. Group 1 - The website provides general news, personal analysis, and third-party content intended for educational and research purposes [1]. - It explicitly states that the information does not constitute any recommendation or advice for investment actions [1]. - Users are advised to perform their own research and consider their financial situation before making decisions [1]. Group 2 - The website includes information about complex financial instruments such as cryptocurrencies and contracts for difference (CFDs), which carry a high risk of losing money [1]. - It encourages users to understand how these instruments work and the associated risks before investing [1].

Group 1: US Dollar Index - The US Dollar Index showed a downward trend last Friday, with a high of 98.647 and a low of 98.067, closing at 98.466 [1] - The index is currently operating within a weekly resistance and daily support range, with a key focus on breaking these levels for future movement [1] - The mid-term outlook suggests a bearish trend, with a critical support level at 97.80, indicating a potential for upward movement if maintained above this level [1][3] Group 2: Gold Market - Gold prices experienced an upward trend last Friday, reaching a high of 3361.1 and a low of 3331.67, closing at 3350.44 [3] - The market is currently in a consolidation phase, with key resistance levels to watch at 3366 and 3377, and a support level at 3345 [4][6] - The overall sentiment remains cautiously bullish, pending a breakout from the current range [4] Group 3: Euro/USD Pair - The Euro/USD pair showed an upward movement last Friday, with a low of 1.1586 and a high of 1.1671, closing at 1.1621 [6] - The price is currently under pressure from daily resistance levels, with a focus on the 1.1680-90 range for potential short positions [6][8] - Long-term outlook remains bullish, supported by a monthly low of 1.0950, while short-term strategies should consider resistance levels for potential downward corrections [6]

Core Insights - The gold market is experiencing volatile trading conditions, making it challenging for traders to navigate effectively [1] - There is a focus on whether the upper trend line can be broken, which is crucial for future price movements [1] - The analysis is being conducted by the TTPS team, led by Coach Lu, who is providing insights on positioning ahead of the weekend [1]