Core Viewpoint - The content emphasizes the importance of conducting personal due diligence and consulting competent advisors before making any financial decisions, particularly in the context of investments and trading [1]. Group 1 - The website provides general news, publications, and personal analysis intended for educational and research purposes [1]. - It explicitly states that the information does not constitute any recommendation or advice for investment actions [1]. - Users are advised to perform their own research and consider their financial situation before making decisions [1]. Group 2 - The website includes information about complex financial instruments such as cryptocurrencies and contracts for difference (CFDs), which carry a high risk of losing money [1]. - It encourages users to understand how these instruments work and the associated risks before investing [1].

Macroeconomic Overview - The U.S. International Trade Court ruled that the Trump administration's "Day of Liberation" tariff policy exceeded its authority, leading to a suspension of its implementation, emphasizing that presidential trade management powers cannot surpass those granted to Congress by the Constitution [1] - This lawsuit, initiated by five small import businesses, marks the first significant legal challenge against the tariff policy, with seven similar lawsuits ongoing [1] - The ruling has alleviated market concerns regarding the trade war, resulting in a rise in U.S. stock index futures, with the Nasdaq futures increasing by 1.8% [1] - The dollar index surpassed the 100 mark, reflecting a positive market sentiment following Trump's postponement of tariffs on the EU and an agreement with China to reduce tariffs [1] - The Federal Reserve's May meeting minutes indicate officials are grappling with the dual challenges of rising inflation and unemployment, with a 60% probability of a rate cut in September [1] - Despite gold prices rising by 26% this year, the cautious stance of the Federal Reserve has suppressed gold prices [1] - Consumer confidence data exceeded expectations, reinforcing a robust economic outlook, while investors are focused on upcoming GDP, PCE data, and fiscal policy developments [1] Dollar Index - On Wednesday, the dollar index showed an upward trend, reaching a high of 99.933 and a low of 99.414, closing at 99.865 [2] - The market exhibited a bullish sentiment after a brief period of fluctuation, with a significant rise in the U.S. trading session [2] - Key resistance levels to watch include 100.20, with a focus on whether the index can maintain this level [2] - The weekly analysis indicates resistance at 101.70, suggesting a potential bearish trend in the medium term [2] Gold Market - Gold prices experienced a decline on Wednesday, with a high of 3325 and a low of 3276.48, closing at 3288.35 [4] - The market showed a bearish trend after testing key resistance levels, leading to a significant downward movement [4] - Current support levels are identified at 3270, with a focus on potential further declines if this level is breached [5] Euro/USD - The Euro/USD pair showed a downward trend on Wednesday, with a low of 1.1283 and a high of 1.1344, closing at 1.1289 [6] - The market remains under pressure due to resistance levels, indicating a bearish outlook [6] - Long-term support is noted at 1.0800, while short-term focus is on the 1.1130 area [6] Key Financial Data and Events - Upcoming key financial events include the Bank of England Governor Bailey's speech, Canadian current account data, U.S. initial jobless claims, and revisions to U.S. GDP [11]

Group 1 - The article discusses the current trend of gold prices, indicating that the daily trend line has not been broken, suggesting a short-term stabilization and potential rebound [1] - It raises the question of whether this rebound is a trap for buyers or an opportunity for short sellers to enter the market [1] - The article advises to pay attention to today's support and resistance levels for potential entry points [1]

Core Insights - Grocery chain Sprouts Farmers Market Inc (SFM) has seen significant stock performance, doubling in value since last May and increasing by 30% in 2025, although it recently approached a $160 support level [1] - The stock is currently near historically bullish moving averages, with a notable dip bringing it within one standard deviation of the 50-day and 80-day moving averages [1] Stock Performance Analysis - Over the past three years, SFM has approached the 50-day trendline seven times and the 80-day trendline five times, with a 71% success rate for gains one month after the 50-day signal and a 100% success rate after the 80-day signal, averaging gains of 6.3% and 7.8% respectively [2] - A potential upward movement from the current price of $164.65 could see shares rise to $177 by the end of June [2] Analyst Recommendations - There is potential for upgrades in SFM's stock, as nine out of 14 analysts currently have a "hold" recommendation [4] - The Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) for SFM is at 36%, placing it in the 23rd percentile of its annual range, indicating options are currently affordable [4] - The Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) for SFM is at 82 out of 100, suggesting the stock has outperformed options traders' volatility expectations over the past year [4]

Macroeconomic Overview - The international political and economic landscape experienced significant turbulence last week, with Trump announcing a 50% tariff on the EU starting in June, leading to a surge in gold prices and a sharp decline in the euro. The EU is preparing a countermeasure worth €95 billion [1] - The U.S. House of Representatives passed the "Beautiful Act," which is expected to add $2.3 trillion to $3.3 trillion in fiscal deficits over the next decade, raising market concerns about U.S. debt risks [1] - The Federal Reserve's independence was supported by a Supreme Court ruling, but there are notable divisions among officials regarding the path for interest rate cuts [1] - Geopolitical tensions are escalating, particularly between Israel and Iran, with Israel's military actions drawing international condemnation. Trump's mediation efforts for a ceasefire in Ukraine faced setbacks [1] - This week, market focus will shift to the Federal Reserve's policy minutes, expectations for interest rate hikes from the Bank of Japan, economic data from Europe and the U.S., and OPEC+ production plans, amidst ongoing trade tensions, debt risks, and geopolitical conflicts [1] Dollar Index - Last Friday, the dollar index showed a downward trend, reaching a high of 99.917 and a low of 99.019, closing at 99.078. The market experienced a significant decline, indicating a bearish outlook [2] - From a multi-timeframe analysis, the weekly resistance is at 101.70, suggesting a bearish trend in the medium term. Key resistance on the daily chart is at 100.30, with further pressure expected below this level [2] Gold Market - Gold prices generally increased last Friday, peaking at 3365.76 and closing at 3359.92. The price action indicates a bullish trend, supported by previous resistance levels [4] - An analysis of multiple timeframes shows that gold is supported at the 3160 level on the weekly chart, with a bullish outlook unless this support is broken. Daily support is at 3280, and short-term support is at 3323-3324 [5][6] Euro/USD - The Euro/USD pair showed an overall upward trend last Friday, with a low of 1.1277 and a high of 1.1375, closing at 1.1364. The market demonstrated strong bullish momentum, particularly after breaking through key resistance levels [8] - Multi-timeframe analysis indicates long-term bullish sentiment, with support at 1.0800 on the monthly chart and 1.1090 on the weekly chart. The daily chart shows a recent upward breakout, maintaining bullish expectations [8]

Core Viewpoint - The recent bullish "outside day" candle on April 30 indicates a potential for upward price movement in the S&P 500 Index (SPX), supported by historical trends and current market sentiment [4][5]. Market Sentiment and Technical Analysis - The SPX closed above its year-end 2024 level for the first time since February 28, suggesting a shift in market dynamics [3]. - A significant gap above resistance levels was observed, driven by positive developments in U.S.-China trade talks, which traders did not fully discount [5]. - The SPX's recent rally has left it "overbought" according to the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI), indicating potential caution for future movements [6]. Resistance and Support Levels - Key resistance levels for the SPX include the 6,000 mark and just below 6,150, which is the all-time high from February [7][8]. - Potential support levels are identified at 5,882 (2024 close), 5,783 (Election Day close), and the 200-day moving average at 5,760 [15]. Market Dynamics and Investor Behavior - Low put open interest suggests reduced hedging among money managers, who are increasingly looking at overseas markets and alternative assets like gold [2]. - A notable decrease in the buy-to-open put/call volume ratio indicates a shift in sentiment among equity option buyers, moving closer to levels that have historically preceded market weakness [13][14].

Group 1 - The market showed a small upward trend with the index closing above 3287, indicating a short-term bullish sentiment despite medium-term concerns [2] - The key resistance level is identified at 3300, with a need to maintain above 3260 to avoid further declines [2][3] - The trading volume increased moderately, suggesting a potential shift in market sentiment as it broke the descending trend line formed since 3439 [2] Group 2 - The short-term technical indicators suggest that the market must stay above 3276 to maintain a bullish outlook, with critical zones identified between 3275 and 3307 [3] - The pressure points for the market are set at 3298, 3307, and 3317, while support levels are at 3280, 3270, and 3260 [4] - The mid to long-term outlook indicates that the market must remain above the 60-day moving average to sustain a bullish trend, with the 250-day moving average serving as a critical threshold to avoid a bearish reversal [4]

Core Viewpoint - The current market situation is characterized as neither bullish nor bearish, with a mid-term downtrend but a short-term bullish advantage. The decision on market direction may depend on external factors rather than just technical indicators [1][5]. Technical Analysis - The market needs to close above 3310 to be acceptable, above 3330 for a positive outlook, and above 3350 for a strong bullish signal. A close above 3290 is necessary for stability [2][9]. - The weekly chart shows a small bullish candle with a closing price of 3276, indicating a 1.19% increase. However, the mid-term outlook remains negative while the short-term shows slight bullishness [2][4]. - The weekly technical indicators suggest a mid-term downtrend, with MACD lines diverging downwards and KDJ lines showing a bearish crossover. The market is currently below key moving averages [4][8]. - A breakthrough of the downtrend line is possible if the trading volume supports it. The market must close above 3281 to break the downtrend established since 3439 [5][8]. Support and Resistance Levels - Key resistance levels are identified at 3285, 3297, and strong resistance between 3319 and 3342. Support levels are at 3258, 3247, with strong support between 3233 and 3193 [11]. - The critical threshold for market strength is at 3307, with various levels indicating bullish or bearish dominance based on closing prices [10][9]. Trading Strategy - The recommended trading strategy involves oscillating between the upper and lower gaps, with a focus on filling the upper gap for bullish positions and the lower gap for bearish positions [7].

Group 1 - The market is warned of a potential "Black Monday" reminiscent of the 1987 crash, with significant declines in major indices [1][3] - On April 4, the S&P 500 index fell nearly 6%, marking its largest single-day drop since March 16, 2020, and is down 17% from its February peak [1] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 5.5%, the largest single-day decline since June 11, 2020, while the Nasdaq Composite fell 5.82%, entering a technical bear market with a cumulative drop of over 20% from its December peak [1] Group 2 - Despite the recent declines, U.S. stock valuations remain significantly overvalued, with the Buffett Indicator at 170%, exceeding the historical trend line by 34.5 percentage points [2][6] - The Buffett Indicator measures the ratio of U.S. stock market capitalization to GDP, with the current Wilshire 5000 index at $50.559 trillion and the latest annualized GDP at $29.724 trillion [6] - UBS downgraded U.S. stocks from "attractive" to "neutral," citing potential economic recession and significant market declines if tariffs are not addressed [12] Group 3 - The possibility of a market circuit breaker is being discussed, which would halt trading if the S&P 500 index falls by certain thresholds [8][9][10] - The thresholds for circuit breakers are set at 7% (level 1), 13% (level 2), and 20% (level 3) declines, with specific point levels identified for the S&P 500 [11] Group 4 - Market expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts have increased from three to five times within the year, with the next cut anticipated in May [14] - UBS forecasts U.S. GDP growth to slow to below 1%, with potential recession risks and inflation impacts from tariff policies complicating Fed decisions [14]

恒星币生态扩张与市场表现：技术整合驱动跨境金融革新 恒星网络近期完成多项战略升级，其核心协议SCP（恒星共识协议）通过联邦拜占庭算法实现4秒交易 确认，日均处理量突破500万笔。2025年3月，恒星发展基金会（SDF）宣布与DIA、Pelago Labs达成技 术合作，集成Lumina数据预言机系统，使代币化应收账款与USDC稳定币实现链上自动清算。与此同 时，Ondo Finance将USDY收益型稳定币引入恒星网络，通过XLM桥接资产提升跨境支付效率。市场交 易层面，XLM在XBIT、币安等平台的周交易量环比增长22%，其中机构账户占比提升至18%。链上数 据显示，XLM质押量突破12亿枚，年化收益率为4.8%，较以太坊质押收益高0.7个百分点。价格走势方 面，XLM自3月11日0.245美元启动上升通道，四次回踩趋势线后形成0.285美元强支撑，当前RSI指标处 于54中性区间，MACD呈多头收敛形态，若突破0.3美元心理关口，有望冲击0.33美元年度高位。 图片来源：币界网 来源：科普新视角 截至2025年3月28日，恒星币（XLM）实时价格约为0.28美元，市值87.5亿美元，位列第15位。近期 X ...