Core Viewpoint - Nubia's president, Ni Fei, announced that the Doubao phone will take over his Weibo comment section to answer user questions, indicating a shift towards more direct user engagement and transparency in communication [1] Group 1: Company Strategy - Doubao phone will address the challenge of being blocked by Tencent and Alibaba, suggesting that the company is aware of significant competitive pressures and is planning to communicate its strategies through official channels in the future [1]

Summary of Key Points from J.P. Morgan's China Credit 2026 Outlook Industry Overview - **China Credit Market**: The report emphasizes a selective approach to investing in China credits, highlighting a spectrum of risk from high-quality TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) companies to solid SOEs (State-Owned Enterprises) and struggling property firms [1][5][10]. Core Insights Economic Outlook - **2025 Growth**: The Chinese economy is projected to grow approximately 5% year-on-year in 2025, supported by strong exports and fiscal expansion despite high U.S. tariffs [5][10]. - **2026 Forecast**: A slowdown to 4.4% growth is anticipated in 2026 due to weaker exports and consumption, with real estate investment expected to contract by 10% [5][11]. China TMT Sector - **Top Picks**: J.P. Morgan recommends Alibaba '35s/'54s and Weibo '30s as top picks due to their solid balance sheets and improving fundamentals [1][5][66]. - **Investment Cycle**: TMT companies are in a heavy investment cycle focusing on AI and new initiatives like food delivery, with Alibaba aggressively expanding its market share [29][30]. - **Competitive Landscape**: Intense competition in food delivery is noted, particularly with Alibaba's expansion impacting Meituan's profitability [30][68]. China SOE Sector - **Defensive Exposure**: China National Chemical is recommended for defensive exposure, with strong demand expected to absorb any potential spread widening from U.S. sanctions [5][66]. - **Spread Compression**: SOE credits have seen significant spread compression, with the JACI China single-A Corporate Index tightening to a 10-year low [78][79]. China Property Sector - **Cautious Sentiment**: The property market remains fragile, with Vanke's bond extension raising concerns. Longfor is the only company rated as Overweight due to its solid balance sheet and transformation to a rental model [1][5][66]. - **Market Risks**: Investor sentiment is expected to remain weak, and banks may tighten funding to private developers [5][66]. Additional Important Insights - **Technical Support**: The report notes that technical factors are supportive of China credits, with limited supply expected to continue into 2026 [5][15]. - **Valuation Trends**: China credits have experienced strong compression, with the JACI China IG Corp Index tightening significantly over the past year [15][16]. - **Funding Strategies**: TMT companies are exploring alternative funding channels, including exchangeable bonds and CNH bonds, to leverage lower costs and increased demand [44][66]. Conclusion - **Investment Strategy**: The report advocates for a selective investment strategy in China credits, focusing on high-quality TMT names and defensive SOEs while remaining cautious in the property sector due to ongoing risks and market fragility [1][5][66].

Group 1 - The core issue revolves around a public dispute between Hua Shan, founder of Hua, and Luo Yonghao, with Luo demanding an apology from Hua regarding comments made on social media [3] - The conflict originated from a Weibo post by Hua on November 25, where he referred to Xibei as the "ceiling of China's catering industry" and mentioned that it was "lured into the network of the demon country and suffered a calculated attack," leading to a public relations crisis [3] - Hua's personal Weibo account has recently lifted its one-click protection mode, but he has not addressed the ongoing dispute with Luo during this period [1]

Market Performance - The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 185.13 points, closing at 47,474.46, an increase of 0.39% [1] - The Nasdaq Composite gained 137.75 points, ending at 23,413.67, up by 0.59% [1] - The S&P 500 index increased by 16.74 points, closing at 6,829.37, a rise of 0.25% [1] Sector Performance - Major technology stocks mostly increased, with Apple up over 1%, Facebook nearly 1%, Nvidia up 0.86%, Microsoft up 0.67%, Google up 0.29%, Amazon up 0.223%, while Tesla fell by 0.21% [1] - Energy stocks declined across the board, with ExxonMobil down over 1%, Chevron down more than 1%, ConocoPhillips down over 1%, Schlumberger down 0.7%, and Western Oil down nearly 1% [1] - Airline stocks collectively rose, with Boeing up over 10%, American Airlines up more than 2%, Delta Airlines up over 1%, Southwest Airlines up nearly 2%, and United Airlines up over 3% [1] - Semiconductor stocks mostly increased, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rising by 1.83%, Intel up over 8%, NXP Semiconductors up more than 7%, Microchip Technology up over 6%, and Texas Instruments up over 4% [1] Chinese Stocks - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index fell by 0.65%, with individual stocks like Xpeng Motors down nearly 8%, and Artis Solar down nearly 6% [2] - Some Chinese stocks saw gains, such as Wanwu Xingsheng up over 6%, Atour up more than 5%, and Tiger Brokers up nearly 2% [2] Economic Indicators - Recent data indicates a gradual cooling of the economy, with policymakers urging caution on interest rate cuts and warning of potential inflationary pressures [2] - The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December has surged to 89.2% according to the Chicago Mercantile Exchange [2] European Market Performance - European stock indices showed mixed results, with the FTSE 100 in London down 0.01%, the CAC 40 in Paris down 0.28%, and the DAX in Frankfurt up 0.51% [2] Commodity Prices - International oil prices fell, with light crude oil futures for January 2026 down by $0.68, closing at $58.64 per barrel, a decrease of 1.15% [3] - Brent crude oil futures for February fell by $0.72, closing at $62.45 per barrel, a decline of 1.14% [3] Currency Exchange Rates - The US dollar index decreased by 0.06%, closing at 99.357 [3] - The euro traded at 1.1622 against the dollar, the pound at 1.3211, and the yen at 155.88 [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the mixed performance of popular Chinese concept stocks in the US pre-market trading, with some stocks experiencing gains while others faced declines [1] Group 2 - NetEase saw an increase of over 2% [1] - Alibaba, iQIYI, and Weibo each rose by more than 1% [1] - NIO experienced a decline of over 3%, while XPeng Motors fell by more than 2% [1] - Li Auto and Futu Holdings both dropped by over 1% [1]

Group 1 - The performance of popular Chinese concept stocks in the US market shows mixed results, with NetEase rising over 2% [1] - Alibaba, iQIYI, and Weibo each saw an increase of over 1% [1] - NIO experienced a decline of over 3%, while XPeng Motors fell over 2% [1] - Li Auto and Futu Holdings also saw a decrease of over 1% [1]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage on Weibo-SW (9898 HK) with an "Outperform" rating, targeting a price of HK$107.00 [2][12][26] Core Insights - Weibo maintains a unique position in the Chinese social media landscape, characterized by a large user base, rich social connections, and effective marketing solutions. The application of generative AI is expected to enhance monetization efficiency [3][20] - The company's Q3 2025 results showed mixed performance, with total revenue of US$442.3 million, a 5% year-over-year decline, and online advertising revenue down 6% in USD terms [21][9] - Management expresses confidence in achieving full-year profit targets and commits to annual shareholder returns, with a history of distributing approximately US$200 million in dividends each year [5][24][25] Financial Performance - For FY2025, total revenue is projected at US$1.725 billion, a 2% decrease from the previous year, with adjusted net profit expected to be US$461 million [10][17] - The gross profit margin is forecasted to be 76.5% in FY2025, with an adjusted operating profit margin of around 30% [17][24] - The report anticipates a gradual recovery in advertising revenue, particularly in Q4, supported by events like the Double 11 shopping festival [22][4] Business Outlook - Weibo's community engagement remains strong, with significant growth in user interaction metrics, indicating a solid foundation for future monetization [23][9] - The report highlights the resilience of certain sectors, such as e-commerce and automotive, while noting challenges in gaming and consumer electronics due to budget constraints [4][22] - The company is exploring new monetization channels, including membership services and content payment scenarios [9][10] Valuation Analysis - The report assigns a valuation multiple below the industry average, reflecting Weibo's stable user base and moderate growth phase. The target price is set at 8x FY26 PE [12][26] - Comparatively, Weibo's valuation metrics are positioned lower than those of other internet companies, indicating potential for upside as market conditions improve [12][13]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant impact of a fire incident in Hong Kong, leading to substantial casualties and losses, and emphasizes the response from Weibo in terms of financial support for disaster relief efforts [1] Group 1: Company Response - Weibo announced a donation of 10 million HKD to support emergency rescue and subsequent transitional housing for the affected population [1] - The company expressed deep condolences to the victims of the fire and sincere sympathies to all affected families and communities [1] - Weibo aims to closely monitor the progress of disaster relief and collaborate with various parties to support the resettlement and reconstruction of affected individuals [1]

Core Viewpoint - Weibo-SW reported a decline in net revenue for Q3 2025, but a significant increase in net profit attributed to shareholders, indicating a potential shift in profitability despite revenue challenges [1] Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, Weibo-SW achieved net revenue of approximately $442 million, a year-on-year decrease of 4.77% [1] - The net profit attributable to Weibo shareholders was $221 million, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 69.33% [1] - Basic earnings per share for Q3 2025 stood at $0.93 [1] - For the first three quarters of 2025, net revenue totaled $1.284 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 1.07% [1] - The net profit attributable to Weibo shareholders for the first three quarters was $454 million, showing a year-on-year increase of 55.43% [1] - Basic earnings per share for the first three quarters were $1.90 [1] User Growth and Technology Development - In Q3 2025, Weibo's intelligent search user base reached over 70 million monthly active users (MAU), with search volume increasing by over 50% quarter-on-quarter [1] - Total search volume for Weibo increased by 20% quarter-on-quarter, driven by the growth in daily active users (DAU) and search queries [1] - The company is enhancing the application of AI throughout the advertising process [1] - In November 2023, Weibo launched its first self-developed open-source small parameter model, VibeThinker, in overseas markets, currently in an experimental phase [1] - Weibo plans to integrate its accumulated data assets in vertical fields such as psychology to create a model tailored to social needs [1]

Core Insights - Weibo-SW (09898) shares increased by over 4%, currently trading at 78.55 HKD with a transaction volume of 15.89 million HKD [1] Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, Weibo-SW reported net revenue of approximately 442 million USD, a year-on-year decrease of 4.77% [1] - Net profit attributable to Weibo shareholders was 221 million USD, showing a year-on-year increase of 69.33% [1] - Basic earnings per share stood at 0.93 USD [1] - For the first three quarters of 2025, net revenue totaled 1.284 billion USD, a year-on-year decrease of 1.07% [1] - Net profit attributable to Weibo shareholders for the same period was 454 million USD, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 55.43% [1] - Basic earnings per share for the first three quarters was 1.9 USD [1] User Growth and Technology Development - In Q3 2025, Weibo's intelligent search user base reached over 70 million MAU, with search volume increasing by over 50% quarter-on-quarter [1] - Total search volume for Weibo increased by 20% quarter-on-quarter [1] - The company is enhancing the application of AI throughout the advertising process [1] - In November, Weibo launched its first self-developed open-source small parameter model, VibeThinker, in overseas markets, currently in an experimental phase [1] - Weibo plans to deeply integrate its accumulated data assets in vertical fields such as psychology to create models tailored to social needs [1]