Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of US$26.92, indicating a potential upside of 24% from the current price of US$21.77 [1][9]. Core Insights - The company achieved its first annual Non-GAAP net profit in 2024, delivering 216 units of the EH216-S model and generating revenue of RMB 164.3 million in Q4 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 190.2% [7][11]. - The management expects revenue to reach RMB 900 million in 2025, driven by the delivery of approximately 450 units of the EH216-S, representing a year-on-year growth of 97% [8][14]. - The company is expanding its production capacity, with plans to complete the second phase of its Yunfu factory by 2025, increasing annual production capacity to 1,000 units [8][9]. Summary by Sections Investment Rating - The report reiterates a "Buy" rating and raises the target price to US$26.92 from US$18.84, reflecting a 43% increase [2]. Financial Performance - The company reported a total revenue of RMB 456 million for 2024, with a projected revenue of RMB 924 million for 2025 and RMB 1.427 billion for 2026 [10][14]. - The forecasted EPS for 2025 is RMB 2.14, down from the previous estimate of RMB 2.72, indicating a 21% decrease [2]. Market Comparison - The company's revenue forecast for 2025 is 3% higher than market expectations, while the EPS forecast is 528% higher than the market's [5]. Production and Capacity Expansion - The company plans to maintain a production strategy based on sales demand, with over 1,000 units in hand orders, ensuring full production capacity in the next 1-2 years [8][9]. Profitability Outlook - The report anticipates that the company will achieve a GAAP net profit in the second half of 2025 and a full-year profit in 2026, with a gross margin expected to remain around 60% [9][14].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Haidilao with a target price of HK$19.45, representing a potential upside of 15% from the current price of HK$16.96 [1][5][6]. Core Views - The report anticipates low single-digit growth in both revenue and profit for 2024, with a projected revenue increase of 4.0% to RMB 431.1 billion and a net profit growth of 2.1% to RMB 45.9 billion [3][5]. - The company is expected to face significant operational pressure in Q1 2025, influenced by high base effects from the previous year and recent public relations issues at specific locations [4][5]. - Despite challenges, the long-term growth logic of "steady revenue growth and outstanding profitability" remains intact, with a projected market capitalization range of HK$570 billion to HK$1,141 billion based on various assumptions [5][6]. Revenue and Profit Forecasts - For 2024, revenue is expected to reach RMB 431.1 billion, with a net profit of RMB 45.9 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 4.0% and 2.1% respectively [3][6]. - The report projects a slight increase in gross margin to 61.5% due to lower beef and lamb prices, despite a slight decline in net profit margin to 10.7% [3][6]. Adjustments to Estimates - The target price has been raised by 25% from HK$15.55 to HK$19.45, reflecting a 19x P/E ratio for 2026 [1][5]. - Revenue estimates for 2024-2026 have been adjusted downwards by 6.5%, 9.2%, and 10.5% respectively, while net profit estimates have been slightly adjusted upwards for 2024 and 2025, but down for 2026 [7][6]. Financial Summary - The financial data indicates a steady increase in revenue from RMB 31,039 million in 2022 to an expected RMB 46,859 million in 2026, with net profit projected to grow from RMB 1,374 million in 2022 to RMB 5,362 million in 2026 [6][13]. - The report highlights a consistent improvement in earnings per share (EPS), projected to rise from RMB 0.25 in 2022 to RMB 0.96 in 2026 [6][13].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Haidilao with a target price of HK$19.45, representing a potential upside of 15% from the current price of HK$16.96 [1][5]. Core Insights - The report anticipates low single-digit growth in both revenue and profit for 2024, with a projected revenue increase of 4.0% to RMB 431.1 billion and a net profit growth of 2.1% to RMB 45.9 billion [3][5]. - The first quarter of 2025 is expected to face significant operational pressure, with potential revenue and profit declines due to high base effects from the previous year [4][5]. - The valuation is based on a 19x P/E ratio for 2026, with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) estimates for 2024, 2025, and 2026 being RMB 0.82, RMB 0.91, and RMB 0.96 respectively [5][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Revenue for 2024 is estimated at RMB 431.1 billion, with a 4.0% year-on-year growth. The net profit is projected to be RMB 45.9 billion, reflecting a 2.1% increase [3][6]. - The report outlines a slight increase in gross margin to 61.5% for 2024, driven by lower beef and lamb prices [3][7]. Earnings Forecast - The report adjusts the revenue forecasts downwards for 2024-2026 by 6.5%, 9.2%, and 10.5% respectively, while net profit estimates are adjusted upwards by 2.1% for 2024 and 1.6% for 2025, but down by 0.4% for 2026 [7][6]. Market Position - Haidilao's market capitalization is approximately US$12.16 billion, with a current share count of 5,574 million [1][5]. - The report highlights that the company is expected to maintain a stable growth trajectory despite facing challenges in the upcoming quarters [5][6].

资料来源: FactSet Mar-24 Jun-24 Sep-24 Dec-24 Mar-25 20.0 23.5 27.0 30.5 34.0 海尔智家-A 上证指数 2025 年 3 月 12 日 耐用消费品及服装: 中性 证券研究报告 / 公司更新报告 海尔智家-A (600690 CH, 买入, 目标价: RMB34.50) | 目标价: RMB34.50 | 当前股价: RMB27.15 | | --- | --- | | 股价上行/下行空间 | +27% | | 52 周最高/最低价 (RMB) | 35.37/23.10 | | 市值 (US$mn) | 66,866 | | 当前发行数量(百万股) | 9,383 | | 三个月平均日交易額 | 162 | | (US$mn) | | | 流通盘占比 (%) | 100 | | 主要股东 (%) | | | 香港中央结算有限公司 | 25 | | 海尔卡奥斯 | 13 | | 海尔集团 | 11 | | 按 2025 年 3 月 11 日收市数据 | | | 资料来源: FactSet | | 主要调整 | | 现值 | 原值 | 变动 | ...

2025 年 3 月 13 日 科技硬件: 中性 证券研究报告 / 点评报告 韦尔股份 (603501 CH, 买入, 目标价: RMB146.00) | | | | 目标价: RMB146.00 | 当前股价: RMB140.88 | | --- | --- | | 股价上行/下行空间 | +4% | | 52 周最高/最低价 (RMB) | 161.96/81.41 | | 市值 (US$mn) | 23,686 | | 当前发行数量(百万股) | 1,216 | | 三个月平均日交易額 | 486 | | (US$mn) | | | 流通盘占比 (%) | 53 | | 主要股东 (%) | | | 虞仁荣 | 30 | | 香港中央結算有限公司 | 15 | | 绍兴市韦豪股权投资 | 6 | | 按 2025 年 3 月 12 日收市数据 | | | 资料来源: FactSet | | 股价表现 资料来源: FactSet Mar-24 Jun-24 Sep-24 Dec-24 Mar-25 80.0 100.0 120.0 140.0 160.0 韦尔股份 上证指数 看好公司 2025-2026 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Haier Smart Home (6690 HK) with a target price of HK$34.10, indicating a potential upside of +30% from the current price of HK$26.20 [1]. Core Views - The report anticipates a low double-digit growth in net profit for 2025, driven by continued digital transformation in both domestic and overseas markets [6][7]. - Domestic revenue is expected to grow approximately 4% year-on-year in 2025, while overseas revenue is projected to increase by around 5% [6][7]. - The overall revenue growth for 2025 is estimated at about 4%, with a focus on product innovation and market expansion strategies [4][5][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For 2025, the estimated revenue is projected to be RMB 283.4 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 4.4% [7][9]. - The net profit for 2025 is expected to reach RMB 21.2 billion, reflecting a growth of 10.7% compared to 2024 [7][9]. - Earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is forecasted at RMB 2.26, with a corresponding P/E ratio of 10.5 [6][7]. Revenue Breakdown - Domestic sales are projected to grow by approximately 4%, with specific growth in the refrigerator and washing machine segments [4]. - The air conditioning segment is expected to see a revenue increase of around 8% due to improved sales strategies and market conditions [4]. - Overseas revenue growth is anticipated at about 5%, with significant contributions from North America and Europe [5]. Valuation - The target price of HK$34.10 corresponds to a P/E ratio of 14 times the estimated earnings for 2025, indicating a favorable valuation compared to current market prices [6][7]. - The report maintains a 10% discount rate for Haier's A/H shares, reinforcing the target price stability [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Li Ning (2331 HK) with a target price of HK$19.30, indicating a potential upside of 16% from the current price of HK$16.68 [1][3][5]. Core Views - The report forecasts a revenue growth of 2.2% and a decline in net profit of 3.3% for 2024, with expected revenues of RMB 28.2 billion and net profits of RMB 3.08 billion [2][5]. - The company is entering a stable development phase, with projected revenue growth of 3.9% in 2025, reaching RMB 29.33 billion, and a net profit increase of 6.4% to RMB 3.28 billion [2][3]. Financial Summary - Revenue and profit forecasts for Li Ning are as follows: - 2024E Revenue: RMB 28,217 million, a 2.2% increase YoY - 2024E Net Profit: RMB 3,083 million, a 3.3% decrease YoY - 2025E Revenue: RMB 29,326 million, a 3.9% increase YoY - 2025E Net Profit: RMB 3,281 million, a 6.4% increase YoY [4][6][7]. - The report anticipates a slight decline in gross margin in 2H24, with an overall gross margin of 49.4% for 2024, reflecting a 1.0 percentage point increase YoY [1][2]. Valuation - The report maintains the earnings forecast and target price, corresponding to a P/E ratio of 14 times for 2025 [3][5]. - The estimated P/E ratios for the upcoming years are as follows: - 2024E P/E: 13.5 - 2025E P/E: 12.1 - 2026E P/E: 11.4 [4][7].

2025 年 3 月 11 日 | 目标价: HK$23.28 | 当前股价: HK$13.20 | | --- | --- | | 股价上行/下行空间 | +76% | | 52 周最高/最低价 (HK$) | 16.84/7.46 | | 市值 (US$mn) | 8,429 | | 当前发行数量(百万股) | 4,963 | | 三个月平均日交易額 | 21 | | (US$mn) | | | 流通盘占比 (%) | 26 | | 主要股东 (%) | | | 京东科技集团 | 64 | | 天作之合有限公司 | 5 | | Jungle Den Limited | 3 | | 按 2025 年 3 月 7 日收市数据 | | | 资料来源: FactSet | | 主要调整 | | 现值 | 原值 | 变动 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 评级 | 买入 | 买入 | N/A | | 目标价 (HK$) | 23.28 | 22.90 | 2% | | 2025E EPS (RMB) | 1.18 | 1.07 | 10% | | 2026E EPS (RMB) | 1.3 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for JD Logistics with a target price of HK$23.28, representing a potential upside of 76% from the current price of HK$13.20 [1][9]. Core Insights - JD Logistics reported strong performance in 2024, with revenue growth of 9.7% and a significant increase in adjusted net profit by 187%, exceeding management's initial guidance [6][7]. - Despite the strong 2024 results, management's conservative guidance for 2025 suggests low double-digit revenue growth and single-digit adjusted net profit growth, which has led to market dissatisfaction and a subsequent drop in stock price [7][8]. - The current valuation of JD Logistics appears attractive, trading at 10.6 times the 2025 P/E ratio, which is lower compared to peers in the logistics sector [8][15]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for 2024 was RMB 182,838 million, with a projected revenue of RMB 205,510 million for 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 12.4% [10][20]. - Adjusted net profit for 2024 was RMB 6,867 million, with an expected increase to RMB 7,353 million in 2025, indicating a growth of 7.1% [10][20]. - The gross profit margin improved from 7.6% in 2023 to 10.2% in 2024, with a projected margin of 10.7% for 2025 [10][20]. Earnings Forecast Adjustments - The report has adjusted the earnings forecasts for 2025 and 2026, increasing revenue estimates by 7.3% and 9.0% respectively, based on the strong performance in 2024 [13][14]. - The adjusted EPS for 2025 is now projected at RMB 1.18, up from RMB 1.07, reflecting a 10.5% increase [14][15]. Valuation Analysis - The target price of HK$23.28 is based on a discounted cash flow (DCF) model, maintaining a WACC of 12.1% and a perpetual growth rate of 2% [15][16]. - The current stock price is seen as having limited downside potential due to the conservative guidance and low market expectations [8][9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for JD Health with a target price of HK$55.17, representing a potential upside of 54% from the current price of HK$35.75 [2][15]. Core Insights - JD Health's revenue for 2024 is projected to be RMB 58.16 billion, reflecting an 8.6% year-on-year growth, with a significant profit increase of 94% to RMB 4.16 billion [6][9]. - The company is expected to continue optimizing its product mix, leading to a gross profit increase to RMB 13.31 billion in 2024, up 12.2% [6]. - The report highlights the robust growth in product sales and the optimization of the omnichannel layout, with product sales revenue expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15% from 2025 to 2027 [7]. - JD Health is expanding its healthcare service ecosystem, with service revenue projected to grow at a CAGR of 17% from 2025 to 2027 [8]. Financial Summary - The financial data indicates that JD Health's revenue is expected to reach RMB 67.09 billion in 2025, with a gross profit of RMB 15.86 billion and a net profit of RMB 4.53 billion [9][21]. - The adjusted EPS for 2025 is projected at RMB 1.41, with a growth trajectory leading to RMB 1.97 by 2027 [9][12]. - The report notes a significant increase in operating efficiency, with operating profit expected to rise by 132.9% in 2024 [6][10]. Valuation - The DCF valuation method used in the report results in a target price of HK$55.17, which is based on a WACC of 9.0% and a perpetual growth rate of 3.0% [15][16]. - The target price corresponds to a P/S ratio of 2.4 for 2025, which is below the industry average of 3.1, indicating potential for valuation upside [15][18].