Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Increase" rating for the banking sector [5] Core Insights - The report highlights that by the end of 2024, the bond investments of 42 listed banks significantly contributed to their performance, particularly due to the continuous decline in bond market interest rates, with a cumulative drop of 88 basis points in the 10-year government bond yield [1] - The report emphasizes the substantial floating profits accumulated in the FV-OCI financial assets due to fair value changes, which banks have utilized to support their performance through timely disposals of financial assets [1][4] - The report identifies that the floating profits from FV-OCI assets are particularly significant for state-owned banks, with Construction Bank and Agricultural Bank leading with floating profit balances exceeding 50 billion yuan by the end of 2024 [1] Summary by Sections 1. FV-OCI Floating Profit Situation - By the end of 2024, the floating profit from FV-OCI assets is notably high among city commercial banks and rural commercial banks, with Lanzhou Bank's floating profit to profit ratio reaching 126.9% [2] - The report indicates that the floating profits from FV-OCI assets have a significant capital replenishment effect, particularly for city and rural commercial banks, with notable contributions to their core Tier 1 capital [3] 2. Financial Asset Disposal Income Situation - In 2024, listed banks disposed of AC financial assets generating a total income of 50.29 billion yuan, an increase of 82.5% year-on-year, while the disposal of FV-OCI financial assets generated 85.36 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 134.4% [4] - The report notes that the disposal income from these two asset categories accounted for 2.4% of the revenue of the sample banks, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.3 percentage points [4][8] 3. Sector Outlook - The report suggests that while short-term impacts from tariff policies may affect exports, long-term domestic policies aimed at stabilizing real estate, promoting consumption, and enhancing social security are expected to support economic growth [9] - The banking sector is anticipated to benefit from policy catalysts, with specific banks such as Ningbo Bank, Postal Savings Bank, and China Merchants Bank highlighted as potential investment opportunities [9]

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 05 11 年 月 日 计算机 下半年 AI 投资节奏 大厂驱动 Agent 是下半年 AI 主要边际变量。互联网大厂凭借资金和技 术、场景的优势已成为驱动 Agent 发展的核心力量。各类 Agent 产品成为 了近期大厂发布会和产品更新的关键角色：如字节的"扣子空间"、阿里 的"心流"、百度的"心响"等智能体层出不穷。互联网大厂在 Agent 领 域的进展将多方面带动 AI 产业进展：1）在技术领域，大厂通过开源模型 推动技术进步，大厂的各类智能体开发平台也降低了 Agent 的开发门槛。 2）在 AI 基础设施层面，大厂加大投入拉动相关产业链需求。3）在应用 场景拓展方面，大厂利用自身多元业务场景率先应用 Agent 技术，同时积 极携手生态合作伙伴赋能垂类领域，有望带动各领域软件服务商成长。 Agent 三大要素：数据、模型、接口。1）垂类数据是 Agent 能力拓展到 各行业的关键，如飞猪的 Agent"问一问"接入了自己的机票报价引擎， 平台积累的用户评价数据也被深度整合进推荐算法。2）基础大模型的能 力提升是 Agent 进步的核心 ...

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 05 11 年 月 日 传媒 增持（维持） 行业走势 作者 -20% -8% 4% 16% 28% 40% 2024-05 2024-09 2025-01 2025-05 传媒 沪深300 分析师 顾晟 腾讯开源定制化视频模型 HunyuanCustom，Lightricks 发布最 新 AI 视频生成模型 行情概览：本周（5.6-5.9）中信一级传媒板块上涨 1.39%。本周传媒板块 在市场带动下上涨。2025 年传媒弹性方向看好 AI 应用、IP 变现及并购重组， AI 应用聚焦新应用的映射投资及部分较成熟应用的数据跟踪，重点关注多模 态产业方向。IP 变现聚焦有 IP 优势及全产业链潜力的公司，潮流玩具、影视 内容等方向有机会。并购重组重点关注国企方向，在国资委明确国企市值考核 的背景下，传媒国企诉求明显提升，部分国企资金优势明显。 板块观点与关注标的：1）资源整合预期：中视传媒、国新文化、广西广电、 唐德影视、吉视传媒、游族网络等；2）AI：荣信文化、奥飞娱乐、汤姆猫、 盛天网络、中文在线、易点天下、视觉中国、盛通股份、焦点科技、豆神教育 ...

证券研究报告|首次覆盖报告 gszqdatemark 2025 05 11 年 月 日 瑞芯微（603893.SH） AIoT SoC 平台化布局，端侧 AI 弄潮儿 潜心研发二十余载，多年沉淀厚积薄发。瑞芯微成立于 2001 年，公司深耕 SoC 行 业多年，坚持" IP 芯片化"发展策略，持续更新迭代 NPU、ISP、高清视频编解码 等核心 IP，成功建立起多领域技术性能的优势。产品战略上，公司采取 雁形方 阵"策略，以旗舰产品作为 头雁"，带领公司其他产品形成 两翼"在 AIoT 各 领域不断突破，从而覆盖下游不同层次的需求，为客户提供多样化的产品解决方 案。 物联网：广阔市场带来海量需求，AI 革新孵化新兴场景。我们看到，物联网市场 快速发展，国内三大运营商蜂窝物联网终端用户规模持续扩大，AIoT 正在重塑物 联网生态，为市场注入新动力。分行业来看： 1）汽车电子：智能座舱大屏化、多屏化趋势明确，对座舱 SoC 性能提出更高要 求，公司旗舰产品 RK3588 助力国产主机厂实现高集成一芯多屏智能座舱方案，预 计 2025 年出货量突破百万量级。 2）智能家居：AI 功能加速迭代，驱动智能家居更多新兴场 ...

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 05 10 年 月 日 祛魅后的真成长—本轮光模块行情的思考 本轮光模块板块自 5 月初以来强势反弹。5 月 6 日至 9 日，通信设备 ETF （159583）上涨 6.3%，新易盛（300502）涨超 20%，中际旭创（300308） 和天孚通信（300394）分别涨超 13%与 8%，仕佳光子（688313）亦 有 12.7%的优异表现，重新出现了主流资金的回归。在光模块经历了 两轮牛市后，有哪些框架需要修正、祛魅？本报告围绕四大思考维度 深入复盘：一是产品迭代节奏回归常识；二是 CPO 技术的定位与可插 拔方案共存；三是下游无源器件的价值被低估；四是行业格局与卡位 逻辑。通过论证，我们认为，当前估值与基本面双修复，正值布局良机。 1、400G、800G、1.6T 一年一代？——快进的升级迭代回归常识 ➢ 光模块 800G 仍是主流，1.6T 趋势确定 800G 光模块仍将保持主流地位，1.6T 产业进展 25 年起步，放量需 26 年及以后，但趋势确定。近年资本市场对 400G→800G→1.6T 光模块的 升级预期一度过于激进，但 80 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company has experienced rapid revenue growth, with a reported revenue of 2.4 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 55%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 180 million yuan, up 28% year-on-year. For Q1 2025, revenue was 800 million yuan, reflecting a 65% year-on-year growth, and net profit was 80 million yuan, up 81% year-on-year [1][3] - The company is actively expanding its overseas production capabilities, with operational factories in the United States and Mexico. The U.S. factory has achieved rapid revenue growth and profitability, while the Mexican factory is in the ramp-up phase but is currently operating at a loss. In 2024, overseas revenue is expected to reach 220 million yuan, with new quality customers and multiple project approvals [2] - The company focuses on connector products and is continuously developing solutions for various sectors, including telecommunications, new energy vehicles, rail transportation, and medical devices. It has established partnerships with major clients in the 5.5G sector and has developed connectors for humanoid robots and liquid cooling servers [2] Financial Summary - The company forecasts net profits of 260 million yuan, 320 million yuan, and 370 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 32, 26, and 22 times [3] - Financial indicators show a significant increase in revenue from 1.555 billion yuan in 2023 to an expected 2.994 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 24% [4] - The latest diluted EPS is projected to be 1.65 yuan in 2025, with a net asset return rate of 11.2% [4]

证券研究报告 | 年报点评报告 gszqdatemark 2025 05 10 年 月 日 安恒信息（688023.SH） 业绩拐点明确，AI 新品打开发展空间 | 财务指标 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入（百万元） | 2,170 | 2,043 | 2,154 | 2,373 | 2,725 | | 增长率 yoy（%） | 9.6 | -5.9 | 5.4 | 10.2 | 14.8 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | -360 | -198 | 62 | 135 | 193 | | 增长率 yoy（%） | -41.9 | 45.0 | 131.5 | 116.5 | 43.4 | | EPS 最新摊薄（元/股） | -3.52 | -1.93 | 0.61 | 1.32 | 1.89 | | 净资产收益率（%） | -14.3 | -8.0 | 2.3 | 4.9 | 6.6 | | P/E（倍） | -13.7 | -24.9 | 79.1 | 36.5 | ...

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 05 11 年 月 日 食品饮料 周观点：统一 Q1 盈利亮眼，把握结构性α 投资建议：1、白酒：强化内功，蓄力改善，中长期配置价值凸显，建议关注"优 势龙头、红利延续、强势复苏"三条主线：1）优势龙头，头部酒企份额持续提升： 贵州茅台、五粮液、山西汾酒、古井贡酒；2）红利延续，高确定性区域酒：迎驾 贡酒（洞藏大单品红利）、今世缘（江苏格局红利）等；3）强势复苏，弹性标的： 泸州老窖、水井坊、舍得酒业、老白干酒、港股珍酒李渡、酒鬼酒等。2、大众品： 青啤收购即墨黄酒，统一 25Q1 业绩亮眼，端午魔芋粽上新，大众品结构性α显 著，建议寻找强复苏与高成长两条主线：1）政策受益或复苏改善：青岛啤酒、海 天味业、新乳业、伊利股份、重庆啤酒、安琪酵母、仙乐健康、安井食品、立高食 品等，港股 H&H 国际控股等；2）高景气度或成长逻辑：盐津铺子、东鹏饮料、 燕京啤酒、珠江啤酒、三只松鼠、百润股份、有友食品等，港股农夫山泉、华润饮 料、卫龙美味等。 白酒：强化内功，蓄力改善。白酒板块从业绩窗口期进入动销淡季，在行业整体环 比降速、逐步释压的背景下，各家酒企聚 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several key companies in the semiconductor and cloud computing sectors, including SMIC, Weir Shares, Dongshan Precision, Shenghong Technology, Northern Huachuang, Zhongwei Company, Crystal Optoelectronics, and Lingyi Zhi Zao [9]. Core Insights - The report highlights a strong growth trend in AI investments from overseas cloud service providers (CSPs), with a projected capital expenditure of $640-720 billion from Meta and $100 billion from Amazon by 2025, indicating sustained optimism in the AI industry chain [1][36]. - Domestic foundries are expected to benefit from a return of orders due to localization trends, with SMIC and Huahong Semiconductor showing stable revenue growth [2]. Summary by Sections Overseas Cloud Providers - Microsoft reported FY25Q3 revenue of $70.1 billion, a 13% year-over-year increase, driven by strong demand for cloud services and AI products [13][20]. - Meta's Q1 revenue reached $42.314 billion, exceeding expectations, with a focus on AI development across five key areas [26][34]. - Amazon's Q1 revenue was $155.7 billion, with a strong performance in AWS, which saw a 17% year-over-year growth [37][41]. Domestic Foundries - SMIC's revenue showed stable growth despite short-term fluctuations, with a clear upward trend expected in the medium to long term due to increased domestic demand [2]. - Huahong Semiconductor reported consistent revenue and wafer shipment growth, indicating a robust operational capacity [2]. Key Companies and Their Performance - AMD achieved a record revenue of over $7.4 billion in Q1, marking a 36% year-over-year increase, driven by strong performance in the data center market [43]. - Shenghong Technology is highlighted as a potential beneficiary of the ongoing AI growth trend, alongside other key players in the semiconductor industry [1].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the electricity sector [4] Core Views - The electricity sector is experiencing differentiated growth in thermal power, significant improvement in hydropower, and pressure on green energy [3][6] - The overall performance of the electricity sector is expected to continue growing, supported by falling fuel costs and potential recovery in electricity demand [3][6] Summary by Sections Market Review - In Q1 2025, the total electricity consumption reached 2.38 trillion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 2.5%. The industrial power generation decreased by 0.3% year-on-year [10] - The generation from thermal, hydropower, nuclear, solar, and wind sources changed by -4.7%, +5.9%, +12.8%, +19.5%, and +9.3% respectively [10] - Coal prices have significantly decreased, with the Q1 average price for North Port Q5500 at 733 RMB/ton, down 19.2% year-on-year [18] Performance Overview - In 2024, thermal power companies achieved a net profit of 646 billion RMB, up 31.91% year-on-year, while hydropower companies reported a net profit of 563 billion RMB, up 17.31% [2] - In Q1 2025, the electricity sector's total revenue was 464.6 billion RMB, a decrease of 3.96% year-on-year, but the net profit increased by 7.83% year-on-year to 50.7 billion RMB [3][27] Fund Holdings - As of Q1 2025, the proportion of active funds in the electricity and public utilities sector decreased to 1.37%, down 0.55 percentage points from Q4 2024 [32] - The combined holdings of both active and index funds in the sector stood at 2.02% in Q1 2025, reflecting a downward trend [32][33] Investment Recommendations - Focus on thermal power companies with strong profitability and low electricity price risks, such as Huadian International and Huaneng International [6] - Long-term investment potential is seen in hydropower and nuclear power assets due to their high dividend yields and stable performance [6] - Attention is also recommended for green energy sectors as trading and consumption issues are expected to improve [6]