资料显示，指数样本每半年调整一次，样本调整实施时间分别为每年6月和12月的第二个星期五的下一 交易日。权重因子随样本定期调整而调整，调整时间与指数样本定期调整实施时间相同。在下一个定期 调整日前，权重因子一般固定不变。特殊情况下将对指数进行临时调整。当样本退市时，将其从指数样 本中剔除。样本公司发生收购、合并、分拆等情形的处理，参照计算与维护细则处理。 数据统计显示，中证汽车半导体产业指数近一个月上涨4.05%，近三个月上涨1.71%，年至今上涨 5.76%。 从中证汽车半导体产业指数持仓的市场板块来看，上海证券交易所占比72.40%、深圳证券交易所占比 27.60%。 从中证汽车半导体产业指数持仓样本的行业来看，集成电路占比58.41%、半导体材料与设备占比 24.91%、分立器件占比9.30%、光学光电子占比4.24%、电子终端及组件占比3.14%。 金融界7月21日消息，上证指数高开高走，中证汽车半导体产业指数 (汽车半导，931945)报2925.10点。 据了解，中证汽车半导体产业指数选取不超过50只在汽车电动化和智能化领域提供半导体材料、半导体 设备以及半导体产品的上市公司证券作为指数样本，反映汽 ...

瑞芯微 20250718 摘要 瑞芯微推出 RK3,588 等旗舰芯片，采用 8 大核+4 小核 CPU 架构和 Magi GPU，NPU 算力达 32T，性能领先，主要应用于智能座舱、边缘 计算等领域，旨在提升高端市场竞争力。 瑞芯微 182X 系列芯片是全球首款 3D 堆叠协处理器，内置 DDR 内存， 支持 3B 和 7B 模型，在 AI 计算和加速方面表现高效，端到端响应延时 最低至 0.1 秒，性能优于英伟达 Orin Nano/NX。 瑞芯微计划推出下一代 1,860 系列，算力将达 60~80T，带宽超 1TB， 支持 UCIE 直连，定位于端侧跑 1.5B 到 13B 模型，进一步提升在高端 算力市场的竞争力。 兆易创新作为瑞芯微合作伙伴，提供定制化 DRAM 方案，提升终端设备 运行效率，具备广泛应用前景和较强竞争力，是重点推荐标的。 Hybrid bonding 技术通过显著增加单位面积连接点数量，提升信息传 输频宽，降低延时和功耗，成为半导体封装的重要发展方向，瑞芯微已 采用此技术。 DRAM 合约价在三季度预计上涨 70%-80%，低功耗 DRAM 涨幅达 38%-68%，兆易创新将显 ...

电子 | 证券研究报告 — 行业深度 2025 年 7 月 18 日 技术范式迭代打开性能上限，竞争、监管、应用 加速高阶智驾落地 在大模型引领的技术潮流下，AI 能力加速赋能各类硬件终端，与一般硬件终 端应用 AI 能力的方式不同，智能驾驶将 AI 能力应用于改变物理世界。当前 正值高阶智能驾驶商业落地的关键时点，为探讨这一投资机遇，本报告从底 层技术变迁和商业落地这两方面，分析智能驾驶的产业趋势和影响。我们认 为，随着智驾技术范式快速迭代、中国车企竞争策略驱动，智能驾驶有望成 为物理 AI 率先落地的场景，带动产业链企业的投资机遇。 | 公司名称 | 股票代码 股价 | 评级 | | --- | --- | --- | | 水晶光电 | 002273.SZ 人民币 19.65 | 买入 | | 隆利科技 | 300752.SZ 人民币 20.32 | 买入 | | 瑞芯微 | 603893.SH 人民币 154.10 | 增持 | 资料来源： Wind ，中银证券 以 2025 年 7 月 14 日当地货币收市价为标准 AI 端侧深度之智能驾驶（上） 支撑评级的要点 投资建议 评级面临的主要风险 强于大市 ...

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [7] Core Insights - The semiconductor industry is experiencing robust growth driven by AIoT, industrial control, and automotive electronics, with significant revenue increases reported by key players such as Rockchip (H1 revenue up 64% YoY, net profit up 185%-195% YoY), Espressif (net profit up 65%-78% YoY), and Tailing Micro (net profit up 267% YoY) [2][13][18] - The storage sector is witnessing a recovery with Demingli reporting H1 revenue of 3.8-4.2 billion yuan, reflecting a YoY increase of 75%-93%, and a narrowing of losses in Q2, indicating a potential turning point for profitability [2][20][28] - Price forecasts for Q3 indicate a significant increase in DRAM prices, with expectations of a 15%-20% rise, and NAND Flash prices expected to increase by 5%-10%, driven by strong demand from AI investments and enterprise-level storage needs [3][14][29][30] Summary by Sections 1. Performance Forecasts - The design sector is seeing comprehensive growth, with companies like Rockchip and Espressif benefiting from AI demand and domestic substitution [2][18] - The equipment and materials sector is also on a steady upward trend, with domestic equipment manufacturers like Changchuan Technology and Yitang Co. benefiting from domestic substitution and successful customer expansion [2][19] 2. Storage Price Outlook - Q3 price forecasts for DRAM show a comprehensive increase, with Consumer DDR4 expected to rise by 40%-45% and Server DDR4 by 28%-33% [3][30] - NAND Flash prices are also expected to rise, with enterprise SSDs projected to increase by 5%-10% and 3D NAND wafers by 8%-13% [3][14][30] 3. Recommended Stocks - Key stock recommendations in the storage sector include Jiangbolong, which is expected to benefit from price increases and domestic substitution, with a projected revenue growth of 200% YoY by Q1 2025 [4][15] - Other recommended companies span various segments, including design (e.g., Rockchip, Espressif), equipment (e.g., Changchuan Technology), and materials (e.g., Dinglong Technology) [6][16]

Core Viewpoint - The technology and pharmaceutical sectors have shown significant performance in the first half of the year, with several thematic funds reporting substantial growth in both performance and scale [1][2]. Fund Performance and Scale Growth - The China Europe Digital Economy Mixed Fund saw its scale increase from less than 8 million shares at the end of Q1 to over 900 million shares by the end of Q2, representing a growth of over 10 times [2][4]. - The total subscription for the A and C classes of the China Europe Digital Economy Mixed Fund exceeded 800 million shares in Q2 [2][3]. - The China Europe Information Technology Mixed Fund also experienced significant growth, with total subscriptions exceeding 900 million shares and total scale surpassing 1 billion shares by the end of Q2, marking an increase of over 8 times from approximately 110 million shares at the end of Q1 [3][4]. - The China Europe Sci-Tech Theme Mixed Fund had total subscriptions exceeding 1.1 billion shares in Q2, with total scale exceeding 1.8 billion shares, more than doubling from the previous quarter [5][6]. Changes in Holdings - The substantial growth in fund scale is attributed to strong performance throughout the year, with notable changes in the top ten holdings of several funds [7]. - The China Europe Digital Economy Mixed Fund made significant changes to its top ten holdings, notably increasing its position in Xinyi Technology, which saw a surge in stock price following its half-year earnings forecast [7][9]. - The China Europe Information Technology Mixed Fund also saw Xinyi Technology become its second-largest holding [9][10]. Investment Focus - The fund manager of the China Europe Digital Economy Mixed Fund emphasized a focus on five core investment areas: AI infrastructure, AI applications, domestic AI supply chain, intelligent robotics, and intelligent driving [8]. - The manager indicated a systematic reduction in exposure to the robotics sector, awaiting a decisive breakthrough in technology before increasing positions again [8]. - The manager of the China Europe Sci-Tech Theme Mixed Fund highlighted the importance of understanding industry trends and company value amidst the volatility of technology investments [12].

Core Viewpoint - The company is a leading domestic AIoT SoC enterprise with a broad range of downstream applications, expected to achieve strong growth in 2025 due to the increasing market share of its flagship and new products [1][2]. Group 1: Company Overview - The company, established in 2001, has nearly a hundred downstream product lines covering automotive electronics, machine vision, and industrial applications, making it one of the most diversified AIoT product line manufacturers in China [2][11]. - The company has established long-term partnerships with thousands of terminal customers, including major brands like BYD, Xiaomi, and Lenovo [2][11]. - The revenue contribution from smart application processors and mixed-signal chips is projected to be 88% and 9% respectively in 2024 [2][17]. Group 2: Financial Performance - The company experienced significant revenue and profit growth in 2024, with total revenue reaching 3.14 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 47%, and a net profit of 590 million yuan, up 341% [2][12]. - For the first half of 2025, the company expects revenue of 2.05 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 64%, and a net profit between 520 to 540 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 185% to 195% [2][12]. Group 3: Product Development and Market Position - The company is focused on developing a full range of AIoT SoC chip platforms, including high-end, mid-high-end, mid-range, and entry-level products, with flagship chip RK3588 leading the market [4][42]. - The company has launched several new products, including RK3576, RK2118, and RV1103B, and continues to invest in R&D, maintaining a stable R&D expenditure of around 20% of revenue over the past decade [4][20]. - The company’s flagship chip RK3588 has been instrumental in expanding its market share across various applications, particularly in automotive electronics and machine vision [4][45]. Group 4: Industry Trends and Opportunities - The AIoT industry is expected to benefit from the rapid expansion of edge and on-device AI applications across various sectors, including education, healthcare, and industrial automation [3][22]. - The automotive electronics sector is experiencing a surge in demand for multi-modal interaction and high-performance SoCs, with projections indicating a nearly tenfold increase in automotive computing power by 2025 [23]. - The machine vision market is anticipated to grow at a CAGR of approximately 20% from 2024 to 2028, driven by advancements in AI and 3D technology [25][28]. Group 5: Investment Outlook - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the growth opportunities in the AIoT SoC industry, with a comprehensive product portfolio and ongoing innovation in AI technologies [5][54]. - The company is expected to launch multiple projects in 2025 that will contribute to revenue growth, with a forecasted increase in operating income and net profit for 2025-2027 [5][54].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" investment rating for the company [2][7]. Core Viewpoints - The company is a leading domestic AIoT SoC chip manufacturer with a broad range of applications across various industries. The flagship products and new releases have driven a continuous increase in market share, contributing to strong annual performance growth. The company is expected to benefit from the explosive growth of edge AI applications in sectors such as automotive electronics, machine vision, industrial applications, and robotics [6][66]. - The company has established long-term partnerships with thousands of terminal customers, including major players like BYD, Xiaomi, and Lenovo, which enhances its market position [6][18]. - The company has maintained a stable R&D investment of around 20% of revenue for over a decade, which has solidified its core competitiveness in AIoT technology, algorithms, and products [6][27]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Founded in 2001, the company specializes in the design, research, and sales of intelligent application processor SoCs and peripheral chips. It has a rich product matrix covering automotive electronics, machine vision, and industrial applications, making it one of the most diversified AIoT product line manufacturers in China [14][18]. Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of 3.136 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 47%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 595 million yuan, up 341% year-on-year. For the first half of 2025, revenue is expected to reach 2.045 billion yuan, representing a 64% increase year-on-year, with net profit projected between 520 million and 540 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 185% to 195% [6][19][66]. Market Opportunities - The report highlights significant growth opportunities in edge and on-device AI applications, driven by the open-sourcing of AI large model technologies. The automotive electronics sector is expected to see a surge in demand for SoC computing power due to the increasing complexity of smart cockpit features [30][33]. - The machine vision market is projected to grow at a CAGR of approximately 20% from 2024 to 2028, driven by advancements in AI and industrial automation [33][36]. Product Development - The company is actively developing a full range of AIoT SoC chip platforms, including high-end, mid-high-end, mid-range, and entry-level products. The flagship RK3588 chip continues to gain traction, with several new products launched in 2024, including RK3576 and RK2118 [6][49][66]. - The company is also focusing on enhancing its AI algorithms and software solutions, which are expected to improve the performance of its hardware products in various applications [66]. Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 4.311 billion yuan, 5.539 billion yuan, and 6.943 billion yuan in 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 37%, 29%, and 25%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 1.055 billion yuan, 1.339 billion yuan, and 1.734 billion yuan for the same years, with growth rates of 77%, 27%, and 29% [7][66].

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook for the electronic sector, indicating a gradual recovery in demand and price stabilization, recommending a slow accumulation of positions in the market [5][6]. Core Insights - The electronic sector is experiencing a mild recovery, driven by strong downstream demand from AIOT and accelerated product penetration by companies like Lexin Technology and Rockchip, which are expected to report impressive half-year results [5][6]. - The release of the multi-modal model Grok 4 by xAI has significantly enhanced reasoning capabilities, potentially opening new application scenarios [5][11]. - The report highlights four main investment themes: AIOT, AI-driven technologies, equipment materials, and consumer electronics [5][6]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The report notes that the semiconductor sector is entering a period of intensive earnings forecasts, with companies like Lexin Technology and Rockchip expected to show substantial revenue growth due to ongoing demand in AIOT and other emerging fields [5][6]. Company Performance - Lexin Technology anticipates a revenue of CNY 1.22-1.25 billion for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 33%-36%, with net profit expected to rise by 65%-78% [5][17]. - Rockchip expects to achieve approximately CNY 2.045 billion in revenue, reflecting a year-on-year growth of about 64%, with net profit projected to increase by 185%-195% [5][17]. Market Trends - The report indicates that the electronic industry outperformed the broader market, with the Shenzhen and Shanghai 300 Index rising by 0.82% and the Shenwan Electronics Index increasing by 0.93% [19][21]. - The semiconductor sub-sector showed a positive trend, with a 1.07% increase in semiconductor stocks [21][26]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies benefiting from strong domestic and international demand in the AIOT sector, such as Lexin Technology and Rockchip [5][6]. - It also suggests monitoring AI innovation-driven sectors, including computing chips and optical devices, as well as upstream supply chain components [5][6].

Core Viewpoint - The electronic industry is experiencing a mild recovery, with strong performance from edge AI companies like Espressif Systems and Rockchip, driven by robust downstream demand from AIOT and accelerated product penetration [1][2][3]. Industry Summary - The 2025 semi-annual performance forecasts are being released, indicating that edge AI companies are performing well due to sustained demand from AIOT [3]. - Espressif Systems is expected to achieve revenue of 1.22-1.25 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 33%-36%, with net profit projected to rise by 65%-78% [3]. - Rockchip anticipates revenue of approximately 2.045 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of about 64%, with net profit expected to increase by 185%-195% [3]. Product and Technology Developments - The release of xAI's multimodal model Grok4 has improved reasoning capabilities by ten times compared to its predecessor, Grok3, and has set a historical record in HLE testing [4][5]. - Grok4 features a context window of 256,000 tokens and supports various interaction modes, including text, images, and video [4][5]. Investment Recommendations - The industry is advised to focus on four main investment themes: AIOT, AI-driven technologies, equipment materials, and consumer electronics [1][2][6]. - Specific companies to watch include Espressif Systems, Rockchip, and others benefiting from strong domestic and international demand in the AIOT sector [6].

Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor industry in China is experiencing significant growth, with many companies reporting substantial increases in their H1 2025 performance and a surge in IPO applications across various stock markets [2][3][6]. Group 1: Company Performance - Several semiconductor companies have reported impressive H1 2025 earnings forecasts, including: - Rockchip expects revenue of approximately 204.5 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of about 64%, and a net profit of 52 million to 54 million yuan, representing a growth of 185% to 195% [3]. - Chipone anticipates H1 revenue of around 63 million yuan, up about 38%, with a net profit of approximately 9 million yuan, reflecting a 104% increase [3]. - Allwinner Technology forecasts a net profit of 156 million to 171 million yuan, a growth of 31.02% to 43.62% [4]. - Dinglong Co. expects revenue of about 1.727 billion yuan, a 14% increase, with a net profit of 290 million to 320 million yuan, marking a growth of 33.12% to 46.9% [4]. - Jingfang Technology anticipates a net profit of 150 million to 175 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 36.28% to 58.99% [4]. - Haoshanghao expects a net profit of 28 million to 35 million yuan, a growth of 42.49% to 78.11% [4]. - Hanjin Technology forecasts a net profit of 13 million to 18 million yuan, a decline of 45.42% to 60.58% [4]. - Demingli expects revenue of 3.8 billion to 4.2 billion yuan, a growth of 74.63% to 93.01%, but anticipates a net loss of 80 million to 120 million yuan [5]. Group 2: IPO Activity - The capital market is witnessing a surge in IPO applications from semiconductor companies, with 21 firms submitting applications to A-shares in H1 2025, aiming to raise a total of 46.5 billion yuan [6][9]. - The Sci-Tech Innovation Board is the most favored listing platform, accounting for over 50% of the applications, reflecting its alignment with the semiconductor industry's focus on "hard technology" [6]. - Notable companies among the applicants include: - Moer Thread, seeking to raise 8 billion yuan, focusing on GPU and related products [8]. - Shanghai Super Silicon, aiming for 4.965 billion yuan, specializing in semiconductor wafers [8]. - Zhaoxin Integrated Circuit, targeting 4.169 billion yuan, focusing on high-end general-purpose processors [8]. - The ChiNext Board attracted four companies, planning to raise approximately 5.84 billion yuan, while the Beijing Stock Exchange received five applications from smaller semiconductor firms [9].