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中国铝业(601600):2025年前三季度经营利润再创历史同期最优
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-10-28 09:29
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Views - The company achieved record operating profit in the first three quarters of 2025, with revenue of 176.5 billion yuan, up 1.6% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 10.87 billion yuan, up 20.7% year-on-year [1]. - The increase in alumina and primary aluminum prices in Q3 2025 contributed to enhanced profitability, with the average price of electrolytic aluminum at 20,711 yuan/ton, up 6% year-on-year, and the industry profit for electrolytic aluminum at 4,125 yuan/ton, up 128% year-on-year [2]. - The company has strengthened its supply chain management and dynamic cost control system, leading to a decrease in production costs for core products [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenues of 601 billion yuan, a decrease of 5% year-on-year, while net profit for the quarter was 3.8 billion yuan, an increase of 90% year-on-year [1]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company produced 444 million tons of metallurgical-grade alumina, a 2% increase year-on-year, and 203 million tons of primary aluminum, also up 2% year-on-year [2]. Production and Cost Management - The company has seen a significant increase in the mining and shipping of overseas bauxite, with mining volume and shipping volume up 27.9% and 55.3% year-on-year, respectively [3]. - The company has implemented a comprehensive cost control strategy, resulting in a downward trend in production costs for core products [3]. Future Outlook - The report projects net profits for 2025-2027 to be 14.4 billion, 16.2 billion, and 18.4 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 11.2, 10.0, and 8.8 [4]. - The company is positioned as a leader in the global aluminum industry, benefiting from its integrated layout across the entire aluminum supply chain [4].
中孚实业(600595):25Q3归母净利位于近十年历史高位,绿电铝优势显著
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-10-28 09:29
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company achieved a significant increase in net profit, with a year-on-year growth of 63% in the first three quarters of 2025, reaching 1.19 billion yuan [1] - The company is focusing on "green, digital, and intelligent" initiatives, enhancing its green energy consumption and optimizing its energy structure [2] - The company is expected to experience substantial growth through overseas expansion and deep integration with upstream and downstream partners [3] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported revenues of 16.6 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 0.6% year-on-year, while net profit reached 1.19 billion yuan, marking a 63% increase [1] - The average price of electrolytic aluminum in Q3 was 20,711 yuan per ton, up 6% year-on-year and 3% quarter-on-quarter [1] - The company’s projected net profits for 2025-2027 are estimated at 1.8 billion, 2.3 billion, and 2.7 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 14.5, 11.1, and 9.4 [3] Operational Highlights - The company completed the acquisition of a 24% stake in Zhongfu Aluminum, increasing its ownership to 100%, which raised its electrolytic aluminum production capacity to 750,000 tons per year [1] - The company has achieved a 61% recycling rate in its aluminum deep processing products, significantly reducing its carbon footprint [2] - The company’s coal transportation for power generation has reached 100% cleanliness, and 80% of its alumina raw materials are transported over short distances, enhancing its green logistics [2]
水晶光电(002273):三季报业绩行稳致远,AR光波导厚积薄发
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-10-28 07:12
证券研究报告 | 季报点评 gszqdatemark 2025 10 28 年 月 日 水晶光电(002273.SZ) 三季报业绩行稳致远,AR 光波导厚积薄发 25Q3 业绩稳定增长。水晶光电 2025 年前三季度实现营收 51.23 亿元, yoy+8.78%;实现归母净利润 9.83 亿元,yoy+14.13%;毛利率为 31.74%, yoy+0.17pct;净利率为 19.29%,yoy+0.62pct。公司业绩稳定增长,产 业结构持续优化,盈利能力稳步提升。单季度来看,25Q3 实现营收 21.03 亿元,yoy+2.33%,qoq+36.71%,连续五年实现同比正增长;实现归母 净利润 4.83 亿元,yoy+10.98%,qoq+72.48%。 消费电子基本盘稳固,跟随大客户新品创新。1)光学元器件方面,稳步 推进与北美、韩系大客户的合作,并持续优化产品结构。北美大客户涂布 滤光片项目实现量产,预计份额在未来几年持续提升。越南生产基地二期 扩建完成新增高端滤光片产能,随着涂布滤光片应用拓宽至无人机、车载 等领域,还将提供新增量;微棱镜产品持续核心供应商地位,新项目与大 客户接触顺利,静待量产。 ...
新兴铸管(000778):季度盈利环比增长,后续有望继续改善
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-10-28 07:12
证券研究报告 | 季报点评 gszqdatemark 2025 10 28 年 月 日 新兴铸管(000778.SZ) 季度盈利环比增长,后续有望继续改善 事件:公司发布 2025 年三季度报告。公司前三季度实现营业收入 271.83 亿元, 同比增长 0.38%;归属于上市公司股东的净利润 6.99 亿元,同比增长 44.67%; 基本每股收益 0.1764 元。 季度盈利环比增长,销售毛利率持续修复。公司 2025Q3 实现归母净利 2.96 亿元, 同比增加 430.36%,环比增长 10.74%,扣非归母净利 2.75 亿元,同比增加 893.25%,环比增长 16.23%;前三季度中钢协 CSPI 钢材价格指数均值为 93.76, 同比下降 9.19%,1-8 月份黑色金属冶炼和压延加工业利润总额 837 亿元,去年 同期利润总额为-169.7 亿元,公司业绩与行业盈利同步显著改善。公司 2024Q4- 2025Q3 逐季销售毛利率分别为 4.84%、7.61%、8.1%、7.89%,逐季销售净利率 分别为-4.98%、1.83%、3.05%、3.33%,随着政府消费与居民消费在政策推动下 持续改善 ...
科达自控(920932):海图科技收购落地,静待矿山机器人扬帆起航
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-10-28 07:12
证券研究报告 | 季报点评 gszqdatemark 2025 10 28 年 月 日 科达自控(920932.BJ) 海图科技收购落地,静待矿山机器人扬帆起航 公司发布 2025 年三季度业绩公告。公司 2025 年前三季度营业收入 2.04 亿 元,同比减少 18.91%;归母净利润 223.08 万元,同比减少 90.77%;2025 年第三季度营业收入5547.45万元,同比减少42.25%;归母净利润亏损234.75 万元,由盈转亏。主要系:1)因为煤炭形势影响,虽然新能源充电板块收入 增加,但整体营业收入减少约 4769 万元;2)本期其他收益减少约 813 万元; 3)子公司计提当期所得税费用增加。 携手宇树+山焦,直击行业痛点。科达自控与杭州宇树科技、山西焦煤集团强 强联合共同开发适用于煤矿井下复杂工况与狭窄空间环境具身智能机器人系 统,组成覆盖"技术研发-场景应用-市场落地"全链条的黄金组合。科达自控 与宇树科技合作研发矿用多足机器人,直面了当前矿山智能化转型中的一个 核心痛点:虽然愿景美好,但多功能、高自主性的矿用机器人,尤其是多足机 器人,真正落地应用并成为标杆的案例非常少见。宇树科技四 ...
甬金股份(603995):季度盈利同比略降,产销规模持续扩张
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-10-28 07:11
证券研究报告 | 季报点评 gszqdatemark 2025 10 28 年 月 日 甬金股份(603995.SH) 季度盈利同比略降,产销规模持续扩张 事件:公司发布 2025 年三季度报告。2025 年前三季度营业收入 315.62 亿元, 同比增长 2.01%;归属于母公司所有者的净利润 4.5 亿元,同比减少 22.95%;基 本每股收益 1.23 元,同比减少 20.65%。 2025Q3 盈利同比略降,销售毛利率回落。公司 2025Q3 实现归母净利 1.47 亿 元,同比减少 6.01%,环比减少 26.5%;实现扣非归母净利 1.41 亿元,同比减少 7.54%,环比减少 28.2%。公司 2024Q4-2025Q3 逐季销售毛利率分别为 5.75%、 4.56%、5.9%、4.66%,逐季销售净利率分别为 2.07%、1.28%、2.25%、1.52%, 年内以旧换新等政策拉动了下游家电、厨电、不锈钢日用制品等行业的消费,但多 数行业受地产拖累,尤其表面装饰、五金建材等行业需求收缩明显,销售毛利率与 净利率低位运行。 2025Q3 产量同环比增长,全年目标完成进度良好。根据公司公告,202 ...
芯原股份(688521):25Q3收入创新高,新签订单大幅增长
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-10-28 07:11
证券研究报告 | 季报点评 gszqdatemark 2025 10 28 年 月 日 芯原股份(688521.SH) 25Q3 收入创新高,新签订单大幅增长 芯原股份发布 25Q3 季报。公司 25Q3 实现营业收入 12.81 亿元,单季 度收入创公司历史新高,环比大幅增长 119.26%,同比大幅增长 78.38%, 其中,实现芯片设计业务收入 4.28 亿元,环比增长 290.82%,同比增长 80.23%;实现量产业务收入 6.09 亿元,环比增长 132.77%,同比增长 157.84%;实现知识产权授权使用费收入 2.12 亿元,环比增长 13.43%, 同比基本持平。公司 25Q3 实现归属于母公司所有者的净利润-2,685.11 万 元,单季度亏损同比、环比均实现大幅收窄,收窄幅度分别为 75.82%、 73.02%。我们认为公司收入的大幅增长主要系于公司近两年在手订单持 续保持高位,订单不断转化,且研发效率较高也带动了收入的确认,此外, 未来随着设计订单转化为量产订单、现有以及未来量产业务的放量,利润 端有望持续优化。 新签订单大幅增长,客户结构不断优化。从新签订单来看,25Q3 公司新 ...
沪光股份(605333):丰富产品矩阵,布局机器人打开发展空间
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-10-28 07:10
沪光股份(605333.SH) 证券研究报告 | 季报点评 gszqdatemark 2025 10 28 年 月 日 丰富产品矩阵,布局机器人打开发展空间 事件:公司发布 2025 前三季度业绩。2025 年前三季度,公司收入 58.4 亿 元,同比+6%,归母净利润 4.2 亿元,同比-3%;其中 2025 Q3,公司收 入 22.1 亿元,同比+4%,环比+6%;归母净利润 1.5 亿元,同比-19%, 环比-19%。 业绩符合预期。收入方面,根据中汽协,2025 年前三季度,中国新能源汽 车销量 1122.8 万辆,同比增长 34.9%,其中赛力斯汽车销量 34.1 万辆, 同比-8%,单 Q3 销量 14.2 万辆,环比+9%。公司主要客户有赛力斯、大 众、蔚来、奇瑞等,客户结构多元化,因此受益于赛力斯汽车销量增长, Q3 收入实现环比增长。利润率方面,2025 年前三季度公司销售毛利率 15.6%,同比-1.7pct,归母净利率 7.3%,同比-0.6pct,预计主要系研发 费用率有所提升。 客户结构优质+开拓海外市场,打开未来发展空间。公司客户结构优质, 奠定国内线束龙头地位。目前,公司已经进入 ...
九阳股份(002242):收入有待改善,盈利水平逐渐恢复
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-10-28 07:06
证券研究报告 | 季报点评 gszqdatemark 2025 10 28 年 月 日 九阳股份(002242.SZ) 收入有待改善,盈利水平逐渐恢复 事件:公司发布 2025 年三季度报告。公司 2025 年前三季度实现营业 收入 55.9 亿元,同比-9.7%;实现归母净利润 1.2 亿元,同比+26.0%。 扣非归母净利润 1.9 亿元,同比+48.2%。单季度来看,2025Q3 实现 营收 16.0 亿元,同比-11.0%;归母净利润 0.01 亿元,同比+101.1%; 扣非归母净利润 0.1 亿元,同比+106.7%。 核心品类零售端增长良好。根据奥维云网数据,2025 年前三季度九 阳品牌线上破壁机/豆浆机/电饭煲品类销额同比 +4.7%/+26.5%/+5.0%。 毛利率、盈利水平逐渐恢复。 毛利率:25Q1-3/25Q3 同比+0.6pct/+4.4pct 至 26.9%/26.2%。 费率端:25Q1-3 销售/管理/研发/财务费率同比-0.8pct/+0.3pct/- 0.5pct/持平至 16.4%/4.3%/3.9%/-1.1%;25Q3 销售/管理/研发/财务 费 率 同 比 -0 ...
天目湖(603136):25Q3收入降幅环比收窄,动物王国项目终止实施
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-10-28 07:06
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5]. Core Views - The company has experienced a revenue decline of 4.65% year-on-year for the first three quarters of 2025, with a revenue of 386 million yuan and a net profit of 83 million yuan, reflecting a decrease of 2.54% [1]. - The termination of the Animal Kingdom project is expected to have a negative impact on future performance, but the company is focusing on optimizing existing projects and advancing new ones [3][2]. - Revenue for Q3 2025 was 140 million yuan, down 1.23% year-on-year, but the decline was less severe compared to Q2 2025, which saw a 9.82% drop [1]. Financial Summary - The company’s projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 522 million yuan, 574 million yuan, and 619 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 102 million yuan, 125 million yuan, and 140 million yuan [4]. - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was 54.0%, remaining stable year-on-year, while the net profit margin decreased by 2.8 percentage points to 20.4% due to increased sales expenses [1]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is projected to be 0.38 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 30.4 times [4].