证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2026 02 07 年 月 日 钢铁 惊涛之后 行情回顾（2.2-2.6）： 铁水产量增加，库存增幅扩大。本周全国高炉产能利用率回升，国内 247 家钢厂高炉产能利用率为 85.7%，环比+0.3pct，同比-0.1pct；五大品种 钢材周产量为 819.9 万吨，环比-0.4%，同比+1.4%；本周长流程产量增 加，日均铁水产量增 0.7 万吨至 228.6 万吨，钢材产量小幅下降，螺纹 钢产量降幅明显；库存方面，本周五大品种钢材周社会库存为 940.4 万吨， 环比+5.6%，同比-18.0%，钢厂库存为 397.3 万吨，环比+2.5%，同比- 24.1%；钢材总库存增幅扩大，周环比增加 4.6%，较上周增幅扩大 2.9pct，社会库存增幅大于钢厂库存；本周由产量与总库存数据汇总后的 五大品种钢材周表观消费 760.7 万吨，环比-5.1%，同比+22.3%，其中螺 增持（维持） 行业走势 -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 2025-02 2025-06 2025-10 2026-02 钢铁 沪深300 作者 分析师 笃慧 执业证书编 ...

证券研究报告|行业周报 gszqdatemark 2026 02 08 年 月 日 通信 光模块逻辑的背离与收敛 市场近期关于 CPO（共封装光学）技术将快速取代可插拔光模块的过 度担忧，背离了产业发展的基本面，在未来两至三年，乃至更长时间 内，可插拔光模块仍将是数据中心光互连的主流解决方案。市场担忧 和筹码结构集中需时间消化，长期来看市场终将回归业绩基本面主导 的共识。 【预期差纠偏：市场"焦虑"的起源与误读】 英伟达宣布将于今年规模部署 CPO 技术，市场普遍担忧 CPO 技术将 快速全面地取代可插拔光模块。这种过度担忧脱离了行业发展的基本 面，是对 CPO 技术的误读，导致市场估值出现非理性分化。 【筹码结构：过度集中与结构优化】 当前光模块板块筹码结构过于集中，需要时间进行结构优化与自我修 正。 增持（维持） 行业走势 -20% 4% 28% 52% 76% 100% 2025-02 2025-06 2025-10 2026-02 通信 沪深300 作者 分析师 宋嘉吉 执业证书编号：S0680519010002 邮箱：songjiaji@gszq.com 分析师 黄瀚 执业证书编号：S0680519 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating to the company, indicating a positive outlook for investment based on its growth potential and valuation recovery [2]. Core Insights - The company, as a leading steel enterprise in Jiangxi, has significant cost advantages and growth potential. With ongoing capacity optimization and industry profitability improvements, earnings are expected to recover significantly by the third quarter of 2025 [1][2]. - The company is positioned as a strategic investment opportunity due to its undervalued market capitalization relative to its fixed asset value per ton of steel [1]. - The steel industry is a core business segment of the parent company, with substantial capacity for growth. The company has a current production capacity of 4.2 million tons, with potential for further expansion as the group accelerates capacity integration [1][2]. Summary by Sections Company Overview and Product Structure - The company has evolved from its establishment in 1999 to become a comprehensive steel production enterprise, specializing in various steel products including spring flat steel and automotive leaf springs [12]. - The company’s stock structure is clear, with the largest shareholder holding 40.16% of the shares as of Q3 2025 [12][13]. - The main products include rebar, wire rods, spring flat steel, automotive leaf springs, and iron concentrate, primarily serving the construction and automotive industries [17][18]. Capacity Growth Potential - The company has significant room for capacity growth, with the parent group’s total capacity far exceeding that of the listed entity. The successful relocation of Dazhou Steel is expected to accelerate capacity integration [1][2][9]. Competitive Advantages and Valuation - The company demonstrates comprehensive competitive advantages in terms of per capita steel production, labor costs, and depreciation expenses per ton of steel. Its profitability metrics indicate substantial earnings elasticity [1]. - The current valuation of the company is considered low, with a price-to-earnings ratio of approximately 1.0 times the fixed asset value per ton of steel, suggesting potential for upward valuation adjustments as industry conditions improve [1][2]. Financial Performance - The company’s revenue is projected to decline from 26.51 billion yuan in 2023 to 21.56 billion yuan in 2024, with a subsequent recovery expected in 2025 [3]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to rebound significantly in 2025, reaching approximately 975 million yuan, a 293.4% increase year-on-year [3]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) is expected to improve from 0.30 yuan in 2023 to 0.42 yuan in 2025, reflecting a recovery in profitability [3]. Investment Recommendations - Given the anticipated recovery in earnings and the company's strategic position within the industry, the report suggests that the company is a rare investment opportunity for incremental improvement in the market [2].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [2][4]. Core Insights - The company, as a leading steel enterprise in Jiangxi, shows significant growth potential with a clear cost advantage and is expected to recover its profitability by 2025 [1][2]. - The company has a substantial capacity for growth, with ongoing integration expected to accelerate as the group’s capacity is significantly larger than that of the listed entity [1]. - The current valuation of the company is considered undervalued, with a strong strategic investment value indicated by the low ratio of market value to fixed asset value [1][2]. Summary by Sections Company Overview and Product Structure - The company has evolved from its establishment in 1999 to become a comprehensive steel enterprise, producing various products including spring flat steel and automotive leaf springs [12]. - The company’s stock structure is clear, with the controlling shareholder being Jiangxi Fangda Steel Group, holding over 40% of the shares [12][13]. - The main products include rebar, wire rods, spring flat steel, automotive leaf springs, and iron concentrate, primarily serving the construction and automotive industries [17][18]. Capacity Growth Potential - The company has a production capacity of 4.2 million tons, with significant room for growth as it serves as a platform for the integration of steel assets within the group [1][2]. - The successful relocation of Dazhou Steel is expected to facilitate further capacity integration [1]. Competitive Advantages and Valuation - The company demonstrates comprehensive competitive advantages in terms of per capita steel production, salary, and depreciation costs per ton of steel, indicating strong profitability elasticity [1]. - The current valuation metrics show that the company is trading at approximately 1x the fixed asset value per ton of steel, which is at a historical low, suggesting potential for valuation recovery as industry conditions improve [1][2]. Financial Performance - The company’s revenue is projected to decline from 26.5 billion yuan in 2023 to 21.6 billion yuan in 2024, with a gradual recovery expected thereafter [3]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to rebound significantly in 2025, reaching approximately 975 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 293.4% [3]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) is expected to increase from 0.30 yuan in 2023 to 0.42 yuan in 2025, indicating improving profitability [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Increase" for the industry [4] Core Insights - Perovskite solar cells are entering the era of GW-level mass production, with leading companies like JinkoSolar and LONGi Green Energy accelerating capacity release [2][35] - The efficiency of perovskite cells is rapidly improving, with laboratory efficiencies reaching 27.3% for single-junction cells and 35.0% for perovskite-silicon tandem cells, significantly surpassing the maximum efficiency of silicon cells at 27.9% [15][19] - The cost competitiveness of perovskite cells is expected to improve, with unit production costs projected to drop to 1.0 RMB/W by 2026, potentially surpassing silicon cells [2][35] Summary by Sections Section 1: Perovskite as the Next Generation Photovoltaic Solution - Perovskite solar cells utilize a hybrid organic-inorganic metal halide semiconductor as the light-absorbing material, offering advantages such as high efficiency, low cost, and lightweight [8][11] Section 2: Efficiency and Stability Breakthroughs - The report highlights significant advancements in efficiency and stability, with perovskite cells achieving rapid efficiency improvements compared to silicon cells [15][18] - The industry is overcoming stability challenges through material modifications and process optimizations, with some products achieving IEC commercial standard certification [25][26] Section 3: GW-Level Production Era - The first GW-level production line for perovskite solar cells has been launched, marking the beginning of large-scale production [35] - By 2027, global production capacity is expected to exceed 5GW, with a complete supply chain being established [2][35] Section 4: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading companies in the perovskite supply chain, particularly those with clear capacity deployment and advancements in tandem technology, such as LONGi Green Energy and Trina Solar [3] - Equipment manufacturers with high domestic production rates and sufficient orders, like JinkoSolar and Mibet, are also recommended for investment [3]

证券研究报告 | 行业深度 gszqdatemark 2026 02 06 年 月 日 电力设备 钙钛矿：迎来 GW 级量产 钙钛矿电池是第三代电池，单结和叠层技术并行发展。钙钛矿是以通式为 ABX₃的有机-无机杂化金属卤化物为吸光材料，具备合成工艺简单、光电 转换效率高、成本低、重量轻等优势，钙钛矿电池技术路线分为单结与叠 层两类。叠层路线又细分为晶硅/钙钛矿叠层、全钙钛矿叠层等，其中晶硅 /钙钛矿叠层可与 PERC、TOPCon、异质结等现有晶硅电池技术结合，兼顾 效率提升与产线兼容性，是当前主流研发方向。 技术端：效率与稳定性双突破。钙钛矿电池效率提升速度远超晶硅电池， 单结钙钛矿实验室最高效率达 27.3%，钙钛矿-硅串联电池效率达 35.0%， 大幅超越晶硅电池 27.9%的实验室效率上限。单结钙钛矿已进入技术迭代 与产业化并行阶段，GW 级量产线逐步落地，头部企业大面积组件效率接 近 20%；叠层电池成为技术迭代核心方向，头部企业钙钛矿-TOPCon 叠 层电池效率突破 34%。行业通过材料改性、封装升级与工艺优化突破稳定 性瓶颈，部分产品通过 IEC 商用标准认证，核心生产设备实现 100%国产 ...

拟开展港股上市，加速公司全球化业务布局。为深化公司全球化战略布局，加 速海外业务拓展，构筑国际化资本运作平台，拓宽多元化融资渠道，有效增强 公司全球资源配置能力和国际市场竞争能力，助力公司深度参与全球数字支 付生态系统建设，公司已于 2025 年 11 月 25 日向香港联合交易所有限公司递 交了发行境外上市股份（H 股）并在香港联交所主板挂牌上市的申请，并于同 日在香港联交所网站上刊登本次发行上市的申请资料。该申请资料为公司按 照香港证券及期货事务监察委员会及香港联交所的要求编制和刊发，为草拟 版本，其所载资料可能会适时作出更新和修订。 证券研究报告 | 公司点评 gszqdatemark 2026 02 06 年 月 日 新国都（300130.SZ） 年报业绩符合预期，软硬出海+港股上市加速全球化布局 具体事件：1 月 27 日，公司发布 2025 年度业绩预告，全年预计实现归属上 市公司股东的净利润 4 亿元~5 亿元，同比增加 70.79~113.49%；扣非后归 母净利润 3.5 亿元~4.5 亿元，同比下降 28.91~8.6%，业绩符合预期。 归母净利同比高增长，业绩符合市场预期。1）公司归属于 ...

证券研究报告 | 公司点评 gszqdatemark 2026 02 06 年 月 日 新国都（300130.SZ） 年报业绩符合预期，软硬出海+港股上市加速全球化布局 具体事件：1 月 27 日，公司发布 2025 年度业绩预告，全年预计实现归属上 市公司股东的净利润 4 亿元~5 亿元，同比增加 70.79~113.49%；扣非后归 母净利润 3.5 亿元~4.5 亿元，同比下降 28.91~8.6%，业绩符合预期。 归母净利同比高增长，业绩符合市场预期。1）公司归属于上市公司股东的净 利润较上年同期明显增长，主要系上年同期净利润受全资子公司涉税事项调 整及计提商誉减值等因素影响导致基数较低；2）扣除非经常性损益后的净利 润较上年同期下降，主要系上述国内收单业务影响及公司对跨境支付、人工智 能等新业务的投入加大所致。2025 年，公司预计非经常性损益影响归属于上 市公司股东的净利润约为 5,000 万元，主要来源于政府补助及理财收益。 硬件出海持续增长，自有品牌 PayKKa 交易额快速增长。1）支付硬件业务： 收入实现持续增长，毛利率保持稳定，战略性重点聚焦于海外市场发展，推动 全球化布局取得关键突破。 ...

证券研究报告 | 公司点评 gszqdatemark 2026 02 06 年 月 日 如成功实施将改善公司资产负债结构，同时大股东全额认购彰显信心，有 望维护夯实融资渠道。此前，公司于 2023 年成功实施定增，该次定增实 际募集资金 51.24 亿元，华发集团认购 14.6 亿元。本次定增若成功实施， 将改善公司资产负债结构，同时募投项目聚焦核心城市的保交房与高品质 住宅建设，助力巩固其在重点区域的市场竞争力。本次定增由控股股东以 现金方式全额认购，展现大股东对公司长期发展价值的坚定信心及资金实 力。自从万科债券展期事件发生以后，不同房企债券利差有不同程度扩大， 此次大股东的强力支持，有望加强债券投资者的信心，进一步维护和夯实 融资渠道。 公司 2025 年预计亏损，未来随着优质项目结转，业绩有望逐步企稳。公 司发布业绩预告，预计 2025 年营收保持增长，同比上升约 40%。预计 2025 年实现归属于母公司所有者的净利润-90 亿元到-70 亿元。预计 2025 年实现归属于母公司所有者的扣除非经常性损益后的净利润-70 亿元到- 50 亿元。2025 年出现亏损，主要原因是（1）总资产规模减少，符合 ...

证券研究报告 | 公司点评 gszqdatemark 2026 02 06 年 月 日 华发股份（600325.SH） 定增预计募集不超过 30 亿元，大股东全额认购展现强力支持 华发股份发布 2026 年度定增预案，预计募集资金不超过 30 亿元，定增 价格 4.21 元/股。华发股份发布定增预案，拟发行股份数量合计不超过 7.13 亿股，且不超过发行前公司总股本的 30%。预计募集资金总额不超 过 30 亿元人民币。发行对象为公司控股股东珠海华发集团有限公司（华 发集团），其将以现金方式全额认购。本次定增价格为定价基准日前 20 个 交易日公司 A 股股票交易均价，即元/股（4.212 月 3 日公告日当日收盘 价为 4.02 元）。募集资金用途方面，扣除发行费用后将全部用于珠海、绍 兴、成都、杭州等地的 9 个房地产开发项目（文末附用途明细表）。 如成功实施将改善公司资产负债结构，同时大股东全额认购彰显信心，有 望维护夯实融资渠道。此前，公司于 2023 年成功实施定增，该次定增实 际募集资金 51.24 亿元，华发集团认购 14.6 亿元。本次定增若成功实施， 将改善公司资产负债结构，同时募投项目聚焦 ...