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广和通(300638):注重研发投入,发力机器人赛道
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-04-27 06:12
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance in the coming months [5]. Core Views - The company achieved total revenue of 8.2 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 6%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 670 million yuan, up 18.5% year-on-year [1]. - The growth in 2024 is primarily driven by the domestic automotive electronics and 5G Fixed Wireless Access (FWA) business, which is expected to continue benefiting from the acceleration of 5G technology [1][2]. - The company has invested significantly in research and development, with 720 million yuan allocated in 2024, representing 9% of its revenue, and has established a robotics product line to capitalize on opportunities in the robotics sector [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a total revenue of 8.2 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 6.1% [4]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 was 670 million yuan, reflecting an 18.5% increase compared to the previous year [4]. - The projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 8.5 billion yuan, 10.0 billion yuan, and 11.2 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 630 million yuan, 770 million yuan, and 870 million yuan [3][4]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is positioned as a leading player in the module industry, with a comprehensive layout across various downstream sectors, which is expected to yield benefits as 5G technology proliferates [1][2]. - The establishment of a robotics product line in 2023 aims to leverage the growing demand in the robotics industry, with the launch of an automatic lawn mowing robot solution in June 2024 [2]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to see revenue growth driven by the AIoT market and robotics applications, with anticipated revenues of 8.5 billion yuan in 2025 and a net profit of 630 million yuan [3]. - The report suggests that the company’s strong management efficiency and market leadership will contribute to gradual improvement in its operational performance [3].
长沙银行(601577):2024年分红比例提升,25Q1信贷投放靠前发力
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-04-27 06:12
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Changsha Bank is "Buy" [5] Core Views - In 2024, Changsha Bank achieved a revenue of 25.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.57%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 7.8 billion yuan, up 4.87% year-on-year. For Q1 2025, the bank reported a revenue of 6.8 billion yuan, a 3.78% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 2.2 billion yuan, up 3.81% year-on-year [1][2] - The bank's non-performing loan ratio at the end of Q1 2025 was 1.18%, with a provision coverage ratio of 309.82%, showing slight improvements in asset quality [1][4] - The bank's dividend payout ratio for 2024 reached 22.49%, an increase from 21.39% in 2023, with a cash dividend of 4.20 yuan per 10 shares [1] Performance Summary - Revenue and net profit growth rates for Q1 2025 were 3.78% and 3.81%, respectively, reflecting a slight decline compared to 2024 [2] - Net interest income increased by 1.81% year-on-year, while the net interest margin for 2024 was 2.11%, showing a decrease of 20 basis points compared to 2023 [2] - Fee and commission income saw a significant increase of 53.08% year-on-year, attributed to a low base effect from the previous year [3] Asset Quality - The non-performing loan ratio for Q1 2025 was 1.18%, with a slight increase from the previous quarter, primarily due to fluctuations in retail loan asset quality [4] - The provision coverage ratio decreased by 3 percentage points to 309.82% [4] Asset and Liability Management - As of Q1 2025, total assets and loans amounted to 1.21 trillion yuan and 587.9 billion yuan, respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 14.13% and 12.56% [9] - Total deposits reached 750.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.98% [9] Investment Outlook - Changsha Bank, as the largest city commercial bank in Hunan Province, is expected to continue benefiting from local economic growth, with projected net profits of 8.216 billion yuan, 8.695 billion yuan, and 9.460 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [9]
证券研究报告行业研究简报:俄煤-20250427
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-04-27 06:12
证券研究报告 | 行业研究简报 gszqdatemark 2025 04 27 年 月 日 煤炭开采 俄煤:25Q1 海运出口同比-2.9%,库兹巴斯煤企亏损面至 57% 本周全球能源价格回顾。截至 2025 年 4 月 25 日,原油价格方面,布伦 特原油期货结算价为 66.87 美元/桶,较上周下跌 1.09 美元/桶(-1.60%); WTI 原油期货结算价为 63.02 美元/桶,较上周下跌 1.66 美元/桶(- 2.57%)。天然气价格方面,东北亚 LNG 现货到岸价为 10.98 美元/百万 英热,较上周下跌 0.91 美元/百万英热(-7.7%);荷兰 TTF 天然气期货 结算价 32.32 欧元/兆瓦时,较上周下跌 3.26 欧元/兆瓦时(-9.2%);美 国 HH 天然气期货结算价为 2.94 美元/百万英热,较上周下跌 0.31 美元/ 百万英热(-9.5%)。煤炭价格方面,欧洲 ARA 港口煤炭(6000K)到岸 价 92.3 美元/吨,较上周下跌 7.6 美元/吨(-7.6%);纽卡斯尔港口煤炭 (6000K)FOB 价 93.8 美元/吨,较上周下跌 1.3/吨(-1.4%);IP ...
周专题:adidas发布2025Q1业绩预告,经营表现超预期
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-04-27 06:12
证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 04 27 年 月 日 纺织服饰 周专题:adidas 发布 2025Q1 业绩预告,经营表现超预期 【本周专题】 adidas 披露 2025Q1 业绩预告,营收同比增长 13%。根据公司披露 2025Q1 公司预计实现营收 61.53 亿欧元,货币中性基础上同比增长 13%,剔除 Yeezy 业务影响后公司预计 adidas 品牌营收同比增长 17%, 整体表现优异,超公司预期,分地区看公司预计各消费市场均有双位数 的增长表现。从利润率层面来看,公司 2025Q1 毛利率同比提升 0.9pcts 至 52.1%,其中 adidas 品牌毛利率提升 1.6pcts,经营利润率同比提升 3.7pcts 至 9.9%,经营利润大幅增长至 6.1 亿欧元。 此前公司发布 2024 年报时,曾预计 2025 年公司营收增长高单位数。 公司此前预计 2025 年营收同比增长高单位数,其中 adidas 品牌营收同 比增长双位数,分地区看预计 2025 年 adidas 品牌在北美/大中华区/新兴 市场/拉丁美洲营收同比增长双位数,欧洲/日韩营收增长高单位 ...
光的三个边际变化:关税、需求与持仓结构
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-04-27 06:11
证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 04 27 年 月 日 通信 市场部分担心关税可能导致 AI 算力需求可能停滞不前甚至衰退,但从需 求侧看下游厂商的收入仍受益于 AI 而保持较高增速,同时 Capex 依旧 保持超预期状态。本周周四谷歌公布 25Q1 财报,财报显示公司 2025Q1 营收达 902 亿美元,同比增长 12%;净利润 345.4 亿美元,同比大增 46%,超出市场预期。其中云计算业务和广告业务均保持高增速,且 公司明确表示,受益于 AI 对营销的驱动广告转化率显著提升。且公司 表示仍维持此前年报给出的 2025 全年 750 亿美元的 Capex 指引,且 25Q1 公司 Capex 为 172 亿美元,同比增长 43%,Capex 主要用于服 务器、数据中心等领域。 我们认为,尽管市场对算力需求仍持观望态度,但从本次财报季已经发布 的财报来看,AI 需求并未放缓。无论是上周台积电给出的业绩增速指引, 还是本周新易盛等国内光模块厂商给出的优异业绩以及谷歌等下游厂商 的业绩以及 Capex 指引,均证明 AI 叙事逻辑本身并未发生改变,在应 用创新进入爆发期的现状 ...
光大银行(601818):信贷投放同比多增,息差降幅或有收窄
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-04-27 06:09
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company's revenue for Q1 2025 was 33.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.06%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 12.5 billion yuan, showing a slight increase of 0.31% year-on-year [1][2] - The decline in net interest margin has narrowed, primarily due to improvements in the cost of interest-bearing liabilities [2] - The bank's asset quality remains stable, with a non-performing loan ratio of 1.25% and a provision coverage ratio of 174.44% [3] Performance Summary - Revenue and net profit growth rates for Q1 2025 were -4.06% and 0.31%, respectively, showing a narrowing decline compared to 2024 [2] - Net interest income decreased by 6.84% year-on-year, but the decline was less severe than in 2024, attributed to improved costs of interest-bearing liabilities [2] - Fee and commission income grew by 3.27% year-on-year, with a significant increase in growth rate compared to 2024 [2] - Other non-interest income increased by 1.52% year-on-year, with a notable rise in investment net income by 302.96% [2] Asset Quality - The non-performing loan ratio remained stable at 1.25%, with a provision coverage ratio of 174.44%, reflecting a slight decrease from the previous year [3] - The credit cost for Q1 2025 was 0.86%, down by 21 basis points year-on-year [3] Asset and Liability Management - Total assets and loans at the end of Q1 2025 were 72.3 trillion yuan and 41.1 trillion yuan, respectively, showing year-on-year growth of 4.80% and 5.24% [4] - The bank's focus on technology finance, manufacturing finance, green finance, and inclusive finance led to significant increases in loans to these sectors [4] - Total deposits reached 42.7 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.49% [4] Investment Recommendation - The report suggests that the narrowing decline in net interest margin and growth in fee income indicate potential for better performance in the medium to long term, maintaining the previous "Buy" rating [4]
期待“反内卷”政策落地
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-04-27 06:09
证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 04 27 年 月 日 钢铁 期待"反内卷"政策落地 行情回顾(4.21-4.25): 中信钢铁指数报收 1,536.78 点,上涨 1.69%,跑赢沪深 300 指数 1.31pct,位列 30 个中信 一级板块涨跌幅榜第 11 位。 重点领域分析: 投资策略:本周市场表现不弱,钢铁板块也有一定的涨幅,金价创出历史新高后有所调整。 我们对贵金属依然保持乐观,康波萧条期主导国到了债务周期后期债务持有人希望出售持有 的货币债务,换成其他形式的的财富储存工具,一旦大家意识到货币和债务不是好的选择, 主导国长期债务周期就走到头了,货币体系贬值结构性重组会提高大宗商品的金融属性的作 用。随着时间的推移今年美国政府债务似乎将越来越难寻觅到大的承接主体,其旁氏的平衡 十分脆弱。每年两万亿的财政赤字如果不能保证能够及时融入更大的债务资金,则由央行买 单的概率和紧迫性增加。新一轮财政赤字货币化也许会超出市场的预期,实施后会加速美元 的贬值,带来全球资本大流动。同时货币周期的循环也将加速从信用货币向金属货币回归, 其中作为美元的对立面黄金会最受青睐。这一期间主导国 ...
房地产行业C-REITs周报:一季报业绩多数承压,二级行情震荡回调
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-04-27 01:23
房地产 C-REITs 周报——一季报业绩多数承压,二级行情震荡回调 REITs 指数表现 本周中证 REITs 全收益指数下跌 1.43%。截至 4.25,本周(4.19-4.25, 下同)中证 REITs((收盘)指数下跌 1.83%,收于 847 点;中证 REITs 全 收益指数下跌 1.43%,收于 1058.9 点。本周沪深 300/恒生/中债十年期 国债/房地产(申万)/恒生地产建筑业/高速公路(申万)指数分别上涨 0.38%/上涨 2.74%/下跌 0.11%/下跌 1.31%/上涨 1.35%/下跌 0.37%。 其中恒生指数本周涨幅最高,REITs 全收益指数排行靠后。 本年中证 REITs 全收益指数涨幅为 9.41%。截至 4.25,本年中证 REITs (收盘)指数涨幅为 7.27%,中证 REITs 全收益指数涨幅为 9.41%。本 年沪深 300/恒生/中债十年期国债/房地产(申万)/恒生地产建筑业/高速 公路((申万)指数分别下跌 3.76%/上涨 9.58%/下跌 0.15%/下跌 4.45%/ 上涨 3.45%/下跌 4.59%。其中恒生指数本年涨幅最高,REITs 全收益 ...
甬金股份:一季度盈利回落,规模有望持续扩张-20250427
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-04-27 01:20
证券研究报告 | 季报点评 gszqdatemark 2025 04 26 年 月 日 甬金股份(603995.SH) 一季度盈利回落,规模有望持续扩张 事件:公司发布 2025 年一季报。一季度实现营业收入 93.89 亿元,同比增长 0.89%;归属 于母公司所有者的净利润 1.04 亿元,同比减少 15.41%;基本每股收益 0.28 元,同比减少 12.5%。 资料来源:Wind,国盛证券研究所 注:股价为 2025 年 04 月 25 日收盘价 | 买入(维持) | | | --- | --- | | 股票信息 | | | 行业 | 特钢Ⅱ | | 前次评级 | 买入 | | 04 月 25 日收盘价(元) | 18.06 | | 总市值(百万元) | 6,603.05 | | 总股本(百万股) | 365.62 | | 其中自由流通股(%) | 100.00 | | 30 日日均成交量(百万股) | 4.56 | 股价走势 -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 2024-04 2024-08 2024-12 2025-04 甬金股份 沪深300 作者 一季度盈利回落,销售净利率环比略降 ...
重庆银行:扩表明显提速,利息净收入同比增28%-20250427
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-04-27 01:20
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Chongqing Bank [4][6]. Core Views - Chongqing Bank's net interest income increased significantly by 28.08% year-on-year in Q1 2025, driven by active scale expansion and a notable narrowing of interest margin [2][4]. - The bank's asset quality continues to improve, with a non-performing loan (NPL) ratio of 1.21%, down 4 basis points from the previous year-end [3][4]. - The bank is expected to benefit from the development opportunities brought by the Chengdu-Chongqing economic circle, with projected net profit growth rates of 3.96%, 4.03%, and 4.18% for 2025-2027 [4]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Chongqing Bank achieved revenue of 3.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.30%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.6 billion yuan, also up 5.33% year-on-year [1][2]. - The bank's total assets and loans reached 931.7 billion yuan and 471.2 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 19.33% and 16.43% [4]. - The bank's deposit total was 509.8 billion yuan, reflecting an 18.60% year-on-year increase [4]. Asset Quality - The non-performing loan ratio improved to 1.21%, with a provision coverage ratio of 247.59%, indicating a strengthening of asset quality [3][4]. - The credit cost for Q1 2025 was 0.71%, down 5 basis points year-on-year [3]. Balance Sheet - The bank's general loans saw a significant increase, with a net increase of 330 million yuan in Q1 2025, and a net increase of 432 million yuan in general loans after excluding the impact of bill discounting [4]. - The bank's total deposits increased by 489 million yuan in Q1 2025, primarily driven by time deposits [4].