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2023年财报点评:关注妆品扩容放量、针剂产品获批进程
East Money Securities· 2024-04-01 16:00
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [3]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 3.524 billion yuan, an increase of 49% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.452 billion yuan, up 44.9% [2]. - The company has a strong focus on expanding its cosmetic product line and advancing the approval process for injectable products [2]. - The company maintains a high dividend payout ratio of 61%, with a final dividend of 0.44 yuan per share and a special dividend of 0.45 yuan per share [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2023, the company achieved a revenue of 35.24 billion yuan (+49%) and a net profit of 14.52 billion yuan (+44.9%) [2]. - Adjusted net profit, excluding share-based payments, was 14.69 billion yuan (+39%) [2]. - The gross margin was 83.6% (-0.8 percentage points), primarily due to the increased proportion of lower-margin cosmetic products [2]. - The net profit margin was 41.2% (-1.2 percentage points) [2]. Product Segments - The "Kefumei" brand saw a revenue increase of 73%, contributing approximately 80% of total revenue [2]. - The "Kailijin" brand experienced a slight decline in revenue by 0.3%, attributed to brand positioning and product strategy adjustments [2]. - The company is actively developing four new skin rejuvenation products and has a broad application space for collagen injectables [2]. Sales Channels - Direct-to-consumer (DTC) sales continued to grow, with DTC online revenue reaching 21.5 billion yuan (+77.5%), accounting for 61% of total revenue [2]. - The company has established a distribution network covering approximately 1,500 public hospitals, 2,500 private clinics, 6,000 chain pharmacies, and 650 CS/KA stores [2]. Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 45.9 billion yuan, 57.5 billion yuan, and 69.9 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 30.4%, 25.1%, and 21.6% [6]. - Net profit is expected to grow by 23.8%, 18.9%, and 17.8% for the same years, with corresponding EPS of 1.81, 2.15, and 2.53 yuan [6].
2023年财报点评:轨交业务稳步复苏,新兴装备业务突飞猛进
East Money Securities· 2024-04-01 16:00
] y r t s u d n I _ e l b a T [ [ 时Ta 代bl 电e_ 气T (itl 6e 8] 8 187)2023年财报点评 公 轨交业务稳步复苏, 司 研 新兴装备业务突飞猛进 挖掘价值 投资成长 究 / [Table_Rank] 买入 交 (维持) 运 设 2024 年 04 月 02 日 备 / 证 [东Ta方bl财e_富Au证th券or研] 究所 券 [【Ta投bl资e_要Su点mm】ar y] 证券分析师:周旭辉 研 究 证书编号:S1160521050001 报 联系人:付丹蕾 告  公司盈利能力稳步向上。2023年,公司实现营业收入 217.99亿元, 电话:021-23586316 同比+20.88%;实现归母净利润31.06亿元,同比+21.51%;实现扣非 [相T对ab指le数_P表ic现Qu ote] 归母净利润 25.95 亿元,同比+29.89%。Q4 公司实现营业收入 77.04 亿元,同/环比+7.62%/+39.43%;实现归母净利润10.52亿元,同/环 9.01% 比+5.98%/+17.10%。分业务来看,2023年公司轨交装备业务实现129. ...
2023年报点评:经营稳健提质增效,现金流充沛
East Money Securities· 2024-03-31 16:00
Investment Rating - Buy (Maintained) [2] Core Views - The company achieved revenue of 372.04 billion yuan in 2023, a YoY increase of 8.18%, and non-GAAP net profit attributable to the parent company of 32.98 billion yuan, a YoY increase of 15.26% [1] - The company's ToB business accelerated growth, with HVAC/consumer appliances/robotics, automation systems, and other manufacturing revenues of 161.11/124.69/37.26 billion yuan, YoY increases of 6.95%/7.51%/24.49% respectively [1] - Domestic and overseas revenues increased by 9.87% and 5.79% YoY respectively, while online and offline revenues increased by 13.7% and 6.81% YoY respectively [1] - The "COLMO + Toshiba" dual high-end brand strategy achieved a retail sales growth of over 20% in 2023 [1] - The company strengthened its global presence and self-brand building, with significant sales growth in North America and EMEA regions [1] - The company's operating cash flow increased significantly to 57.90 billion yuan, a YoY increase of 67.07%, and contract liabilities increased by 49.38% to 41.77 billion yuan [1] - The company announced a cash dividend of 30 yuan per 10 shares, with a total cash dividend of 20.76 billion yuan and a dividend payout ratio of 61.57% [2] - The company launched a 2024 equity incentive plan, targeting a weighted average ROE of no less than 18%, 18%, 17%, and 16.5% from 2024 to 2027 respectively [2] Financial Forecasts - The company's revenue is expected to be 399.62/429.41/458.22 billion yuan in 2024/2025/2026, with net profit attributable to the parent company of 37.72/42.31/45.62 billion yuan, and EPS of 5.41/6.07/6.55 yuan [5] - The company's PE ratios are expected to be 11.93/10.64/9.87 times in 2024/2025/2026, and PB ratios are expected to be 2.24/1.85/1.56 times [5] - The company's EV/EBITDA ratios are expected to be 8.67/7.16/5.99 times in 2024/2025/2026 [6] Business Performance - The company's operating cash flow was 57.90 billion yuan in 2023, a YoY increase of 67.07%, while investment cash flow was -31.22 billion yuan, a YoY increase of 177.10 billion yuan [1] - The company's contract liabilities were 41.77 billion yuan at the end of 2023, a YoY increase of 49.38% [1] - The company's total assets were 486.04 billion yuan in 2023, with total liabilities of 311.74 billion yuan and equity attributable to the parent company of 162.88 billion yuan [8] - The company's ROE was 20.70% in 2023, with a net profit margin of 9.07% and a gross profit margin of 26.49% [8]
策略月报:4月行业轮动配置建议
East Money Securities· 2024-03-31 16:00
Group 1 - The median return for all A-share industries in March 2024 was 1.30%, indicating a general slowdown in the rebound momentum. The top five performing industries were non-ferrous metals (12.73%), petroleum and petrochemicals (6.22%), automobiles (4.92%), electric equipment and new energy (4.08%), and national defense and military (4.01%). The bottom five performing industries were comprehensive finance (-9.14%), non-bank finance (-6.01%), coal (-3.97%), real estate (-3.42%), and pharmaceuticals (-2.16%) [9][14][42] - The recommended industry portfolio for March achieved an average monthly return of 2.65%, outperforming the equal-weighted industry portfolio's return of 1.64%, resulting in an excess return of 1.0 percentage point. Cumulatively, the recommended portfolio's return for the first three months of 2024 was 4.91%, exceeding the equal-weighted portfolio's return by 5.98 percentage points [9][42][42] Group 2 - In terms of industry performance tracking for March, significant upward adjustments in analyst earnings forecasts were noted for the national defense and military, as well as agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sectors. Conversely, notable downward adjustments were observed in petroleum and petrochemicals, coal, steel, basic chemicals, construction, building materials, electric equipment and new energy, automobiles, consumer services, banking, non-bank finance, real estate, transportation, electronics, and computers, with declines exceeding 2% [16][17][40] - The report highlights that industries with PE valuations below the 20th percentile historically include non-ferrous metals, basic chemicals, construction, machinery, national defense and military, electric equipment and new energy, and communication. Similarly, industries with PB valuations below the 20th percentile include non-ferrous metals, steel, basic chemicals, construction, building materials, light industry manufacturing, machinery, national defense and military, retail, consumer services, textiles, pharmaceuticals, agriculture, banking, non-bank finance, real estate, transportation, electronics, communication, computers, and media [36][40][40] Group 3 - The report recommends industry allocations for April 2024, focusing on electric power and utilities, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery, retail, pharmaceuticals, textiles, national defense and military, and media [9][42][42] - The report indicates that the current ROE has significantly increased in industries such as non-ferrous metals (+0.5 percentage points), steel (+0.51 percentage points), consumer services (+0.59 percentage points), and media (+0.56 percentage points). However, industries like agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery (-1.46 percentage points) and retail (-0.61 percentage points) have seen significant declines [33][34][42]
2023年报点评:23年需求疲软业绩承压,24年周期有望触底回升,关注AI及封装领域进展
East Money Securities· 2024-03-31 16:00
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [3]. Core Views - The company faced performance pressure in 2023 due to weak demand and intense industry competition, with a revenue decline of 7.93% year-on-year to 16.586 billion yuan and a net profit drop of 23.96% to 1.164 billion yuan. The fourth quarter saw a revenue of 4.239 billion yuan, down 2.30% year-on-year and 5.11% quarter-on-quarter [2][4]. - The company is expected to see a recovery in 2024, with projected revenues of 18.965 billion yuan, representing a growth of 14.34% [4][5]. - The company is making significant progress in AI and advanced packaging fields, with high-end products gaining certification from major AI server manufacturers, indicating a potential turning point for profitability as copper-clad laminate prices are expected to rise [1][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2023, the company achieved a revenue of 16.586 billion yuan, a decrease of 7.93% year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.164 billion yuan, down 23.96% year-on-year. The fourth quarter revenue was 4.239 billion yuan, with a net profit of 0.265 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 20.67% [2][5]. - The gross margin for 2023 was 19.24%, down 2.79 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 6.93%, down 2.13 percentage points year-on-year [1][2]. Business Segments - The revenue from copper-clad laminates and bonding sheets was 12.632 billion yuan, down 9.76% year-on-year, while PCB revenue was 3.135 billion yuan, down 7.90% year-on-year [2][5]. - The company is focusing on high-end products in the AI and packaging sectors, which are expected to drive future growth [1][4]. Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 18.965 billion yuan, 21.659 billion yuan, and 24.005 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 1.648 billion yuan, 1.965 billion yuan, and 2.322 billion yuan [4][5]. - The expected EPS for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 0.70 yuan, 0.83 yuan, and 0.99 yuan, with P/E ratios of 25, 21, and 17, respectively [4][5].
动态点评:利润超预期,新业务加速减亏
East Money Securities· 2024-03-31 16:00
证券分析师:高博文 证书编号:S1160521080001 证券分析师:陈子怡 证书编号:S1160522070002 联系人:刘雪莹 电话:021-23586475 开始显现》 资料来源:Choice,东方财富证券研究所 盈利预测 行业竞争加剧; 政策监管风险。 东方财富证券股份有限公司(以下简称"本公司")具有中国证监会核准的证券投资咨询业务资格 分析师申明: 作者具有中国证券业协会授予的证券投资咨询执业资格或相当的专业胜任能力,保证报告所采用的数据均来 自合规渠道,分析逻辑基于作者的职业理解,本报告清晰准确地反映了作者的研究观点,力求独立、客观和 公正,结论不受任何第三方的授意或影响,特此声明。 投资建议的评级标准: 报告中投资建议所涉及的评级分为股票评级和行业评级(另有说明的除外)。评级标准为报告发布日后3到12 个月内的相对市场表现,也即:以报告发布日后的3到12个月内的公司股价(或行业指数)相对同期相关证 券市场代表性指数的涨跌幅作为基准。其中:A股市场以沪深300指数为基准;新三板市场以三板成指(针对 协议转让标的)或三板做市指数(针对做市转让标的)为基准;香港市场以恒生指数为基准;美国市场以标 ...
策略月报:A股二季度有望保持结构性复苏行情
East Money Securities· 2024-03-31 16:00
Group 1 - The A-share market is expected to maintain a structural recovery trend in the second quarter of 2024, with a focus on the TMT technology sector as the core investment theme [6][18]. - The real estate market is experiencing significant downward pressure, with first-tier cities seeing a 6.3% year-on-year decline in second-hand housing prices as of February 2024, indicating a need for stronger policy support to stabilize the market [19][6]. - The government has set a growth target of around 5% in its work report, emphasizing the development of "new quality productivity" [35]. Group 2 - Aotewei (688516) is positioned as a leader in photovoltaic string welding machines, with a platform layout expected to break through its own bottlenecks [5]. - Jingjia Micro (300474) continues to invest in GPU research and development, expanding its presence in both specialized and general markets, with a planned fundraising of 3.974 billion yuan for high-performance GPU chip development [7]. - Jingda Co., Ltd. (600577) is expected to benefit from the growing demand for 800V flat wires as new electric vehicle models are launched, with a projected increase in market penetration from 0 to 1 [5].
2023年报点评:行业竞争加剧,市占率不断提升
East Money Securities· 2024-03-28 16:00
] y r t s u d n I _ e l b a T [ [ 天Ta 赐bl 材e_ 料T (itl 0e 0] 2 709)2023年报点评 公 司 行业竞争加剧,市占率不断提升 研 挖掘价值 投资成长 究 / [Table_Rank] 增持 有 (维持) 色 金 2024 年 03 月 29 日 属 / [东Ta方bl财e_富Au证th券or研] 究所 证 券 [【Ta投bl资e_要Su点mm】ar y] 证券分析师:周旭辉 研 究 证书编号:S1160521050001 报 证券分析师:李京波 告  2024年3月26日,公司发布2023年年报。公司23年实现营业收入 证书编号:S1160522120001 154.05 亿元,同比下降 30.97%,实现归母净利润 18.91 亿元,同比 联系人:李京波 下降66.92%。23Q4实现营业收入32.81亿元,同比变化-44.29%,环 电话:13127673698 比降低20.71%,实现归母净利润1.39亿元,同比变化-89.74%,环比 [相T对ab指le数_P表ic现Qu ote] 降低 70.02%。费用率方面,公司 23年销售费用率/ ...
动态点评:积极发展智算业务,规划算力规模8000P左右
East Money Securities· 2024-03-28 16:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Add" for the company [2]. Core Insights - The company is actively developing its intelligent computing business, planning to deploy approximately 8000P of computing power through the construction of a computing center in Suzhou, with an investment of around 1.5 billion yuan [1]. - The company has established strategic partnerships with various organizations to enhance its computing resource ecosystem, focusing on sectors such as digital government, finance, and healthcare [1]. - The company has faced challenges in revenue growth due to market conditions and industry policies but is working on expanding its customer base and improving cost management to enhance profitability [3]. Summary by Sections Business Development - The company plans to install 500 advanced intelligent computing devices, targeting a computing power scale of around 8000P [1]. - A strategic cooperation framework has been signed with Suzhou Computing Technology Co., focusing on building a comprehensive computing service system [1]. Financial Forecast - Revenue projections for 2023-2025 are estimated at 296.48 million, 350.19 million, and 395.69 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 15.59 million, 46.24 million, and 58.46 million yuan [3][14]. - The company is expected to experience a significant increase in net profit in 2024, with a growth rate of 196.59% [14]. Market Context - The demand for computing power is surging, driven by the rise of AI applications and the need for GPU resources, leading to a focus on computing power leasing as a business model [6]. - Government policies in major cities are supporting the development of computing resource leasing, which aligns with the company's strategic direction [6].
2023年报点评:优化运营效率盈利改善,逐步推进小米高端化战略
East Money Securities· 2024-03-28 16:00
Investment Rating - Maintain "Overweight" rating [3] Core Views - Xiaomi Group achieved revenue of 270.97 billion yuan in 2023, a year-on-year decrease of 3.24%, with Q4 revenue of 73.244 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.9% [2] - Net profit attributable to the parent company in 2023 was 17.475 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 606.34%, with Q4 net profit of 4.727 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 50.02% [2] - The company's global smartphone market share reached 12.8% in 2023, maintaining its position in the top three globally for three consecutive years [2] - Xiaomi's high-end strategy showed significant progress in 2023, with a 16.9% market share in the RMB 4,000-6,000 price segment in mainland China, an increase of 9.2 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The company's AIoT platform connected 739 million IoT devices by the end of 2023, a year-on-year increase of 25.5% [2] - Internet service revenue grew by 6.3% year-on-year in 2023, with advertising revenue reaching 20.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.2% [2] - Xiaomi announced a strategic upgrade to the "Human x Car x Home" ecosystem and launched the Xiaomi HyperOS, with the Xiaomi SU7 series positioning as a C-class high-performance eco-tech sedan [2] Financial Performance - Smartphone business gross margin improved to 14.6% in 2023, up 5.6 percentage points year-on-year [2] - IoT and lifestyle products gross margin reached 16.3%, up 1.9 percentage points year-on-year [2] - Internet business gross margin was 74.2%, up 2.4 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The company repurchased 126.6 million shares in 2023, totaling HK$1.5 billion [2] - Revenue forecast for 2024/2025/2026 is 294.919/316.801/340.272 billion yuan, with net profit attributable to the parent company expected to be 18.553/19.897/21.809 billion yuan [5] Market Position and Strategy - Xiaomi's high-end smartphone shipments accounted for over 20% of total smartphone shipments in mainland China in 2023 [2] - The company achieved significant market share growth in the Middle East, Latin America, and Africa, with increases of 1.3%, 1.2%, and 2.4% respectively [2] - Xiaomi ranked third in tablet shipments and second in wearable wristband devices in mainland China in 2023 [2] - The new Xiaomi smartphone smart factory, with an annual capacity of 10 million units, officially started production in February 2024 [2] Future Outlook - Xiaomi's strategic focus on the "Human x Car x Home" ecosystem is expected to open new growth opportunities [5] - The company's high-end strategy and technological innovation are likely to drive further market share gains and profitability improvements [5]