Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Insights - The company is positioned as a leader in energy construction, actively transitioning towards new energy systems, focusing on hydrogen and energy storage [4][27] - The company has a robust order backlog, with total orders amounting to 28,135 billion yuan, approximately six times its expected revenue for 2024 [4][21] - The new energy sector is expected to grow significantly, with the company projecting a 6.7% increase in new energy contract value for 2025 [4][25] Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview and Performance - The company, China Energy Construction (601868), is a global leader in energy infrastructure, with a strong presence in traditional energy sectors and a significant market share in hydropower [13] - Revenue has shown steady growth, increasing from 183.82 billion yuan in 2014 to 436.71 billion yuan in 2024, with a CAGR of 9.0% [19] - The company reported a revenue of 3,235.44 million yuan and a net profit of 315.6 million yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9.6% in revenue but a decline of 12.4% in net profit [19] 2. New Energy System Development - The importance of new energy systems is increasing, driven by national energy security and carbon neutrality goals [28][31] - The company is strategically investing in hydrogen and energy storage, with significant policy support and a growing market for hydrogen applications across various industries [41][50] - By 2035, China's clean energy generation capacity is expected to reach 3.6 billion kilowatts, with a substantial increase in hydrogen production projects [41][47] 3. Financial Projections - The company forecasts net profits of 85.2 billion yuan, 93.6 billion yuan, and 100.1 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, indicating growth rates of 1.4%, 9.9%, and 7.0% [5][6] - The projected P/E ratios for 2026 are 12.14, 11.05, and 10.33 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, suggesting a potential valuation uplift as the new energy transition progresses [5][6]

Group 1 - The report indicates a slight decrease in the total share of active equity funds, with a total of 26,662.1 billion, reflecting a reduction of 727.8 billion from the previous quarter, although the rate of decline has narrowed [7][8] - The performance of active equity funds in Q4 showed a slight retreat, with the active stock index down by 3.04% and underperforming the CSI 300 by nearly 3 percentage points [12][13] - The allocation to cyclical sectors has increased, with significant additions in materials, chemicals, and oil sectors, while technology and consumer sectors have seen a reduction in allocation [24][20] Group 2 - Fund managers are optimistic about the market outlook for Q1 2026, expecting a continuation of a "slow bull" market supported by economic recovery, liquidity easing, and policy support [28][24] - The report highlights a focus on sectors such as AI, semiconductors, and renewable energy, indicating a shift towards balanced growth and value stocks complementing growth stocks [28][24] - The top holdings in active equity funds include Zhongji Xuchuang, with significant increases in positions in China Ping An, Meituan, and Dongshan Precision [28][24]

行 业 研 究 / 医 药 生 物 / 证 券 研 究 报 【行情回顾】 【本周观点】 【风险提示】 医药行业政策风险；研发进展不及预期风险；业绩不及预期风险 挖掘价值 投资成长 强于大市（维持） 医药生物行业周报 医药零售高质量发展政策发布，行业有 望加速整合利好龙头 2026 年 01 月 27 日 相对指数表现 -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 2025/1 2025/7 2026/1 医药生物 沪深300 相关研究 《J.P. Morgan 健康大会召开，中国创新药 企扬帆出海》 2026.01.20 《聚焦脑机接口与小核酸药物，JPM 盛会 前奏下医疗布局新浪潮》 东方财富证券研究所 证券分析师：何玮 证书编号：S1160517110001 证券分析师：崔晓倩 证书编号：S1160525080001 2026.01.14 《创新浪潮涌动下，医药板块修复与突破 2025.12.15 《医药生物行业 2025 年三季报财报总结： 业绩分化，医疗设备板块显现拐点》 2025.11.13 《医药生物行业 2025H1 财报总结：Q2 环 比改善，创新药迎发展机遇》 2025.09.18 之路》 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance relative to the market index [3]. Core Views - The UCO market is characterized by a clear supply-demand logic, with long-term scarcity locked in by fundamentals. The theoretical potential for supply is significant, but actual utilization is limited due to collection and processing constraints [2]. - Demand for UCO is expected to grow significantly due to policy drivers, particularly in the EU, where SAF demand is projected to reach 264 million tons by 2030 and 825 million tons by 2035, translating to UCO demand of approximately 245 million tons and 766 million tons respectively [2]. - The company has reported record high earnings for the first three quarters of 2025, with revenue of 1.386 billion yuan and a net profit of 249 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.17% and 28.89% respectively [2]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The price of UCO has seen a slight increase, with the price range for UCO in China reaching 7500-7600 yuan per ton, up by approximately 50 yuan per ton week-on-week [1]. - The average spot price for UCO-based HVO recorded at 2642.55 USD per ton, reflecting a 1.90% increase [1]. Supply and Demand Analysis - The theoretical total amount of waste oil in China is about 11 million tons, but only around 3 million tons are utilized due to various constraints [2]. - The company is actively expanding its UCO production capacity, with projects in major cities like Beijing and Guangzhou, which are expected to enhance its supply capabilities [5]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for the company are estimated at 1.931 billion yuan in 2025, 2.222 billion yuan in 2026, and 2.562 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding net profits of 289 million yuan, 357 million yuan, and 437 million yuan [6][7]. - The expected EPS for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.20 yuan, 1.48 yuan, and 1.81 yuan respectively, with P/E ratios of 22.43, 18.13, and 14.82 [6][7].

公 司 研 究 / 纺 织 服 饰 / 证 券 研 究 报 新澳股份（603889）深度研究 宽带战略助力品类及海外扩张，毛价上 升周期或迎新机遇 2026 年 01 月 27 日 【投资要点】 挖掘价值 投资成长 增持（维持） 东方财富证券研究所 证券分析师：赵树理 证书编号：S1160524090003 联系人：金叶羽 相对指数表现 《25H1 业绩相对稳定，新产能陆续释放》 2025.08.31 《24 年羊绒表现亮眼，整体盈利能力稳 定》 2025.04.28 告 毛纺纱线龙头，羊毛及羊绒业务双驱动。公司深耕毛纺行业 30 余年， 前期以毛纺产品为主，2019 年后再切入羊绒纱线领域，目前主要产品 包括羊毛纱线、羊绒纱线及羊毛毛条，同时配套有改性、染整等完整 产业链。2019 年至今，公司借助可持续宽带战略与全球化布局，支撑 新成长，近年多个新产能项目陆续投产，后续仍有新产能待释放。2024 年公司营收/归母净利润分别 48.4/4.3 亿元，同比+9.1%/+6.0%， 2021-2024 年公司营收/归母净利润 CAGR 分别达+12.0%/+12.8%。 2025Q1-Q3 公司营收/归母净利润 ...

Group 1: Overall ETF Fund Flow Situation - The overall stock ETF (excluding cross-border) experienced a net outflow of 3331.7 billion from January 19 to 23, a decrease of 1918.9 billion compared to the previous week, with a cumulative net outflow of nearly 5000 billion since January 14 [10][13] - A-share industry and thematic ETFs saw a slight decrease in weekly net inflow but remained at a high level, indicating sustained investor interest as personal investors tend to accelerate inflows after clear profit signals in the market [13][17] - Hong Kong stock ETFs recorded a weekly net inflow of over 10 billion, continuing the inflow trend, while cross-border industry and thematic ETFs had a net inflow of 73.6 billion, slightly down by 30.6 billion from the previous week [17][28] Group 2: Broad/Style/Industry/Subsector ETF Fund Flow Analysis - Broad-based ETFs experienced a total net outflow of 3961.9 billion, with those linked to the CSI 300 index seeing a weekly net outflow of over 2380 billion; the total scale of broad-based ETFs has decreased by 5530.5 billion since January 12, exceeding the total increase for the entire year of 2025 [21][22] - Smart beta and major industry ETFs maintained an inflow trend, with technology and cyclical sectors being the most popular directions [25] - In the subsector analysis, semiconductor, chemical, electric grid equipment, and non-ferrous metals showed strong and sustained inflows, warranting further attention [26] Group 3: Representative ETF Fund Flow Overview - The top five stock ETFs by net inflow from January 19 to 23 were: Huaxia CSI Electric Grid Equipment Theme ETF (78.3 billion), Penghua CSI Subsector Chemical Industry ETF (57.0 billion), and others, while the top outflows were from Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF (-724 billion) and others [30] - For cross-border ETFs, the top five by net inflow included GF CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Non-Bank ETF and Tianhong Hang Seng Technology ETF [30]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance in the near term [3][6]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a total revenue of 1.379 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 19.75%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 366 million yuan, up 48.94% year-on-year [1][6]. - The company's product structure optimization is leading to sustained profit elasticity, with high-margin resistant dextrin products increasing their sales proportion [5][6]. - The company is experiencing improved production capacity and is expected to alleviate capacity bottlenecks with ongoing expansion projects [5][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company anticipates achieving revenue of 4.10 billion yuan in Q4 2025, a year-on-year increase of 23.8%, and a net profit of 1.01 billion yuan, up 60.6% year-on-year [1]. - The net profit margin for 2025 is projected to increase by 5.2 percentage points to 26.5%, with Q4 2025 net profit margin rising by 5.6 percentage points to 24.7% [5][6]. Growth Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.379 billion yuan, 1.745 billion yuan, and 2.185 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 19.75%, 26.51%, and 25.22% [6][7]. - Net profit forecasts for the same years are 366 million yuan, 479 million yuan, and 610 million yuan, with growth rates of 48.94%, 31.05%, and 27.15% [6][7]. Market Position - The company has a total market capitalization of approximately 10.49 billion yuan, with a 52-week price range of 28.55 to 16.17 yuan [5]. - The stock has shown a 52-week increase of 54.48%, indicating strong market performance [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the industry, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities in the sector [5]. Core Insights - The report highlights the growth potential of the plum products, fruit snacks, and jelly industries, with projected CAGR from 2025 to 2029 being 13.2%, 8.6%, and 13.0% respectively [1][19]. - The natural jelly segment is noted for its rapid growth and high concentration, with a projected CAGR of 39.8% from 2025 to 2029, indicating strong market demand for healthier snack options [1][32]. - The report emphasizes the leading market position of Liu Liu Guo Yuan in the plum products, fruit snacks, and natural jelly sectors, with market shares of 4.9%, 7.0%, and 45.7% respectively in 2024 [1][33]. Industry Overview - The leisure food industry in China is approaching a trillion yuan market size, with significant growth potential as per capita consumption remains below global averages [18][19]. - The fruit snack segment, particularly focusing on green and black plums, shows high growth potential with a CAGR of 15.5% and 14.6% respectively from 2020 to 2024 [24][26]. - The jelly market is experiencing a shift towards natural products, with manufacturers responding to consumer health trends by producing jellies with natural ingredients and no artificial additives [30][32]. Company Profile: Liu Liu Guo Yuan - Liu Liu Guo Yuan has over 20 years of experience in the plum products industry, establishing itself as a market leader with a strong brand presence [2][52]. - The company reported revenues of 1.62 billion yuan and 960 million yuan for 2024 and the first half of 2025, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 22.2% and 24.9% [2][52]. - The company has a concentrated ownership structure, with the founders holding 87.77% of the shares, ensuring strong control over strategic decisions [2][57]. Growth Drivers - Liu Liu Guo Yuan's diverse product matrix, including dried plums, fruit snacks, and jellies, along with strong R&D capabilities, creates competitive barriers [2][3]. - The company is leveraging multiple sales channels, including self-operated online stores and membership-based retail, which are showing significant growth rates [3][4]. - Continuous improvement in revenue growth, profitability, and inventory turnover is noted, with net profit margins increasing from 5.83% to 11.01% from 2022 to the first half of 2025 [3][4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [5] Core Viewpoints - The company is positioned to benefit from the booming demand for optical modules driven by AI and data center construction, with expected revenue growth from 2025 to 2027 [5] - The company has established a comprehensive global presence with multiple production and R&D bases, enhancing its competitive edge in both domestic and international markets [5] - The company has a strong self-research capability in core optical components, ensuring supply chain stability and cost advantages [5] Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - The company is a pioneer in the optical electronics field, with three main business segments: intelligent manufacturing, connectivity, and sensing [13] - It has deep integration into the optical electronics industry, leveraging resources from Huazhong University of Science and Technology [13] 2. Company Governance - The company completed a separation reform in 2021, enhancing its market competitiveness and establishing a multi-level incentive system [17] - The management team has a strong background in the optical electronics industry, which aids in aligning with industry trends [19] 3. Company Performance - The company's revenue increased from 61.38 billion to 120.11 billion from 2020 to 2022, driven by the growth of 400G optical modules and products for new energy vehicles [25] - In 2025, the company expects to achieve revenues of 152.38 billion, 226.25 billion, and 298.97 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5] - The gross profit margin has improved, with a notable increase in net profit margin to 11.90% in the first three quarters of 2025 [27] 4. Market Demand and Product Development - The demand for optical modules is expected to surge due to the rapid growth of AI and data centers, with a significant increase in capital expenditure from major cloud service providers [5] - The company is focusing on high-end optical modules, with a complete product system that includes 1.6T optical modules, which are expected to gain market share [5] 5. Financial Forecast - The company forecasts a net profit of 18.49 billion, 25.82 billion, and 33.76 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, indicating strong growth potential [5][6]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [5]. Core Views - The company is positioned as the leading coal producer in Mongolia, with a strong geographical advantage near the Chinese market. It is diversifying beyond coal into gold and copper, which are expected to contribute significantly to future profits [5][13]. - The gold business, initiated with the BKH gold mine, is projected to generate over $100 million in net profit by 2026, marking a substantial second growth curve for the company [5][6]. - The copper business, through the acquisition of UCC, is seen as a long-term growth opportunity, with plans for feasibility studies on the White Hill copper deposit [5][6]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company is the largest private mining enterprise in Mongolia, primarily engaged in coal production and export, with ongoing diversification into gold and copper [13]. - It was the first Mongolian company to list on the international capital market, with significant assets located in the Tavan Tolgoi coalfield [13][15]. Coal Business - The company operates two major coal mines, UHG and BN, with substantial coal reserves of 340 million tons and 272 million tons respectively, primarily producing high-quality hard coking coal [24][25]. - In 2024, the company achieved a peak raw coal production of 16.34 million tons, with a significant increase in sales through competitive bidding [39][41]. - The average selling price of coal is influenced by domestic market trends, with recent prices at $106 and $121 per ton for 2023 and 2024 respectively [44]. Gold Business - The BKH gold mine commenced commercial production in September 2025, with expectations to reach full production of 85,000 ounces by 2027 [5][6]. - The low All-In Sustaining Cost (AISC) of the gold business positions it as a high-margin contributor to the company's overall profitability [5]. Copper Business - The acquisition of a 50.5% stake in UCC provides access to the White Hill copper-gold project, which contains approximately 185,000 tons of copper and 52,000 ounces of gold [5][6]. - The company plans to conduct feasibility studies on the copper deposit to further reduce reliance on coal [5]. Financial Projections - The company forecasts net profits of $0.93 million, $2.63 million, and $3.77 million for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with a PE ratio of less than 7 for 2026 [5][6].