1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In Q4 2025, the bond market showed an N-shaped trend, with credit products outperforming interest rate products. Credit - type bond funds performed better among various medium - and long - term pure bond funds [2][8]. - The share of medium - and long - term pure bond funds in the whole market declined, while the share of high - performing bond funds slightly expanded marginally [2][17]. - The net value of high - performing bond funds significantly recovered in Q4 2025, with about 80% of the income concentrated in October [2][22]. - In terms of bond allocation, high - performing bond funds increased the allocation of secondary and perpetual bonds and reduced the allocation of national bonds. They also reduced the overall positions in interest rate bonds and credit bonds, with a more significant decline in interest rate bonds [2][28]. - The investment strategies of high - performing bond funds included reducing duration, leverage, and moderately adopting a credit - sinking strategy [2][39]. - In the short term, the 10Y national bond is likely to oscillate between 1.8% - 1.9%, and the coupon strategy may still be effective. In the long term, bonds may be weak assets, and a neutral underlying allocation is recommended [2][54]. 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 3.1 Overview: Coupon Strategy Slightly Outperforms - In Q4 2025, the bond market showed an N - shaped trend. Credit products performed better than interest rate products. Among medium - and long - term pure bond funds, credit - type bond funds performed more outstandingly. For example, products like Jinxin Minxing A and F安达富利纯债A had stable net value growth in Q4 2025, and their annual net value growth rates were over 3% [2][8][13]. 3.2 Share: Decline in the Share of Medium - and Long - Term Pure Bond Funds in the Whole Market, Marginal Expansion of High - Performing Bond Funds - Affected by performance, the share of medium - and long - term pure bond funds in the whole market continued to shrink. However, high - performing medium - and long - term pure bond funds may have benefited from performance support, with a marginal increase in their shares. Some bond funds, such as Xingquan Wentai A, Chang Sheng Sheng Yu Pure Bond A, and Xingzheng Global Hengyuan A, expanded by over 2.5 billion in a single quarter [2][17][18]. 3.3 Net Value: Significant Recovery of the Net Value of High - Performing Bond Funds in Q4 2025 - In Q3 2025, high - performing bond funds in the sample generally recorded negative returns. In Q4 2025, they significantly recovered their net values, with about 80% of the income concentrated in October. Some high - performing products had a net value increase of over 1.0% in October, while there were slight fluctuations or even slight retracements in November and December [2][22]. 3.4 Bond Allocation: Increase in Secondary and Perpetual Bonds, Decrease in National Bonds 3.4.1 Bond Investment Portfolio: Stable Credit, Decrease in Interest Rate - By the end of Q4 2025, high - performing bond funds in the sample reduced their positions in both interest rate bonds and credit bonds, with a more significant decline in interest rate bonds. The weighted average position of interest rate bonds decreased by 5.57 percentage points to 22.01%, and the weighted average position of credit bonds decreased by 0.23 percentage points to 94.44% [28]. - In terms of interest rate bonds, high - performing bond funds reduced their positions in both national bonds and policy - financial bonds, with a more prominent reduction in national bonds. In terms of credit bonds, although the overall position was basically flat, there was an obvious shift in the preference for internal bond types, with a reduction in enterprise bonds and medium - term notes and an increase in financial bonds (excluding policy - financial bonds) [32]. 3.4.2 Top Five Bond Holdings: Decrease in Concentration, Mainly Increase in Secondary and Perpetual Bonds - In Q4 2025, the concentration of high - performing bond funds in the sample decreased, and the holdings became more diversified. The weighted average concentration of high - performing bond funds was about 20.16%, a decrease of 3.35 percentage points from the end of the previous quarter [33]. - In terms of bond categories, high - performing bond funds mainly increased the allocation of secondary and perpetual bonds and reduced the allocation of national bonds in their top five bond holdings, which was consistent with the overall adjustment direction of their holdings. By the end of Q4 2025, the proportion of secondary and perpetual bonds increased by 6.11 percentage points to 37.24%, while the proportion of national bonds decreased by 5.09 percentage points to 2.79% [35]. 3.5 Investment Strategy: Decrease in Duration, Leverage, and Moderate Credit - Sinking 3.5.1 Duration: Marginal Decrease - In Q4 2025, the duration of the heavy - holding bond portfolio of high - performing bond funds in the sample decreased marginally, indicating a defensive duration management strategy. The duration center of the top five heavy - holding bond portfolios decreased by 0.92 years to 3.09 years. Some bond funds, such as Western Securities Seasonal Steady 90 - Day Rolling A, had a duration of less than 1 year. The duration of Southern Runyuan Pure Bond AB adjusted significantly, decreasing by about 8 years [39]. 3.5.2 Leverage: Decrease - In Q4 2025, high - performing bond funds in the sample generally showed a trend of reducing leverage. The weighted average leverage ratio was 121.09%, a decrease of 4.71 percentage points compared with Q3 2025. Some bond funds, such as Bank of China Pure Bond A, had a relatively high leverage ratio, while others like Xingzheng Global Hengyuan A had a relatively low leverage ratio [46]. 3.5.3 Credit - Sinking: Moderate Sinking - High - performing bond funds in the sample showed a cautious and moderate credit - sinking strategy. They increased their holdings of AA + - rated credit bonds and reduced their holdings of AA - rated credit bonds, with the focus of holdings shifting from low - rated to medium - low - rated bonds [50]. 3.6 Summary and Outlook - In Q4 2025, compared with Q3 2025, high - performing bond funds in the sample showed characteristics such as adjusting bond allocation, reducing duration and leverage, and moderately adopting a credit - sinking strategy. - In the short term, the 10Y national bond is likely to oscillate between 1.8% - 1.9%, and the coupon strategy may still be effective. In the long term, bonds may be weak assets, and a neutral underlying allocation is recommended. The continuation of the bond market rally depends on factors such as the persistence of weak credit demand, the continuation of the equity bull market, and the participation of trading accounts [54][63]. 3.7 Appendix - The selection criteria for medium - and long - term bond funds in the sample include being established before 2024, non - fixed - open and non - closed, with a single - holder share ratio of less than 80% from H2 2023 to H1 2024, and an average fund share of more than 500 million from Q3 2024 to Q1 2025 [67]. - The classification basis for the holding styles of bond funds in the sample includes interest - rate - type, financial - type, credit - type, and balanced - type bond funds [65]. - The selection criteria for high - performing bond funds include ranking among the top 50 in net value growth rate in Q4 2025 and having an average fund share of more than 500 million in the previous three periods [67].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [7]. Core Views - The company is positioned as a leading manufacturer of optical devices in China, benefiting from the accelerated development of the artificial intelligence industry and global data center construction, leading to significant growth potential in high-speed optical device products [7]. - The company's projected revenue for 2025-2027 is estimated at 54.19 billion, 83.29 billion, and 106.19 billion yuan respectively, with net profits of 20.9 billion, 30.6 billion, and 38.5 billion yuan, indicating strong growth [7]. - The report highlights the company's efforts to coordinate material supply and improve delivery capabilities, which are expected to alleviate potential bottlenecks in product delivery [6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company forecasts a net profit attributable to shareholders of 18.81 billion to 21.50 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 40% to 60% [1]. - The non-recurring gains are expected to impact net profit by approximately 420 million to 520 million yuan [1]. - The adjusted net profit is projected to be between 18.29 billion and 21.08 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 39.19% to 60.40% year-on-year [1]. Market Position and Growth Drivers - The demand for AI computing power is strong, and the company is expected to see stable growth in the optical device sector due to the ongoing global data center expansion [6]. - The company is actively working to enhance its supply chain coordination, particularly in response to material shortages affecting high-speed optical communication [6]. Earnings Forecast - The earnings forecast for the company shows a significant increase in revenue and net profit over the next few years, with a projected revenue growth rate of 66.65% for 2025 and 53.69% for 2026 [8]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to rise from 2.69 yuan in 2025 to 4.95 yuan in 2027, indicating a positive outlook for profitability [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Insights - The company is positioned as a leader in energy construction, actively transitioning towards new energy systems, focusing on hydrogen and energy storage [4][27] - The company has a robust order backlog, with total orders amounting to 28,135 billion yuan, approximately six times its expected revenue for 2024 [4][21] - The new energy sector is expected to grow significantly, with the company projecting a 6.7% increase in new energy contract value for 2025 [4][25] Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview and Performance - The company, China Energy Construction (601868), is a global leader in energy infrastructure, with a strong presence in traditional energy sectors and a significant market share in hydropower [13] - Revenue has shown steady growth, increasing from 183.82 billion yuan in 2014 to 436.71 billion yuan in 2024, with a CAGR of 9.0% [19] - The company reported a revenue of 3,235.44 million yuan and a net profit of 315.6 million yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9.6% in revenue but a decline of 12.4% in net profit [19] 2. New Energy System Development - The importance of new energy systems is increasing, driven by national energy security and carbon neutrality goals [28][31] - The company is strategically investing in hydrogen and energy storage, with significant policy support and a growing market for hydrogen applications across various industries [41][50] - By 2035, China's clean energy generation capacity is expected to reach 3.6 billion kilowatts, with a substantial increase in hydrogen production projects [41][47] 3. Financial Projections - The company forecasts net profits of 85.2 billion yuan, 93.6 billion yuan, and 100.1 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, indicating growth rates of 1.4%, 9.9%, and 7.0% [5][6] - The projected P/E ratios for 2026 are 12.14, 11.05, and 10.33 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, suggesting a potential valuation uplift as the new energy transition progresses [5][6]

Group 1 - The report indicates a slight decrease in the total share of active equity funds, with a total of 26,662.1 billion, reflecting a reduction of 727.8 billion from the previous quarter, although the rate of decline has narrowed [7][8] - The performance of active equity funds in Q4 showed a slight retreat, with the active stock index down by 3.04% and underperforming the CSI 300 by nearly 3 percentage points [12][13] - The allocation to cyclical sectors has increased, with significant additions in materials, chemicals, and oil sectors, while technology and consumer sectors have seen a reduction in allocation [24][20] Group 2 - Fund managers are optimistic about the market outlook for Q1 2026, expecting a continuation of a "slow bull" market supported by economic recovery, liquidity easing, and policy support [28][24] - The report highlights a focus on sectors such as AI, semiconductors, and renewable energy, indicating a shift towards balanced growth and value stocks complementing growth stocks [28][24] - The top holdings in active equity funds include Zhongji Xuchuang, with significant increases in positions in China Ping An, Meituan, and Dongshan Precision [28][24]

行 业 研 究 / 医 药 生 物 / 证 券 研 究 报 【行情回顾】 【本周观点】 【风险提示】 医药行业政策风险；研发进展不及预期风险；业绩不及预期风险 挖掘价值 投资成长 强于大市（维持） 医药生物行业周报 医药零售高质量发展政策发布，行业有 望加速整合利好龙头 2026 年 01 月 27 日 相对指数表现 -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 2025/1 2025/7 2026/1 医药生物 沪深300 相关研究 《J.P. Morgan 健康大会召开，中国创新药 企扬帆出海》 2026.01.20 《聚焦脑机接口与小核酸药物，JPM 盛会 前奏下医疗布局新浪潮》 东方财富证券研究所 证券分析师：何玮 证书编号：S1160517110001 证券分析师：崔晓倩 证书编号：S1160525080001 2026.01.14 《创新浪潮涌动下，医药板块修复与突破 2025.12.15 《医药生物行业 2025 年三季报财报总结： 业绩分化，医疗设备板块显现拐点》 2025.11.13 《医药生物行业 2025H1 财报总结：Q2 环 比改善，创新药迎发展机遇》 2025.09.18 之路》 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance relative to the market index [3]. Core Views - The UCO market is characterized by a clear supply-demand logic, with long-term scarcity locked in by fundamentals. The theoretical potential for supply is significant, but actual utilization is limited due to collection and processing constraints [2]. - Demand for UCO is expected to grow significantly due to policy drivers, particularly in the EU, where SAF demand is projected to reach 264 million tons by 2030 and 825 million tons by 2035, translating to UCO demand of approximately 245 million tons and 766 million tons respectively [2]. - The company has reported record high earnings for the first three quarters of 2025, with revenue of 1.386 billion yuan and a net profit of 249 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.17% and 28.89% respectively [2]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The price of UCO has seen a slight increase, with the price range for UCO in China reaching 7500-7600 yuan per ton, up by approximately 50 yuan per ton week-on-week [1]. - The average spot price for UCO-based HVO recorded at 2642.55 USD per ton, reflecting a 1.90% increase [1]. Supply and Demand Analysis - The theoretical total amount of waste oil in China is about 11 million tons, but only around 3 million tons are utilized due to various constraints [2]. - The company is actively expanding its UCO production capacity, with projects in major cities like Beijing and Guangzhou, which are expected to enhance its supply capabilities [5]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for the company are estimated at 1.931 billion yuan in 2025, 2.222 billion yuan in 2026, and 2.562 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding net profits of 289 million yuan, 357 million yuan, and 437 million yuan [6][7]. - The expected EPS for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.20 yuan, 1.48 yuan, and 1.81 yuan respectively, with P/E ratios of 22.43, 18.13, and 14.82 [6][7].

公 司 研 究 / 纺 织 服 饰 / 证 券 研 究 报 新澳股份（603889）深度研究 宽带战略助力品类及海外扩张，毛价上 升周期或迎新机遇 2026 年 01 月 27 日 【投资要点】 挖掘价值 投资成长 增持（维持） 东方财富证券研究所 证券分析师：赵树理 证书编号：S1160524090003 联系人：金叶羽 相对指数表现 《25H1 业绩相对稳定，新产能陆续释放》 2025.08.31 《24 年羊绒表现亮眼，整体盈利能力稳 定》 2025.04.28 告 毛纺纱线龙头，羊毛及羊绒业务双驱动。公司深耕毛纺行业 30 余年， 前期以毛纺产品为主，2019 年后再切入羊绒纱线领域，目前主要产品 包括羊毛纱线、羊绒纱线及羊毛毛条，同时配套有改性、染整等完整 产业链。2019 年至今，公司借助可持续宽带战略与全球化布局，支撑 新成长，近年多个新产能项目陆续投产，后续仍有新产能待释放。2024 年公司营收/归母净利润分别 48.4/4.3 亿元，同比+9.1%/+6.0%， 2021-2024 年公司营收/归母净利润 CAGR 分别达+12.0%/+12.8%。 2025Q1-Q3 公司营收/归母净利润 ...

Group 1: Overall ETF Fund Flow Situation - The overall stock ETF (excluding cross-border) experienced a net outflow of 3331.7 billion from January 19 to 23, a decrease of 1918.9 billion compared to the previous week, with a cumulative net outflow of nearly 5000 billion since January 14 [10][13] - A-share industry and thematic ETFs saw a slight decrease in weekly net inflow but remained at a high level, indicating sustained investor interest as personal investors tend to accelerate inflows after clear profit signals in the market [13][17] - Hong Kong stock ETFs recorded a weekly net inflow of over 10 billion, continuing the inflow trend, while cross-border industry and thematic ETFs had a net inflow of 73.6 billion, slightly down by 30.6 billion from the previous week [17][28] Group 2: Broad/Style/Industry/Subsector ETF Fund Flow Analysis - Broad-based ETFs experienced a total net outflow of 3961.9 billion, with those linked to the CSI 300 index seeing a weekly net outflow of over 2380 billion; the total scale of broad-based ETFs has decreased by 5530.5 billion since January 12, exceeding the total increase for the entire year of 2025 [21][22] - Smart beta and major industry ETFs maintained an inflow trend, with technology and cyclical sectors being the most popular directions [25] - In the subsector analysis, semiconductor, chemical, electric grid equipment, and non-ferrous metals showed strong and sustained inflows, warranting further attention [26] Group 3: Representative ETF Fund Flow Overview - The top five stock ETFs by net inflow from January 19 to 23 were: Huaxia CSI Electric Grid Equipment Theme ETF (78.3 billion), Penghua CSI Subsector Chemical Industry ETF (57.0 billion), and others, while the top outflows were from Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF (-724 billion) and others [30] - For cross-border ETFs, the top five by net inflow included GF CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Non-Bank ETF and Tianhong Hang Seng Technology ETF [30]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance in the near term [3][6]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a total revenue of 1.379 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 19.75%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 366 million yuan, up 48.94% year-on-year [1][6]. - The company's product structure optimization is leading to sustained profit elasticity, with high-margin resistant dextrin products increasing their sales proportion [5][6]. - The company is experiencing improved production capacity and is expected to alleviate capacity bottlenecks with ongoing expansion projects [5][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company anticipates achieving revenue of 4.10 billion yuan in Q4 2025, a year-on-year increase of 23.8%, and a net profit of 1.01 billion yuan, up 60.6% year-on-year [1]. - The net profit margin for 2025 is projected to increase by 5.2 percentage points to 26.5%, with Q4 2025 net profit margin rising by 5.6 percentage points to 24.7% [5][6]. Growth Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.379 billion yuan, 1.745 billion yuan, and 2.185 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 19.75%, 26.51%, and 25.22% [6][7]. - Net profit forecasts for the same years are 366 million yuan, 479 million yuan, and 610 million yuan, with growth rates of 48.94%, 31.05%, and 27.15% [6][7]. Market Position - The company has a total market capitalization of approximately 10.49 billion yuan, with a 52-week price range of 28.55 to 16.17 yuan [5]. - The stock has shown a 52-week increase of 54.48%, indicating strong market performance [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the industry, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities in the sector [5]. Core Insights - The report highlights the growth potential of the plum products, fruit snacks, and jelly industries, with projected CAGR from 2025 to 2029 being 13.2%, 8.6%, and 13.0% respectively [1][19]. - The natural jelly segment is noted for its rapid growth and high concentration, with a projected CAGR of 39.8% from 2025 to 2029, indicating strong market demand for healthier snack options [1][32]. - The report emphasizes the leading market position of Liu Liu Guo Yuan in the plum products, fruit snacks, and natural jelly sectors, with market shares of 4.9%, 7.0%, and 45.7% respectively in 2024 [1][33]. Industry Overview - The leisure food industry in China is approaching a trillion yuan market size, with significant growth potential as per capita consumption remains below global averages [18][19]. - The fruit snack segment, particularly focusing on green and black plums, shows high growth potential with a CAGR of 15.5% and 14.6% respectively from 2020 to 2024 [24][26]. - The jelly market is experiencing a shift towards natural products, with manufacturers responding to consumer health trends by producing jellies with natural ingredients and no artificial additives [30][32]. Company Profile: Liu Liu Guo Yuan - Liu Liu Guo Yuan has over 20 years of experience in the plum products industry, establishing itself as a market leader with a strong brand presence [2][52]. - The company reported revenues of 1.62 billion yuan and 960 million yuan for 2024 and the first half of 2025, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 22.2% and 24.9% [2][52]. - The company has a concentrated ownership structure, with the founders holding 87.77% of the shares, ensuring strong control over strategic decisions [2][57]. Growth Drivers - Liu Liu Guo Yuan's diverse product matrix, including dried plums, fruit snacks, and jellies, along with strong R&D capabilities, creates competitive barriers [2][3]. - The company is leveraging multiple sales channels, including self-operated online stores and membership-based retail, which are showing significant growth rates [3][4]. - Continuous improvement in revenue growth, profitability, and inventory turnover is noted, with net profit margins increasing from 5.83% to 11.01% from 2022 to the first half of 2025 [3][4].