分析师：龙羽洁 登记编码：S0730523120001 longyj@ccnew.com 0371-65585753 轻工制造 文化纸及生活用纸发布涨价函，关注落 地情况 ——轻工制造行业月报 发布日期：2024 年 09 月 05 日 投资要点： 证券研究报告-行业月报 同步大市(维持) 轻工制造相对沪深 300 指数表现 轻工制造 沪深300 -33% -28% -24% -19% -14% -9% -5% 0% 2023.09 2024.01 2024.05 2024.09 资料来源：中原证券，聚源 相关报告 《轻工制造行业月报：加力支持以旧换新，家 居消费有望提振》 2024-08-09 《轻工制造行业月报：国内浆价开始回落，家 具出口景气延续》 2024-07-09 《轻工制造行业半年度策略：优选低估绩优龙 头，关注出口景气向上》 2024-06-25 联系人：马嶔琦 电话： 021-50586973 地址： 上海浦东新区世纪大道1788 号16 楼 邮编： 200122 ⚫ 市场回顾：8 月轻工制造板块下跌 3.15%，跑赢沪深 300 指数 0.36pct，涨幅在中信一级行业中排名第 9 名。本 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating to the company, indicating an expected relative price increase of 5% to 15% compared to the CSI 300 index over the next six months [2][17]. Core Viewpoints - Antu Biology, established in 1998, is a leading enterprise in the domestic IVD sector, focusing on the research, manufacturing, integration, and service of in vitro diagnostic reagents and instruments [2]. - The company has strengthened its R&D investments, which are expected to drive long-term growth, despite anticipated slowdowns in revenue growth for immunodiagnostic and biochemical diagnostic reagents due to domestic IVD centralized procurement and DRG policies [6][2]. - The company achieved a revenue of 2.207 billion yuan in the first half of 2024, a year-on-year increase of 4.70%, with a net profit of 620 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 13.49% [2][3]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Antu Biology specializes in a wide range of diagnostic fields, including immunology, microbiology, biochemistry, molecular diagnostics, and coagulation, and has expanded into precision testing areas such as sequencing and mass spectrometry [2]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2024, the company reported a gross margin of 65.37%, an increase of 1.72 percentage points year-on-year [3]. - The sales revenue from the reagent segment was 1.857 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 71.50%, while the instrument segment generated 275 million yuan, with a gross margin of 37.43% [6][3]. R&D and Product Development - As of June 30, 2024, the company holds 1,575 patents, including 60 international patents, and has obtained 774 product registration certificates [3]. - The company has developed new product series in the reagent field, enhancing its product lineup and brand influence [3]. Market Outlook - The report forecasts earnings per share of 2.59 yuan, 2.81 yuan, and 3.55 yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with corresponding dynamic price-to-earnings ratios of 15.56, 14.34, and 11.35 [6][7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" investment rating for the company, indicating a projected relative increase of 5% to 15% compared to the CSI 300 index over the next six months [2][14]. Core Insights - The company's performance in the first half of 2024 fell short of expectations, with a significant decline in revenue and a shift to net losses. The company reported a revenue of 51.79 million yuan, down 52.75% year-on-year, and a net loss attributable to shareholders of 4.27 million yuan, compared to a profit in the previous year [2][3]. - The corn seed market is experiencing oversupply, leading to increased returns of corn seeds and a decline in revenue. The average price of corn in China dropped to 2,389 yuan per ton, marking a decrease of 13.22% quarter-on-quarter and 14.59% year-on-year, the lowest since October 2020 [2][3]. - The company is increasing its research and development (R&D) investments to maintain its core competitiveness, with R&D expenses amounting to 7.30 million yuan, representing 14.10% of revenue, an increase of 66.16% year-on-year [3]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first half of 2024, the company reported: - Revenue from corn seeds: 12.14 million yuan, down 82.07% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 12.38% [3]. - Revenue from peanut seeds: 34.36 million yuan, down 11.08% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 18.18% [3]. - Revenue from wheat seeds: 2.51 million yuan, with a gross margin of 20.68% [3]. - The company forecasts net profits of 3.9 million yuan, 6.3 million yuan, and 8.6 million yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with corresponding earnings per share (EPS) of 0.23 yuan, 0.38 yuan, and 0.52 yuan [3][5]. Market Context - The corn seed industry is facing a challenging environment with strong supply and weak demand, leading to price declines. The report anticipates a potential balance in supply and demand in the third quarter of 2024 [2][3]. - The report highlights the ongoing commercialization of biotechnology in breeding, which may provide growth opportunities for related seed companies in the future [2].

食品饮料 分析师：刘冉 登记编码：S0730516010001 liuran@ccnew.com 021-50586281 量价基本持稳，主流产品增长放缓 ——重庆啤酒(600132)中报点评 发布日期：2024 年 09 月 05 日 投资要点： 证券研究报告-中报点评 增持(首次) | --- | --- | |---------------------------------------|---------------------| | 市场数据 (2024-09-03) \n收盘价 ( 元 ) | 54.46 | | 一年内最高 / 最低 ( 元 ) | 91.79/53.16 | | 沪深 300 指数 | 3,273.43 | | 市净率 ( 倍 ) | 15.48 | | 流通市值 ( 亿元 ) | 263.57 | | 基础数据 (2024-06-30) | | | 每股净资产 ( 元 ) | 3.52 | | 每股经营现金流 ( 元 ) | 5.28 | | 毛利率 (%) | 49.22 | | 净资产收益率 _ 摊薄 (%) | 52.92 | | 资产负债率 (%) | 69.13 | ...

分析师：李泽森 登记编码：S0730523080001 lizs1@ccnew.com 021-50586702 工业金属 铝板块业绩保持增长，重点项目拟加速 推进 ——神火股份(000933)公司点评报告 证券研究报告-公司点评报告 增持(维持) | --- | --- | |---------------------------------------|----------------------| | 市场数据 (2024-09-04) \n收盘价 ( 元 ) | 14.32 | | 一年内最高 / 最低 ( 元 ) | 25.21/14.32 | | 沪深 300 指数 | 3,252.16 | | 市净率 ( 倍 ) | 1.58 | | 流通市值 ( 亿元 ) | 321.22 | | 基础数据 (2024-06-30) | | | 每股净资产 ( 元 ) | 9.06 | | 每股经营现金流 ( 元 ) | 1.81 | | 毛利率 (%) | 24.51 | | 净资产收益率 _ 摊薄 (%) | 11.20 | | 资产负债率 (%) | 57.70 | | 总股本 / 流通股 ( 万股 ) ...

商用车 分析师：余典 登记编码：S0730524030001 yudian@ccnew.com 021-50586328 盈利能力持续改善，分红增强 ——中国重汽(000951)公司点评报告 | --- | --- | --- | --- | |-------------------------------------------|--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|-------|---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ...

分析师：张刚 登记编码：S0730511010001 zhanggang@ccnew.com 021-50586990 医药电池行业领涨 A 股小幅整理 ——市场分析 证券研究报告-市场分析 发布日期：2024 年 09 月 04 日 相关报告 投资要点： 《市场分析：成长行业反弹 A 股震荡整固》 2024-09-03 《市场分析：银行煤炭行业领涨 A 股震荡整 理》 2024-09-02 《市场分析：金融成长行业走强 A 股迎来普 涨》 2024-08-30 联系人： 马嵚琦 电话： 021-50586973 地址： 上海浦东新区世纪大道1788 号16 楼 邮编： 200122 ◼ A 股市场综述 周三（09 月 04 日）A 股市场冲高遇阻、小幅震荡整理，早盘股指低开后震 荡上行，沪指盘中在 2800 点附近遭遇阻力，午后股指震荡回落，尾盘股指 企稳回升，盘中医药商业、医疗服务、电池以及电网设备等行业表现较好； 消费电子、石油、煤炭以及有色金属等行业表现较弱，沪指全天基本呈现 震荡整理的运行特征。创业板市场周三冲高回落，成指全天表现强于主板 市场。 ◼ 后市研判及投资建议 周三 A 股市场冲高遇阻、小 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" investment rating for the company [2][6][47] Core Insights - The company's subscription business continues to grow, with a significant increase in the proportion of subscription revenue, reaching 82% in the first half of 2024, up 5 percentage points year-on-year [6][16] - The AI product commercialization process has officially begun, with the launch of WPS AI 2.0 and various versions targeting personal, enterprise, and government users [6][38][47] - The company is focusing on enhancing user penetration and cultivating user habits for its AI products, which may lead to short-term fluctuations in gross margin but is expected to positively impact product positioning and improvement in the long run [6][46] Summary by Sections 1. Overall Performance Analysis in H1 2024 - The company reported a revenue of 2.413 billion yuan in H1 2024, a year-on-year increase of 11.09%, but a decline of 10.16 percentage points compared to the previous year [6][9] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 721 million yuan, up 20.38% year-on-year, with a growth of 5.06 percentage points compared to the previous year [6][9] - In Q2 2024, revenue was 1.188 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.98%, but a decline of 10.56% compared to Q1 [11] 2. AI Product Progress - The company has launched several AI products, including WPS AI Office Assistant, WPS AI Enterprise Edition, and WPS AI Government Edition, focusing on efficiency and data security [38][39] - The AI membership and premium membership have been introduced, with over one million paid users, indicating a significant increase in average revenue per user (ARPPU) [40][47] 3. Investment Recommendations - The report projects EPS for 2024-2026 to be 3.32 yuan, 4.57 yuan, and 6.35 yuan respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 52.34x, 38.05x, and 27.37x based on the closing price of 173.72 yuan on September 3, 2024 [6][47]

资料来源：聚源，中原证券研究所 分析师：张刚 登记编码：S0730511010001 zhanggang@ccnew.com 021-50586990 晨会聚焦 -25% -21% -18% -14% -11% -7% -4% 0% 2023.09 2024.01 2024.05 2024.09 上证指数 深证成指 资料来源：聚源，中原证券研究所 | --- | --- | --- | |--------------------------------|------------|------------| | 国内市场表现 \n指数名称 | 昨日收盘价 | 涨跌幅 (%) | | 上证指数 | 2,802.98 | -0.29 | | 深证成指 | 8,268.05 | 1.17 | | 创业板指 | 2,022.77 | -0.47 | | 沪深 300 | 3,273.43 | 0.26 | | 上证 50 | 2,443.97 | -0.52 | | 科创 50 | 891.46 | 0.14 | | 创业板 50 | 1,924.26 | -0.67 | | 中证 100 | 3,153.60 | 0 ...

Investment Rating - The report upgrades the investment rating of the company to "Buy" with an expectation of a relative increase of over 15% compared to the CSI 300 index within the next six months [2][14]. Core Viewpoints - The company is expected to see a recovery in performance starting from the third quarter, despite a decline in coal production in the first half of 2024 due to the suspension of operations at twelve mines [2][3]. - The company has a strong focus on its premium coal strategy, which is anticipated to enhance profitability as the production of premium coal increases [3][5]. - The company has initiated a share buyback program and has a high dividend payout ratio, with a dynamic dividend yield of 10.70% as of September 3, 2024 [3][5]. Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 16.254 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.78%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.393 billion yuan, a decrease of 37.66% [2][5]. - The company’s coal production for the first half of 2024 was 14.21 million tons, a decrease of 7.56% year-on-year, with premium coal production reaching 6.59 million tons [2][3]. Shareholder Returns - The company has committed to a cash dividend payout ratio of no less than 60% from 2023 to 2025, with a cash distribution of 0.99 yuan per share for the 2023 fiscal year [3][5]. - The total amount spent on the share buyback program reached approximately 300 million yuan, representing 1.15% of the total share capital [3][4]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is located in the Pingdingshan mining area, which is rich in high-quality coal resources, and is the largest coking coal production base in Central and Southern China [2][3]. - The controlling shareholder has been actively increasing its stake in the company, indicating confidence in its future development, with plans for asset injection expected to enhance production capacity [4][5]. Profitability Forecast - The projected net profits for the company from 2024 to 2026 are 3.055 billion yuan, 3.317 billion yuan, and 3.658 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding earnings per share of 1.23 yuan, 1.34 yuan, and 1.48 yuan [5][11].