Group 1 - The recent Politburo meeting on September 26, 2024, is notable as it focused on economic themes, which is rare for September meetings, indicating potential for significant policy implementation in the future [3][7] - The meeting emphasized a stronger commitment to stabilizing growth and enhancing the responsibility for economic work, with a clear shift towards more aggressive counter-cyclical policies compared to previous meetings [3][7] - The meeting highlighted the need for a proactive approach in implementing existing policies and introducing new measures, particularly in monetary and fiscal policies [7] Group 2 - The meeting called for an increase in the intensity of monetary policy adjustments, including lowering the reserve requirement ratio and interest rates, to support economic stability [7] - Fiscal policy was also emphasized, with a focus on ensuring necessary government spending and potentially issuing special bonds to stimulate investment [7] - The real estate sector received specific attention, with a directive to promote stabilization in the housing market and adjust housing purchase restrictions [4][7] Group 3 - Capital market policies were refined, with a focus on encouraging long-term funds to enter the market and supporting mergers and acquisitions of listed companies [4][7] - The meeting underscored the importance of addressing consumer demand and enhancing the living standards of low-income groups to stimulate consumption [7] - The report suggests that the adjustments in loan rates and housing policies could significantly impact consumer spending, particularly in sectors like home appliances and liquor [5][6]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook on its future performance [7]. Core Insights - The company has established a comprehensive layout in "payment + terminal + AI," achieving a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 24.94% in net profit attributable to shareholders from 2018 to 2023 [4]. - In 2023, the company reported revenue of 3.801 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 12%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders reached 755 million yuan, reflecting a significant increase of 1586% year-on-year [4][8]. - The report highlights the recovery of the company's acquiring business and the gradual realization of pricing benefits, with projected revenues of 3.950 billion yuan, 4.529 billion yuan, and 5.239 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [7][8]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Founded in 2001, the company initially focused on POS hardware production and sales, later expanding through acquisitions to cover payment, terminal, and AI sectors [13]. - The company has made significant strides in overseas markets, with 4.464 million units shipped in 2023, marking a year-on-year increase of 48.63% [6][11]. Revenue Analysis - The company's revenue from the acquiring business in 2023 was 2.583 billion yuan, accounting for 68% of total revenue, while electronic payment device revenue was 993 million yuan, making up 26% [4][16]. - The report anticipates a stabilization in revenue, with the acquiring business expected to recover following the successful renewal of payment licenses [5][36]. Profitability - The company achieved a record high net profit of 755 million yuan in 2023, with a CAGR of 24.94% from 2018 to 2023 [17]. - The gross margin for the company improved to 43.17% in the first half of 2024, indicating a positive trend in profitability [17][18]. Industry Context - The report notes a significant reduction in the number of payment licenses, which has led to a more favorable competitive environment for the company [5][26]. - The average acquiring fee in China is currently at 0.6%, which is significantly lower than the 2%-3% seen in developed countries, suggesting potential for upward adjustment in fees [23][24]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from the recovery of offline consumption and the gradual increase in acquiring fees, which could enhance profit margins [30][34]. - Projections indicate that the company will continue to expand its market presence, particularly in overseas markets, while also developing its AI capabilities [6][7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1][7]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 7.23 to 7.43 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 22.66% to 26.05% [3][4]. - The growth is driven by the rapid expansion of the new energy gear and intelligent actuator businesses, which are expected to inject new growth momentum into the company's overall performance [4][5]. - The company has established strong relationships with leading electric vehicle manufacturers, which is anticipated to further enhance its market share in the new energy gear sector [4][5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q3 2024, the company forecasts a net profit of 2.5 to 2.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.21% to 22.26% [3][4]. - The average net profit forecast for Q3 2024 is 2.6 billion yuan, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3.3% [4]. Business Growth Drivers - The new energy gear business has become a major driver of performance, with significant growth expected from key clients such as BYD and NIO [4][5]. - The intelligent actuator segment is also showing substantial year-on-year growth, contributing to the overall revenue increase [4][5]. Future Outlook - The company aims to expand its overseas market presence, which is expected to further boost its global market share in the new energy gear sector [4][5]. - The report projects total revenue for 2024 to reach 10,046 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 24% [6][7].

| --- | --- | --- | |------------------------------|--------------------------------------------|-----------------------------------| | 2024 \n研究所： 证券分析师： | 年 09 月 27 日 \n 余春生 S0350513090001 | 晨会纪要 \n晨会纪要 [Table_Title] | | | yucs@ghzq.com.cn | —— 2024 年第 170 期 | 观点精粹: 最新报告摘要 卫星化学(002648)深度报告之三：完善轻烃一体化布局，新材料蓄力公司成长--卫星化学/化学原料 (002648/212202) 公司 PPT 报告 诺瓦星云(301589)公司深度：超高清视频长坡厚雪，"MLED+出海"强化成长动力--诺瓦星云/计算机设备 (301589/217101) 公司 PPT 报告 OSL(0863.HK)深度报告：亚洲领先数字交易平台，合规驱动新一轮增长--OSL 集团/多元金融(00863/214903) 公司 PPT 报告（港股美股 ...

Investment Rating - The report gives an "Accumulate" rating for OSL Group, indicating a positive outlook for the company's future performance [5]. Core Views - OSL Group is positioned as a leading digital trading platform in Asia, driven by compliance and poised for a new growth phase. As of May 6, 2024, OSL held a 76% market share in virtual asset custody and trading for the first Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs launched by Huaxia Fund (Hong Kong) and Harvest Global Investments [5][19]. - The cryptocurrency market is expected to enter an upward cycle due to three main catalysts: the initiation of the U.S. interest rate cut cycle, potential policy changes if Trump is re-elected, and Hong Kong's high cryptocurrency market activity [5][68][71]. - OSL's growth strategy includes solid B2B foundations and aggressive B2C expansion, leveraging its capital, compliance, customer base, and asset management advantages [5]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - OSL Group has transitioned to focus entirely on digital asset services since 2023, following a history of business transformations [14][98]. - The company has established a strong market presence and aims to expand its global strategy in 2024 [14]. Industry Drivers - The cryptocurrency sector is experiencing a resurgence, with significant growth potential driven by regulatory changes and increased adoption rates in Hong Kong [66][79]. - Hong Kong has become the third-largest ETF market globally, with strong demand for cryptocurrency ETFs, further enhancing OSL's market position [83]. Business Service Innovation - OSL has developed a comprehensive suite of services, including brokerage, trading, and custody, supported by advanced technology solutions [50][96]. - The company emphasizes compliance and user education, ensuring a robust onboarding process for new clients [103]. Financial Forecast and Investment Recommendations - Revenue projections for OSL Group are estimated at HKD 256.59 million, HKD 294.07 million, and HKD 307.21 million for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with a path to profitability expected by 2025 [6][5]. - The report highlights a potential recovery in net profit, with significant growth anticipated in the coming years [62].

证券研究报告 化学原料 2024年09月25日 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |-------|--------------------------------------------------------------------------|--------------------------------------------------------|----------------------------------------------------------------------|-------|-------| | | | | | | | | | 完善轻烃一体化布局，新材料蓄力公司成长 李永磊(证券分析师) S0350521080004 | 评级：买入(维持) 董伯骏(证券分析师) S0350521080009 | 卫星化学(002648)深度报告之三： 李振方(证券分析师) S0350524080003 | | | | | liyl03@ghzq.com.cn | dongbj@ghzq.com.cn | lizf@ghzq.com.cn | ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, Nova Star Cloud (301589), marking its first coverage [1]. Core Insights - Nova Star Cloud is a leading global provider of LED display solutions, achieving over 60% market share in the LED control sector as of 2023. The company reported revenue of 3.054 billion yuan in 2023, with a CAGR of 25.97% from 2019 to 2023, and a net profit of 607 million yuan, with a CAGR of 26.37% during the same period [4][5]. - The MLED industry is entering a high-growth phase, with the company strategically positioned to benefit from this trend. The global small-pitch LED display market is expected to grow from $4.1 billion in 2022 to $7.4 billion by 2027 [4][5]. - The ultra-high-definition video industry is also expanding, with the company's video processing system sales increasing by 44.5% year-on-year in 2023, reflecting a CAGR of 62.5% over the past three years [4][5]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Founded in 2008, Nova Star Cloud has become a competitive player in the LED display solution market, serving over 4,000 clients across various sectors [4][43]. - The company has a stable ownership structure, with founders holding significant shares and a strong technical background [48]. Financial Performance - In 2023, the company achieved a revenue of 3.054 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 40.49%. The net profit for the same year was 607 million yuan, reflecting a 96.96% increase [51][52]. - The revenue structure is primarily from LED control systems (49%), video processing systems (40%), and cloud-based information management systems (6%) [55]. Market Trends - The global LED display market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 13.78% from 2021 to 2026, with significant growth expected in the small-pitch and micro-pitch segments [80]. - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the increasing demand for MLED technology, which is expected to drive revenue growth in the coming years [4][5]. Product Development - The company has launched industry-first MLED display ASIC control chips and high-speed interface chips, enhancing its core competitiveness [5]. - R&D investment remains a priority, with a focus on advancing technology in video processing and display control systems [62][66]. International Expansion - The company has accelerated its global presence, with overseas revenue reaching 289 million yuan in the first half of 2024, a year-on-year increase of 41.67% [70][71]. - The high gross margin from international sales is attributed to the quality and performance expectations of foreign clients [70].

| --- | --- | --- | |------------------------------|------------------------------------------|-----------------------------------| | 2024 \n研究所： 证券分析师： | 年 09 月 25 日 \n 余春生 S0350513090001 | 晨会纪要 \n晨会纪要 [Table_Title] | | | yucs@ghzq.com.cn | —— 2024 年第 169 期 | 观点精粹: 最新报告摘要 拟出售 TMD 公司股权，为格拉默美洲区扭亏为盈夯实基础--继峰股份/汽车零部件(603997/212802) 公司点 评 鸿蒙原生：生态应用"裂变"生长，万物互联时代已来--行业动态研究 2024H1 动力稳健、储能高增，盈利水平同比提升，持续打造硬核产品力--中创新航/其他电源设备 Ⅱ(03931/216303) 点评报告（港股美股） 四箭齐发，积极看多--策略点评 证券研究报告 1、最新报告摘要 1.1、拟出售 TMD 公司股权，为格拉默美洲区扭亏为盈夯实基础--继 ...

研究所： 证券分析师： 胡国鹏 S0350521080003 hugp@ghzq.com.cn 证券分析师： 袁稻雨 S0350521080002 yuandy@ghzq.com.cn 2024 年 09 月 24 日 策略点评 [Table_Title] 四箭齐发，积极看多 策略点评 最近一年走势 相关报告 《策略周报：美联储降息如何影响海外市场——美 国 降 息 系 列 专 题 3* 胡 国 鹏 ， 袁 稻 雨 》 — — 2024-09-22 金融政策应出尽出，总量和地产政策力度空前。总量政策三箭齐发， 降准降息和房贷利率同步调降，一是央行宣布下调 7 天 OMO 政策利 率 20BP，降低存款准备金率 50BP，总量政策调降力度已超过今年 1-8 月的累计水平,有望带动 MLF 利率下行 30BP、LPR 和存款利率下行 20-25BP 不等，预计对银行净息差影响中性；二是统一首套、二套房 贷最低首付比例为15%，引导存量房贷利率平均下调约0.5个百分点， 预计每年节省居民房贷利息支出约 1500 亿元。地产方面，保障房、 收储等支持政策进一步加力，后续允许政策性银行、商业银行贷款 支持企业市场化收购 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [1][6]. Core Insights - The company has demonstrated stable revenue growth and improved profitability in the first half of 2024, with a revenue of 12.47 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1%, and a net profit of 2.5 billion yuan, up 70% year-on-year [3][4]. - The company is focusing on enhancing its product strength and expanding its global presence in the power and energy storage sectors [5][6]. Revenue and Profitability - The company's revenue in the first half of 2024 was 12.47 billion yuan, with a slight increase of 1% year-on-year, primarily driven by a 43% increase in energy storage system sales, while power battery sales decreased by 6% to 9.72 billion yuan [3][4]. - The overall gross margin improved to approximately 15.6%, up 6 percentage points year-on-year, and the net loss from other operations decreased from 320 million yuan to 140 million yuan [4]. Market Position and Growth - The company maintained a solid position in the power battery market, with a global installed capacity of 16.7 GWh in the first half of 2024, representing a 35% year-on-year growth and a market share of 4.6%, ranking fifth globally [4]. - In the domestic market, the installed capacity reached 13.8 GWh, a 10% increase year-on-year, with a market share of 6.9%, ranking third [4]. Product Development and Innovation - The company is committed to continuous product innovation, launching new series and solid-state batteries, with plans for mass production by 2027 [5][6]. - The energy storage market saw significant growth, with the company achieving high shipment volumes and receiving recognition from strategic customers [4][5]. Financial Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 31.85 billion yuan, 40.56 billion yuan, and 49.53 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with net profits expected to reach 560 million yuan, 720 million yuan, and 1.06 billion yuan in the same years [6][7].