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盛科通信:国内商用以太网芯片领队,AI驱动高端产品加速迭代
中银证券· 2024-07-30 01:00
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance over the next 6-12 months [12][56]. Core Insights - The company is positioned as a leading domestic supplier of commercial Ethernet switch chips, with high-end products rapidly catching up to international competitors. The growth in demand for Ethernet switch chips is driven by the expansion of data centers and the trend of domestic substitution in the industry [56][90]. - The company has a significant first-mover advantage in the domestic market, supported by high-quality clients that help it accurately grasp industry trends [3][56]. - The report highlights the increasing demand for high-bandwidth and low-latency solutions in data centers, driven by the rise of generative AI applications, which is expected to create substantial growth opportunities for Ethernet switch chips [90][85]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company is projected to achieve revenues of RMB 12.86 billion, RMB 18.32 billion, and RMB 22.06 billion for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with growth rates of 23.94%, 42.47%, and 20.43% [6][56]. - The gross profit margin is expected to improve from 27% in 2024 to 35% in 2026, reflecting the company's focus on high-end product lines [5][56]. Market Position - The company has established a competitive advantage by deeply engaging in high-end product lines, which enhances its product competitiveness [1][56]. - The Ethernet switch chip market is characterized by a high concentration of major players, with the company currently holding a smaller market share compared to global leaders like Broadcom and Marvell [8][28]. Product Development - The company is actively expanding its product offerings, with a focus on high-performance Ethernet switch chips that cater to various network environments, including enterprise, operator, and data center networks [56][102]. - The report notes that the company is in the process of trial production for its high-performance Arctic series products, aimed at ultra-large-scale data centers [56][90]. Client Concentration - The concentration of sales among the top five clients has significantly increased, rising from 56.66% in 2020 to 84.69% in 2023, indicating a growing reliance on a few key customers [33][56].
社会服务行业双周报:暑期出行需求旺盛,旅游市场呈“量涨价跌”
中银证券· 2024-07-30 00:30
社会服务 | 证券研究报告 — 行业周报 2024 年 7 月 29 日 强于大市 社会服务行业双周报 暑期出行需求旺盛,旅游市场呈"量涨价跌" 前两交易周(2024.07.15-2024.07.26)社会服务板块下跌 4.15%,在申万一级 31 个行业排名中位列第 23。社会服务板块跑输沪深 300 指数 2.34pct。暑假 旅游热仍在延续,同时受巴黎奥运会影响,近期国内游客赴法国旅游的订单 随之增长,在此基础下,文旅出行客群进一步扩张,旺季的到来有望利好旅 游、餐饮及酒店相关产业链,我们维持行业强于大市评级。 | --- | |--------------------------------------------------------------------| | 前两交易周社会服务板块下跌 4.15%,社会服务子板块及旅游零售 | | 块均表现为下跌,涨跌幅由高到低分别为:教育(-0.65%)、旅游零售 | | (-0.93%)、酒店餐饮(-4.37%)、专业服务(-5.00%)、旅游及景区( | | 北上资金方面,前两交易周北上资金减持首旅酒店 0.12pct 至 1.13% | | 持中青旅 ...
中银证券中银晨会聚焦
中银证券· 2024-07-29 10:00
Core Insights - The global economic recovery is underway, with the US likely to begin interest rate cuts in September 2024, while China's economy continues to show moderate recovery, expecting a GDP growth of 5% for the year [2][6] - The macroeconomic outlook for the second half of 2024 indicates a preference for asset allocation in the order of bonds > commodities > stocks > currency [2][6] - Industrial enterprises in China reported a total profit of 35,110.3 billion yuan in the first half of 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.5%, with a notable increase in June [3][22] Macroeconomic Overview - The US is expected to initiate interest rate cuts in September, with the Eurozone showing signs of recovery and Japan continuing its monetary policy normalization [2][6] - China's external demand is supported by recovering markets in Europe and the US, while internal demand remains constrained by insufficient real estate and consumption [2][6] - The manufacturing sector continues to support industrial profitability, with a 5% year-on-year profit growth in the manufacturing industry [3][22] Industrial Performance - The mining sector's profits decreased by 10.8% year-on-year, but the decline has narrowed compared to earlier months, indicating potential recovery [3][22] - The raw materials processing industry contributed positively to industrial profits, with a 1.7 percentage point increase in profit growth, primarily driven by the non-ferrous metal processing sector [3][22] - The report highlights the importance of large-scale equipment updates and consumption upgrades to address internal demand shortfalls [8][20] Monetary Policy Insights - Recent monetary policy actions include a reduction in the 7-day reverse repurchase rate and a cut in the 1-year MLF rate, indicating a shift towards a more accommodative monetary stance [5][10] - The new round of deposit rate cuts by major state-owned banks aims to manage savings tendencies and support the banking sector's net interest margin recovery [10][24] - The report emphasizes the need to monitor deposit growth rates, as a further weakening in savings tendencies could impact long-term bond yields [23][24]
美国二季度GDP点评:经济数据超预期,降息概率不减
中银证券· 2024-07-29 09:30
中 性:预计该行业指数在未来 6-12 个月内表现基本与基准指数持平; 弱于大市:预计该行业指数在未来 6-12 个月内表现弱于基准指数; 未有评级:因无法获取必要的资料或者其他原因,未能给出明确的投资评级。 香港花园道一号 中银大厦二十楼 电话:(852) 3988 6333 致电香港免费电话: 中国网通 10 省市客户请拨打:10800 8521065 中国电信 21 省市客户请拨打:10800 1521065 新加坡客户请拨打:800 852 3392 传真:(852) 2147 9513 中银国际证券股份有限公司 中国上海浦东 银城中路 200 号 中银大厦 39 楼 邮编 200121 电话: (8621) 6860 4866 传真: (8621) 5888 3554 | --- | --- | |--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ...
电力设备与新能源行业7月第4周周报:以旧换新政策加码,光伏协会强调加快行业整合
中银证券· 2024-07-29 09:30
电力设备 | 证券研究报告 — 行业周报 2024 年 7 月 28 日 强于大市 电力设备与新能源行业 7月 第 4 周周报 相关研究报告 《电力设备与新能源行业 7 月第 3 周周报》 20240721 中银国际证券股份有限公司 具备证券投资咨询业务资格 电力设备 证券分析师:武佳雄 jiaxiong.wu@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号:S1300523070001 证券分析师:李扬 yang.li@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号:S1300523080002 以旧换新政策加码,光伏协会强调加快行业整合 光伏方面,多晶硅硅料价格筑底,行业减产情绪进一步加强,供需关系逐步 缓和,我们预计率先完成产能出清,颗粒硅与块状硅维持 0.3-0.5 万元/吨, 看好颗粒硅市占率提升;组件部分厂商尝试抬价但实际成交价上涨仍需等待 需求大幅增长信号;逆变器需求持续向好;建议优先配置行业格局较优、成 本优势较为明显的行业细分环节。风电方面,Q2 业绩风险逐步落地,我们 预期 H2 国内海风项目招标及建设有望稳步推进,国外海风逐步放量,带动 零部件及整机环节的出海需求,建议优先配 ...
食品饮料行业周报:中报业绩期企业之间分化加大,关注龙头营销变革
中银证券· 2024-07-29 07:30
食品饮料 | 证券研究报告 — 行业周报 2024 年 7 月 29 日 强于大市 食品饮料行业周报 中报业绩期企业之间分化加大,关注龙头营销变革 上周食品饮料板块涨跌幅-6.3%,在各板块中排名第 30。贵州茅台顺利完成 上半年任务,行业调整期主动实施营销变革,向"新商务"转型。中报业绩 期渐进,企业之间分化加大,优选确定性高的企业。 市场回顾 上周食品饮料板块涨跌幅-6.3%,在各板块中排名第 30。子板块中,软饮料、其他酒 类涨跌幅排名靠前,分别为-2.2%、-2.3%,预加工食品、白酒涨跌幅排名靠后,分别 为-6.3%、-7.2%。截至 7 月 26 日,白酒板块估值(PE-TTM)为 19.1X,食品饮料板 块估值(PE-TTM)为 19.3X。 行业数据 根据今日酒价、百荣酒价及同花顺数据,7.19-7.26 整箱飞天批价 2595-2613 元,散瓶 飞天批价 2375-2403 元。普五批价 930-935 元,国窖 1573 批价为 875 元。 截至 7 月 19 日,国内生鲜乳价格为 3.23 元/公斤,环周-0.3%,同比-13.9%。 截至 7 月 26 日,全国生猪出栏价为 9.7 ...
化工行业周报:国际油价下跌,维生素价格上涨
中银证券· 2024-07-29 07:30
基础化工 | 证券研究报告 — 行业周报 2024 年 7 月 29 日 强于大市 化工行业周报 20240728 国际油价下跌,维生素价格上涨 7 月份建议关注:1、关注 MDI、涤纶长丝、制冷剂、化肥等产品价格变化及中报业绩兑现;2、 大基金三期、下游扩产等多因素催化,关注部分半导体、OLED 等电子材料公司;3、油价中高 位,关注大型能源央企及相关油服公司在新时代背景下的改革改善与经营业绩提升;4、地产及 节能降碳政策影响下,相关产业链产品的预期变化及后续景气度改善。 行业动态 本周(7.22-7.28)均价跟踪的 101 个化工品种中,共有 25 个品种价格上涨,43 个品种价格 下跌,33 个品种价格稳定。周均价涨幅居前的品种分别是维生素 E、聚合 MDI(华东)、 NYMEX 天然气、双酚 A(华东)、磷矿石(湖北 28%);而周均价跌幅居前的品种分别是 纯苯(FOB 韩国)、WTI 原油、尿素(华鲁恒升(小颗粒))、棉短绒(华东)、液氯(长 三角)。 本周(7.22-7.28)国际油价下跌,WTI 原油收于 77.16 美元/桶,收盘价周跌幅 3.71%;布伦 特原油收于 81.13 美元/桶, ...
宁德时代:龙头业绩稳固,海外进展顺利
中银证券· 2024-07-29 07:30
电力设备 | 证券研究报告 — 调整盈利预测 2024 年 7 月 29 日 300750.SZ 买入 原评级:买入 市场价格:人民币 189.35 板块评级:强于大市 股价表现 (39%) (30%) (20%) (11%) (2%) 7% Jul-23Aug-23Oct-23Nov-23Dec-23Jan-24Feb-24Mar-24Apr-24May-24Jun-24Jul-24 宁德时代 深圳成指 (%) 今年 至今 1 个月 3 个月 12 个月 绝对 20.7 2.1 (4.6) (16.5) 相对深圳成指 29.3 6.4 4.6 5.2 | --- | --- | --- | |--------------------------|------------|------------| | 发行股数 (百万) | | 4,398.81 | | 流通股 (百万) | | 3,894.85 | | 总市值 (人民币 百万) | | 832,914.15 | | 3 个月日均交易额 (人民币 | 百万) | 3,625.68 | | 主要股东 | | | | 厦门瑞庭投资有限公司 | | 23.3 | ...
中银证券中银晨会聚焦
中银证券· 2024-07-29 05:30
Industry Investment Rating - The industry is rated as Neutral, expecting the industry index to perform in line with the benchmark index over the next 6-12 months [1] - The benchmark indices for various markets are specified, including the CSI 300 for the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets, the Hang Seng Index for Hong Kong, and the NASDAQ Composite or S&P 500 for the US market [1] Macro Economic Insights - On July 25, 2024, the People's Bank of China conducted a reverse repurchase operation of 235.1 billion yuan to maintain reasonable liquidity in the banking system at the end of the month [5] - Additionally, a medium-term lending facility (MLF) operation of 200 billion yuan was conducted at an interest rate of 2.30%, indicating further monetary easing [5] - The recent interest rate cuts reflect a clear signal of monetary easing, aligning with previous adjustments in the reverse repurchase rate [6] Interest Rate Adjustments - The MLF interest rate cut of 20 basis points was unexpected but reasonable, given the recent trends in bond yields and interbank rates [6][12] - The adjustment aims to reduce the debt burden on micro entities and alleviate credit contraction while preventing excessive liquidity in the banking system [6] - The central bank's approach indicates a focus on enhancing the willingness of the real economy to invest by lowering risk-free interest rates [6] Future Monetary Policy Directions - The report anticipates potential structural liquidity shortages as local government bonds are issued more rapidly in the third quarter, suggesting that reserve requirement ratio cuts may occur soon [13] - The focus of future monetary policy will likely be on the use of newly established tools to manage liquidity effectively [13]