Group 1: Market Overview - On February 3, 2026, SHFE silver futures closed at 21,446 CNY/kg, down 16.71% from the previous day[1] - The premium of SHFE silver futures over LME silver decreased from 29.8% at the end of January to 7.46% by February 3[1] - SHFE silver futures rose by 5.93% in the night session on February 4, closing at 22,393 CNY/kg[1] Group 2: Precious Metals Insights - The long-term narrative for precious metals remains unchanged, with expectations of continued support for gold prices due to "de-dollarization" and loose fiscal and monetary policies[3] - The volatility of silver futures remains high, with implied volatility reaching 148% on February 2 and remaining above 100% on February 3, compared to an average of 27% in 2025[5] - Gold futures implied volatility was close to 40% as of February 3, significantly higher than the 19% average for 2025[5] Group 3: Commodity Market Dynamics - The liquidity shock has ended, as indicated by the opening of the silver futures limit down on February 3, suggesting a stabilization in market risks[5] - The commodity market is expected to return to fundamental pricing logic for certain products that were "wronged" during the liquidity crisis[5] - The core logic of the commodity market remains intact despite the liquidity shock, with solid fundamentals for certain commodities still offering investment value[5] Group 4: Sector-Specific Analysis - Non-ferrous metals like copper and aluminum are expected to benefit from new economic demands driven by AI and green energy, despite recent price adjustments[6] - The chemical sector is experiencing a structural demand shift, with emerging industries driving growth, indicating potential for continued market improvement in 2026[6] - New energy metals, particularly lithium carbonate, are projected to achieve supply-demand balance, presenting bullish investment opportunities[6]

Group 1: Capital Market News - The People's Bank of China conducted a reverse repurchase operation of 105.5 billion yuan, achieving a net withdrawal of 296.5 billion yuan[6] - The operation rate for the 7-day reverse repurchase was set at 1.4%[6] - The Shanghai interbank offered rate (Shibor) for overnight loans rose by 3.7 basis points to 1.365%[6] Group 2: Industry News - The Ministry of Natural Resources aims to streamline real estate transfer registration for enterprises by the end of 2026, promoting integrated services[10] - The national foreign trade work conference emphasized the importance of achieving a good start for the "14th Five-Year Plan" in trade development[12] Group 3: Market Performance - On February 3, 2026, the North Exchange 50 index rose by 3.27%, while the ChiNext index increased by 1.86%[13] - The average market capitalization of the North Exchange component stocks is 3.199 billion yuan, with a trading volume of 21.55 billion yuan, down by 6.05 billion yuan from the previous trading day[13] Group 4: Company Announcements - Biyang Technology announced its inclusion as a supplier for China Petroleum's acid fracturing materials procurement[22] - Gobi Jia reported a reduction in shareholding by 2.8 million shares, representing 1.94% of its total share capital[23]

Group 1: Micro Fund Development - The return logic of micro funds is primarily based on the valuation repair of low-attention assets and capital games, with a systematic selection of underpriced micro stocks to capture valuation recovery as attention increases [10][10][10] - Micro funds can be categorized into three types based on strategy implementation: active gaming type, flexible allocation type, and stable participation type, each differing in exposure, return elasticity, and drawdown characteristics [10][10][10] - The micro fund style is expected to have a phase of recovery and structural allocation value, benefiting from a friendly policy and liquidity environment under the "14th Five-Year Plan" [10][10][10] Group 2: Fixed Income Opportunities - The report recommends focusing on bond issuers within key supported industries under the "14th Five-Year Plan," using a qualitative and quantitative assessment method to identify the top 25% of issuers based on bond performance and fundamentals [3][3][3] - The analysis highlights that the majority of recommended issuers have bond balances of 2 billion yuan or more, with ratings predominantly at AAA and AA+ levels, indicating strong credit quality [3][3][3] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring macroeconomic conditions and industry policies, as well as the potential tightening of credit environments [3][3][3] Group 3: Company-Specific Insights - Jingdong Group's revenue is projected to reach 350.8 billion yuan in Q4 2025, with a slight year-on-year increase, while the retail business is expected to face pressure due to reduced government subsidies [20][20][20] - The company "Mingming Hen Mang" is positioned as a leading player in the snack retail sector, with projected revenues of 645 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a significant growth trajectory [19][19][19] - The report anticipates that the company "Jiyuan Group" will maintain a strong market position in the health supplement industry, with a projected revenue of 10 billion yuan in 2024, driven by its innovative product offerings [17][17][17]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 70.4 CNY per share based on a 30x PE for 2026 [6][12]. Core Insights - The company is a leading third-party provider of on-board high-voltage power systems in China, benefiting from strong demand from major clients like Xiaomi and NIO, and is expected to maintain high growth rates in revenue and profit [12][46]. - The company has a robust product matrix in the new energy vehicle sector, focusing on high-performance and integrated power solutions, with significant growth potential in both domestic and overseas markets [12][31]. - The HVDC (High Voltage Direct Current) technology presents a substantial market opportunity, with the company leveraging its existing technology to enter this growing segment [12][46]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - Established in 2011, the company has become a top player in the on-board power supply sector, achieving a market share of 8% in the domestic OBC industry by mid-2025 [12][46]. - The company has developed strong relationships with major automotive manufacturers, including Xiaomi, NIO, and Renault, which enhances customer loyalty and market presence [12][18]. 2. Financial Performance - The company reported revenues of 1,835 million CNY in 2023, with projections of 4,154 million CNY by 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 114.8% [6][12]. - Net profit is expected to reach 230.35 million CNY in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 143.49% [6][12]. 3. Market Dynamics - The demand for on-board power systems is driven by the rapid growth of the new energy vehicle market, with global sales projected to reach 2,070 million units in 2025 [46][49]. - The company is actively expanding its overseas market presence, with expectations of significant revenue growth from international clients [12][46]. 4. Research and Development - The company places a high emphasis on R&D, which has enabled it to maintain a competitive edge in technology and product offerings [12][31]. - Ongoing investments in R&D are aimed at developing next-generation products, including those utilizing GaN and SiC semiconductor technologies [12][31]. 5. Future Outlook - The company anticipates continued growth in both domestic and international markets, with a projected CAGR of 6.2% for the domestic market and 18.1% for the overseas market from 2025 to 2030 [12][49]. - The HVDC market is expected to reach 176.8 billion CNY by 2030, providing a significant growth avenue for the company [12][46].

证券研究报告·行业点评报告·环保 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [投资要点 Table_Summary] ◼ 风险提示：项目产业化进展不及预期，行业竞争加剧，绿醇价格下行等。 2026 年 02 月 04 日 证券分析师 袁理 执业证书：S0600511080001 021-60199782 yuanl@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 陈孜文 执业证书：S0600523070006 chenzw@dwzq.com.cn 环保行业点评报告 沼气全碳定向转化制绿醇技术取得重大突 破，降本 30%以上助力绿醇规模化应用 行业走势 -5% -1% 3% 7% 11% 15% 19% 23% 27% 31% 2025/2/5 2025/6/6 2025/10/5 2026/2/3 环保 沪深300 相关研究 《景津出海+成套耗材新成长，龙净金 属上行驱动矿山 CAPEX，赛恩斯铼价 上行&合作紫金》 2026-02-02 《关注矿山绿电和再生战略资源，垃 圾焚烧出海新成长启航》 2026-01-26 东吴证券研究所 1 / 2 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 事件：2026 年 1 月 31 日，上海 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [1]. Core Insights - The company, Jiyuan Group, is positioned as a leader in the HMB market, with a strong focus on precision nutrition and a robust growth trajectory anticipated through 2027 [8][10]. - The report highlights the company's significant market share in HMB, projected at approximately 53.34% globally by 2024, and emphasizes the potential for expansion in medical nutrition and sports nutrition sectors [8][10]. - The health supplement industry in China is expected to maintain a high single-digit growth rate from 2025 to 2027, driven by aging demographics and new consumer trends [8][10]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - Jiyuan Group specializes in health supplement raw materials and formulations, with a projected revenue of 1 billion CNY and a net profit of 175 million CNY for 2024, reflecting a CAGR of 10% and 25% respectively from 2019 to 2024 [8][14]. - The company’s product revenue is expected to be composed of 65% raw materials and 35% formulations by 2024, with HMB, glucosamine, and chondroitin sulfate being key products [8][14]. 2. Industry Analysis - The health supplement industry in China is experiencing robust growth, with the market size expected to increase from 70.1 billion CNY in 2010 to 232.3 billion CNY in 2024, representing a CAGR of 8.93% [40][41]. - The report notes that the aging population and rising health awareness are foundational drivers for long-term demand in the health supplement sector [43][45]. 3. Business Model and Strategy - Jiyuan Group has established a comprehensive business model that integrates raw material production and contract manufacturing, providing a competitive edge in cost efficiency [54]. - The company is focusing on precision nutrition, which is projected to be a significant growth area, with the global market expected to reach approximately 15.8 billion USD by 2025 [56][60]. 4. Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for Jiyuan Group are set at 10.83 billion CNY for 2025, 13.12 billion CNY for 2026, and 15.69 billion CNY for 2027, with corresponding growth rates of 8%, 21%, and 20% [8][10]. - The expected net profit for the same years is projected at 1.71 billion CNY, 2.35 billion CNY, and 2.91 billion CNY, with growth rates of -2%, 37%, and 24% respectively [8][10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company is a leader in the snack retail sector, with a significant market presence and a strong growth trajectory. The merger of its two brands has positioned it as the largest snack retail chain in China by GMV as of 2024 [8][14] - The industry is experiencing rapid growth, with the market size projected to increase from 73 billion in 2019 to 1,297 billion by 2024, reflecting a CAGR of 77.8% [8] - The company's revenue is primarily generated through a franchise model, with over 98.5% of sales coming from franchise stores, allowing for rapid expansion and high operational efficiency [23][27] Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - The company operates under two main brands, providing a wide range of snack products and has established a robust supply chain to ensure competitive pricing and product availability [14] - As of November 2025, the company had 21,041 stores across 28 provinces in China, with 59% located in county and town areas [14][18] 2. Industry Dynamics - The snack retail sector is characterized by a dual oligopoly, with the company and its main competitor expected to hold approximately 75.6% of the market share by 2024 [8] - The shift towards discount retailing is driven by consumer demand for value and the inefficiencies of traditional retail channels [8] 3. Financial Performance - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 645 billion, 822 billion, and 944 billion respectively, with adjusted net profits of 26 billion, 32 billion, and 39 billion [8] - The company has shown a significant improvement in profitability, with net profit margins increasing from 1.7% in 2022 to 3.4% in 2025 [48] 4. Operational Efficiency - The company has a high inventory turnover rate, significantly outperforming its peers, which contributes to its operational efficiency [50] - The gross margin has improved from 7.5% in 2022 to 9.7% in 2025, reflecting enhanced supply chain integration and cost management [42][48] 5. Future Outlook - The company is exploring new store formats, including discount supermarkets, to enhance revenue streams and improve profitability [8][14] - The management team is stable and experienced, with a focus on strategic planning and operational execution [58]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 70.4 CNY per share based on a 30x P/E ratio for 2026 [1]. Core Insights - The company is a leading player in the automotive power supply sector, benefiting from significant growth in demand from major clients such as Xiaomi and NIO, as well as expanding overseas projects [6][12]. - The company has a strong focus on R&D, which has allowed it to maintain a competitive edge in product offerings, particularly in the high-performance and high-integration segments of automotive power supplies [12][31]. - The HVDC (High Voltage Direct Current) technology presents a substantial market opportunity, with projections indicating a market size of 176.8 billion CNY by 2030, leveraging the company's existing technological advantages [12][31]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - The company was established in 2011 and has become a leading third-party automotive power supply provider in China, achieving a market share of 8% in the OBC (On-Board Charger) sector by mid-2025 [12]. - The company has developed a diverse product matrix, including on-board chargers, DC/DC converters, and integrated power systems, catering to the growing demand in the new energy vehicle market [12][13]. 2. Financial Performance - The company reported revenues of 1.835 billion CNY in 2023, with projections of 4.154 billion CNY by 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 114.8% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 230.35 million CNY in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 143.49% [1]. 3. Market Dynamics - The automotive power supply market is experiencing rapid expansion, driven by increasing demand for new energy vehicles, with global sales projected to reach 20.7 million units in 2025 [46]. - The company is actively expanding its overseas market presence, with significant growth in international revenues, which accounted for over 17% of total revenue in the first half of 2025 [12][16]. 4. R&D and Technological Advancements - The company places a high emphasis on R&D, with plans to invest in new product development and production capacity, including a fundraising initiative to raise up to 528 million CNY for these purposes [28][30]. - The transition towards HVDC technology is expected to enhance the company's product offerings and market position, as it aligns with industry trends towards higher efficiency and reliability [12][31]. 5. Competitive Landscape - The domestic automotive power supply market is characterized by a clear competitive hierarchy, with the company positioned among the top players, including competitors like BYD and Weimars [39][41]. - The company has established deep partnerships with major automotive manufacturers, which enhances customer loyalty and market penetration [18][20].

证券研究报告·固定收益·固收深度报告 固收深度报告 20260203 "十五五"规划中的"债"机遇：详解政策东 风如何重塑产业债格局（标的篇） [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 观点 2026 年 02 月 03 日 证券分析师 李勇 执业证书：S0600519040001 010-66573671 liyong@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 徐津晶 执业证书：S0600523110001 xujj@dwzq.com.cn 相关研究 《"十五五"规划中的"债"机遇：详 解政策东风如何重塑产业债格局（主 线篇）》 2026-01-26 《转债踏空欠配资金配置窗口渐近》 2026-02-01 《债市窄幅震荡中等待新催化》 2026-02-01 东吴证券研究所 1 / 25 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ "十五五"规划下各重点支持产业内的发债主体建议关注：本报告将在 宏观与中观的产业图景之上，进一步下沉至微观主体层面，结合发债主 体的债券表现和基本面表现两大维度，针对各产业内的所有发债主体样 本采用定性+定量相结合的方法构建客观、量化的评估标准，其中，优 先根据存续债券规模、主体 ...

证券研究报告·北交所公司深度报告·化学制品 锦华新材（920015） 精细化工基石稳固，电子化学品崭露头角 2026 年 02 月 03 日 买入（首次） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 1,115 | 1,239 | 1,064 | 1,209 | 1,507 | | 同比（%） | 12.13 | 11.21 | (14.18) | 13.67 | 24.63 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 172.51 | 210.94 | 198.77 | 257.08 | 344.23 | | 同比（%） | 116.74 | 22.28 | (5.77) | 29.33 | 33.90 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 1.27 | 1.56 | 1.47 | 1.90 | 2.54 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 39.17 | 32.04 | 34.00 | 26.29 | 19.63 | [Ta ...