Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve significant revenue growth in 2025, with total revenue projected to be between 43.87 billion and 44.27 billion RMB, representing a year-on-year increase of 39.88% to 41.15%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be between 10.23 billion and 11.03 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 71.97% to 85.42% [7] - The company has established a dual-track strategy focusing on "SoC + co-processor" development, which is expected to drive growth in various sectors including automotive electronics and industrial applications. The introduction of the RK182X co-processor is anticipated to address bandwidth and power consumption challenges in deploying large models at the edge [7] - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the rapid growth of edge AI applications in 2026, with a strong competitive advantage in the AIoT sector [7] Financial Projections - Total revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 44.07 billion, 55.58 billion, and 69.62 billion RMB respectively, with net profits expected to be 10.6 billion, 14.6 billion, and 19.0 billion RMB [7] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 2.52, 3.47, and 4.52 RMB respectively, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio decreasing from 73.99 in 2025 to 41.33 in 2027 [1][8] - The company is expected to maintain a gross margin of approximately 41.20% in 2025 and 2026, with a net profit margin increasing to 26.25% by 2026 [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the non-ferrous metals sector [1] Core Views - The non-ferrous metals sector saw a weekly increase of 6.03%, ranking it among the top sectors [14] - Precious metals experienced significant price increases, with gold prices rising due to geopolitical tensions and concerns over sovereign currency credit [4][52] - The report highlights the impact of rising global bond yields on the valuation of both industrial and precious metals [27][50] Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.84%, with the non-ferrous metals sector outperforming the index by 5.20 percentage points [14] - Precious metals led the sector with an 18.46% increase, followed by small metals at 8.68% and energy metals at 6.01% [14] Industrial Metals - **Copper**: Prices are expected to remain strong despite seasonal demand weakness, with LME copper closing at $13,129 per ton, up 2.54% week-on-week [2][33] - **Aluminum**: Prices are supported by a high copper-aluminum ratio, with LME aluminum at $3,174 per ton, up 1.26% week-on-week [3][39] - **Zinc**: Prices showed mixed results, with LME zinc at $3,269 per ton, up 1.87% week-on-week, while SHFE zinc fell by 0.67% [44] - **Tin**: Prices surged due to macroeconomic sentiment and supply constraints, with LME tin at $56,605 per ton, up 17.97% week-on-week [49] Precious Metals - Gold prices increased significantly, with COMEX gold closing at $4,983.10 per ounce, up 7.85% week-on-week [50][53] - The rise in bond yields across the US, Europe, and Japan has further enhanced the valuation of precious metals, leading to increased demand for physical assets [4][52]

Market Overview - On January 26, 2026, the North Exchange 50 index fell by 1.45%[1] - The average market capitalization of the North Exchange component stocks is 3.274 billion, with a trading volume of 32.814 billion, a decrease of 0.321 billion from the previous trading day[13] Capital Market News - The State Administration for Market Regulation reported that the Chinese corporate credit index for Q4 2025 was 162.18, reflecting a slight increase of 0.52 points from Q3 2025, indicating a stable and improving credit environment[6] - The People's Bank of China conducted a 150.5 billion reverse repurchase operation, resulting in a net withdrawal of 207.8 billion from the open market[8] Industry News - The Ministry of Commerce announced plans to optimize the implementation of the old-for-new policy for consumer goods, aiming to boost consumption of durable goods such as home appliances and automobiles in 2026[9] - Tianjin aims to establish a national brain-computer interface technology innovation center, focusing on key technological breakthroughs and enhancing local innovation capabilities[11] Company Announcements - Dayu Biological expects a net loss of 26 to 30 million for 2025, a decline of 25.3% to 8.59% compared to the previous year due to industry challenges[26] - Shibi Bai forecasts a net profit of 50 to 60 million for 2025, a significant turnaround from a loss of 3.675 million the previous year, driven by increased demand for metal composite materials[27] - Oufu Egg Industry anticipates a net profit of 80 to 92 million for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 75.44% to 101.75% due to expanded production capacity and improved market conditions[28]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight," indicating an expected outperformance of the industry index relative to the benchmark by more than 5% over the next six months [31]. Core Insights - The report highlights a recovery in passenger vehicle demand due to the implementation of subsidy policies, with a positive outlook for the first quarter of 2026. Key players in the high-end electric vehicle segment include Jianghuai Automobile, Geely, Great Wall Motors, BAIC Blue Valley, and others [21]. - In the heavy truck segment, 2025 saw a total wholesale of 1.144 million units, a year-on-year increase of 26.8%. The report anticipates a slight growth in domestic sales for 2026, projecting 800,000 to 850,000 units sold [26]. - The bus market is expected to see growth in 2026, with a conservative estimate of 40,000 units sold, reflecting a 40% year-on-year increase, driven by the continuation of subsidy policies [25]. - The motorcycle market is projected to grow by 14% in 2026, with total sales expected to reach 19.38 million units, including a significant increase in large-displacement motorcycles [22]. Summary by Sections Passenger Vehicles - The report expects a recovery in passenger vehicle demand in Q1 2026, driven by subsidy policies. Key companies to watch include Jianghuai Automobile and Geely, with a focus on high-end electric vehicles [21]. Heavy Trucks - In 2025, the heavy truck market saw a total of 1.144 million units sold, with domestic sales reaching 799,000 units. The report forecasts 800,000 to 850,000 units for 2026, reflecting a 3% year-on-year increase [26]. Buses - The bus market is projected to grow in 2026, with an expected 40% increase in sales to 40,000 units, supported by ongoing subsidy policies [25]. Motorcycles - The motorcycle industry is expected to achieve total sales of 19.38 million units in 2026, a 14% increase, with large-displacement motorcycles projected to grow by 31% [22].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight," indicating an expected outperformance of the industry index relative to the benchmark by more than 5% over the next six months [31]. Core Insights - The report highlights a recovery in passenger vehicle demand due to the implementation of subsidy policies, with a positive outlook for the first quarter of 2026. Key players in the high-end electric vehicle segment include Jianghuai Automobile, Geely, Great Wall Motors, BAIC Blue Valley, and others [21]. - In the heavy truck segment, 2025 saw a total wholesale of 1.144 million units, a year-on-year increase of 26.8%. The report anticipates a slight growth in domestic sales for 2026, projecting 800,000 to 850,000 units sold [26]. - The bus market is expected to see growth in 2026, with a conservative estimate of 40,000 units sold, reflecting a 40% year-on-year increase, driven by the continuation of subsidy policies [25]. - The motorcycle market is projected to grow by 14% in 2026, with total sales expected to reach 19.38 million units, including a significant increase in large-displacement motorcycles [22]. Summary by Sections Passenger Vehicles - The report expects a recovery in passenger vehicle demand in Q1 2026 due to subsidy policies, with a focus on high-end electric vehicles and established export-oriented companies [21]. Heavy Trucks - In 2025, the heavy truck market saw a total of 1.144 million units sold, with domestic sales at 799,000 units and exports at 341,000 units. The report forecasts domestic sales of 800,000 to 850,000 units for 2026, reflecting a 3% year-on-year increase [26]. Buses - The bus market is projected to grow in 2026, with an expected sales volume of 40,000 units, a 40% increase from the previous year, supported by ongoing subsidy policies [25]. Motorcycles - The motorcycle industry is expected to achieve total sales of 19.38 million units in 2026, a 14% increase year-on-year, with large-displacement motorcycles projected to grow by 31% [22].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Increase" rating for the food and beverage industry [1] Core Insights - The food and beverage sector continues to see a decline in holdings, with a shift towards mass-market products. The proportion of active equity funds in the food and beverage sector decreased to 4.04% in Q4 2025, down from 4.18% in Q3 2025, reflecting a 0.14 percentage point decline [9][15] - The report highlights a continued reduction in allocations to alcoholic beverages, while holdings in mass-market products have shown signs of recovery. The proportion of holdings in white liquor decreased by 0.29 percentage points to 2.92% in Q4 2025 [14][17] - Major consumer funds have reduced their allocations to alcoholic beverages, with a notable decrease of 2.22 percentage points in white liquor holdings, while overall food and beverage allocations have increased [17][21] Summary by Sections 1. Food and Beverage Holdings Continue to Decline, Structure Shifts Towards Mass-Market Products - As of Q4 2025, the total scale of active equity fund heavy holdings is approximately 19.4 trillion yuan, with food and beverage holdings at 78.4 billion yuan, reflecting a 9.01% decline [9][10] - The decline in alcoholic beverage holdings is evident, with white liquor allocations decreasing to 2.92% and beer and pre-mixed drinks also seeing slight reductions [14][15] 2. Holdings Become More Diversified, Capturing Marginal Recovery Themes - The number of heavy holdings in the food and beverage sector has become more diversified, with only Kweichow Moutai remaining in the top 20 heavy holdings [24] - The report notes that the top five stocks with the largest increase in heavy holdings include Baba Foods, Yingjia Gongjiu, Youran Dairy, Ximai Foods, and Modern Animal Husbandry [28][29] 3. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests five key directions for investment: focusing on functional health foods, improving supply chains and product/channel resonance in leading snack companies, expanding quality retail formats, investing in long-lifecycle beverage leaders, and tracking sectors with potential recovery such as dairy and large-scale dining [10][29]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Increase" rating for the food and beverage industry [1] Core Insights - The food and beverage sector continues to see a decline in holdings, with a shift towards mass-market products. The proportion of active equity funds in the food and beverage sector decreased to 4.04% in Q4 2025, down 0.14 percentage points from the previous quarter [9][15] - The report highlights a continued reduction in allocations to alcoholic beverages, while holdings in mass-market products have shown signs of recovery. The proportion of holdings in white liquor decreased by 0.29 percentage points to 2.92% in Q4 2025 [14][17] - The report emphasizes the importance of capturing valuation switching opportunities in five key areas: health food and supplements, leading snack brands, quality retail chains, beverage leaders with long life cycles, and sectors expected to recover from downturns, particularly dairy [29][30] Summary by Sections 1. Holdings Decline and Shift Towards Mass-Market Products - Active equity funds' holdings in the food and beverage sector decreased by 9.01% to 784 billion yuan in Q4 2025, with a total market value of approximately 1.94 trillion yuan [9][10] - The decline in holdings is attributed to a preference for technology and other sectors, while the alcoholic beverage sector continues to face downward pressure [10][14] 2. Increased Diversification in Holdings - The number of heavily held stocks in the food and beverage sector has become more diversified, with only Kweichow Moutai remaining in the top 20 heavy holdings [24][28] - The report notes that the top five stocks with the largest increase in heavy holdings include Baba Foods, Yingjia Gongjiu, Youran Dairy, Ximai Foods, and Modern Dairy [28][29] 3. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on five areas for investment: innovative health food, leading snack brands, quality retail chains, beverage leaders, and sectors expected to recover from downturns [29][30] - It emphasizes the need to pay attention to the health food sector, which is expected to benefit from an expanding consumer base and product innovation [29][30]

2025 年业绩预告点评：订单兑现收入高增， 继续看好 AI ASIC 产业趋势 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 2,338 | 2,322 | 3,154 | 5,661 | 8,612 | | 同比（%） | (12.73) | (0.69) | 35.84 | 79.49 | 52.11 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | (296.47) | (600.88) | (448.92) | 315.20 | 805.06 | | 同比（%） | (501.64) | (102.68) | 25.29 | 170.21 | 155.41 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | (0.56) | (1.14) | (0.85) | 0.60 | 1.53 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | (366.46) | (180.81) | (242.01) | 344.67 | 134.95 | [Ta ...

| [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 2,338 | 2,322 | 3,154 | 5,661 | 8,612 | | 同比（%） | (12.73) | (0.69) | 35.84 | 79.49 | 52.11 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | (296.47) | (600.88) | (448.92) | 315.20 | 805.06 | | 同比（%） | (501.64) | (102.68) | 25.29 | 170.21 | 155.41 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | (0.56) | (1.14) | (0.85) | 0.60 | 1.53 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | (366.46) | (180.81) | (242.01) | 344.67 | 134.95 | 证券研究报告·公司点评报告·半导体 芯原股份（688521） 2025 年业绩预告点评：订单兑现收入高 ...

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