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环保行业跟踪周报:中央经济工作会议强化双碳转型,优质运营资产迎市场化改革、国际化拓展-20251215
Soochow Securities· 2025-12-15 11:04
证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·环保 环保行业跟踪周报 中央经济工作会议强化双碳转型,优质运营 资产迎市场化改革&国际化拓展 增持(维持) [Table_Tag] [投资要点 Table_Summary] 2025 年 12 月 15 日 证券分析师 袁理 执业证书:S0600511080001 021-60199782 yuanl@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 陈孜文 执业证书:S0600523070006 chenzw@dwzq.com.cn 研究助理 田源 执业证书:S0600125040008 tiany@dwzq.com.cn -14% -10% -6% -2% 2% 6% 10% 14% 18% 2024/12/16 2025/4/16 2025/8/15 2025/12/14 环保 沪深300 相关研究 《东吴证券环保行业 2026 年年度策 略》 2025-12-13 《上实优质资产低估,高能 H 股上市 推进,龙净受益 26 年环保专项资金预 算提前下达》 2025-12-08 东吴证券研究所 1/26 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 行业走势 ◼ 重点推荐:瀚蓝环境,龙净环保,高能环境 ...
港股、海外周观察:港股和美股在跌什么?
Soochow Securities· 2025-12-15 06:53
Group 1 - The report suggests that the Hong Kong stock market is at a rebound stage, with attractive long-term positioning [1] - There is a cautious approach from southbound funds, with a consensus for a strong policy opening in Q1 next year, particularly favoring non-ferrous metals and technology sectors [1][2] - The report emphasizes the need for controlling positions in the Hong Kong market and preparing for a rebound by selecting technology growth stocks [1] Group 2 - In the US market, the Nasdaq fell by 1.6%, while the S&P 500 and Dow Jones experienced declines of 0.6% and an increase of 1.0%, respectively [1] - The Federal Reserve's recent interest rate cut has led to increased internal divisions regarding future rate cuts, with some officials expressing caution [2][3] - Employment pressures are evident, with initial jobless claims rising to 236,000, indicating potential economic uncertainty [3] Group 3 - Concerns regarding the technology sector have intensified, particularly following disappointing earnings reports from Oracle and Broadcom, which have raised doubts about the AI market's growth potential [5] - The report indicates that the US stock market is expected to remain on an upward trajectory driven by economic fundamentals and corporate earnings resilience [6] - The report highlights that the current rapid rise in US stocks is primarily due to sustained profit growth rather than speculative behavior [6] Group 4 - The report notes that global stock ETF inflows have slowed, with a net inflow of $24.644 billion and marginal outflows of $9.149 billion [8] - Emerging markets saw a 0.3% increase, while developed markets experienced a 0.2% decline [8] - The report identifies that the materials, utilities, and technology sectors saw the highest net inflows, while financials and consumer staples faced the most significant outflows [8]
燃气Ⅱ行业跟踪周报:天气转暖美国气价回落、库存提取欧洲气价上行-20251215
Soochow Securities· 2025-12-15 06:31
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" investment rating for the gas industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights that warmer weather has led to a decrease in US gas prices by 22%, while European gas prices have increased by 3.7% due to inventory withdrawals [10][15] - It emphasizes the overall supply adequacy in the domestic market, with a week-on-week decrease in domestic gas prices by 1.6% [24] - The report discusses the ongoing price adjustment progress across cities, indicating a potential for profit recovery and valuation restoration for city gas companies [33] Price Tracking - As of December 12, 2025, the week-on-week price changes for various gas prices are as follows: US HH down 22%, European TTF up 3.7%, East Asia JKM down 1.7%, China LNG ex-factory price down 1.6%, and China LNG CIF price down 6.9% [10][11] - The report notes that the average gas consumption in Europe for the first nine months of 2025 was 313.8 billion cubic meters, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 4.1% [16] Supply and Demand Analysis - The report indicates that as of December 5, 2025, US gas storage levels decreased by 1,770 billion cubic feet to 37,460 billion cubic feet, showing no year-on-year change [15] - In Europe, gas supply increased by 26.5% week-on-week to 116,966 GWh, with significant contributions from inventory consumption and LNG receiving stations [16] - Domestic gas apparent consumption for the first ten months of 2025 increased by 0.7% year-on-year to 354.1 billion cubic meters [24] Pricing Mechanism Progress - The report states that 67% of cities have implemented residential pricing adjustments, with an average increase of 0.22 yuan per cubic meter [33] - It highlights that the pricing gap for leading city gas companies has room for a 10% recovery, indicating ongoing price adjustments [33] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies that can optimize costs and benefit from the ongoing price adjustments, such as Xin'ao Energy, China Gas, and Kunlun Energy, all with attractive dividend yields [5] - It suggests monitoring companies with quality long-term contracts and flexible scheduling capabilities, such as Jiufeng Energy and Xin'ao Shares [5] - The report also emphasizes the importance of energy independence and suggests关注 companies with gas production capabilities like New Natural Gas and Blue Flame Holdings [5]
恒银科技(603106):与沐曦达成战略合作,转型金融AI算力平台
Soochow Securities· 2025-12-15 06:29
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company has entered a strategic partnership with Muxi to transform into a financial AI computing platform, focusing on the delivery of AI servers and integrated training machines for financial, governmental, and energy sectors [7] - The collaboration aims to enhance the integration of domestic GPU technology into banking applications, improving operational efficiency and security [7] - The company is expected to see a significant increase in revenue, with projections of 5.0 billion, 6.3 billion, and 8.0 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting a growth rate of 15.30%, 23.98%, and 28.56% [1][7] Financial Projections - Total revenue is projected to be 426.69 million RMB in 2023, increasing to 504.38 million RMB in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 15.30% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to recover from a loss of 207.97 million RMB in 2023 to a profit of 36.28 million RMB in 2025 [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to improve from -0.40 RMB in 2023 to 0.07 RMB in 2025 [1] Market Data - The current closing price of the stock is 11.10 RMB, with a market capitalization of 5,777.77 million RMB [5] - The stock has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 144.00 for 2024, which is expected to decrease to 67.77 by 2027 [1][8] Strategic Outlook - The partnership with Muxi is anticipated to enhance the company's capabilities in providing AI solutions, transitioning from hardware sales to a model focused on continuous service and solution revenue [7] - The company is also looking to expand its international market presence, moving from terminal exports to providing comprehensive computing solutions, which could significantly increase its market share in overseas financial sectors [7]
佐力药业(300181):收购未来医药资产组,产品管线持续丰富
Soochow Securities· 2025-12-15 06:05
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company is acquiring a quality asset group from Future Pharmaceuticals for a total price of RMB 356 million, which includes various injectable products and their associated rights [7] - The acquisition is expected to enrich the company's product pipeline and enhance profitability, particularly in the pediatric medication sector [7] - The company has successfully defended against a lawsuit, which is anticipated to remove valuation pressure on its products [7] - The core products, including the Wuling and Bailing series, are expected to see steady growth in production and sales, supported by a planned issuance of convertible bonds for capacity expansion [7] - The company's projected net profit for 2025 is RMB 660 million, with upward adjustments for 2026 and 2027 net profits to RMB 910 million and RMB 1.13 billion, respectively [7] Financial Projections - Total revenue is forecasted to grow from RMB 2.58 billion in 2024 to RMB 4.52 billion in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 16.25% [1][8] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from RMB 508 million in 2024 to RMB 1.13 billion in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of 24.22% [1][8] - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to rise from RMB 0.72 in 2024 to RMB 1.61 in 2027 [1][8] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to decrease from 23.83 in 2024 to 10.72 in 2027, indicating improving valuation metrics [1][8]
建筑材料行业跟踪周报:震荡期红利资产或受青睐-20251215
Soochow Securities· 2025-12-15 02:58
证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·建筑材料 建筑材料行业跟踪周报 震荡期红利资产或受青睐 2025 年 12 月 15 日 增持(维持) [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 证券分析师 黄诗涛 执业证书:S0600521120004 huangshitao@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 石峰源 执业证书:S0600521120001 shify@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 -10% -7% -4% -1% 2% 5% 8% 11% 14% 17% 20% 2024/12/16 2025/4/15 2025/8/13 2025/12/11 建筑材料 沪深300 相关研究 《2026 年建材行业年度策略:玻纤粗 纱和电子布景气有望共振》 2025-12-12 《阶段性关注内需链条》 2025-12-08 东吴证券研究所 1 / 19 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 本周(2025.12.6–2025.12.12,下同):本周建筑材料板块(SW)涨跌幅 -1.41%,同期沪深 300、万得全 A 指数涨跌幅分别为-0.08%、0.26%,超 额收益分别为-1.33%、-1. ...
商贸零售行业跟踪周报:商务部谋划“十五五”时期零售业高质量发展,关注品质零售转型机遇-20251215
Soochow Securities· 2025-12-15 02:40
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the retail industry [1] Core Views - The Ministry of Commerce plans to promote high-quality development and innovation transformation in the retail industry during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, emphasizing the importance of retail as a foundational industry in the national economy [9][10] - The report highlights a positive outlook on the upgrade of quality retail, indicating that 2025 will be a significant year for retail transformation, with traditional retailers expected to enhance product and service quality through reforms [10] - There is a focus on the development of lower-tier markets, where competition is less intense and quality supply is limited, allowing retail companies to thrive by improving quality [10] Weekly Industry Insights - The report notes that from December 8 to December 14, the Shenwan retail index decreased by 0.21%, while the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.34% [11] - Year-to-date performance shows the Shenwan retail index has increased by 2.97%, compared to a 16.04% rise in the Shanghai Composite Index [11] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends leading supermarket reform company Yonghui Supermarket and Miniso, which has strong capabilities in lower-tier markets, as key investment targets [10] - Other companies to watch include Huijia Times, Bubugao, and Xinhua Department Store, which are also undergoing store reforms [10] Company Valuation Table - The report includes a valuation table for various companies in the retail sector, providing insights into market capitalization, closing prices, and projected earnings [17]
汽车周观点:重申汽车行业价格行为监管,继续看好汽车板块-20251215
Soochow Securities· 2025-12-15 02:29
证券研究报告 汽车周观点: 重申汽车行业价格行为监管,继续看好汽车板块 证券分析师 :黄细里 执业证书编号:S0600520010001 联系邮箱:huangxl@dwzq.com.cn 2025年12月15日 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 核心结论 注:若无特殊说明,"本周"均代表2025.12.8-2025.12.14 2 ◼ 本周细分板块涨跌幅排序:SW摩托车及其他(+1.7%) >SW商用载客车(+1.4%) >SW汽车(+0.2%) =SW乘用车(+0.2%) > SW商用载货车(-0.3%) 。本周已覆盖标的 春风动力、旭升集团、长城汽车、恒帅股份、德赛西威涨幅前五。 ( ◼ 本周团队研究成果:外发零部件、智能化、商用车2026年策略报告。 ◼ 本周行业核心变化:1) 2025年12月12日国家市场监督管理总局发布《汽车行业价 格行为合规指南(征求意见稿)》 ;2)中央经济工作会议召开,优化"两新"政策 实施;3)隆鑫通用公告与智元机器人合作,双方重点聚焦工业制造、智能出行两大 核心赛道,建设L2级、L3级产品产线,加快研发更适合于摩托车和通机制造场景的 "具身智能装备"和"具身智能产品";4 ...
万通液压(920839):系列报告之二:极客精神传动全球,油气弹簧驱动底盘新变革
Soochow Securities· 2025-12-15 02:22
证券研究报告·北交所公司深度报告·工程机械 万通液压(920839) 万通液压系列报告之二——极客精神传动全 球,油气弹簧驱动底盘新变革 买入(维持) | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 668.54 | 628.51 | 740.12 | 913.26 | 1,163.20 | | 同比 | 32.46 | (5.99) | 17.76 | 23.39 | 27.37 | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 79.35 | 108.72 | 144.08 | 184.97 | 242.18 | | 同比 | 25.28 | 37.02 | 32.52 | 28.38 | 30.93 | | EPS-最新摊薄(元/股) | 0.67 | 0.92 | 1.22 | 1.56 | 2.05 | | P/E(现价&最新摊薄) | 68.89 | 50.28 | 37.94 | 29.55 | 22.57 | wual@dwz ...
东吴证券晨会纪要-20251215
Soochow Securities· 2025-12-15 01:06
东吴证券晨会纪要 东吴证券晨会纪要 2025-12-15 宏观策略 [Table_MacroStrategy] 宏观点评 20251211:苦练内功,挖掘经济潜能——学习中央经济工作精 神 中央经济工作会议 12 月 10 日至 11 日在北京举行。 1、形势判断:外 部挑战常态化,内部更注重"供强需弱"矛盾。对比去年提到的困难和问 题,今年会议提出了外部挑战、供强需弱、风险隐患等三个问题。相比之 下,对外部压力的判断与去年保持一致,均强调"加深",说明外部环境 的恶化(如经贸摩擦)已成常态化挑战。在国内经济方面,去年更强调"需 求不足"的一面,今年则提出"供强需弱矛盾突出",更注重供需平衡关 系。尽管存在上述问题,但我们发展的信心没有变,"这些大多是发展中、 转型中的问题,经过努力是可以解决的,我国经济长期向好的支撑条件和 基本趋势没有改变"。 风险提示:政策落地节奏不及预期;关税事件反复 和出口下行风险;经济基本面发生变化。 宏观点评 20251211: 12 月 FOMC:轻量扩表启动,发布会信号偏鸽— —2025 年 12 月 FOMC 会议点评 证券研究报告 核心观点:12 月 FOMC 如期降息 ...