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药明生物:在充满挑战的环境中保持强劲的性能
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2024-08-23 03:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for WuXi Bio, reflecting a potential upside in the stock price despite geopolitical uncertainties [1]. Core Insights - WuXi Bio reported a revenue of RMB 8.57 billion for the first half of fiscal year 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 1.0%. The adjusted net profit attributable to the parent company was RMB 2.25 billion, a decline of 20.7% year-on-year [1]. - The company has confirmed its full-year guidance for 2024, expecting both revenue and adjusted net profit to achieve high single-digit growth [1]. - Strong demand from overseas clients is evident, with 61 new integrated projects added in the first half of 2024, including 52 preclinical and 5 I/II clinical projects [1]. - The bioconjugate business has emerged as a significant growth driver, with WuXi XDC's revenue increasing by 68% and adjusted net profit soaring by 147% in the first half of 2024 [1]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Revenue for FY 2024 is projected at RMB 17.86 billion, with a year-on-year growth rate of 4.9% [2]. - Adjusted net profit for FY 2024 is estimated at RMB 4.51 billion, reflecting a decline of 4.1% year-on-year [2]. - The company’s earnings per share (adjusted) for FY 2024 is expected to be RMB 1.09, with a projected P/E ratio of 8.8x [2][8]. Market Dynamics - North America accounted for 58.4% of total revenue in the first half of 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 27.5%, primarily driven by U.S. clients [1]. - The total order backlog remained stable at USD 20.11 billion, with a 4% growth over three years [1]. Valuation - The target price has been adjusted from HKD 18.32 to HKD 13.58, indicating a potential decline of 30.6% from the current price of HKD 10.40 [2]. - The report utilizes a 10-year DCF model with a WACC of 10.95% and a terminal growth rate of 2.0% [1][9].
万物云:1H24 错过 , 提高了 div 。再次支付至核心净利润的 100 %
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2024-08-23 03:23
23 Aug 2024 CMB 国际全球市场 | 股票研究 | 公司更新 奥尼沃 ( 2602 香港 )1H24 错过 , 提高了 div 。再次支付至 100 % 核心净利润 Onewo 的 1H24 收益低于市场预期 , 但该公司提高了 股息支付率从核心净利润的 30% 到 100% (55% 中期股息 + 45% 特殊 div.) , 基于 22 日的收盘价 , div 收益率为 9.1% 8 月假设全年没有特别股息支付。 1H24 收入增长 同比增长 9.6% , 毛利率 ( GPM ) 收缩 1.4 个百分点至 13.6% , 净利润 同比下降 23% 。我们的主要发现是 : 1 )住宅 PM 和 Bpaas 尽管行业条件充满挑战 , 但仍为公司提供了至关重要的支持。 2)商业 PM 在 1H24 面临挑战 , 收入增长伴随 毛利率下降 , 主要是由于降价以吸引客户和 在疲软的经济环境中成为 AR 的主要来源。3)AIoT 收入受到开发商相关问题的严重影响 , 短期 扩展到非开发者客户端 , 导致 GP 和 AR 的潜在增加。4)城市服务保持盈利 , 但将 也增加了 AR 负担。我们预计开发人员将继 ...
药明生物:Robust performance in a challenging environment
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2024-08-23 02:44
Investment Rating - Maintain BUY with a target price of HK$13.58, down from the previous target price of HK$18.32, indicating a potential upside of 30.6% from the current price of HK$10.40 [2][3]. Core Insights - WuXi Biologics reported a revenue of RMB8.57 billion for 1H24, reflecting a 1.0% year-over-year increase, while adjusted attributable net income decreased by 20.7% year-over-year to RMB2.25 billion [2]. - The company added 61 integrated projects in 1H24, the second-highest in its history, indicating strong demand recovery from overseas customers, particularly in North America where revenue grew by 27.5% year-over-year [2]. - The bioconjugate business, WuXi XDC, saw a significant revenue increase of 68% year-over-year in 1H24, with adjusted net profit surging by 147% year-over-year [2]. - Despite geopolitical uncertainties, management has reaffirmed its full-year guidance for 2024, expecting high-single-digit growth in both revenue and adjusted attributable net income [2]. Financial Summary - For FY24E, revenue is projected at RMB17.863 billion, with a year-over-year growth of 4.9%, while adjusted net profit is expected to decrease by 4.1% to RMB4.508 billion [3][7]. - The company’s revenue growth is forecasted to accelerate in FY25E and FY26E, with expected increases of 11.7% and 12.7% respectively [3][7]. - The adjusted EPS for FY24E is estimated at RMB1.09, with a consensus EPS of RMB0.92 for the same period [3][8]. Valuation Metrics - The adjusted P/E ratio is projected to be 8.8x for FY24E, decreasing to 7.0x by FY26E, indicating a potentially undervalued stock [3][11]. - The DCF valuation suggests a terminal value of RMB87.569 billion, with a WACC of 10.95% and a terminal growth rate of 2.0% [9].
万物云:1H24 missed, raised div. payout again to 100% of core net profit
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2024-08-23 02:44
23 Aug 2024 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update Onewo (2602 HK) | --- | --- | --- | --- | |----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ...
石药集团:Legacy products faced pricing pressures
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2024-08-23 02:44
23 Aug 2024 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update CSPC Pharmaceutical (1093 HK) HK) Legacy products faced pricing pressures Moderate growth in 1H24. In 1H24, CSPC's total revenue increased by 1.3% YoY to RMB16.28bn and the attributable net profit increased by 1.8% YoY to RMB3.02bn, accounting for 46% and 45% of our previous full-year estimates. For 2Q24, the total revenue was RMB5.99bn (-8.1% YoY, -20.8% QoQ) and the attributable net profit was RMB2.19bn (+42.2% YoY, +35.7% QoQ ...
韦尔股份:1H24业绩稳健,CIS业务持续复苏
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2024-08-23 02:40
2024 年 8 月 23 日 招银国际环球市场 | 睿智投资 | 公司更新 韦尔股份 (603501 CH) 1H24 业绩稳健,CIS 业务持续复苏 韦尔股份公布了 2024 年上半年业绩。上半年收入同比增长 36.5%至 120 亿元人 民币,净利润较去年同期的低基数(1.53 亿元人民币)同比增长 790%至 13.7 亿元人民币。按季度来看,公司二季度收入为 64 亿元人民币(同比增长 42.5%,环比增长 14.2%,符合彭博一致预期),创历史新高。二季度净利润为 8.09 亿元人民币,环比增长 45.1%(2023 年二季度为净亏损)。公司二季度毛 利率提升至 30.2%(上季度和去年同期分别为 27.9%、17.3%)。毛利率的改善 表明公司业务正在稳步恢复。同时,得益于成本结构的持续优化,二季度净利润 率上升至 12.6%(上季度和去年同期分别为 9.9%、-1%)。管理层认为,公司 的强劲业绩主要得益于:1)2024 年上半年消费市场的逐步复苏;2)公司产品 在高端智能手机市场(尤其是国内安卓机型)上的份额提升、以及汽车 CIS 销 售的持续增长;3)产品组合优化推动毛利率改善。维持 "买 ...
瑞声科技:骑上新的升级周期 ; 升级购买
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2024-08-23 02:23
23 Aug 2024 CMB 国际全球市场 | 股票研究 | 公司更新 AAC Tech ( 2018 香港 )骑上新的升级周期 ; 升级购买 (上一个 TP HK$37.80 HK$22.44) 21.0% 我们将 AAC 升级为基于 SOTP 的 TP 为 37.8 港元 ( 25 财年市盈率为 19.6 倍 ) , 因为我们相信声学 / 光学 / 触觉和即将到来的 AI 的规范升级 智能手机周期将推动收益增长至 FY25 / 26E 。 AAC 的 1H24 营收 / 净利润同比增长 22% / 257% 超市场预期 , 。 得益于强劲的利润率恢复 (同比 + 7.4 个百分点 / + 2.3 个百分点) , 更好 声学 / 光学 / PM 和 PSS 整合的产品组合。对于 FY24E , 管理层。 在 GPM HoH 扩张的推动下 , 销售额同比增长 15% ( 不包括 PSS ) 通过 : 1 ) 光学 : 更好的 HSL / HCM ASP / 出货量 , 并将 GPM 提高到 4Q24E , 2 ) 声学 : SLS / Combo 产品渗透 , 3 ) 触觉 / 外壳 / 铰链 : 高 最终 ...
百度:More aggressive in Gen-AI empowered ads business transformation
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2024-08-23 02:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a BUY rating for Baidu with a target price of US$180.50, down from the previous target of US$183.00, indicating an upside potential of 101.1% from the current price of US$89.74 [3]. Core Insights - Baidu's 2Q24 revenue was RMB33.9 billion, a slight decline of 0.4% year-over-year, aligning with Bloomberg consensus. Non-GAAP net income was RMB7.4 billion, exceeding consensus by 9% due to effective control over sales and marketing expenses [2]. - The company is focusing on enhancing user experience through Gen-AI generated results, prioritizing this over short-term monetization, which may temporarily hinder ad revenue growth but is expected to improve long-term monetization prospects [2][10]. - Non-ad revenue grew by 10% year-over-year to RMB7.5 billion, now accounting for 28.2% of Baidu Core revenue, driven by AI-related GPU cloud revenue and cross-selling of CPU cloud services [2]. Financial Performance - In 2Q24, Baidu Core's online ads revenue was RMB19.2 billion, down 2.2% year-over-year, but slightly better than consensus expectations. The company anticipates a further decline in ad revenue growth in the near term, projecting a 3.4% year-over-year decline to RMB19.0 billion in 3Q24E [2][7]. - Baidu Core's gross profit margin (GPM) was 59.4% in 2Q24, down 1.1 percentage points year-over-year, while non-GAAP operating profit margin (OPM) improved to 26.1%, exceeding consensus by 1.4 percentage points due to stringent cost control [2][7]. Valuation and Forecast - The SOTP-based target price of US$180.5 reflects a valuation of US$71.6 for Baidu Core, US$1.8 for Apollo ASD, US$32.2 for Baidu Cloud, and US$64.1 in net cash. The valuation for iQIYI and other investments is set at US$10.8 [10][11]. - Revenue forecasts for FY24E, FY25E, and FY26E are RMB135.8 billion, RMB146.9 billion, and RMB157.9 billion respectively, with adjusted net profit estimates of RMB27.96 billion, RMB28.72 billion, and RMB31.94 billion [6][9].
瑞声科技:Riding on new upgrade cycle; Upgrade to BUY
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2024-08-23 02:11
23 Aug 2024 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update AAC Tech (2018 HK) Riding on new upgrade cycle; Upgrade to BUY We upgrade AAC to BUY with SOTP-based TP of HK$37.8 (19.6x FY25E P/E), as we believe spec upgrade in acoustics/optics/haptics and upcoming AI smartphone cycle will boost earnings growth into FY25/26E. AAC's 1H24 revenue/net profit growth of 22%/257% YoY is ahead of market expectations, thanks to stronger margin recovery (+7.4 ppts YoY/+2.3 ppts HoH), better product m ...
韦尔股份:1H24 业绩稳健 , CIS 业务持续复苏
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2024-08-22 14:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Willsemi, with a target price adjusted to RMB 115.39, based on a 2024E price-to-earnings ratio of 40.7 times [1][2]. Core Insights - Willsemi reported a robust performance in 1H24, with revenue increasing by 36.5% year-on-year to RMB 12 billion and net profit soaring by 790% to RMB 13.7 billion, attributed to improved consumer sentiment and growth in high-end smartphone and automotive CIS markets [1][2]. - The company's CIS sales in mobile, automotive, IoT, and medical sectors showed strong growth, with year-on-year increases of 78.5%, 53.0%, 77.8%, and 41.6% respectively, despite a decline in security and notebook sectors [1][2]. - The report anticipates a 15% growth in CIS sales for the second half of 2024, projecting an annual growth rate of 29% for the year [1]. Financial Summary - Revenue is projected to reach RMB 26.1 billion in FY24, with a year-on-year growth rate of 24.3%. The gross profit margin is expected to be 29.7% [3][9]. - Net profit for FY24 is estimated at RMB 3.37 billion, reflecting a significant year-on-year increase of 507.2% [3][9]. - The report indicates a gradual recovery in the touch/display business, with a forecasted return to growth starting in 2025 due to the introduction of low-power and automotive-grade products [2][3]. Market Performance - Willsemi's sales in the CIS segment for the first half of 2024 continued to show strong momentum, with a 49.8% year-on-year increase in sales to the CIS market [1][2]. - The report highlights the company's leading position in the market and ongoing market share growth, despite a challenging overall market environment [2][3].