Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for the company, with a new target price of HK$24.80, implying a 37.8% upside from the current price of HK$18.00 [4][6]. Core Insights - The company experienced a positive VNB growth of +30.7% YoY in 1Q24, outperforming peers such as China Life and Ping An [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders grew by +1.1% YoY to RMB 11.8 billion in 1Q24, marking a turnaround after three consecutive quarters of decline [2][9]. - The insurer's life underwriting focus has shifted back to agency distribution, with agency FYP increasing by +31.3% YoY [2][10]. - The bancassurance channel faced challenges, with FYP declining by -21.8% YoY, although this was an improvement from a -54.6% decline in the previous quarter [2][11]. - The report highlights the potential for margin expansion due to the ongoing Changhang Transformation initiated in 2022 [2][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company's net profit for FY23 was RMB 27.9 billion, with an expected increase to RMB 32.2 billion in FY24 [3]. - The EPS is projected to rise from RMB 2.83 in FY23 to RMB 3.30 in FY24 [3][15]. - The company reported a total insurance revenue of RMB 266.2 billion in FY23, with an expected increase to RMB 281.6 billion in FY24 [14]. Valuation Metrics - The stock is currently trading at 0.29x FY24E P/EV and 0.61x FY24E P/BV, with the new target price implying 0.40x FY24E P/EV and 0.84x FY24E P/BV [6][7]. - The report indicates a conglomerate discount of 10% applied to the valuation [5]. Operational Metrics - The company's first-year premiums (FYP) for 1Q24 were RMB 32.8 billion, a slight increase of +0.4% YoY [2][11]. - The agency channel's FYRP and FYSP grew by +25.4% and +44.5% YoY, respectively, indicating a strong recovery in agency productivity [2][10]. - The combined ratio for P&C insurance improved slightly to 98.0% in 1Q24 from 98.4% in 1Q23 [12]. Investment Performance - The net investment results showed a decline of -26.1% YoY, primarily due to a drop in net interest income and a shift from a gain to a loss in investment income [2][9]. - The total investment assets increased by 4.2% YoY to RMB 2,344.8 billion [13]. Solvency Ratios - The core solvency ratio for CPIC Life was reported at 107.9% in 1Q24, down from 117.0% in 4Q23 [11]. - The comprehensive solvency ratio was 195.8% in 1Q24, reflecting a decrease from 209.8% in the previous quarter [11].

M N 6 May 2024 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update United Energy (467 HK) Expect volume growth to accelerate in 2024E Target Price HK$0.96 We believe the low volume growth in 2023 and the impairment of Iraq assets (Previous TP HK$1.45) have been gradually digested by the market. We slash our 2024E/25E earnings Up/Downside 50.0% forecast by 26%/28% due to lower oil & gas output and higher production cost Current Price HK$0.64 assumptions. On the positive side, we expect the co ...

M N 2 May 2024 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update Henlius Biotech (2696 HK) Strong product sales in 1Q  Strong sales maintained in 1Q24. Henlius Biotech (Henlius) recorded total Target Price HK$20.33 revenue of RMB1.349bn in 1Q24, up 35% YoY. Of this, HANQUYOU’s sales in (Previous TP HK$18.67) China was RMB671mn (+25% YoY, -4% QoQ), which accounted for 23% of our Up/Downside 21.2% previous FY24 estimate. In 1Q24, serplulimab (PD-1) experienced robust Current Price HK$16.78 ...

M N 2 May 2024 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update Yum China (9987 HK) 2Q24E is tough but turnaround is still possible o The 1Q24 results of Yum China were satisfactory, however the catering industry Target Price HK$348.13 remain subdued and hence we have become more cautious about YUMC’s (Previous TP HK$384.17) 2Q24E outlook. But since the turnaround in 2H24E should still be intact, plus Up/Downside 18.3% the massive buyback and dividend payment, we continue to maintain BUY. ...

M N 2 May 2024 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update Joinn Laboratories (6127 HK) Waiting longer for recovery to materialize Target Price HK$10.36 Joinn reported 1Q24 revenue of RMB325mn, down 12.1% YoY, and booked (Previous TP HK$14.41) attributable net loss of RMB272mn, a significant downturn from an attributable Up/Downside 24.6% net profit of RMB188mn in 1Q23. The 1Q24 revenue accounted for 13.4% of Current Price HK$8.31 our full-year estimate, in line with its historical a ...

M N 2 May 2024 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update WuXi AppTec (603259 CH) Steady 1Q performance amid challenging environment Target Price RMB53.23 WuXi AppTec reported 1Q24 revenue of RMB7,982mn, down 11.0% YoY, (Previous TP RMB67.53) attributable recurring net profit of RMB2,034mn, up 7.3% YoY, and attributable Up/Downside 21.9% adjusted non-IFRS net profit of RMB1,913mn, down 18.3% YoY. 1Q24 revenue Current Price RMB43.67 / adjusted Non-IFRS net income accounted for 20.4%/ ...

PMI 显示经济放缓但物价反弹 2024 年 5 月 6 日 200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |---------|-------|------------------|-------|-------|-------|-------|-------|-------|-------|-------|---------------------------------------------------------------------------------|----------------------------------------------| | 图 1: | | 非制造业与制造业 | PMI | | | | | | | | 图 2: 产出指数 | | | 70 | | | | | | | | | | 75 | | | | 65 | ...

M N 30 Apr 2024 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update Weichai Power (000338 CH) 1Q24 net profit +40% YoY in line; solid growth outlook Target Price RMB20.40 While Weichai Power (Weichai)’s revenue growth of 6% YoY in 1Q24 is below (Previous TP RMB20.40) our expectation, net profit of RMB2.6bn (+40% YoY) accounted for 21.4% of our Up/Downside 15.0% full-year estimates (run rate in 1Q23: 20.5%), which is still in line with our Current Price RMB17.74 expectation. The earnings grow ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for Weichai Power with a target price of HK$22.00, indicating a potential upside of 33.3% from the current price of HK$16.50 [4]. Core Insights - Weichai Power's net profit for 1Q24 increased by 40% year-on-year to RMB2.6 billion, driven by margin expansion in both its core business and KION Group [2]. - The revenue growth of 6% year-on-year to RMB56.4 billion in 1Q24 was below expectations, but the earnings growth was in line with forecasts [2]. - The company is positioned as a sector top pick due to its significant market share in natural gas engines and the expected structural growth from high-speed large-bore engines [2]. Financial Performance Summary - 1Q24 revenue was RMB56.4 billion, with a gross margin expansion of 3.4 percentage points year-on-year to 22.1% [2][6]. - Pre-tax profit surged by 58% year-on-year to RMB4.2 billion, with the core business and KION reporting growth rates of 45% and 93% respectively [2]. - Operating cash flow improved significantly to RMB1.6 billion in 1Q24, compared to an outflow of RMB471 million in 1Q23 [2]. KION Group Performance - KION, in which Weichai holds a 46.5% stake, reported an adjusted EBIT of EUR227 million in 1Q24, a 46% increase year-on-year, attributed to easing cost pressures [2][7]. - KION has set a full-year adjusted EBIT target of EUR790-940 million, reflecting a potential growth of 0-19% year-on-year [2][7]. Market Position and Sales - Weichai's multi-cylinder engine sales grew by 13% year-on-year to 206,000 units in 1Q24, outperforming the industry average, which saw a decline of approximately 1% [2][8]. - The company holds a market share of around 18% in the multi-cylinder engine segment, an increase of 2.3 percentage points year-on-year [2][8]. Earnings Forecast - Revenue projections for Weichai Power are as follows: FY24E at RMB236.3 billion, FY25E at RMB250.1 billion, and FY26E at RMB260.0 billion, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 10.4%, 5.8%, and 4.0% [3][13]. - Adjusted net profit estimates are RMB12.1 billion for FY24E, RMB13.1 billion for FY25E, and RMB13.8 billion for FY26E, reflecting growth rates of 34.4%, 7.7%, and 5.5% respectively [3][13].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a BUY rating for BYD with a target price of HK$262.00, indicating a potential upside of 21.1% from the current price of HK$216.40 [3][7]. Core Insights - Despite a net profit of RMB 4.6 billion in 1Q24 falling short of prior forecasts due to significant R&D spending of RMB 10.6 billion, BYD is still expected to meet the FY24E net profit forecast of RMB 33 billion [7]. - The report highlights that BYD's gross profit margin (GPM) in 1Q24 was better than expected, suggesting that price cuts implemented in February 2024 could be offset by cost reductions from suppliers [7]. - The forecast for FY24 sales volume growth of 20% remains achievable, supported by recent stimulus measures and overseas expansion [7]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for FY24E are set at RMB 700,048 million, with expected growth to RMB 800,518 million in FY25E and RMB 884,971 million in FY26E [5][10]. - Net profit estimates for FY24E are RMB 33,109 million, increasing to RMB 40,173 million in FY25E and RMB 45,095 million in FY26E [5][10]. - The gross margin is projected to be 20.1% for FY24E, slightly decreasing to 19.5% in FY25E and 19.3% in FY26E [5][10]. Earnings and Valuation - The report indicates that BYD's earnings quality has not been prioritized in 1Q24, with expectations for more disciplined management of SG&A and R&D expenses in upcoming quarters [7]. - The net profit per vehicle in 1Q24 was RMB 7,300, which is lower than the previous quarter, reflecting the impact of price cuts on profitability [7]. - The report maintains FY24-25E net profit estimates largely unchanged while revising up both GPM and SG&A [7].