Investment Rating - Buy rating with a target price of HKD 3.20, representing a 35% upside from the current price of HKD 2.37 [2][5] Core Views - The company's energy equipment business has shown a recovery in profitability, with strong growth momentum expected in the future [2] - Revenue in H1 2024 increased by 25.6% YoY to RMB 17.04 billion, while net profit surged by 515.7% YoY to RMB 523 million [3] - Gross profit rose by 34.0% YoY to RMB 1.95 billion, with gross margin improving by 0.7 pct to 11.4% [3] - New power equipment orders increased by 2.84% YoY to RMB 26.03 billion, with coal/hydro/nuclear power equipment orders at RMB 10.83/4.47/3.06 billion respectively [3] - The company's order backlog is sufficient to support growth in the energy equipment business, with potential for further margin improvement [4] - Hydropower equipment and thermal power flexibility transformation are expected to provide new growth drivers [4] - Operating efficiency has improved, with the combined expense ratio decreasing by 1.2 pct to 8.6% and the debt-to-asset ratio dropping by 2.8 pct to 79.6% [4] Financial Performance - Revenue for 2024E/2025E/2026E is projected at RMB 37.31/43.29/46.12 billion, with YoY growth of 27.6%/16.0%/6.5% [6] - Net profit for 2024E/2025E/2026E is forecasted at RMB 950 million/1.39 billion/1.68 billion, with a 3-year CAGR of 42.5% [5][6] - Gross margin is expected to improve to 15.5%/16.2%/16.3% in 2024E/2025E/2026E, up from 12.1% in 2023 [15] - Net margin is projected to increase to 3.0%/3.9%/4.3% in 2024E/2025E/2026E, compared to 2.1% in 2023 [15] Valuation - The company is trading at a 2024E PE of 7.0x and a TTM PB of 0.5x, which is lower than industry peers [5][13] - Industry peers such as Dongfang Electric and Shanghai Electric are trading at higher PE multiples of 6.4x and 34.2x respectively [13] Growth Drivers - The company is expected to benefit from the development of the energy equipment market, particularly in hydropower and thermal power flexibility transformation [4][5] - The rapid development of pumped storage and the transformation of thermal power flexibility are key growth areas [4] - The company's order backlog and improved order quality are expected to support future revenue growth and margin expansion [4]

证 券 研 究 报 告 威胜控股（3393.HK） 2024-09-24 星期二 | --- | --- | |------------|-------------| | | | | 目标价： | 7.6 港元 | | 现 价： | 5.67 港元 | | 预计升幅 : | 34% | | --- | --- | |------------------------------------------|------------| | | | | 日期 | 2024-09-24 | | 收盘价 ( 港元 ) | 5.67 | | 总股本 ( 亿股 ) | 9.96 | | 总市值 ( 亿港元 ) | 56 | | 净资产 ( 百万港元 ) | 6,852 | | 总资产 ( 百万港元 ) | 14,338 | | 52 周高低(港元 ) | 7.59/2.53 | | 每股净资产 (港元) | 5.77 | | 数据来源： Wind 、国元证券经纪（香港）整 | | 理 主要股东 星宝投資控股有限公司(53.59%) 相关报告 首发深度报告-20240124 更新报告-20240318 更新报告 买入 在手订单增 ...

Investment Rating - The report provides a positive outlook on Xin Ao Energy, indicating that the stock buyback and equity incentive plans are likely to boost market confidence [1]. Core Viewpoints - The implementation of stock buyback and equity incentive plans is expected to enhance investor sentiment and support the company's stock price [1]. Summary by Relevant Sections - The report highlights that Xin Ao Energy's recent initiatives, including stock buybacks, are strategic moves aimed at reinforcing market confidence and potentially increasing shareholder value [1].

事件： 北京时间 9 月 19 日凌晨，美联储公开市场委员会（FOMC）公布最新 利率决议，宣布降息 50 基点，并公布最新点阵图和经济数据预测。 决议公布后鲍威尔召开记者会答记者问。 点评观点： 1、决议整体偏鸽，文本内容显示美联储更关心就业 本次决议文本是今年以来修改幅度最大的一次，主要的修改内容在以 下两个方面：首先是通胀方面，本次决议的表述是"通胀朝着委员会 2%的目标进一步迈进，但仍有些偏高"而非"取得进一步进展"，同时 决议表述"美联储对通胀持续向 2%迈进的信息增强，并判断实现就业 和通胀目标的风险大致处于平衡"而非此前的"趋于更好的平衡"。二 者，本次决议在强调"注意到其双重任务方面面临的风险"的同时，新 增"委员会坚定致力于支持最大限度就业"这一表述。我们认为本次 决议内容整体偏鸽，虽然仍然提及通胀，但显然就业已经是当前美联 储需要关注的重心。从近期非农就业数据和失业率情况看，美联储出 现这一转变并不奇怪，这可能也是本次美联储首次降息以 50 基点起步 而非传统的 25 基点的重要原因。 2、点阵图显示年内或还降息 50 基点，首次的 50 基点或为补足 7 月份 未降部分 本次点阵图较 6 ...

证 券 研 究 报 告 华润电力（0836.HK） 2024-09-16 星期一 | --- | --- | |------------|--------------| | | | | 目标价： | 24 港元 | | 现 价： | 18.52 港元 | | 预计升幅 : | 30% | | --- | --- | |---------------------|--------------------------| | | | | 日期 | 2024-09-13 | | 收盘价（港元） | 18.52 | | 总股本（百万股） | 4,810 | | 总市值（亿港元） | 891 | | 净资产（百万港元） | 110,617 | | 总资产（百万港元） | 346,778 | | 52 周高低（港元） | 24.88/12.91 | | 每股净资产（港元） | 18.81 | | 数据来源： Wind | 、国元证券经纪（香港）整 | 理 主要股东 华润集团（电力）有限公司（62.93%） 相关报告 深度报告-20210608 更新报告-20220124 更新报告-20220322 投资要点 ➢ 煤价下行， ...

| --- | --- | --- | |-------|---------------------------|------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------| | | 即时点评 | N 型棒状硅小幅上涨，但短期价格上涨动力仍不足 | | | 多晶硅行业 | 2024-09-12 星期四 | | | | 事件： | | | | 硅业分会最新报价显示： | | | | 本周多晶硅 N 型棒状硅价 ...

即时点评 销气毛差持续修复，中期派息大幅增长 华润燃气（1193 HK） 2024-09-02 星期一 事件： 截至 2024 年 6 月 30 日止六个月，公司实现营业收入 520.8 亿港元， 同比增加 7.7%。股东应占净利润为 34.57 亿港元，同比减少 2.5%，剔 除去上半年同期重庆燃气并表产生的一次性收益影响后，公司核心利 润为 34.6 亿港元，同比增长 21.2%；上半年公司经营现金流 42.5 亿港 元，公司拟派中期股息 25 港仙/股（2023 上半年：10 港仙/股）。 相关报告 点评观点： ➢ 上半年总销气量同比增长 5.3%，销气毛差持续修复： 上半年，公司总销气量 209.0 亿立方米，同比增长 5.3%，其中工业气 量增长 3.7%，商业气量增长 8.1%，居民气量增长 7.0%；期内增加年 度合同指标量 7.5 亿方，新年度气源合同覆盖率增至 99.7%，统筹气 量 17.5 亿方，同比增长 30%，并补充非常规资源超 2 亿方，公司多元 化气源结构有利进一步优化上游采购成本；上半年公司销气毛差 0.54 元/方，同比增加 4 分/方，公司全年销气毛差指引为 0.53-0. ...

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Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of "Hold" for the company based on its current financial performance and future outlook [1]. Core Viewpoints - The company's revenue for the six months ending June 30, 2024, was HKD 2.498 billion, a decrease of 27% year-on-year, with gross profit falling to HKD 1.406 billion, down 37% [1]. - The attributable profit to shareholders was HKD 837 million, a decline of 32%, with basic earnings per share at HKD 0.17, and an interim dividend of HKD 0.09 per share proposed [1]. - The decrease in revenue and profit was primarily due to a drop in both the volume and price of premium coking coal, alongside rising production costs [1]. - The company expects to recover its production levels to between 5-5.25 million tons in the next year, following the successful commissioning of new mining operations [1]. - The company maintains a strong cash position of approximately HKD 9.22 billion, which supports its ability to sustain high dividend payouts despite reduced capital expenditures [1]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Revenue decreased to HKD 2.498 billion, a 27% decline year-on-year - Gross profit fell to HKD 1.406 billion, down 37% - Attributable profit to shareholders was HKD 837 million, a 32% decrease - Basic earnings per share were HKD 0.17, with an interim dividend of HKD 0.09 proposed [1]. Production and Costs - Premium coking coal sales volume dropped by 25%, with an average selling price down by 2% - Raw coking coal production decreased by 15%, with production costs rising by 13% to HKD 453 per ton [1]. - The company has adjusted its full-year production guidance for raw coking coal to 4.8-5.25 million tons for 2024 [1]. Future Outlook - Production is expected to recover to 5-5.25 million tons next year due to new mining operations coming online [1]. - The company anticipates a reduction in capital expenditures to approximately RMB 400-500 million, which will help maintain high dividend payouts [1].

证 券 研 究 报 告 | --- | --- | |-----------------------------|--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------| | 即时点评 | 天然气售气量强劲增长，积极扩充风资源储备 | | 新天绿色能源（ 0956 HK ） | 2024-08-29 星期四 | | | 事件： | | | 截至 2024 年 6 月 30 日止六个月， 公司营业收入为人民币 121.37 亿元， | | | 较去年同期增长 20.8% ；归属于上市公司股东的净利润为人民币 14.30 | | | 亿元，较去年同期下降 0.62% ；及基本每股收益为人民币 0.34 元。 | | 相关报告 | 点评观点： | | | ➢ 上半年天然气业务盈利表现良好： | | | 上半年，公司实现净利润 16.82 亿元，同比下降 1.89% ；其中天然气 | | | 业务实现净利润 4.49 亿元，同比增长 44.98% ；新能源业务实现净利 | | | 润 11.64 亿元 ...