$${\mathfrak{H}}\lambda$$ 华润燃气（1193.HK） 2025-10-24 星期五 | 目标价： | | 26.6 | 港元 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 现 | 价： | 21.5 | 港元 | | 预计升幅： | | 24% | | 重要数据 | 日期 | 2025-10-23 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价（港元） | 21.5 | | 总股本（亿股） | 23.14 | | 总市值（亿港元） | 498 | | 净资产（亿港元） | 672 | | 总资产（亿港元） | 1,385 | | 52 周高低（港元） | 31.77/18.67 | | 每股净资产（港元） | 18.75 | 数据来源: Wind 、国元证券经纪(香港)整理 主要股东 中国华润有限公司 (61.46%) 【投资要点】 ➢ 北方"速冻式"降温，部分地区提前供暖，预期天然气需求快速回升 10 月 18 日以来，北方"速冻式"降温，太原、内蒙古等地已提前供暖。根据 世界气象组织和美国气候预测中心预测，2025 年 11 月至 2026 年 3 月，中 国气候将受到 ...

Group 1: Market Reactions and Economic Data - The Hong Kong stock market showed a strong rebound, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 2.42% [1] - The U.S. government shutdown continues, leading to increased public dissatisfaction, highlighted by a nationwide protest involving approximately 7 million participants [1] - China's economic data for the first three quarters of 2025 shows a GDP of 10,150.36 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.2%, although consumption and investment have declined [3] Group 2: Robotics and Technology Developments - Yubiquitous Technology secured a contract worth 126 million yuan for the procurement of humanoid robots, adding to its significant order backlog of over 630 million yuan for the Walker series [4] - The robotics sector is experiencing growth, with companies like Yushutech reporting substantial sales figures and aiming for increased production in the coming year [3][4] Group 3: Stock Buybacks and Market Performance - Companies engaging in significant stock buybacks, such as China Resources Gas, are seeing positive market reactions, with shares rising over 4% [5] - Sanhua Intelligent Control announced an increase in its share repurchase price cap, leading to an 8% rise in its stock price [4] Group 4: Shipping and Aviation Industry Trends - The global shipping industry is undergoing a significant reshuffle due to new port fees, benefiting companies like COSCO Shipping Energy, which saw an 8% increase in stock price [6] - The aviation sector is also thriving, with China Eastern Airlines reporting a 9% increase in stock price, driven by a strategic focus on international routes [6] Group 5: IPOs and Investment in Technology - The rapid IPO process for Muxi Integrated Circuit indicates strong regulatory support for technology firms, with related companies experiencing stock price increases [7] - MINIEYE's successful bid for an autonomous driving project marks a significant step in the commercialization of its technology, leading to a 7% rise in its stock price [7] Group 6: Tourism and Hospitality Sector Insights - The tourism industry shows steady demand, with hotel average daily rates and revenue per available room experiencing positive growth, although supply pressures remain [8] - Analysts are optimistic about the Macau gaming sector, particularly for companies like Sands China and Galaxy Entertainment, due to low revenue baselines [8] Group 7: Company Performance and Global Expansion - Shenzhou International reported a revenue increase of 15.3% year-on-year, driven by strong performance in leisure and overseas markets [9] - The company is expanding its global production capacity, with overseas factories accounting for approximately 53% of total garment output [9][10]

Investment Rating - The report provides a "Buy" rating for several companies in the power and gas sectors, indicating a positive outlook for their performance [41]. Core Insights - The report highlights the recent adjustments in the value-added tax (VAT) policies for wind and nuclear power, which may impact profitability for operators in these sectors [9][10]. - It notes the competitive pricing results for electricity in Xinjiang and Gansu, with Xinjiang's prices nearing the upper limit of the bidding range, suggesting a favorable environment for renewable energy operators [8]. - The report discusses the decline in global LNG prices, with China's comprehensive LNG import price reaching a four-year low, which could benefit domestic gas companies [12][27]. Summary by Sections 1. Power Sector - Xinjiang's mechanism electricity bidding results show a scale of 36 billion kWh for solar and 185 billion kWh for wind, with prices at 0.235 CNY/kWh and 0.252 CNY/kWh respectively, indicating a competitive market [5][8]. - The VAT policy changes will eliminate the 50% VAT refund for onshore wind from November 1, 2025, while maintaining it for offshore wind until the end of 2027 [9][10]. - Recommendations include focusing on companies like Guodian Power, China Nuclear Power, and Longyuan Power due to their stable growth prospects [11]. 2. Gas Sector - Global gas prices have shown slight declines, with the US Henry Hub price at $2.82/mmBtu, reflecting a 2.90% weekly drop [12][15]. - China's LNG import price has dropped to 2852 CNY/ton, the lowest since mid-2021, driven by lower oil prices affecting long-term contracts [27][29]. - The report suggests a positive outlook for gas companies like Kunlun Energy and New Hope Energy, as cost reductions and economic recovery may enhance profitability [29]. 3. Environmental Sector - The report emphasizes the benefits of debt-for-equity swaps and the increasing stability of returns for green energy operators, recommending companies like China Everbright Environment and Hongcheng Environment [11]. - It highlights the ongoing rise in SAF (Sustainable Aviation Fuel) prices, suggesting investment opportunities in related companies [11]. 4. Key Company Valuations - The report includes a valuation table for key companies, with several rated as "Buy," indicating strong expected performance in the coming years [41].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the power and gas sectors, highlighting potential investment opportunities in renewable energy and gas companies [3][12]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the recent adjustments in value-added tax policies for wind and nuclear power, which may impact profitability in the short to medium term [10][11]. - It notes the significant drop in LNG import prices, reaching a four-year low, which could benefit gas companies and consumers [13][29]. - The report suggests that the competitive bidding results for electricity prices in Xinjiang and Gansu indicate varying strategies among renewable energy operators, which could lead to improved profit margins [9][12]. Summary by Sections 1. Power Sector - Xinjiang's competitive bidding results show a mechanism electricity price of 0.252 CNY/kWh for wind power, close to the upper limit, while Gansu's price is 0.1954 CNY/kWh, near the lower limit [5][9]. - The adjustment of the value-added tax policy for onshore wind power, effective November 1, 2025, will eliminate the 50% refund policy, while offshore wind will retain it until the end of 2027 [10][11]. - Recommendations include focusing on companies like Guodian Power, Sichuan Investment Energy, and China Nuclear Power due to their stable growth prospects [12]. 2. Gas Sector - The report highlights a slight decline in global gas prices, with the US Henry Hub price at $2.82/mmBtu, down 2.90% week-on-week, and LNG import prices in China dropping to 2852 CNY/ton, the lowest since mid-2021 [13][29]. - It suggests that the cost reduction in upstream resources and the recovery of the macro economy will benefit Hong Kong gas companies like Kunlun Energy and New Hope Energy [31]. - The report anticipates that the LNG prices may stabilize as demand increases with the onset of colder weather [29][31]. 3. Weekly Market Review - The public utility, power, gas, and environmental protection sectors outperformed the CSI 300 index during the week of October 13-17, 2025 [35]. - The report notes that the power equipment sector lagged behind the index, indicating potential investment opportunities in other sectors [35]. 4. Company and Industry Dynamics - The report discusses the upcoming competitive bidding for renewable energy projects in Anhui, with a bidding range set between 0.2 CNY/kWh and 0.3844 CNY/kWh [41][42]. - It highlights the performance of major companies, such as China General Nuclear Power and Longyuan Power, which reported varying results in their electricity generation [43][44].

Core Viewpoint - Hong Kong stock of China Resources Gas (01193.HK) increased nearly 5%, reaching a price of 21.48 HKD with a trading volume of 164 million HKD [2] Group 1 - The stock price rose by 4.78% as of the time of reporting [2] - The trading volume was reported at 164 million HKD [2]

Core Viewpoint - China Resources Gas (01193) has seen a nearly 5% increase in stock price, attributed to positive catalysts from share buybacks and improved profitability expectations [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - China Resources Gas shares rose by 4.78%, reaching HKD 21.48, with a trading volume of HKD 164 million [1] Group 2: Analyst Insights - Citigroup initiated a 30-day positive catalyst observation on China Resources Gas, highlighting potential upside from share buybacks [1] - The company has set aside sufficient cash for buybacks, planning to repurchase approximately 60 million shares, which represents 2.6% of the total issued shares [1] Group 3: Financial Performance Expectations - The company's profitability is expected to improve, with a forecasted year-on-year increase in net profit for Q3, recovering from a 30.5% decline in the first half of the year [1] - Retail gas sales volume is anticipated to grow by 1% to 2% year-on-year in Q3 [1]

Core Viewpoint - China Resources Gas (01193) has seen a nearly 5% increase in stock price, attributed to positive catalysts from share buybacks and improved profitability expectations [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - China Resources Gas shares rose by 4.78%, reaching HKD 21.48, with a trading volume of HKD 164 million [1] Group 2: Analyst Insights - Citigroup initiated a 30-day positive catalyst observation for China Resources Gas, highlighting potential upside from share buybacks [1] - The company has reserved sufficient cash for buybacks and plans to repurchase approximately 60 million shares, representing 2.6% of the total issued shares by the end of this year [1] Group 3: Financial Performance Expectations - The company's profitability is expected to improve, with a forecasted year-on-year increase in net profit for Q3, recovering from a 30.5% decline in the first half of the year [1] - Retail gas sales volume is anticipated to grow by 1% to 2% year-on-year in Q3 [1]

花旗发表研究报告，对华润燃气开展30天正面催化剂观察，因为其可能从股份回购中获得上升潜力。华 润燃气表示已预留足够现金进行回购，并预计到今年底将回购约6000万股，占已发行股份2.6%。 该行指出，华润燃气过去三个月的日均交易额为1600万美元，此次回购将相当于日均交易额的22%。同 时，华润燃气的盈利能力有所改善，预计今年第三季的纯利将按年录得增长，较上半年的下跌30.5%有 所回升，又预期第三季零售燃气销售量将按年增长1至2%。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the hydropower sector, particularly large hydropower projects, due to improved fundamentals and favorable weather conditions [2][6]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the autumn floods have positively impacted hydropower generation, with significant increases in water inflow expected in the coming days [2][6]. - The announcement from the National Development and Reform Commission regarding the regulation of price competition is expected to alleviate irrational competition in the electricity market [2][8]. - Global natural gas prices are experiencing fluctuations, with U.S. prices remaining low while European prices are rebounding due to geopolitical tensions and increased heating demand [12][21]. Summary by Sections Electricity Sector - The report notes that hydropower generation in the Yangtze River basin has reached historical highs due to concentrated rainfall, with a total generation of approximately 235.13 billion kWh in the first three quarters of 2025, remaining stable compared to the previous year [2][6]. - The announcement on regulating price competition aims to create a fair market environment, which is expected to reduce irrational pricing behaviors in the electricity sector [7][8]. - Recommendations include focusing on large hydropower companies such as Guotou Power, Chuan Investment Energy, and Yangtze Power, as well as green energy firms like Xintian Green Energy and Longyuan Power [11]. Natural Gas Sector - As of October 10, 2025, U.S. Henry Hub spot prices were $2.90/mmBtu, reflecting a weekly decrease of 9.03%, while European gas prices, such as the TTF, saw an increase of 5.26% to €32.63/MWh [12][14]. - The report indicates that the natural gas consumption in August 2025 showed a year-on-year increase of 1.8%, with total consumption reaching 364.1 billion m³ [34]. - Investment recommendations include focusing on integrated natural gas companies like Kunlun Energy and New Hope Energy, as well as gas trading firms [36]. Environmental Sector - The report suggests that companies with stable performance and high dividend yields, such as Zhongshan Public Utilities and Everbright Environment, should be monitored for potential investment opportunities [11]. - The ongoing development of carbon trading markets and environmental regulations is expected to enhance the performance of companies in the environmental sector [46].

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年9月30日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 華潤燃氣控股有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年10月2日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 01193 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 10,000,000,000 | HKD | | 0.1 | HKD | | 1,000,000,000 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | | HKD | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 10,000,000,000 | HKD | | 0.1 | HKD | | 1,000,000,000 | 本月底 ...