Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the ROE of the non-financial real estate sector in A-shares is expected to rise from 7.2% to 7.9% by 2026, indicating a shift from a "low return" phase to a more favorable profitability trend [1] - The investment strategy suggests focusing on four main lines: industrial resource products, equipment exports, consumer recovery, and non-bank financials, with a particular emphasis on tracking the demand for aluminum, copper, steel, and coal driven by power system construction [1] - In overseas markets, the characteristics of "investment stronger than consumption," profit differentiation among large and small enterprises, declining employment, and slowing wage growth are observed, which provide a foundation for a sustained interest rate cut cycle [1] Group 2 - On the domestic consumption front, the drag of housing prices on household spending has diminished, and the recovery of trade settlement rates along with visa-free entry for foreign tourists has led to improved sales net profit margins in sectors such as aviation, hotels, duty-free, and food and beverage [2] - The financial landscape shows a shift of household savings towards "fixed income+" products, with pension and insurance funds continuously increasing their allocation to equities; policy adjustments to lower insurance risk factors and relax brokerage leverage are expected to resonate with the non-bank sector and the recovery of ROE [2]

国金证券首席策略分析师牟一凌预计，2026年A股非金融地产行业的ROE（净资产收益率）将由当前的 7.2%抬升至7.9%，盈利节奏前低后高，市场脱离"低回报"区间。他建议，沿四条主线布局——工业资 源品、设备出口、消费回补、非银金融，并重点跟踪电力系统建设对铝、铜、钢、煤炭等需求的兑现。 在国内消费端，房价对居民支出的拖累已钝化，贸易结汇率回升、入境免签带动外国游客增加，航空、 酒店、免税、食品饮料等行业销售净利率改善，但是相对估值仍低于2022年低点。资金面上，居民储蓄 向"固收+"迁移，养老金、保险资金持续增配权益；政策下调保险风险因子并放宽券商杠杆，非银板块 与ROE回升将形成共振。 （文章来源：证券时报） 新兴市场凭借"人口红利+关键矿产"双重优势，在降息周期中吸引FDI（外商直接投资）回流，工业化 与城镇化提速。中国电网设备、储能、锂电、光伏、工程机械、商用车等出口链将直接受益，中间品与 资本品订单弹性最大。 他表示，在海外市场方面，欧美在AI（人工智能）资本开支驱动下已经呈现"投资强于消费"、大小企业 盈利分化、就业下降和薪资增速放缓的特征，这些特征又为降息周期的持续提供了基础。同时，美国财 政宽 ...

他表示，在海外市场方面，欧美在AI(人工智能)资本开支驱动下已经呈现"投资强于消费"、大小企业盈 利分化、就业下降和薪资增速放缓的特征，这些特征又为降息周期的持续提供了基础。同时，美国财政 宽松在"大美丽法案"出台后几成定局，财政扩张有望点燃全球大宗商品补库周期。 新兴市场凭借"人口红利+关键矿产"双重优势，在降息周期中吸引FDI(外商直接投资)回流，工业化与城 镇化提速。中国电网设备、储能、锂电、光伏、工程机械、商用车等出口链将直接受益，中间品与资本 品订单弹性最大。 国金证券首席策略分析师牟一凌预计，2026年A股非金融地产行业的ROE(净资产收益率)将由当前的 7.2%抬升至7.9%，盈利节奏前低后高，市场脱离"低回报"区间。他建议，沿四条主线布局——工业资 源品、设备出口、消费回补、非银金融，并重点跟踪电力系统建设对铝、铜、钢、煤炭等需求的兑现。 在国内消费端，房价对居民支出的拖累已钝化，贸易结汇率回升、入境免签带动外国游客增加，航空、 酒店、免税、食品饮料等行业销售净利率改善，但是相对估值仍低于2022年低点。资金面上，居民储蓄 向"固收+"迁移，养老金、保险资金持续增配权益；政策下调保险风险因子并 ...

"此外，中国正大力提振内需和吸引外商直接投资，一系列新政相继落地。例如，境外投资者利润再投 资税收抵免、海南自贸港即将启动全岛封关运作、大湾区合作园区的税收优惠与扩大开放措施持续加码 等，均为消费市场带来庞大商机。"普华永道进一步指出。（智通财经记者 田忠方） 普华永道表示，中国消费市场潜力巨大。一方面，随着中高收入群体不断壮大，将更加注重健康和可持 续发展。另一方面，借助科技和人工智能，中国零售商可以加速品类管理和自有品牌的发展。 12月17日，国际四大会计师事务所之一的普华永道发布报告称，中国消费市场展望乐观。其中，预计人 民币将在2026年走强，叠加房地产市场有望回稳，金融市场将提振消费者信心，刺激本地消费。 ...

Core Insights - Foreign direct investment (FDI) in Colombia reached $8.368 billion in the first 11 months of 2025, representing a year-on-year decrease of 16.5% [1] Group 1: Sector Performance - The oil and gas, as well as mining sectors, experienced a significant decline in foreign investment, dropping to $6.384 billion, which is a decrease of approximately $770 million compared to the previous year [1] - Non-resource sectors saw a decline of over 30% in attracted investments year-on-year [1] Group 2: Securities Investment - There was a notable recovery in foreign securities investment, with a net inflow of $7.065 billion this year, reversing the substantial outflow from the previous year [1] - The recovery in securities investment was primarily driven by certain external debt management operations and government bond issuances [1] Group 3: Economic Implications - The decline in foreign investment, particularly in non-resource sectors, poses challenges for employment and long-term technology transfer [1]

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights that Ghana attracted foreign direct investment (FDI) of $378 million in the third quarter of 2025, with the manufacturing sector dominating the investment flow, accounting for nearly 90% of the total investment [1] Group 2 - The report indicates that the majority of new investments are sourced from foreign capital, with 41 out of 53 registered projects being wholly foreign-owned, valued at $371 million, while joint ventures accounted for only 12 projects worth $645,000 [1] - Manufacturing concentrated 34 projects with an investment of $333 million, significantly surpassing other sectors such as services, agriculture, and general trade, which saw relatively limited investment [1] Group 3 - The Greater Accra region attracted 41 projects, continuing to serve as the core investment area, while the remaining projects were dispersed across five other regions, indicating insufficient regional balanced development [1] Group 4 - Current data reflects three characteristics of Ghana's investment structure: a heavy reliance on foreign capital for major projects, the increasing importance of manufacturing in industrial development and job creation, and a low level of domestic capital participation that is not fully aligned with macroeconomic improvement trends [1]

Core Viewpoint - China's foreign exchange reserves reached $3.34 trillion in October, marking an increase of $4.685 billion from the previous value, remaining above $3.3 trillion for three consecutive months and above $3.2 trillion for 24 months, the highest level since December 2015 [1] Group 1: Foreign Exchange Reserves Overview - Foreign exchange reserves are crucial for international payments and are held by central banks and government institutions, enhancing the ability to repay short-term foreign debts and maintain economic security [1] - The sources of China's foreign exchange reserves include trade surplus, foreign direct investment (FDI), and capital flows from international investors purchasing Chinese financial assets [2] Group 2: Trade Surplus and FDI - China's trade surplus is expected to continue expanding, driven by the relative strength of global and domestic economies, with projections indicating a record high by 2026 [3] - FDI is influenced by the profitability of industrial enterprises in China, with historical trends showing that FDI growth aligns with the performance of industrial profits [3] Group 3: Capital Flows and PPI - The growth of industrial profits positively impacts the A-share market, attracting overseas financial capital, while the Producer Price Index (PPI) has shown signs of recovery, which is expected to support industrial profit growth and further attract capital inflows [3] Group 4: Valuation and Relative Value Changes - As of Q2 2025, the composition of global foreign exchange reserves shows that the U.S. dollar accounts for 56.33%, with China's reserves primarily in U.S. dollar assets, particularly U.S. Treasury bonds [4] - The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is anticipated to decline, which would increase the value of U.S. bonds and positively impact China's foreign exchange reserves [5] Group 5: Dollar Index and Economic Indicators - The U.S. dollar index is expected to decline in 2026, which would raise the dollar value of non-dollar assets and positively influence China's trade surplus and capital inflows [6][7] - The relationship between the dollar index and U.S. Treasury yields indicates that a decline in yields will likely lead to a decrease in the dollar index, further supporting China's foreign exchange reserves [7] Group 6: Future Projections and Implications - By 2026, China's foreign exchange reserves are projected to steadily increase from the current $3.3 trillion, supported by both absolute scale and relative value changes [8] - This increase will enhance China's ability to repay short-term foreign debts and stabilize the renminbi exchange rate, contributing to financial stability in the A-share market [8]

Investment Rating - The report provides a positive outlook on the Southeast Asia consumer sector, indicating a general upward trend in consumer valuations across various markets [2][5]. Core Insights - Inflation rates have shown a decline in Indonesia, Thailand, and Singapore, while Vietnam continues to experience robust retail growth [3][4][25]. - Consumer confidence in Indonesia has slightly decreased, reflecting gradual adjustments rather than a sharp decline, with the index at 117.2 in August 2025 [17]. - The retail sales in Vietnam have demonstrated strong growth, with a year-on-year increase of 10.6% in August 2025 [39]. Economic Data Summary - **Indonesia**: The GDP growth rate for Q2 2025 was 5.1%, with manufacturing as a key driver [13]. The CPI in August 2025 increased by 2.31% year-on-year, indicating a slowdown in inflation across various categories [14]. - **Thailand**: The GDP growth for Q2 2025 was 2.8%, with a notable decline in the CPI by 0.79% in August, marking the lowest level since January 2024 [21][19]. - **Singapore**: The GDP growth for Q2 2025 was 4.3%, with the CPI falling to 0.5% in August, the lowest since January 2021 [28][25]. - **Vietnam**: The GDP growth rate for the first half of 2025 reached 7.52%, with a strong manufacturing sector contributing significantly [34]. Market Performance Summary - In August 2025, major market indices in Southeast Asia showed positive performance, with Vietnam's market rising by 12.5% [11][12]. - Consumer sectors in Indonesia outperformed the overall index, with essential and discretionary consumption rising by 14.9% and 15.7%, respectively [5][11]. - Valuation levels for consumer sectors have generally increased, with Indonesia's essential consumption PE at 2% and discretionary at 70% historical percentiles [5].

Core Points - The new round of cross-border investment and financing foreign exchange management reform aims to enhance the convenience of cross-border investment and financing [2][3] - The reform includes measures to simplify processes and reduce institutional costs, particularly in foreign direct investment (FDI) and cross-border financing [3][7] Group 1: Cross-Border Investment Reform - The reform cancels the basic information registration for pre-investment expenses in FDI, allowing foreign investors to directly open accounts and remit funds [3] - The registration for reinvestment by foreign-invested enterprises in China has also been eliminated, enabling direct fund transfers without additional registration [3][6] - The policy has been successfully piloted in certain provinces and is now being implemented nationwide [4] Group 2: Cross-Border Financing Reform - The reform expands the borrowing limits for qualified high-tech, "specialized and innovative," and technology-based small and medium-sized enterprises to $1 million, with a potential increase to $2 million for those selected through an "innovation points system" [7][8] - The registration requirements for cross-border financing have been simplified, removing the need for audited financial reports from the previous year [7][8] - This dual optimization of limits and processes is expected to address the financing challenges faced by innovative enterprises [8] Group 3: Capital Project Income Payment Facilitation - The reform introduces a "pre-settlement and post-supplement" policy for foreign individuals purchasing property in China, allowing them to settle foreign exchange payments before obtaining the necessary purchase registration documents [9][10] - This measure aims to facilitate the housing needs of foreign individuals working and living in China, promoting regional integration and talent mobility [9][11] - The policy, initially piloted in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area, is now being expanded nationwide [11]

Core Viewpoint - The performance of Kingsoft Holdings in 1H25 exceeded expectations, with significant growth in both total revenue and EBITDA, driven by a recovery in business volume and the introduction of new products [1][2]. Financial Performance - Total revenue reached $342 million, a year-on-year increase of 17% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 27%, recovering to 38% of the level in 1H19 [1]. - Total gaming revenue was $332 million, also reflecting a 17% year-on-year increase and a 28% quarter-on-quarter increase, recovering to 38% of the level in 1H19 [1]. - EBITDA amounted to $200 million, showing a year-on-year growth of 261% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 36%, recovering to 61% of the level in 1H19, surpassing the forecast of $188 million [1]. Development Trends - Infrastructure improvements and increased flight frequency have boosted visitor numbers, driving growth in the mid-market segment [1]. - The number of Chinese tourists visiting Cambodia increased by 51% year-on-year and 28% quarter-on-quarter in 1H25, with business travelers increasing by 46% year-on-year and 31% quarter-on-quarter [1]. - The new Decho International Airport is set to open in September 2025, with a passenger capacity of 13 million, while the existing Phnom Penh International Airport will cease operations [1]. VIP Business Growth - The direct VIP business turnover increased by 88% year-on-year and 87% quarter-on-quarter in 1H25, driven by the rise in business travelers and expatriates [2]. - The acceleration in foreign direct investment in Cambodia, particularly following Chinese President Xi Jinping's visit in April, has contributed to this growth [2]. Future Plans and Dividend - The Naga 3 project is expected to announce more details in 1H26, with management anticipating more iconic tourist attractions and amenities [2]. - The company declared an interim dividend of $0.0101 per share, corresponding to a 30% payout ratio, compared to a historical level of 60% [2]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The EBITDA forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been raised by 6%, reaching $406 million and $481 million, respectively [2]. - The current stock price corresponds to 7 times the 2025 EV/EBITDA, with a target price raised by 12% to HKD 6.50, indicating a 12% upside potential from the current price [2].